arXiv subjects

Dylan Nelson

Publications and source records attributed to Dylan Nelson.

At least 109 records · Page 6Linked to original sources

arXiv2022

Gas Accretion Can Drive Turbulence in Galaxies

The driving of turbulence in galaxies is deeply connected with the physics of feedback, star formation, outflows, accretion, and radial transport in disks. The velocity dispersion of gas in galaxies therefore offers a promising observational window into these processes. However, the relative importance of each of these mechanisms remains controversial. In this work we revisit the possibility that turbulence on galactic scales is driven by the direct impact of accreting gaseous material on the disk. We measure this effect in a disk-like star-forming galaxy in IllustrisTNG, using the high-resolution cosmological magnetohydrodynamical simulation TNG50. We employ Lagrangian tracer particles with a high time cadence of only a few Myr to identify accretion and other events, such as star formation, outflows, and movement within the disk. The energies of particles as they arrive in the disk are measured by stacking the events in bins of time before and after the event. The average effect of each event is measured on the galaxy by fitting explicit models for the kinetic and turbulent energies as a function of time in the disk. These measurements are corroborated by measuring the cross-correlation of the turbulent energy in the different annuli of the disk with other time series, and searching for signals of causality, i.e. asymmetries in the cross-correlation across zero time lag. We find that accretion contributes to the large-scale turbulent kinetic energy even if it is not the dominant driver of turbulence in this $\sim 5 \times 10^{9} M_\odot$ stellar mass galaxy. Extrapolating this finding to a range of galaxy masses, we find that there are regimes where energy from direct accretion may dominate the turbulent energy budget, particularly in disk outskirts, galaxies less massive than the Milky Way, and at redshift $\sim 2$.

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arXiv2022

Cool circumgalactic gas in galaxy clusters: connecting the DESI legacy imaging survey and SDSS DR16 MgII absorbers

We investigate the cool gas absorption in galaxy clusters by cross-correlating MgII absorbers detected in quasar spectra from Data Release 16 of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) with galaxy clusters identified in the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) survey. We find significant covering fractions ($1-5\, \%$ within $r_{500}$, depending on the chosen redshift interval), $\sim 4-5$ times higher than around random sightlines. While the covering fraction of cool gas in clusters decreases with increasing mass of the central galaxy, the total MgII mass within $r_{\rm 500}$ is nonetheless $\sim 10$ times higher than for SDSS luminous red galaxies (LRGs). The MgII covering fraction versus impact parameter is well described by a power law in the inner regions and a exponential function at larger distances. The characteristic scale of the transition between these two regimes is smaller for large equivalent width absorbers. Cross-correlating MgII absorption with photo-z selected cluster member galaxies from DESI reveals a statistically significant connection. The median projected distance between MgII absorbers and the nearest cluster member is $\sim200$ kpc, compared to $\sim500$ kpc in random mocks with the same galaxy density profiles. We do not find a correlation between MgII strength and the star formation rate of the closest cluster neighbour. This suggests that cool gas in clusters, as traced by MgII absorption, is: (i) associated with satellite galaxies, (ii) dominated by cold gas clouds in the intracluster medium, rather than by the interstellar medium of galaxies, and (iii) may originate in part from gas stripped from these cluster satellites in the past.

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arXiv2022

The evolution of the barred galaxy population in the TNG50 simulation

We use the magnetic-hydrodynamical simulation TNG50 to study the evolution of barred massive disc galaxies. Massive spiral galaxies are already present as early as $z=4$, and bar formation takes place already at those early times. The bars grow longer and stronger as the host galaxies evolve, with the bar sizes increasing at a pace similar to that of the disc scale lengths. The bar fraction mildly evolves with redshift for galaxies with $M_{*}\geq10^{10}M\odot$, being greater than $\sim40\%$ at $0.5<z<3$ and $\sim30\%$ at $z=0$. When bars larger than a given physical size ($\geq 2\,\rm kpc$) or the angular resolution limit of twice the I-band angular PSF FWHM of the HST are considered, the bar fraction dramatically decreases with increasing redshift, reconciling the theoretical predictions with observational data. We find that barred galaxies have an older stellar population, lower gas fractions and star formation rates than unbarred galaxies. In most cases, the discs of barred galaxies assembled earlier and faster than the discs of unbarred galaxies. We also find that barred galaxies are typical in haloes with larger concentrations and smaller spin parameters than unbarred galaxies. Furthermore, the inner regions of barred galaxies are more baryon-dominated than those of unbarred galaxies but have comparable global stellar mass fractions. Our findings suggest that the bar population could be used as a potential tracer of the buildup of disc galaxies and their host haloes. With this paper, we release a catalogue of barred galaxies in TNG50 at $6$ redshifts between $z=4$ and $z=0$.

