arXiv subjects

Donato Maragno

Publications and source records attributed to Donato Maragno.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Learning-Augmented Optimization for Strategic Two-Echelon Spare Parts Network Design

We study the strategic design of a two-echelon spare-parts inventory network where evaluating each candidate topology requires an expensive inventory optimization model. The design partitions hundreds of sites into feasible clusters and selects a central replenishment site for each cluster to reduce costs while maintaining service levels. Because the optimizer favors candidates with high predicted savings, it can exploit optimistic surrogate errors. We develop a conservative framework combining a graph neural network ensemble, variable neighborhood search, and set-partitioning recombination. The surrogate is trained on exact cluster evaluations, while a lower quantile of ensemble-predicted savings guides the search to limit optimism. Clusters found during the search are recombined through set partitioning using surrogate-based objective coefficients. The resulting network is evaluated with the exact inventory model, and only this evaluation is used to report performance. In a case study of 246 fulfillment centers in Amazon's North American network, the framework improves combined savings by 30.5% over an optimization baseline based entirely on exact cluster evaluations, while maintaining approximately 99.8% service across six independent replications. Under equal computational budgets, graph-surrogate-guided search achieves higher mean exact savings than a tabular alternative under both scoring schemes. Conservative scoring improves mean savings for both surrogate classes and reduces the share of final-network clusters overestimated by the graph surrogate from 68% to 28%. Predictive and ranking accuracy deteriorate among search-generated candidates with high surrogate scores, indicating that random holdout performance can incompletely characterize surrogate quality during optimization.

math.OC↗

arXiv2026

Output-Constrained Decision Trees

Incorporating domain-specific constraints into machine learning models is essential for generating predictions that are both accurate and feasible in real-world applications. This paper introduces new methods for training Output-Constrained Regression Trees (OCRT), addressing the limitations of traditional decision trees in constrained multi-target regression tasks. We propose three approaches: M-OCRT, which uses split-based mixed integer programming to enforce constraints; E-OCRT, which employs an exhaustive search for optimal splits and solves constrained prediction problems at each decision node; and EP-OCRT, which applies post-hoc constrained optimization to tree predictions. To illustrate their potential uses in ensemble learning, we also introduce a random forest framework working under convex feasible sets. We validate the proposed methods through a computational study both on synthetic and industry-driven hierarchical time series datasets. Our results demonstrate that imposing constraints on decision tree training results in accurate and feasible predictions.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

From Large Language Models and Optimization to Decision Optimization CoPilot: A Research Manifesto

Significantly simplifying the creation of optimization models for real-world business problems has long been a major goal in applying mathematical optimization more widely to important business and societal decisions. The recent capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) present a timely opportunity to achieve this goal. Therefore, we propose research at the intersection of LLMs and optimization to create a Decision Optimization CoPilot (DOCP) - an AI tool designed to assist any decision maker, interacting in natural language to grasp the business problem, subsequently formulating and solving the corresponding optimization model. This paper outlines our DOCP vision and identifies several fundamental requirements for its implementation. We describe the state of the art through a literature survey and experiments using ChatGPT. We show that a) LLMs already provide substantial novel capabilities relevant to a DOCP, and b) major research challenges remain to be addressed. We also propose possible research directions to overcome these gaps. We also see this work as a call to action to bring together the LLM and optimization communities to pursue our vision, thereby enabling much more widespread improved decision-making.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2023

Mixed-Integer Optimization with Constraint Learning

We establish a broad methodological foundation for mixed-integer optimization with learned constraints. We propose an end-to-end pipeline for data-driven decision making in which constraints and objectives are directly learned from data using machine learning, and the trained models are embedded in an optimization formulation. We exploit the mixed-integer optimization-representability of many machine learning methods, including linear models, decision trees, ensembles, and multi-layer perceptrons, which allows us to capture various underlying relationships between decisions, contextual variables, and outcomes. We also introduce two approaches for handling the inherent uncertainty of learning from data. First, we characterize a decision trust region using the convex hull of the observations, to ensure credible recommendations and avoid extrapolation. We efficiently incorporate this representation using column generation and propose a more flexible formulation to deal with low-density regions and high-dimensional datasets. Then, we propose an ensemble learning approach that enforces constraint satisfaction over multiple bootstrapped estimators or multiple algorithms. In combination with domain-driven components, the embedded models and trust region define a mixed-integer optimization problem for prescription generation. We implement this framework as a Python package (OptiCL) for practitioners. We demonstrate the method in both World Food Programme planning and chemotherapy optimization. The case studies illustrate the framework's ability to generate high-quality prescriptions as well as the value added by the trust region, the use of ensembles to control model robustness, the consideration of multiple machine learning methods, and the inclusion of multiple learned constraints.

