arXiv subjects

Dominic Anstey

Publications and source records attributed to Dominic Anstey.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Quantifying Sky Map Resolution Requirements for Beam Chromaticity Correction in Sky-Averaged 21 cm Experiments

The 21 cm hyperfine transition of neutral hydrogen provides one of the few direct probes of the early cosmic history. High-redshift detections of this signal could shine light on the poorly understood epochs of the Dark Ages and Cosmic Dawn, periods that remain among the least understood in the Universe's history. However, this signal is masked by bright foregrounds and is distorted by the chromaticity of the antenna used to detect it. Correcting for the chromaticity requires an accurate representation of the radio sky across relevant frequencies. However, base sky maps used for this correction, such as instances of the Global Sky Model (GSM), are limited by resolution, calibration and extrapolation uncertainties, especially when scaled to lower frequencies relevant for Cosmic Dawn studies. This work quantifies how accurately the base map must represent the true sky to produce a reliable beam correction. Using simulated sky data, we generate beam chromaticity corrections generated from progressively degraded versions of the base map, and compare how well they do in comparison to a correction based on the full-resolution map. We find that degradation in map resolution of $\sim 1^\circ$ does not introduce measurable increases in the amplitude of the residuals when correcting for the chromaticity and subtracting three different foreground models (two polynomials and a power law expansion). These results provide practical constraints on the required resolution and accuracy of sky models used in beam correction pipelines, informing future design and calibration strategies for global 21 cm experiments, and future efforts to map the low frequency sky.

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arXiv2026

Impact of numerical stability in Bayesian noise wave calibration on global 21-cm experiments

Detecting the global 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn and Epoch of Reionization requires calibration accuracy far below the level of astrophysical foregrounds. REACH models its receiver using the noise wave formalism, with five frequency-dependent low-noise amplifier parameters fitted jointly to multiple calibration sources. We identify a numerical instability in this Bayesian calibration pipeline: the condition number of the posterior covariance matrix reaches $\kappa(\mathbf{V}^*) \sim 10^{9}$--$10^{11}$, making solutions non-reproducible across computing environments. Singular value decomposition shows that the instability is driven by near-collinearity between the design-matrix columns associated with the excess noise source temperature, $X_\mathrm{NS}$, and the load temperature, $X_\mathrm{L}$. Using a Chebyshev basis, we develop a two-step mitigation. First, fixing $T_\mathrm{NS}$ to a scalar removes the degeneracy and reduces $\kappa(\mathbf{V}^*)$ to $\sim 60$. Second, to retain frequency dependence, we recover $T_\mathrm{NS}(\nu)$ directly from the hot-load calibration measurement. On mock data, this method preserves the stability of the reduced model while achieving comparable calibration accuracy. Masking narrow channels around cable standing-wave degeneracies further removes local artefacts in the design matrix. These steps provide a stable, reproducible, and data-driven calibration procedure. Because the $X_\mathrm{NS}$--$X_\mathrm{L}$ degeneracy is inherent to the noise wave formalism, the method is relevant to other global 21-cm experiments.

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arXiv2026

Direct Primary Beam Correction: Untangling Mutual Coupling in 21-cm Cosmological Experiments with the SKA-Low Radio Telescope

Mutual coupling between antennas has emerged as the dominant direction-dependent corruption in dense aperture arrays, imprinting pronounced sub-MHz spatial and spectral structure that compromises the time-gating and foreground-separation strategies used to isolate the faint 21-cm signal. In this work, we introduce \textit{Direct Primary Beam Correction}, a domain-agnostic framework for reconstructing the far-field radiation pattern relative to an arbitrary reference via a regularised, direction-weighted linear inversion of stacked Jones matrices, thereby enabling the removal of direction-dependent distortions such as mutual coupling. Using full-wave electromagnetic simulations of SKA-Low, we demonstrate that this framework reconstructs the radiation pattern down to the numerical noise floor within a suitably conditioned field of view, with the reconstruction accuracy governed by the regularised inversion and the fidelity of the underlying beam model. Applying the framework to a simulated 4-hour observation of the EoR0 field in the $122$--$134$~MHz band, we identify two principal implications for 21-cm power-spectrum analysis. First, restricting the correction to the main lobe and near sidelobes is inadequate: chromatic grating lobe contributions, whether left insufficiently or entirely uncorrected, continue to contaminate the EoR window. Second, mutual-coupling-induced contamination is temporally coherent and, being anchored to the fixed array geometry, does not average down across snapshots as the EoR field is tracked. Direct primary beam correction, therefore, provides a computationally efficient means of mitigating mutual coupling; however, robust recovery of the EoR window necessitates either full-sky correction or explicit separation of main-beam and sidelobe contributions prior to power-spectrum estimation.