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arXiv2022

The buildup of strongly barred galaxies in the TNG100 simulation

We analyse the properties of strongly barred disc galaxies using the TNG100 simulation, a cosmological hydrodynamical realisation of the IllustrisTNG suite. We identify 270 disc galaxies at $z=0$ in the stellar mass range $M_{*}=10^{10.4-11}M_{\odot}$, of which 40 per cent are barred. Of the detected bars, more than half are strong. We find that the fraction of barred galaxies increases with stellar mass, in agreement with observational results. Strongly barred galaxies exhibit, overall, lower gas-to-stellar mass ratios compared to unbarred galaxies. The majority of barred galaxies are quenched (sSFR $\sim10^{-11.7} $yr$^{-1}$), whereas unbarred galaxies continue to be active (sSFR $\sim10^{-10.3}$yr$^{-1}$) on the main sequence of star-forming galaxies. We explore the evolution of strongly barred and unbarred galaxies to investigate their formation and quenching histories. We find that strong bars form between $0.5< z< 1.5$, with more massive galaxies hosting older bars. Strong bars form in galaxies with an early-established prominent disc component, undergoing periods of enhanced star formation and black hole accretion, possibly assisted by cosmological inflows. Unbarred galaxies, on the other hand, assemble most of their mass and disc component at late times. The nuclear region of strongly barred galaxies quenches shortly after bar formation, while unbarred galaxies remain active across time. Our findings are indicative of bar quenching, possibly assisted by nuclear feedback processes. We conclude that the cosmological environment, together with small scale feedback processes, determine the chances of a galaxy to form a bar and to rapidly quench its central region.

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arXiv2022

The Column Densities of Molecular Gas across Cosmic Time: Bridging Observations and Simulations

Observations of the cosmic evolution of different gas phases across time indicate a marked increase in the molecular gas mass density towards $z\sim 2-3$. Such a transformation implies an accompanied change in the global distribution of molecular hydrogen column densities ($N_{\rm{H_2}}$). Using observations by PHANGS-ALMA/SDSS and simulations by GRIFFIN/IllustrisTNG we explore the evolution of this H$_2$ column density distribution function [$f(N_{\rm{H}_2})$]. The H$_2$ (and HI) column density maps for TNG50 and TNG100 are derived in post-processing and are made available through the IllustrisTNG online API. The shape and normalization of $f(N_{\rm{H}_2})$ of individual main-sequence star-forming galaxies are correlated with the star formation rate (SFR), stellar mass (${M_*}$), and H$_2$ mass ($M_{\rm{H}_2}$) in both observations and simulations. TNG100, combined with H$_2$ post-processing models, broadly reproduces observations, albeit with differences in slope and normalization. Also, an analytically modelled $f(N)$, based on exponential gas disks, matches well with the simulations. The GRIFFIN simulation gives first indications that the slope of $f(N_{\rm{H}_2})$ might not majorly differ when including non-equilibrium chemistry in simulations. The $f(N_{\rm{H}_2})$ by TNG100 implies that higher molecular gas column densities are reached at $z=3$ than at $z=0$. Further, denser regions contribute more to the molecular mass density at $z=3$. Finally, H$_2$ starts dominating compared to HI only at column densities above log($N_{\rm{H}_2} / \rm{cm}^{-2}) \sim 21.8-22$ at both redshifts. These results imply that neutral atomic gas is an important contributor to the overall cold gas mass found in the ISM of galaxies including at densities typical for molecular clouds at $z=0$ and $z=3$.

