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Duc Bui

Publications and source records attributed to Duc Bui.

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Systematic Trend-Following with Adaptive Portfolio Construction: Enhancing Risk-Adjusted Alpha in Cryptocurrency Markets

Cryptocurrency markets exhibit pronounced momentum effects and regime-dependent volatility, presenting both opportunities and challenges for systematic trading strategies. We propose AdaptiveTrend, a multi-component algorithmic trading framework that integrates high-frequency trend-following on 6-hour intervals with monthly adaptive portfolio construction and asymmetric long-short capital allocation. Our framework introduces three key innovations: (1) a dynamic trailing stop mechanism calibrated to intra-day volatility regimes, (2) a rolling Sharpe-ratio-based asset selection procedure with market-capitalization-aware filtering, and (3) a theoretically motivated asymmetric 70/30 long-short allocation scheme grounded in the empirical positive drift of crypto markets. Through extensive out-of-sample backtesting across 150+ cryptocurrency pairs over a 36-month evaluation window (2022-2024), AdaptiveTrend achieves an annualized Sharpe ratio of 2.41, a maximum drawdown of -12.7%, and a Calmar ratio of 3.18, significantly outperforming benchmark trend-following strategies (TSMOM, time-series momentum) and equal-weighted buy-and-hold portfolios. We further conduct rigorous robustness analyses including parameter sensitivity, transaction cost modeling, and regime-conditional performance decomposition, demonstrating the strategy's resilience across bull, bear, and sideways market conditions.

cs.CE

Navigating Cookie Consent Violations Across the Globe

Online services provide users with cookie banners to accept/reject the cookies placed on their web browsers. Despite the increased adoption of cookie banners, little has been done to ensure that cookie consent is compliant with privacy laws around the globe. Prior studies have found that cookies are often placed on browsers even after their explicit rejection by users. These inconsistencies in cookie banner behavior circumvent users' consent preferences and are known as cookie consent violations. To address this important problem, we propose an end-to-end system, called ConsentChk, that detects and analyzes cookie banner behavior. ConsentChk uses a formal model to systematically detect and categorize cookie consent violations. We investigate eight English-speaking regions across the world, and analyze cookie banner behavior across 1,793 globally-popular websites. Cookie behavior, cookie consent violation rates, and cookie banner implementations are found to be highly dependent on region. Our evaluation reveals that consent management platforms (CMPs) and website developers likely tailor cookie banner configurations based on their (often incorrect) interpretations of regional privacy laws. We discuss various root causes behind these cookie consent violations. The resulting implementations produce misleading cookie banners, indicating the prevalence of inconsistently implemented and enforced cookie consent between various regions.

cs.CR

Federated User Representation Learning

Collaborative personalization, such as through learned user representations (embeddings), can improve the prediction accuracy of neural-network-based models significantly. We propose Federated User Representation Learning (FURL), a simple, scalable, privacy-preserving and resource-efficient way to utilize existing neural personalization techniques in the Federated Learning (FL) setting. FURL divides model parameters into federated and private parameters. Private parameters, such as private user embeddings, are trained locally, but unlike federated parameters, they are not transferred to or averaged on the server. We show theoretically that this parameter split does not affect training for most model personalization approaches. Storing user embeddings locally not only preserves user privacy, but also improves memory locality of personalization compared to on-server training. We evaluate FURL on two datasets, demonstrating a significant improvement in model quality with 8% and 51% performance increases, and approximately the same level of performance as centralized training with only 0% and 4% reductions. Furthermore, we show that user embeddings learned in FL and the centralized setting have a very similar structure, indicating that FURL can learn collaboratively through the shared parameters while preserving user privacy.

cs.LG

Active Federated Learning

Federated Learning allows for population level models to be trained without centralizing client data by transmitting the global model to clients, calculating gradients locally, then averaging the gradients. Downloading models and uploading gradients uses the client's bandwidth, so minimizing these transmission costs is important. The data on each client is highly variable, so the benefit of training on different clients may differ dramatically. To exploit this we propose Active Federated Learning, where in each round clients are selected not uniformly at random, but with a probability conditioned on the current model and the data on the client to maximize efficiency. We propose a cheap, simple and intuitive sampling scheme which reduces the number of required training iterations by 20-70% while maintaining the same model accuracy, and which mimics well known resampling techniques under certain conditions.

cs.LG