Does Eternal Inflation Violate the Smeared Null Energy Condition?
The smeared null energy condition (SNEC) imposes a semilocal bound on the negative energy accumulated along null geodesics. In eternal inflation, rare stochastic upward fluctuations of the inflaton locally increase the Hubble parameter, creating an apparent tension with the SNEC. Focusing on a canonical single-field model, we investigate whether this quantum-induced self-reproduction violates the SNEC. Using the Fokker-Planck equation, we demonstrate that the ensemble drift of the Hubble parameter is parametrically bounded by slow-roll parameters and semiclassical suppression. Furthermore, a complementary single-trajectory analysis reveals a strong timescale hierarchy, $N_{\rm SNEC} \gg N_{\rm BR}$. This indicates that even for rare upward stochastic excursions, gravitational backreaction invalidates the background spacetime assumption long before the SNEC bound can be mathematically approached. We conclude that while standard stochastic diffusion drives eternal inflation, it does not inherently lead to SNEC violations within the semiclassical slow-roll regime.