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arXiv2026

Synchrotron and free-free mapping with simulated REACH observations between 50-170 MHz

Global 21cm experiments aim to detect the hydrogen 21cm signal by separating it from foreground emission that can be orders of magnitude brighter than the signal. REACH (the Radio Experiment for the Analysis of Cosmic Hydrogen) forward-models the sky by jointly fitting signal and foreground spectral parameters to an existing sky map. The fitted parameters yield spectrally constrained, absolutely calibrated maps of the radio sky across the full 50-170 MHz observing band, among the lowest continuous frequencies yet mapped. We assess REACH's ability to fit the 21cm signal and recover accurate foreground maps, using physically motivated foreground models of increasing complexity (starting from a pure synchrotron power law model, then introducing variable amplitudes, curvature, and a free-free component). We evaluate these models against simulated REACH observations of correspondingly complex foregrounds, based on the Global Sky Model and the Python Sky Model. To recover the 21cm signal, more complex datasets require correspondingly complex models, but this introduces degeneracies which limit accurate recovery of foreground parameters. Fitting a foreground with independent synchrotron and free-free emission enables component-separated sky mapping, which has applications beyond radio cosmology; synchrotron is well-recovered across the sky, but free-free recovery is limited. REACH is therefore capable of probing Galactic physics at uniquely low frequencies, alongside its primary goal of detecting the 21cm signal.

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arXiv2026

Observations of the Cosmic Dawn and Epoch of Reionization with the SKAO: Observational Lessons Learned from Precursors and Pathfinder Instruments

This chapter summarizes the observational lessons learned after two decades of observations of the Cosmic Dawn (CD) and Epoch of Reionization (EoR) with SKAO pathfinders and precursors. We will describe the effort towards building accurate simulation pipelines for actual observations and summarize the approaches that different groups have taken to calibrate and mitigate systematic effects such as sky model incompleteness, limited instrument models and antenna mutual coupling. We conclude by discussing the impact that these lessons may have on the design and analysis of upcoming SKAO observations of the Cosmic Dawn and Epoch of Reionization.

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arXiv2026

Optimisation of calibration sources for global 21-cm experiments: the REACH case

The spin-flip 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn and the Epoch of Reionization is an essential probe of the conditions that led to the formation of the first luminous objects in the early Universe. However, its detection remains a major challenge owing to its low strength compared to the bright foregrounds and the requirement of precise calibration of the instrument to prevent systematics that could hinder a detection or lead to false inferences. REACH (Radio Experiment for the Analysis of Cosmic Hydrogen) is a radiometer experiment designed to detect this sky-averaged signal in the frequency range of 50--130~MHz. Using a wide-beam antenna, REACH calibration relies on internal reference sources, covering a broad range of temperatures and reflection coefficients. The choice of type and number of calibrators used significantly influences the quality of the calibration. This work investigates these effects and introduces a novel method for selecting an optimal set of calibration sources. With an optimised set, we aim to reduce calibration time, thereby increasing sky integration time while preserving calibration accuracy. We explore two optimisation strategies: one applied across the full receiver band and another performed on a frequency-by-frequency basis. Finally, we demonstrate that, with a total calibration time comparable to the conventional full-calibrator set, an optimised set with fewer calibrators achieves approximately a $15~\%$ reduction in calibrated temperature noise and improved absolute calibration of the instrument. This has implications for better calibration strategies in similar radiometer experiments.

