Searcharxiv⌕ Search

arXiv subjects

Dmitri V. Zaykin

Publications and source records attributed to Dmitri V. Zaykin.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

Functional Analysis of Variance for Association Studies

While progress has been made in identifying common genetic variants associated with human diseases, for most of common complex diseases, the identified genetic variants only account for a small proportion of heritability. Challenges remain in finding additional unknown genetic variants predisposing to complex diseases. With the advance in next-generation sequencing technologies, sequencing studies have become commonplace in genetic research. The ongoing exome-sequencing and whole-genome-sequencing studies generate a massive amount of sequencing variants and allow researchers to comprehensively investigate their role in human diseases. The discovery of new disease-associated variants can be enhanced by utilizing powerful and computationally efficient statistical methods. In this paper, we propose a functional analysis of variance (FANOVA) method for testing an association of sequence variants in a genomic region with a qualitative trait. The FANOVA has a number of advantages: (1) it tests for a joint effect of gene variants, including both common and rare; (2) it fully utilizes linkage disequilibrium and genetic position information; and (3) allows for either protective or risk-increasing causal variants. Through simulations, we show that FANOVA outperform two popularly used methods - SKAT and a previously proposed method based on functional linear models (FLM), - especially if a sample size of a study is small and/or sequence variants have low to moderate effects. We conduct an empirical study by applying three methods (FANOVA, SKAT and FLM) to sequencing data from Dallas Heart Study. While SKAT and FLM respectively detected ANGPTL 4 and ANGPTL 3 associated with obesity, FANOVA was able to identify both genes associated with obesity.

stat.AP↗

A new measure for the analysis of epidemiological associations: Cannabis use disorder examples

Analyses of population-based surveys are instrumental to research on prevention and treatment of mental and substance use disorders. Population-based data provides descriptive characteristics of multiple determinants of public health and are typically available to researchers as an annual data release. To provide trends in national estimates or to update the existing ones, a meta-analytical approach to year-by-year data is typically employed with ORs as effect sizes. However, if the estimated ORs exhibit different patterns over time, some normalization of ORs may be warranted. We propose a new normalized measure of effect size and derive an asymptotic distribution for the respective test statistic. The normalization constant is based on the maximum range of the standardized log(OR), for which we establish a connection to the Laplace Limit Constant. Furthermore, we propose to employ standardized log(OR) in a novel way to obtain accurate posterior inference. Through simulation studies, we show that our new statistic is more powerful than the traditional one for testing the hypothesis OR=1. We then applied it to the United States population estimates of co-occurrence of side effect problem-experiences (SEPE) among newly incident cannabis users, based on the the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH), 2004-2014.

stat.ME↗

Detecting weak signals by combining small P-values in genetic association studies

We approach the problem of combining top-ranking association statistics or P-value from a new perspective which leads to a remarkably simple and powerful method. Statistical methods, such as the Rank Truncated Product (RTP), have been developed for combining top-ranking associations and this general strategy proved to be useful in applications for detecting combined effects of multiple disease components. To increase power, these methods aggregate signals across top ranking SNPs, while adjusting for their total number assessed in a study. Analytic expressions for combined top statistics or P-values tend to be unwieldy, which complicates interpretation, practical implementation, and hinders further developments. Here, we propose the Augmented Rank Truncation (ART) method that retains main characteristics of the RTP but is substantially simpler to implement. ART leads to an efficient form of the adaptive algorithm, an approach where the number of top ranking SNPs is varied to optimize power. We illustrate our methods by strengthening previously reported associations of $μ$-opioid receptor variants with sensitivity to pain.

stat.ME↗

Maximum value of the standardized log of odds ratio and celestial mechanics

The odds ratio (OR) is a widely used measure of the effect size in observational research. ORs reflect statistical association between a binary outcome, such as the presence of a health condition, and a binary predictor, such as an exposure to a pollutant. Statistical significance and interval estimates are often computed for the logarithm of OR, ln(OR), and depend on the asymptotic standard error of ln(OR). For a sample of size N, the standard error can be written as a ratio of sigma over square root of N, where sigma is the population standard deviation of ln(OR). The ratio of ln(OR) over sigma is a standardized effect size. Unlike correlation, that is another familiar standardized statistic, the standardized ln(OR) cannot reach values of minus one or one. We find that its maximum possible value is given by the Laplace Limit Constant, (LLC=0.6627...), that appears as a condition in solutions to Kepler equation -- one of the central equations in celestial mechanics. The range of the standardized ln(OR) is bounded by minus LLC to LLC, reaching its maximum for ln(OR)~4.7987. This range has implications for analysis of epidemiological associations, affecting the behavior of the reasonable prior distribution for the standardized ln(OR).

stat.ME↗

Assessment of P-value variability in the current replicability crisis

Increased availability of data and accessibility of computational tools in recent years have created unprecedented opportunities for scientific research driven by statistical analysis. Inherent limitations of statistics impose constrains on reliability of conclusions drawn from data but misuse of statistical methods is a growing concern. Significance, hypothesis testing and the accompanying P-values are being scrutinized as representing most widely applied and abused practices. One line of critique is that P-values are inherently unfit to fulfill their ostensible role as measures of scientific hypothesis's credibility. It has also been suggested that while P-values may have their role as summary measures of effect, researchers underappreciate the degree of randomness in the P-value. High variability of P-values would suggest that having obtained a small P-value in one study, one is, nevertheless, likely to obtain a much larger P-value in a similarly powered replication study. Thus, "replicability of P-value" is itself questionable. To characterize P-value variability one can use prediction intervals whose endpoints reflect the likely spread of P-values that could have been obtained by a replication study. Unfortunately, the intervals currently in use, the P-intervals, are based on unrealistic implicit assumptions. Namely, P-intervals are constructed with the assumptions that imply substantial chances of encountering large values of effect size in an observational study, which leads to bias. As an alternative to P-intervals, we develop a method that gives researchers flexibility by providing them with the means to control these assumptions. Unlike endpoints of P-intervals, endpoints of our intervals are directly interpreted as probabilistic bounds for replication P-values and are resistant to selection bias contingent upon approximate prior knowledge of the effect size distribution.

q-bio.GN↗

The more you test, the more you find: Smallest P-values become increasingly enriched with real findings as more tests are conducted

Increasing accessibility of data to researchers makes it possible to conduct massive amounts of statistical testing. Rather than follow a carefully crafted set of scientific hypotheses with statistical analysis, researchers can now test many possible relations and let P-values or other statistical summaries generate hypotheses for them. Genetic epidemiology field is an illustrative case in this paradigm shift. Driven by technological advances, testing a handful of genetic variants in relation to a health outcome has been abandoned in favor of agnostic screening of the entire genome, followed by selection of top hits, e.g., by selection of genetic variants with the smallest association P-values. At the same time, nearly total lack of replication of claimed associations that has been shaming the field turned to a flow of reports whose findings have been robustly replicating. Researchers may have adopted better statistical practices by learning from past failures, but we suggest that a steep increase in the amount of statistical testing itself is an important factor. Regardless of whether statistical significance has been reached, an increased number of tested hypotheses leads to enrichment of smallest P-values with genuine associations. In this study, we quantify how the expected proportion of genuine signals (EPGS) among top hits changes with an increasing number of tests. When the rate of occurrence of genuine signals does not decrease too sharply to zero as more tests are performed, the smallest P-values are increasingly more likely to represent genuine associations in studies with more tests.

q-bio.GN↗