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arXiv2022

ERGO-ML I: Inferring the assembly histories of IllustrisTNG galaxies from integral observable properties via invertible neural networks

A fundamental prediction of the LambdaCDM cosmology is the hierarchical build-up of structure and therefore the successive merging of galaxies into more massive ones. As one can only observe galaxies at one specific time in cosmic history, this merger history remains in principle unobservable. By using the TNG100 simulation of the IllustrisTNG project, we show that it is possible to infer the unobservable stellar assembly and merger history of central galaxies from their observable properties by using machine learning techniques. In particular, in this first paper of ERGO-ML (Extracting Reality from Galaxy Observables with Machine Learning), we choose a set of 7 observable integral properties of galaxies (i.e. total stellar mass, redshift, color, stellar size, morphology, metallicity, and age) to infer, from those, the stellar ex-situ fraction, the average merger lookback times and mass ratios, and the lookback time and stellar mass of the last major merger. To do so, we use and compare a Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network and a conditional Invertible Neural Network (cINN): thanks to the latter we are also able to infer the posterior distribution for these parameters and hence estimate the uncertainties in the predictions. We find that the stellar ex-situ fraction and the time of the last major merger are well determined by the selected set of observables, that the mass-weighted merger mass ratio is unconstrained, and that, beyond stellar mass, stellar morphology and stellar age are the most informative properties. Finally, we show that the cINN recovers the remaining unexplained scatter and secondary cross-correlations. Our tools can be applied to large galaxy surveys in order to infer unobservable properties of galaxies' past, enabling empirical studies of galaxy evolution enriched by cosmological simulations.

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arXiv2022

The distinct stellar-to-halo mass relations of satellite and central galaxies: insights from the IllustrisTNG simulations

We study the stellar-to-halo mass relation (SHMR) for central and satellite galaxies with total dynamical masses above 10^10.5 Msun using the suite of cosmological magneto-hydrodynamical simulations IllustrisTNG. In particular, we quantify environmental effects on satellite populations from TNG50, TNG100, and TNG300 located within the virial radius of group- and cluster-like hosts with total masses of 10^12-15.2 Msun. At fixed stellar mass, the satellite SHMR exhibits a distinct shift towards lower dynamical mass compared to the SHMR of centrals. Conversely, at fixed dynamical mass, satellite galaxies appear to have larger stellar-to-total mass fractions than centrals by up to a factor of a few. The systematic deviation from the central SHMR is larger for satellites in more massive hosts, at smaller cluster-centric distances, with earlier infall times, and that inhabit higher local density environments; moreover, it is in place already at early times (z < 2). Systematic environmental effects might contribute to the perceived galaxy-to-galaxy variation in the measured SHMR when galaxies cannot be separated into satellites and centrals. The SHMR of satellites exhibits a larger scatter than centrals, over the whole range of dynamical mass (by up to 0.8 dex). The shift of the satellite SHMR results mostly from tidal stripping of their dark matter, which affects satellites in an outside-in fashion: the departure of the satellite SHMR from the centrals' relation diminishes for measurements of dynamical mass in progressively smaller apertures. Finally, we provide a family of fitting functions for the SHMR predicted by IllustrisTNG.

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arXiv2022

Mass of the dynamically hot inner stellar halo predicts the ancient accreted stellar mass

Galactic dynamical structures are fossil records of the assembly histories of galaxies. By analyzing the cosmological hydrodynamical simulation TNG50, we find that a dynamical structure that we call the "hot inner stellar halo," defined by stars on dynamically hot orbits with circularity $λ_z < 0.5$ at $3.5\,{\rm kpc}<r \lesssim 2\,R_e$, is a strong indicator of the mass of accreted satellite galaxies. We find a strong correlation between the mass of this hot inner stellar halo and the total ex situ stellar mass. There is a similarly strong correlation with the stellar mass of the most massive secondary galaxy ever merged. These TNG50 correlations are compatible with those predicted by other simulations, for example by TNG100 across the whole mass range under study (galaxy stellar masses, $M_*$, in the $10^{10.3-11.6}$\,\Msun\, range) and by EAGLE for $M_* \gtrsim 10^{10.6} $\,\Msun\, galaxies.\ This shows that our predictions are robust across different galaxy formation and feedback models and hold across a wide range of numerical resolution. The hot inner stellar halo is a product of massive and typically ancient mergers, with inner-halo stars exhibiting three main physical origins: accreted and stripped from massive satellites, dynamically heated by mergers from the bulge and/or disk in the main progenitor, and formed from star formation triggered during mergers. The mass of the hot inner stellar halo defined in this paper is a quantity that can be robustly obtained for real galaxies by applying a population-orbit superposition method to integral-field-unit spectroscopy data, out to a distance of $\sim2\,R_e$, which is possible with current observations. Hence, this paper shows that integral-field-unit observations and dynamical models of the inner regions of galaxies provide a way to quantitatively determine the mass of ancient accreted satellites.