math.OC↗

arXiv2023

Finding Regions of Counterfactual Explanations via Robust Optimization

Counterfactual explanations play an important role in detecting bias and improving the explainability of data-driven classification models. A counterfactual explanation (CE) is a minimal perturbed data point for which the decision of the model changes. Most of the existing methods can only provide one CE, which may not be achievable for the user. In this work we derive an iterative method to calculate robust CEs, i.e. CEs that remain valid even after the features are slightly perturbed. To this end, our method provides a whole region of CEs allowing the user to choose a suitable recourse to obtain a desired outcome. We use algorithmic ideas from robust optimization and prove convergence results for the most common machine learning methods including logistic regression, decision trees, random forests, and neural networks. Our experiments show that our method can efficiently generate globally optimal robust CEs for a variety of common data sets and classification models.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Counterfactual Explanations Using Optimization With Constraint Learning

To increase the adoption of counterfactual explanations in practice, several criteria that these should adhere to have been put forward in the literature. We propose counterfactual explanations using optimization with constraint learning (CE-OCL), a generic and flexible approach that addresses all these criteria and allows room for further extensions. Specifically, we discuss how we can leverage an optimization with constraint learning framework for the generation of counterfactual explanations, and how components of this framework readily map to the criteria. We also propose two novel modeling approaches to address data manifold closeness and diversity, which are two key criteria for practical counterfactual explanations. We test CE-OCL on several datasets and present our results in a case study. Compared against the current state-of-the-art methods, CE-OCL allows for more flexibility and has an overall superior performance in terms of several evaluation metrics proposed in related work.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Optimization with Constraint Learning: A Framework and Survey

Many real-life optimization problems frequently contain one or more constraints or objectives for which there are no explicit formulas. If data is however available, these data can be used to learn the constraints. The benefits of this approach are clearly seen, however there is a need for this process to be carried out in a structured manner. This paper therefore provides a framework for Optimization with Constraint Learning (OCL) which we believe will help to formalize and direct the process of learning constraints from data. This framework includes the following steps: (i) setup of the conceptual optimization model, (ii) data gathering and preprocessing, (iii) selection and training of predictive models, (iv) resolution of the optimization model, and (v) verification and improvement of the optimization model. We then review the recent OCL literature in light of this framework, and highlight current trends, as well as areas for future research.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Learn Global and Optimize Local: A Data-Driven Methodology for Last-Mile Routing

In last-mile routing, the task of finding a route is often framed as a Traveling Salesman Problem to minimize travel time and associated cost. However, solutions stemming from this approach do not match the realized paths as drivers deviate due to navigational considerations and preferences. To prescribe routes that incorporate this tacit knowledge, a data-driven model is proposed that aligns well with the hierarchical structure of delivery data wherein each stop belongs to a zone - a geographical area. First, on the global level, a zone sequence is established as a result of a minimization over a cost matrix which is a weighted combination of historical information and distances (travel times) between zones. Subsequently, within zones, sequences of stops are determined, such that, integrated with the predetermined zone sequence, a full solution is obtained. The methodology is particularly promising as it propels itself within the top-tier of submissions to the Last-Mile Routing Research Challenge, while it maintains an elegant decomposition that ensures a feasible implementation into practice. The concurrence between prescribed and realized routes underpins the adequateness of a hierarchical breakdown of the problem and the fact that drivers make a series of locally optimal decisions when navigating. Furthermore, experimenting with the balance between historical information and distance exposes that historic information is pivotal in deciding a starting zone of a route. The experiments also reveal that at the end of a route, historical information can best be discarded, making the time it takes to return to the station the primary concern.

math.OC↗