arXiv subjects

Dragan Huterer

Publications and source records attributed to Dragan Huterer.

At least 145 records · Page 8Linked to original sources

arXiv2005

Systematic Errors in Future Weak Lensing Surveys: Requirements and Prospects for Self-Calibration

We study the impact of systematic errors on planned weak lensing surveys and compute the requirements on their contributions so that they are not a dominant source of the cosmological parameter error budget. The generic types of error we consider are multiplicative and additive errors in measurements of shear, as well as photometric redshift errors. In general, more powerful surveys have stronger systematic requirements. For example, for a SNAP-type survey the multiplicative error in shear needs to be smaller than 1%(fsky/0.025)^{-1/2} of the mean shear in any given redshift bin, while the centroids of photometric redshift bins need to be known to better than 0.003(fsky/0.025)^{-1/2}. With about a factor of two degradation in cosmological parameter errors, future surveys can enter a self-calibration regime, where the mean systematic biases are self-consistently determined from the survey and only higher-order moments of the systematics contribute. Interestingly, once the power spectrum measurements are combined with the bispectrum, the self-calibration regime in the variation of the equation of state of dark energy w_a is attained with only a 20-30% error degradation.

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arXiv2005

Calibrating the Nonlinear Matter Power Spectrum: Requirements for Future Weak Lensing Surveys

Uncertainties in predicting the nonlinear clustering of matter are among the most serious theoretical systematics facing the upcoming wide-field weak gravitational lensing surveys. We estimate the accuracy with which the matter power spectrum will need to be calibrated in order not to contribute appreciably to the error budget for future weak lensing surveys. We consider the random statistical errors and the systematic biases in P(k), as well as some estimates based on current N-body simulations. While the power spectrum on relevant scales (0.1 < k/h Mpc^{-1} < 10) is currently calibrated with N-body simulations to about 5-10%, in the future it will have to be calibrated to about 1-2% accuracy, depending on the specifications of the survey. Encouragingly, we find that even the worst-case error that mimics the effect of cosmological parameters needs to be calibrated to no better than about 0.5-1%. These goals require a suite of high resolution N-body simulations on a relatively fine grid in cosmological parameter space, and should be achievable in the near future.

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arXiv2005

How many dark energy parameters?

For exploring the physics behind the accelerating universe a crucial question is how much we can learn about the dynamics through next generation cosmological experiments. For example, in defining the dark energy behavior through an effective equation of state, how many parameters can we realistically expect to tightly constrain? Through both general and specific examples (including new parametrizations and principal component analysis) we argue that the answer is 42 - no, wait, two. Cosmological parameter analyses involving a measure of the equation of state value at some epoch (e.g. w_0) and a measure of the change in equation of state (e.g. w') are therefore realistic in projecting dark energy parameter constraints. More elaborate parametrizations could have some uses (e.g. testing for bias or comparison with model features), but do not lead to accurately measured dark energy parameters.

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arXiv2005

Effects of Ellipticity and Shear on Gravitational Lens Statistics

We study the effects of ellipticity in lens galaxies and external tidal shear from neighboring objects on the statistics of strong gravitational lenses. For isothermal lens galaxies normalized so that the Einstein radius is independent of ellipticity and shear, ellipticity {\it reduces} the lensing cross section slightly, and shear leaves it unchanged. Ellipticity and shear can significantly enhance the magnification bias, but only if the luminosity function of background sources is steep. Realistic distributions of ellipticity and shear {\it lower} the total optical depth by a few percent for most source luminosity functions, and increase the optical depth only for steep luminosity functions. The boost in the optical depth is noticeable (>5%) only for surveys limited to the brightest quasars (L/L_* > 10). Ellipticity and shear broaden the distribution of lens image separations but do not affect the mean. Ellipticity and shear naturally increase the abundance of quadruple lenses relative to double lenses, especially for steep source luminosity functions, but the effect is not enough (by itself) to explain the observed quadruple-to-double ratio. With such small changes to the optical depth and image separation distribution, ellipticity and shear have a small effect on cosmological constraints from lens statistics: neglecting the two leads to biases of just Delta Omega_M = 0.00 \pm 0.01 and Delta Omega_Lambda = -0.02 \pm 0.01 (where the errorbars represent statistical uncertainties in our calculations).