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arXiv2022

The MUSE Hubble Ultra Deep Field Survey XVI. The angular momentum of low-mass star-forming galaxies. A cautionary tale and insights from TNG50

We investigate the specific angular momentum (sAM) $ j(<r)$ profiles of intermediate redshift ($0.4<z<1.4$) star-forming galaxies (SFGs) in the relatively unexplored regime of low masses (down to $M_\star\sim 10^8$M$_{\odot}$), and small sizes (down to $R_{\rm e}\sim 1.5$ kpc) and characterize the sAM scaling relation and its redshift evolution. We have developed a 3D methodology to constrain sAM profiles of the star-forming gas using a forward modeling approach with \galpak{} that incorporates the effects of beam smearing, yielding the intrinsic morpho-kinematic properties even with limited spatial resolution data. Using mock observations from the TNG50 simulation, we find that our 3D methodology robustly recovers the star formation rate (SFR)-weighted $j(<r)$ profiles down to low effective signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of $\gtrapprox3$. We applied our methodology blindly to a sample of 494 \OII{}-selected SFGs in the MUSE Ultra Deep Field (UDF) 9~arcmin$^2$ mosaic data, covering the unexplored $8<\log M_*/$M$_{\odot}<9$ mass range. We find that the (SFR-weighted) sAM relation follows $j\propto M_\star^α$ with an index $α$ varying from $α=0.3$ to $α=0.5$, from $\log M_\star/$M$_{\odot}=8$ to $\log M_*/$M$_{\odot}=10.5$. The UDF sample supports a redshift evolution consistent with the $(1+z)^{-0.5}$ expectation from a Universe in expansion. The scatter of the sAM sequence is a strong function of the dynamical state with $\log j|_{M_*}\propto 0.65 \times \log(V_{\rm max}/σ)$ where $σ$ is the velocity dispersion at $2 R_{\rm e}$. In TNG50, SFGs also form a $j-M_{\star}-(V/σ)$ plane but it correlates more with galaxy size than with morphological parameters. Our results suggest that SFGs might experience a dynamical transformation before their morphological transformation to becoming passive via either merging or secular evolution.

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arXiv2021

Cooling flows around cold clouds in the circumgalactic medium: steady-state models & comparison with TNG50

Cold, non-self-gravitating clumps occur in various astrophysical systems, ranging from the interstellar and circumgalactic medium (CGM), to AGN outflows and solar coronal loops. Cold gas has diverse origins such as turbulent mixing or precipitation from hotter phases. We obtain the analytic solution for a steady pressure-driven 1-D cooling flow around cold, local over-densities, irrespective of their origin. Our solutions describe the slow and steady radiative cooling-driven gas inflow in the saturated regime of nonlinear thermal instability in clouds, sheets and filaments. Such a cooling flow develops when the gas around small clumps undergoes radiative cooling. These small-scale, cold `seeds' are embedded in a large volume-filling hot CGM maintained by feedback. We use a simple two-fluid treatment to include magnetic fields as an additional polytropic fluid. To test the limits of applicability of these analytic solutions, we compare with the gas structure found in and around small-scale cold clouds in the CGM of massive halos in the TNG50 cosmological MHD simulation from the IllustrisTNG suite. Despite qualitative resemblance of the gas structure, we find deviations from steady state profiles generated by our model. Complex geometries and turbulence all add complexity beyond our analytic solutions. We derive an exact relation between the mass cooling rate ($\dot{\rm M}_{\rm cool}$) and the radiative cooling rate ($\dot{\rm E}_{\rm cool}$) for a steady cooling flow. A comparison with the TNG50 clouds shows that this cooling flow relation only applies in a narrow temperature range around $\rm \sim 10^{4.5}$ K where the isobaric cooling time is the shortest. In general, turbulence and mixing, instead of radiative cooling, may dominate the transition of gas between different temperature phases.

