arXiv subjects

Domniki Asimaki

Publications and source records attributed to Domniki Asimaki.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Scalable Gaussian Process for Learning Non-Ergodic Ground Motion Model from Physics-Based Simulations with Application to Power Infrastructure Assessment

This study presents the development and application of a scalable non-ergodic ground motion model (NGMM) for the Los Angeles area. The NGMM is trained and validated on physics-based simulated ground-motion data from a recent Statewide California Earthquake Center (SCEC) CyberShake study. The NGMM is formulated as a Gaussian Process (GP) regression model, where the prior median is defined as the ASK14 ergodic ground-motion model and the posterior median is obtained by learning the non-ergodic effects embedded in the training data. These non-ergodic effects include systematic site and path effects, which are represented in the GP using Matérn and specialized covariance kernels that explicitly characterize path vectors. Implementing the NGMM requires hyperparameter tuning and inference on large datasets (on the order of one million data points or more), posing significant computational challenges for conventional GP approaches. To address this scalability issue, this paper presents a suite of computational strategies, including sparse Cholesky inversion, parallel computing, GPU acceleration, and stochastic gradient descent minimization. Despite these advances, the full CyberShake dataset (on the order of hundreds of millions of data points) remains computationally prohibitive. Therefore, aleatory variability is modeled separately using a mixed-effects formulation to represent within-event and between-event variability. The developed NGMM has two primary applications: interpolation of partially observed ground-motion fields and predictive modeling for ground motions in unobserved earthquake scenarios. Validation results on independent datasets demonstrate accurate performance in both applications. A case study of power transmission network assessment in an Mw 6.7 Puente Hill scenario further demonstrated that the developed NGMM closely reproduces physics-based simulation results.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2026

Large-Scale 3D Ground-Motion Synthesis with Physics-Inspired Latent Operator Flow Matching

Earthquake hazard analysis and design of spatially distributed infrastructure, such as power grids and energy pipeline networks, require scenario-specific ground-motion time histories with realistic frequency content and spatiotemporal coherence. However, producing the large ensembles needed for uncertainty quantification with physics-based simulations is computationally intensive and impractical for engineering workflows. To address this challenge, we introduce Ground-Motion Flow (GMFlow), a physics-inspired latent operator flow matching framework that generates realistic, large-scale regional ground-motion time-histories conditioned on physical parameters. Validated on simulated earthquake scenarios in the San Francisco Bay Area, GMFlow generates spatially coherent ground motion across more than 9 million grid points in seconds, achieving a 10,000-fold speedup over the simulation workflow, which opens a path toward rapid and uncertainty-aware hazard assessment for distributed infrastructure. More broadly, GMFlow advances mesh-agnostic functional generative modeling and could potentially be extended to the synthesis of large-scale spatiotemporal physical fields in diverse scientific domains.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Mesh-Informed Neural Operator : A Transformer Generative Approach

Generative models in function spaces, situated at the intersection of generative modeling and operator learning, are attracting increasing attention due to their immense potential in diverse scientific and engineering applications. While functional generative models are theoretically domain- and discretization-agnostic, current implementations heavily rely on the Fourier Neural Operator (FNO), limiting their applicability to regular grids and rectangular domains. To overcome these critical limitations, we introduce the Mesh-Informed Neural Operator (MINO). By leveraging graph neural operators and cross-attention mechanisms, MINO offers a principled, domain- and discretization-agnostic backbone for generative modeling in function spaces. This advancement significantly expands the scope of such models to more diverse applications in generative, inverse, and regression tasks. Furthermore, MINO provides a unified perspective on integrating neural operators with general advanced deep learning architectures. Finally, we introduce a suite of standardized evaluation metrics that enable objective comparison of functional generative models, addressing another critical gap in the field.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Stochastic Process Learning via Operator Flow Matching

Expanding on neural operators, we propose a novel framework for stochastic process learning across arbitrary domains. In particular, we develop operator flow matching (OFM) for learning stochastic process priors on function spaces. OFM provides the probability density of the values of any collection of points and enables mathematically tractable functional regression at new points with mean and density estimation. Our method outperforms state-of-the-art models in stochastic process learning, functional regression, and prior learning.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Data-driven Characterization of Near-Surface Velocity in the San Francisco Bay Area: A Stationary and Spatially Varying Approach

This study presents the development of two new sedimentary velocity models for the San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA) to improve the near-surface representation of shear-wave velocity ($V_S$) for large-scale, broadband numerical simulations, with the ultimate goal of enhancing the representation of the sedimentary layers in the Bay Area community velocity model. The first velocity model is stationary and is based solely on $V_{S30}$; the second velocity model is spatially varying and has location-specific adjustments. They were developed using a dataset of 200 measured $V_S$ profiles. Both models were formulated within a hierarchical Bayesian framework, using a parameterization that ensures robust scaling. The spatially varying model includes a slope adjustment term modeled as a Gaussian process to capture site-specific effects based on location. Residual analysis shows that both models are unbiased for $V_S$ values up to 1000 m/sec. Along-depth variability models were also developed using within-profile residuals. The proposed models show higher $V_S$ in the San Jose area and Livermore Valley compared to the USGS Bay Area community velocity model by a factor of two or more in some cases. Goodness-of-fit (GOF) comparisons using one-dimensional linear site-response analysis at selected sites demonstrate that the proposed models outperform the USGS model in capturing near-surface amplification across a broad frequency range. Incorporating along-depth variability further improves the GOF scores by reducing over-amplification at high frequencies. These results underscore the importance of integrating data-driven models of the shallow crust, like the ones presented here, in coarser regional community velocity models to enhance regional seismic hazard assessments.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2024

