Dominik Poß | Searcharxiv

arXiv2020

Super-Consistent Estimation of Points of Impact in Nonparametric Regression with Functional Predictors

Predicting scalar outcomes using functional predictors is a classic problem in functional data analysis. In many applications, however, only specific locations or time-points of the functional predictors have an impact on the outcome. Such ``points of impact'' are typically unknown and have to be estimated in addition to estimating the usual model components. We show that our points of impact estimator enjoys a super-consistent convergence rate and does not require knowledge or pre-estimates of the unknown model components. This remarkable result facilitates the subsequent estimation of the remaining model components as shown in the theoretical part, where we consider the case of nonparametric models and the practically relevant case of generalized linear models. The finite sample properties of our estimators are assessed by means of a simulation study. Our methodology is motivated by data from a psychological experiment in which the participants were asked to continuously rate their emotional state while watching an affective video eliciting a varying intensity of emotional reactions.

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arXiv2016

Functional linear regression with points of impact

The paper considers functional linear regression, where scalar responses $Y_1,\ldots,Y_n$ are modeled in dependence of i.i.d. random functions $X_1,\ldots,X_n$. We study a generalization of the classical functional linear regression model. It is assumed that there exists an unknown number of "points of impact," that is, discrete observation times where the corresponding functional values possess significant influences on the response variable. In addition to estimating a functional slope parameter, the problem then is to determine the number and locations of points of impact as well as corresponding regression coefficients. Identifiability of the generalized model is considered in detail. It is shown that points of impact are identifiable if the underlying process generating $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ possesses "specific local variation." Examples are well-known processes like the Brownian motion, fractional Brownian motion or the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The paper then proposes an easily implementable method for estimating the number and locations of points of impact. It is shown that this number can be estimated consistently. Furthermore, rates of convergence for location estimates, regression coefficients and the slope parameter are derived. Finally, some simulation results as well as a real data application are presented.

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