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arXiv2021

A Comparison of Circumgalactic MgII Absorption between the TNG50 Simulation and the MEGAFLOW Survey

The circumgalactic medium (CGM) contains information on gas flows around galaxies, such as accretion and supernova-driven winds, which are difficult to constrain from observations alone. Here, we use the high-resolution TNG50 cosmological magnetohydrodynamical simulation to study the properties and kinematics of the CGM around star-forming galaxies in $10^{11.5}-10^{12}\;M_{\odot}$ halos at $z\simeq$ 1 using mock MgII absorption lines, which we generate by postprocessing halos to account for photoionization in the presence of a UV background. We find that the MgII gas is a very good tracer of the cold CGM, which is accreting inward at inflow velocities of up to 50 km s$^{-1}$. For sight lines aligned with the galaxy's major axis, we find that MgII absorption lines are kinematically shifted due to the cold CGM's significant corotation at speeds up to 50% of the virial velocity for impact parameters up to 60 kpc. We compare mock MgII spectra to observations from the MusE GAs FLow and Wind (MEGAFLOW) survey of strong MgII absorbers ($\rm{EW}^{2796Å}_{0}>0.5 \; Å$). After matching the equivalent-width (EW) selection, we find that the mock MgII spectra reflect the diversity of observed kinematics and EWs from MEGAFLOW, even though the sight lines probe a very small fraction of the CGM. MgII absorption in higher-mass halos is stronger and broader than in lower-mass halos but has qualitatively similar kinematics. The median-specific angular momentum of the MgII CGM gas in TNG50 is very similar to that of the entire CGM and only differs from non-CGM components of the halo by normalization factors of $\lesssim$ 1 dex.

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arXiv2021

On the formation of massive quiescent galaxies with diverse morphologies in the TNG50 simulation

Observations have shown that the star-formation activity and the morphology of galaxies are closely related, but the underlying physical connection is not well understood. Using the TNG50 simulation, we explore the quenching and the morphological evolution of the 102 massive quiescent galaxies in the mass range of $10.5<\log(M_{\rm stellar}/M_{\odot})<11.5$ selected at $z=0$. The morphology of galaxies is quantified based on their kinematics, and we measure the quenching timescale of individual galaxies directly from star formation history. We show that galaxies tend to be quenched more rapidly if they: (i) are satellites in massive halos, (ii) have lower star-forming gas fractions, or (iii) inject a larger amount of black hole kinetic feedback energy. By following the global evolutionary pathways, we conclude that quiescent discs are mainly disc galaxies that are recently and slowly quenched. Approximately half of the quiescent ellipticals at $z=0$ are rapidly quenched at higher redshifts while still disc-like. While being quiescent, they gradually become more elliptical mostly by disc heating, yet these ellipticals still retain some degree of rotation. The other half of quiescent ellipticals with the most random motion-dominated kinematics build up large spheroidal components before quenching primarily by mergers, or in some cases, misaligned gas accretion. However, the mergers that contribute to morphological transformation do not immediately quench galaxies in many cases. In summary, we find that quenching and morphological transformation are decoupled. We conclude that the TNG black hole feedback -- in combination with the stochastic merger history of galaxies -- leads to a large diversity of quenching timescales and a rich morphological landscape.