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arXiv2004

Is the low-l microwave background cosmic?

The large-angle (low-l) correlations of the Cosmic Microwave Background exhibit several statistically significant anomalies compared to the standard inflationary big-bang model, however no connection has hitherto been drawn between them. Here we show that the quadrupole and octopole are far more correlated (99.97% C.L.) than previously thought. The quadrupole plane and the three octopole planes are remarkably aligned. Three of these planes are orthogonal to the ecliptic at a level inconsistent with gaussian random statistically isotropic skies at 99.8% C.L., and the normals to these planes are aligned at 99.9% C.L. with the direction of the cosmological dipole and with the equinoxes. The remaining octopole plane is orthogonal to the supergalactic plane at >99.9% C.L. In a combined quadrupole-octopole map, the ecliptic plane narrowly threads between a hot spot and a cold spot over approximately 1/3 of the sky, and separates the three strongest extrema (in the south ecliptic hemisphere) from the three weakest extrema (in the north ecliptic hemisphere).

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arXiv2004

Distribution of Singularities in the Cosmic Microwave Background Polarization

The polarization of the cosmic microwave background radiation will have a distribution of singularities and anti-singularities, points where the polarization vanishes for topological reasons. The statistics of polarization singularities provides a non-trivial scheme to analyze the polarization maps that is distinct from the usual two-point correlation functions. Here we characterize the statistics of the singularity distribution in simulated polarization maps, and make predictions that can be compared with ongoing and upcoming observations. We use three different characterizations: the nearest neighbor distance between singularities, the critical exponent νthat captures the scaling of total charge q within a closed curve of length L (q \propto L^ν), and the angular two point angular correlation functions for singularities of similar and opposite charge. In general, we find that the distribution of singularities is random except on scales less than about 10 deg, where singularities of the same charge repel and those of opposite charge attract. These conclusions appear to be extremely robust with respect to variations in the underlying cosmological model and the presence of non-Gaussianity; the only exception we found are cases where statistical isotropy is grossly violated. This suggests that, within the assumption of statistical isotropy, the distribution is a robust feature of the last scattering surface and potentially may be used as a tool to discriminate effects that occur during photon propagation from the last scattering surface to the present epoch.

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arXiv2004

Uncorrelated Estimates of Dark Energy Evolution

Type Ia supernova data have recently become strong enough to enable, for the first time, constraints on the time variation of the dark energy density and its equation of state. Most analyses, however, are using simple two or three-parameter descriptions of the dark energy evolution, since it is well known that allowing more degrees of freedom introduces serious degeneracies. Here we present a method to produce uncorrelated and nearly model-independent band power estimates of the equation of state of dark energy and its density as a function of redshift. We apply the method to recently compiled supernova data. Our results are consistent with the cosmological constant scenario, in agreement with other analyses that use traditional parameterizations, though we find marginal (2-sigma) evidence for w(z) < -1 at z < 0.2. In addition to easy interpretation, uncorrelated, localized band powers allow intuitive and powerful testing of the constancy of either the energy density or equation of state. While we have used relatively coarse redshift binning suitable for the current set of about 150 supernovae, this approach should reach its full potential in the future, when applied to thousands of supernovae found from ground and space, combined with complementary information from other cosmological probes.

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arXiv2004

Redshift Accuracy Requirements for Future Supernova and Number Count Surveys

We investigate the required redshift accuracy of type Ia supernova and cluster number-count surveys in order for the redshift uncertainties not to contribute appreciably to the dark energy parameter error budget. For the SNAP supernova experiment, we find that, without the assistance of ground-based measurements, individual supernova redshifts would need to be determined to about 0.002 or better, which is a challenging but feasible requirement for a low-resolution spectrograph. However, we find that accurate redshifts for z<0.1 supernovae, obtained with ground-based experiments, are sufficient to immunize the results against even relatively large redshift errors at high z. For the future cluster number-count surveys such as the South Pole Telescope, Planck or DUET, we find that the purely statistical error in photometric redshift is less important, and that the irreducible, systematic bias in redshift drives the requirements. The redshift bias will have to be kept below 0.001-0.005 per redshift bin (which is determined by the filter set), depending on the sky coverage and details of the definition of the minimal mass of the survey. Furthermore, we find that X-ray surveys have a more stringent required redshift accuracy than Sunyaev-Zeldovich (SZ) effect surveys since they use a shorter lever arm in redshift; conversely, SZ surveys benefit from their high redshift reach only so long as some redshift information is available for distant (z>1) clusters.