Broadband Ground Motion Synthesis via Generative Adversarial Neural Operators: Development and Validation

We present a data-driven framework for ground-motion synthesis that generates three-component acceleration time histories conditioned on moment magnitude, rupture distance , time-average shear-wave velocity at the top $30m$ ($V_{S30}$), and style of faulting. We use a Generative Adversarial Neural Operator (GANO), a resolution invariant architecture that guarantees model training independent of the data sampling frequency. We first present the conditional ground-motion synthesis algorithm (cGM-GANO) and discuss its advantages compared to previous work. We next train cGM-GANO on simulated ground motions generated by the Southern California Earthquake Center Broadband Platform (BBP) and on recorded KiK-net data and show that the model can learn the overall magnitude, distance, and $V_{S30}$ scaling of effective amplitude spectra (EAS) ordinates and pseudo-spectral accelerations (PSA). Results specifically show that cGM-GANO produces consistent median scaling with the training data for the corresponding tectonic environments over a wide range of frequencies for scenarios with sufficient data coverage. For the BBP dataset, cGM-GANO cannot learn the ground motion scaling of the stochastic frequency components; for the KiK-net dataset, the largest misfit is observed at short distances and for soft soil conditions due to the scarcity of such data. Except for these conditions, the aleatory variability of EAS and PSA are captured reasonably well. Lastly, cGM-GANO produces similar median scaling to traditional GMMs for frequencies greater than 1Hz for both PSA and EAS but underestimates the aleatory variability of EAS. Discrepancies in the comparisons between the synthetic ground motions and GMMs are attributed to inconsistencies between the training dataset and the datasets used in GMM development. Our pilot study demonstrates GANO's potential for efficient synthesis of broad-band ground motions

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2020

Data-driven Accelerogram Synthesis using Deep Generative Models

Robust estimation of ground motions generated by scenario earthquakes is critical for many engineering applications. We leverage recent advances in Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to develop a new framework for synthesizing earthquake acceleration time histories. Our approach extends the Wasserstein GAN formulation to allow for the generation of ground-motions conditioned on a set of continuous physical variables. Our model is trained to approximate the intrinsic probability distribution of a massive set of strong-motion recordings from Japan. We show that the trained generator model can synthesize realistic 3-Component accelerograms conditioned on magnitude, distance, and $V_{s30}$. Our model captures the expected statistical features of the acceleration spectra and waveform envelopes. The output seismograms display clear P and S-wave arrivals with the appropriate energy content and relative onset timing. The synthesized Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) estimates are also consistent with observations. We develop a set of metrics that allow us to assess the training process's stability and tune model hyperparameters. We further show that the trained generator network can interpolate to conditions where no earthquake ground motion recordings exist. Our approach allows the on-demand synthesis of accelerograms for engineering purposes.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2020

Site characterization at downhole arrays by joint inversion of dispersion data and acceleration time series

We present a sequential data assimilation algorithm based on the ensemble Kalman inversion to estimate the near-surface shear wave velocity profile and damping when heterogeneous data and a priori information that can be represented in forms of (physical) equality and inequality constraints in the inverse problem are available. Although non-invasive methods, such as surface wave testing, are efficient and cost effective methods for inferring Vs profile, one should acknowledge that site characterization using inverse analyses can yield erroneous results associated with the inverse problem non-uniqueness. One viable solution to alleviate the inverse problem ill-posedness is to enrich the prior knowledge and/or the data space with complementary observations. In the case of non-invasive methods, the pertinent data are the dispersion curve of surface waves, typically resolved by means of active source methods at high frequencies and passive methods at low frequencies. To improve the inverse problem well-posedness, horizontal to vertical spectral ratio (HVSR) data are commonly used jointly with the dispersion data in the inversion. In this paper, we show that the joint inversion of dispersion and strong motion downhole array data can also reduce the margins of uncertainty in the Vs profile estimation. This is because acceleration time-series recorded at downhole arrays include both body and surface waves and therefore can enrich the observational data space in the inverse problem setting. We also show how the proposed algorithm can be modified to systematically incorporate physical constraints that further enhance its well-posedness. We use both synthetic and real data to examine the performance of the proposed framework in estimation of Vs profile and damping at the Garner Valley downhole array, and compare them against the Vs estimations in previous studies.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2018

Basin Effects in Strong Ground Motion: A Case Study from the 2015 Gorkha, Nepal Earthquake

The term "basin effects" refers to entrapment and reverberation of earthquake waves in soft sedimentary deposits underlain by concave basement rock structures. Basin effects can significantly affect the amplitude, frequency and duration of strong ground motion, while the cone-like geometry of the basin edges gives rise to large amplitude surface waves through seismic wave diffraction and energy focusing, a well-known characteristic of basin effects. In this research, we study the role of basin effects in the mainshock ground motion data recorded at the Kathmandu basin, Nepal during the 2015 Mw7.8 Gorkha earthquake sequence. We specifically try to understand the source of the unusual low frequency reverberating pulse that appeared systematically across the basin, and the unexpected depletion of the ground surface motions from high frequency components, especially away from the basin edges. In order to do that we study the response of a 2D cross section of Kathmandu basin subjected to vertically propagating plane SV waves. Despite the scarcity of geotechnical information and of strong ground motion recordings, we show that an idealized plane-strain elastic model with a simplified layered velocity structure can capture surprisingly well the low frequency components of the basin ground response. We finally couple the 2D elastic simulation with a 1D nonlinear analysis of the shallow basin sediments. The 1D nonlinear approximation shows improved performance over a larger frequency range relative to the first order approximation of a 2D elastic layered basin response.

physics.geo-ph↗