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arXiv2026

Circuit Modeling for In Situ 21 cm Radiometer Calibration

Recent experiments in cosmology, particularly those aimed at detecting the faint, redshifted, global 21 cm hydrogen line (depth < ~200 mK, z > 7.5), have imposed stringent new requirements on radiometer calibration. In this work, we present a framework for circuit modeling and parameter inference to strengthen these calibration pipelines. This new approach enables in situ characterization of otherwise immeasurable systematics using physically motivated models. A combination of frequentist and Bayesian techniques are employed in a pipeline that supports iterative modeling, robust parameter estimation, and detailed uncertainty quantification. The framework is applied to the REACH telescope, where the precise correction of variations in the radio signal paths arising from component aging or environmental effects is critical. Circuit models of REACH's calibration sources are developed, with the goal of predicting source temperature corrections that are conventionally obtained from laboratory measurements. By fitting the models to measured data using a convolutional cost function, a strong agreement with RMS residuals no worse than -37 dB is obtained. However, Bayesian inference reveals that the resulting temperature corrections can have uncertainties on the order of 1 to 2 K, caused by reflection coefficient degeneracies, measurement noise, and errors in the models. To combat this, posteriors obtained from laboratory measurements are employed as updated priors, reducing correction uncertainties down to 75 mK. Ultimately, the framework provides a means of dynamically accounting for drift in system non-idealities over time, addressing the increasing precision demands of global 21 cm radio astronomy.

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arXiv2025

Rapid and Late Cosmic Reionization Driven by Massive Galaxies: a Joint Analysis of Constraints from 21-cm, Lyman Line & CMB Data Sets

Observations of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) have the potential to answer long-standing questions of astrophysical interest regarding the nature of the first luminous sources and their effects on the intergalactic medium (IGM). We present astrophysical constraints from a Neural Density Estimation-Accelerated Bayesian joint analysis of constraints deriving from Cosmic Microwave Background power spectrum measurements from Planck and SPT, IGM neutral fraction measurements from Lyman-line-based data sets and 21-cm power spectrum upper limits from HERA, LOFAR and the MWA. In the context of the model employed, the data is found to be consistent with galaxies forming from predominantly atomic-cooled hydrogen gas in dark matter halos, with masses $M_\mathrm{min} \gtrsim 2.6 \times 10^{9}~M_{\odot} ((1+z)/10)^{\frac{1}{2}}$ at 95% credibility ($V_\mathrm{c} \gtrsim 50~\mathrm{km~s^{-1}}$) being the dominant galactic population driving reionization. These galaxies reionize the neutral hydrogen in the IGM over a narrow redshift interval ($\Delta z_\mathrm{re} < 1.8$ at 95% credibility), with the midpoint of reionization (when the sky-averaged IGM neutral fraction is 50%) constrained to $z_{50} = 7.16^{+0.15}_{-0.12}$. Given the parameter posteriors from our joint analysis, we find that the posterior predictive distribution of the global 21-cm signal is reduced in amplitude and shifted to lower redshifts relative to the model prior. We caution, however, that our inferences are model-dependent. Future work incorporating updated, mass-dependent star formation efficiencies in atomic cooling halos, informed by the latest UV luminosity function constraints from the James Webb Space Telescope, promises to refine these inferences further and enhance our understanding of cosmic reionization.

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arXiv2024

Bayesian data analysis for sky-averaged 21-cm experiments with contamination from linearly polarised foreground

The precise measurement of the sky-averaged HI absorption signal between 50 and 200 MHz is the primary goal of global 21-cm cosmology. This measurement has the potential to unravel the underlying physics of cosmic structure formation and evolution during the Cosmic Dawn. It is, however, hindered by various non-smooth, frequency-dependent effects, whose structures resemble those of the signal. One such effect is the leakage of polarised foregrounds into the measured intensity signal: polarised foreground emission undergoes Faraday rotation as it passes through the magnetic fields of the interstellar medium, imprinting a chromatic structure in the relevant frequency range which complicates the extraction of the cosmological HI absorption feature. We investigate the effect of polarised Galactic foregrounds on extracting the global 21-cm signal from simulated data using REACH's data analysis pipeline; the Radio Experiment for the Analysis of Cosmic Hydrogen (REACH) is an experiment designed to detect the sky-averaged 21-cm HI signal from the early Universe using physically informed models. Using the REACH pipeline, we successfully recover an injected global 21-cm signal with an amplitude of approximately 0.16 K, centred between 80 and 120 MHz, achieving a low root-mean-square error (less than 30\% of the injected signal strength) in all the tested cases. This includes scenarios with simulated polarised Galactic diffuse emissions and polarised point source emissions, provided the overall polarisation fraction is below $\sim 3\%$. The linear mixing of contamination, caused by the superposition of multiple patches with varying strengths of Faraday rotation, produces patterns that are more distinct from the global signal. This distinction makes global signal recovery easier compared to contamination resulting from a single, slow oscillation pattern.