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arXiv2003

Constraints on the Inner Cluster Mass Profile and the Power Spectrum Normalization from Strong Lensing Statistics

Strong gravitational lensing is a useful probe of both the intrinsic properties of the lenses and the cosmological parameters of the universe. The large number of model parameters and small sample of observed lens systems, however, have made it difficult to obtain useful constraints on more than a few parameters from lensing statistics. Here we examine how the recent WMAP measurements help improve the constraining power of statistics from the radio lensing survey JVAS/CLASS. We find that the absence of theta>3'' lenses in CLASS places an upper bound of beta<1.25 (1.60) at 68% (95%) CL on the inner density profile, rho \propto r^{-beta}, of cluster-sized halos. Furthermore, the favored power spectrum normalization is sigma_8 >= 0.7 (95% CL). We discuss two possibilities for stronger future constraints: a positive detection of at least one large-separation system, and next-generation radio surveys such as LOFAR.

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arXiv2003

Strong lensing constraints on the velocity dispersion and density profile of elliptical galaxies

We use the statistics of strong gravitational lensing from the CLASS survey to impose constraints on the velocity dispersion and density profile of elliptical galaxies. This approach differs from much recent work, where the luminosity function, velocity dispersion and density profile were typically {\it assumed} in order to constrain cosmological parameters. It is indeed remarkable that observational cosmology has reached the point where we can consider using cosmology to constrain astrophysics, rather than vice versa. We use two different observables to obtain our constraints (total optical depth and angular distributions of lensing events). In spite of the relatively poor statistics and the uncertain identification of lenses in the survey, we obtain interesting constraints on the velocity dispersion and density profiles of elliptical galaxies. For example, assuming the SIS density profile and marginalizing over other relevant parameters, we find 168 km/s < sigma_* < 200 km/s (68% CL), and 158 km/s < sigma_* < 220 km/s (95% CL). Furthermore, if we instead assume a generalized NFW density profile and marginalize over other parameters, the slope of the profile is constrained to be 1.50 < beta < 2.00 (95% CL). We also constrain the concentration parameter as a function of the density profile slope in these models. These results are essentially independent of the exact knowledge of cosmology. We briefly discuss the possible impact on these constraints of allowing the galaxy luminosity function to evolve with redshift, and also possible useful future directions for exploration.

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arXiv2003

Gravitational Lensing by Cosmic Strings in the Era of Wide-Field Surveys

Motivated by the recent claim for gravitational lensing by a cosmic string, we reinvestigate the probability of finding such an event with upcoming wide-field surveys. If an observed lensing event is suspected to be due to a string, observations of the vicinity of the event in a circle of diameter L centered on the observed lens should reveal several additional lensing events. For a string located nearby (z\lesssim 0.5), we find that observations in a region of size \approx 1 arcmin^2 will see \sim 100 objects, of which \sim 5 would be lensed by the string, compared to \sim 0.1 lensed by conventional sources.

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arXiv2003

Probing Dark Energy with Supernovae: Exploiting Complementarity with the Cosmic Microwave Background

A primary goal for cosmology and particle physics over the coming decade will be to unravel the nature of the dark energy that drives the accelerated expansion of the Universe. In particular, determination of the equation-of-state of dark energy, w equivalent p/rho, and its time variation, dw/dz, will be critical for developing theoretical understanding of the new physics behind this phenomenon. Type Ia supernovae (SNe) and cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy are each sensitive to the dark energy equation-of-state. SNe alone can determine w(z) with some precision, while CMB anisotropy alone cannot because of a strong degeneracy between the matter density Omega_M and w. However, we show that the Planck CMB mission can significantly improve the power of a deep SNe survey to probe w and especially dw/dz. Because CMB constraints are nearly orthogonal to SNe constraints in the Omega_M-w plane, for constraining w(z) Planck is more useful than precise determination of Omega_M. We discuss how the CMB/SNe complementarity impacts strategies for the redshift distribution of a supernova survey to determine w(z) and conclude that a well-designed sample should include a substantial number of supernovae out to redshifts z ~ 2.

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arXiv2003

Growth Rate of Large Scale Structure as a Powerful Probe of Dark Energy

The redshift evolution of the growth rate of the gravitational potential, d(D/a)/dz, is an excellent discriminator of dark energy parameters and, in principle, more powerful than standard classical tests of cosmology. This evolution is directly observable through the integrated Sachs-Wolfe effect in cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropies. We consider the prospects of measuring the growth rate via a novel method employed through measurements of CMB polarization towards galaxy clusters. The potentially achievable errors on dark energy parameters are comparable and fully complementary to those expected from other upcoming tests of dark energy, making this test a highly promising tool of precision cosmology.

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arXiv2003

Parameterization of Dark-Energy Properties: a Principal-Component Approach

Considerable work has been devoted to the question of how to best parameterize the properties of dark energy, in particular its equation of state w. We argue that, in the absence of a compelling model for dark energy, the parameterizations of functions about which we have no prior knowledge, such as w(z), should be determined by the data rather than by our ingrained beliefs or familiar series expansions. We find the complete basis of orthonormal eigenfunctions in which the principal components (weights of w(z)) that are determined most accurately are separated from those determined most poorly. Furthermore, we show that keeping a few of the best-measured modes can be an effective way of obtaining information about w(z).

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arXiv2002

Weak Lensing as a Calibrator of the Cluster Mass-Temperature Relation

The abundance of clusters at the present epoch and weak gravitational lensing shear both constrain roughly the same combination of the power spectrum normalization sigma_8 and matter energy density Omega_M. The cluster constraint further depends on the normalization of the mass-temperature relation. Therefore, combining the weak lensing and cluster abundance data can be used to accurately calibrate the mass-temperature relation. We discuss this approach and illustrate it using data from recent surveys.

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arXiv2002

Importance of Supernovae at z>1.5 to Probe Dark Energy

The accelerating expansion of the universe suggests that an unknown component with strongly negative pressure, called dark energy, currently dominates the dynamics of the universe. Such a component makes up ~70% of the energy density of the universe yet has not been predicted by the standard model of particle physics. The best method for exploring the nature of this dark energy is to map the recent expansion history, at which Type Ia supernovae have proved adept. We examine here the depth of survey necessary to provide a precise and qualitatively complete description of dark energy. Realistic analysis of parameter degeneracies, allowance for natural time variation of the dark energy equation of state, and systematic errors in astrophysical observations all demonstrate the importance of a survey covering the full range 0<z<2 for revealing the nature of dark energy.

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arXiv2002

Is the Universe Inflating? Dark Energy and the Future of the Universe

We consider the fate of the observable universe in the light of the discovery of a dark energy component to the cosmic energy budget. We extend results for a cosmological constant to a general dark energy component and examine the constraints on phenomena that may prevent the eternal acceleration of our patch of the universe. We find that the period of accelerated cosmic expansion has not lasted long enough for observations to confirm that we are undergoing inflation; such an observation will be possible when the dark energy density has risen to between 90% and 95% of the critical. The best we can do is make cosmological observations in order to verify the continued presence of dark energy to some high redshift. Having done that, the only possibility that could spoil the conclusion that we are inflating would be the existence of a disturbance (the surface of a true vacuum bubble, for example) that is moving toward us with sufficiently high velocity, but is too far away to be currently observable. Such a disturbance would have to move toward us with speed greater than about 0.8c in order to spoil the late-time inflation of our patch of the universe and yet avoid being detectable.

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arXiv2001

Weak Lensing and Dark Energy

We study the power of upcoming weak lensing surveys to probe dark energy. Dark energy modifies the distance-redshift relation as well as the matter power spectrum, both of which affect the weak lensing convergence power spectrum. Some dark-energy models predict additional clustering on very large scales, but this probably cannot be detected by weak lensing alone due to cosmic variance. With reasonable prior information on other cosmological parameters, we find that a survey covering 1000 sq. deg. down to a limiting magnitude of R=27 can impose constraints comparable to those expected from upcoming type Ia supernova and number-count surveys. This result, however, is contingent on the control of both observational and theoretical systematics. Concentrating on the latter, we find that the {\it nonlinear} power spectrum of matter perturbations and the redshift distribution of source galaxies both need to be determined accurately in order for weak lensing to achieve its full potential. Finally, we discuss the sensitivity of the three-point statistics to dark energy.

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