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arXiv2024

Uncovering the Effects of Array Mutual Coupling in 21-cm Experiments with the SKA-Low Radio Telescope

We investigate the impact of Mutual Coupling (MC) between antennas on the time-delay power spectrum response of the core of the SKA-Low radio telescope. Using two in-house tools - Fast Array Simulation Tool (FAST) (a fast full-wave electromagnetic solver) and OSKAR (a GPU-accelerated radio telescope simulator) - we simulate station beams and compute visibilities for various array layouts (regular, sunflower, and random). Simulations are conducted in an Epoch of Reionisation subband between 120-150~MHz, with a fine frequency resolution of 100~kHz, enabling the investigation of longer delays. Our results show that MC effects significantly increase foreground leakage into longer delays, especially for regular station layouts. For 21-cm science, foreground spill-over into the 21-cm window extends beyond $k_{\parallel} \sim 2$~h$^{-1}$Mpc for all station layouts and across all $k_{\perp}$ modes, completely obscuring the detection window. We find that attempting to remove the foreground contribution from the visibilities using an approximated beam model, based on the average embedded element pattern or interpolating the embedded element patterns from a coarse channel rate of 781~kHz, results in residuals around 1% ($\sim 10^{11}~\mathrm{mK}^2$h$^{-3}\mathrm{Mpc}^3$) which is still around 7 orders of magnitude brighter than the expected level of the EoR signal ($\sim 10^{4}~\mathrm{mK}^2$h$^{-3}\mathrm{Mpc}^3$). We also find that station beam models with at least 4-5 significant digits in the far-field pattern and high spectral resolution are needed for effective foreground removal. Our research provides critical insights into the role of MC in SKA-Low experiments and highlights the computational challenges of fully integrating array patterns that account for MC effects into processing pipelines.

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arXiv2024

Impact of extragalactic point sources on the low-frequency sky spectrum and cosmic dawn global 21-cm measurements

Contribution of resolved and unresolved extragalactic point sources to the low-frequency sky spectrum is a potentially non-negligible part of the astrophysical foregrounds for cosmic dawn 21-cm experiments. The clustering of such point sources on the sky, combined with the frequency-dependence of the antenna beam, can also make this contribution chromatic. By combining low-frequency measurements of the luminosity function and the angular correlation function of extragalactic point sources, we develop a model for the contribution of these sources to the low-frequency sky spectrum. Using this model, we find that the contribution of sources with flux density $>10^{-6}\,$Jy to the sky-averaged spectrum is smooth and of the order of a few kelvins at 50--$200\,$MHz. We combine this model with measurements of the galactic foreground spectrum and weigh the resultant sky by the beam directivity of the conical log-spiral antenna planned as part of the Radio Experiment for the Analysis of Cosmic Hydrogen (REACH) project. We find that the contribution of point sources to the resultant spectrum is $\sim0.4\%$ of the total foregrounds, but still larger by at least an order of magnitude than the standard predictions for the cosmological 21-cm signal. As a result, not accounting for the point-source contribution leads to a systematic bias in 21-cm signal recovery. We show, however, that in the REACH case, this reconstruction bias can be removed by modelling the point-source contribution as a power law with a running spectral index. We make our code publicly available as a Python package labelled epspy.

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arXiv2024

Understanding spectral artefacts in SKA-LOW 21-cm cosmology experiments: the impact of cable reflections

The Cosmic Dawn was marked by the formation of the first stars, and preceded the Epoch of Reionization (EoR), when the Universe underwent a fundamental transformation caused by the radiation from these first stars and galaxies. Interferometric 21-cm experiments aim to probe redshifted neutral hydrogen signals from these periods, constraining the conditions of the early Universe. The SKA-Low instrument of the Square Kilometre Array (SKA) is envisaged to be the largest and most sensitive radio telescope at metre and centimetre wavelengths. The latest Aperture Array Verification Systems feature 7-m coaxial transmission lines connecting the low noise amplifiers to optical transmitters at the front of the analogue-receiving chain. An impedance mismatch between these components results in a partially reflected electromagnetic signal, introducing chromatic aberrations into the instrument bandpass. This causes power from the foreground signals to appear at higher delays, potentially contaminating the 'EoR window', a region in which the 21-cm signal should be detectable. We present an end-to-end simulation pipeline for SKA-Low using a composite sky model combining radio foregrounds from the Galactic and Extragalactic All-Sky MWA (GLEAM) Survey, Haslam $408\,$MHz, and a 1.5-cGpc 21-cm brightness temperature cube generated with the 21cmSPACE simulator. We derive a model for the scattering parameters of a coaxial transmission line in terms of its specifications and bulk material properties. Assuming identical cables of length $\leq 15.0\,$m with impedance mismatch $\leq 10\, \Omega$, the reflection is confined below the EoR window. However, we demonstrate that even a 0.1 per cent length tolerance introduces contamination with an absolute fractional difference of $\sim 10$ per cent across all accessible k-modes.

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arXiv2023

FlexKnot as a Generalised Model of the Sky-averaged 21-cm Signal at z ~ 6-30 in the Presence of Systematics

Global 21-cm experiments are built to study the evolution of the Universe between the cosmic dawn and the epoch of reionisation. FlexKnot is a function parameterised by freely moving knots stringed together by splines. Adopting the FlexKnot function as the signal model has the potential to separate the global 21-cm signal from the foregrounds and systematics while being capable of recovering the crucial features given by theoretical predictions. In this paper, we implement the FlexKnot method by integrating twice over a function of freely moving knots interpolated linearly. The function is also constrained at the lower frequencies corresponding to the dark ages by theoretical values. The FlexKnot model is tested in the framework of the realistic data analysis pipeline of the REACH global signal experiment using simulated antenna temperature data. We demonstrate that the FlexKnot model performs better than existing signal models, e.g. the Gaussian signal model, at reconstructing the shape of the true signals present in the simulated REACH data, especially for injected signals with complex structures. The capabilities of the FlexKnot signal model is also tested by introducing various systematics and simulated global signals of different types. These tests show that four to five knots are sufficient to recover the general shape of most realistic injected signals, with or without sinusoidal systematics. We show that true signals whose absorption trough of amplitude between 120 to 450 mK can be well recovered with systematics up to about 50 mK.

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arXiv2023

Enhanced Bayesian RFI Mitigation and Transient Flagging Using Likelihood Reweighting

Contamination by Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) is a ubiquitous challenge for radio astronomy. In particular, transient RFI is difficult to detect and avoid, especially in large data sets with many time bins. In this work, we present a Bayesian methodology for time-dependent, transient anomaly mitigation. In general, the computation time for correcting for transient anomalies in time-separated data sets grows proportionally with the number of time bins. We demonstrate that utilising likelihood reweighting can allow our Bayesian anomaly mitigation method to be performed with a computation time close to independent of the number of time bins. In particular, we identify a factor of 25 improvement in computation time for a test case with 2000 time bins. We also demonstrate how this method enables the flagging threshold to be fit for as a free parameter, fully automating the mitigation process. We find that this threshold fitting also prevents overcorrecting of the data in the case of wide priors. Finally, we investigate the potential of the methodology as a transient detector. We demonstrate that the method is able to reliably flag an individual anomalous data point out of 302,000 provided the SNR > 10.

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arXiv2023

Use of Time Dependent Data in Bayesian Global 21cm Foreground and Signal Modelling

Global 21cm cosmology aims to investigate the cosmic dawn and epoch of reionisation by measuring the sky averaged HI absorption signal, which requires, accurate modelling of, or correction for, the bright radio foregrounds and distortions arising from chromaticity of the antenna beam. We investigate the effect of improving foreground modelling by fitting data sets from many observation times simultaneously in a single Bayesian analysis, fitting for the same parameter set by performing these fits on simulated data. We find that for a hexagonal dipole antenna, this simultaneous fitting produces a significant improvement in the accuracy of the recovered 21cm signal, relative to fitting a time average of the data. Furthermore, the recovered models of the foreground are also seen to become more accurate by up to a factor of $\sim$2-3 relative to time averaged fitting. For a less chromatic log spiral antenna, no significant improvement in signal recovery was found by this process. However, the modelling of the foregrounds was still significantly improved. We also investigate extending this technique to fit multiple data sets from different antennae simultaneously for the same parameters. This is also found to improve both 21cm signal and foreground modelling, to a higher degree than fitting data set from multiple times from the same antenna.

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arXiv2022

A General Bayesian Framework to Account for Foreground Map Errors in Global 21-cm Experiments

Measurement of the global 21-cm signal during Cosmic Dawn (CD) and the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) is made difficult by bright foreground emission which is 2-5 orders of magnitude larger than the expected signal. Fitting for a physics-motivated parametric forward model of the data within a Bayesian framework provides a robust means to separate the signal from the foregrounds, given sufficient information about the instrument and sky. It has previously been demonstrated that, within such a modelling framework, a foreground model of sufficient fidelity can be generated by dividing the sky into $N$ regions and scaling a base map assuming a distinct uniform spectral index in each region. Using the Radio Experiment for the Analysis of Cosmic Hydrogen (REACH) as our fiducial instrument, we show that, if unaccounted-for, amplitude errors in low-frequency radio maps used for our base map model will prevent recovery of the 21-cm signal within this framework, and that the level of bias in the recovered 21-cm signal is proportional to the amplitude and the correlation length of the base-map errors in the region. We introduce an updated foreground model that is capable of accounting for these measurement errors by fitting for a monopole offset and a set of spatially-dependent scale factors describing the ratio of the true and model sky temperatures, with the size of the set determined by Bayesian evidence-based model comparison. We show that our model is flexible enough to account for multiple foreground error scenarios allowing the 21-cm sky-averaged signal to be detected without bias from simulated observations with a smooth conical log spiral antenna.

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arXiv2022

Bayesian Data Analysis for Sky-averaged 21-cm Experiments in the Presence of Ionospheric Effects

The ionosphere introduces chromatic distortions on low frequency radio waves, and thus poses a hurdle for 21-cm cosmology. In this paper we introduce time-varying chromatic ionospheric effects on simulated antenna temperature data of a global 21-cm data analysis pipeline, and try to detect the injected global signal. We demonstrate that given turbulent ionospheric conditions, more than 5\% error in our knowledge of the ionospheric parameters could lead to comparatively low evidence and high root-mean-square error (RMSE), suggesting a false or null detection. When using a constant antenna beam for cases that include data at different times, the significance of the detection lowers as the number of time samples increases. It is also shown that for observations that include data at different times, readjusting beam configurations according to the time-varying ionospheric conditions should greatly improve the significance of a detection, yielding higher evidences and lower RMSE, and that it is a necessary procedure for a successful detection when the ionospheric conditions are not ideal.

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arXiv2021

A General Bayesian Framework for Foreground Modelling and Chromaticity Correction for Global 21cm Experiments

The HI 21cm absorption line is masked by bright foregrounds and systematic distortions that arise due to the chromaticity of the antenna used to make the observation coupling to the spectral inhomogeneity of these foregrounds. We demonstrate that these distortions are sufficient to conceal the 21cm signal when the antenna is not perfectly achromatic and that simple corrections assuming a constant spatial distribution of foreground power are insufficient to overcome them. We then propose a new physics-motivated method of modelling the foregrounds of 21cm experiments in order to fit the chromatic distortions as part of the foregrounds. This is done by generating a simulated sky model across the observing band by dividing the sky into $N$ regions and scaling a base map assuming a distinct uniform spectral index in each region. The resulting sky map can then be convolved with a model of the antenna beam to give a model of foregrounds and chromaticity parameterised by the spectral indices of the $N$ regions. We demonstrate that fitting this model for varying $N$ using a Bayesian nested sampling algorithm and comparing the results using the evidence allows the 21cm signal to be reliably detected in data of a relatively smooth conical log spiral antenna. We also test a much more chromatic conical sinuous antenna and find this model will not produce a reliable signal detection, but in a manner that is easily distinguishable from a true detection.

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