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arXiv2021

High and low Sérsic index bulges in Milky Way- and M31-like galaxies: origin and connection to the bar with TNG50

We study bulge formation in MW/M31-like galaxies in a $Λ$-cold dark matter scenario, focusing on the origin of high- and low-Sersic index bulges. For this purpose we use TNG50, a simulation of the IllustrisTNG project that combines a resolution of $\sim 8 \times 10^4 M_{\odot}$ in stellar particles with a cosmological volume 52 cMpc in extent. We parametrize bulge surface brightness profiles by the Sérsic index and the bulge-to-total (B/T) ratio obtained from two-component photometric decompositions. In our sample of 287 MW/M31-like simulated galaxies, $17.1\%$ of photometric bulges exhibit high-Sérsic indices and $82.9\%$ show low-Sérsic indices. We study the impact that the environment, mergers and bars have in shaping the surface brightness profiles. We explore two different definitions for local environment and find no correlation between bulge properties and the environment where they reside. Simulated galaxies with higher Sérsic indices show, on average, a higher fraction of ex-situ stars in their kinematically selected bulges. For this bulge population the last significant merger (total mass ratio $m_{\rm sat}/m_{\rm host} > 0.1$) occurs, on average, at later times. However, a substantial fraction of low-Sérsic index bulges also experience a late significant merger. We find that bars play an important role in the development of the different types of photometric bulges. We show that the fraction of simulated galaxies with strong bars is smaller for the high- than for the low-Sérsic index population, reaching differences of $20\%$ at $z > 1$. Simulated galaxies with high fractions of ex-situ stars in the bulge do not develop strong bars. Conversely, simulated galaxies with long-lived strong bars have bulges with ex-situ fractions, $f_{\rm ex-situ} < 0.2$.

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arXiv2021

Impact of gas based seeding on supermassive black hole populations at $z\geq7$

Deciphering the formation of supermassive black holes~(SMBHs) is a key science goal for upcoming observational facilities. In most theoretical channels proposed so far, the seed formation depends crucially on local gas conditions. We systematically characterize the impact of a range of gas based black hole seeding prescriptions on SMBH populations using cosmological simulations. Seeds of mass $M_{\mathrm{seed}}\sim 10^3-10^{6}~M_{\odot}/h$ are placed in halos that exceed critical thresholds for star-forming, metal-poor gas mass and halo mass (defined as $\tilde{M}_{\mathrm{sf,mp}}$ and $\tilde{M}_{\mathrm{h}}$, respectively, in units of $M_{\mathrm{seed}}$). We quantify the impact of these parameters on the properties of $z\geq7$ SMBHs. Lower seed masses produce much higher BH merger rates (by factors of $\sim10$ and $\sim1000$ at $z\sim7$ and $z\sim15$, respectively). For fixed seed mass, we find that $\tilde{M}_{\mathrm{h}}$ has the strongest impact on the BH population at high redshift ($z\gtrsim15$, where a factor of 10 increase in $\tilde{M}_{\mathrm{h}}$ suppresses merger rates by $\gtrsim 100$). At lower redshift ($z\lesssim15$), we find that $\tilde{M}_{\mathrm{sf,mp}}$ has a larger impact on the BH population. Increasing $\tilde{M}_{\mathrm{sf,mp}}$ from $5-150$ suppresses the merger rates by factors of $\sim8$ at $z\sim7-15$. This suggests that the seeding criteria explored here could leave distinct imprints on the redshift distribution of LISA merger rates. In contrast, AGN luminosity functions are much less sensitive to seeding criteria, varying by factors $\lesssim2-3$ within the seed parameters we have explored. Such variations will be challenging to probe even with future sensitive instruments such as Lynx or JWST. Overall, our systematic parameter study provides a useful benchmark for development of seed models for large-volume cosmological simulations.

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arXiv2021

Impact of gas spin and Lyman-Werner flux on black hole seed formation in cosmological simulations: implications for direct collapse

Direct collapse black holes~(BH) are promising candidates for producing massive $z\gtrsim 6$ quasars, but their formation requires fine-tuned conditions. In this work, we use cosmological zoom simulations to study systematically the impact of requiring: 1) low gas angular momentum, and 2) a minimum incident Lyman-Werner~(LW) flux in order to form BH seeds. We probe the formation of seeds (with initial masses of $M_{\rm seed} \sim 10^4$ - $10^6 M_{\odot}/h)$ in halos with a total mass $> 3000\times M_{\mathrm{seed}}$ and a dense, metal poor gas mass $> 5\times M_{\mathrm{seed}}$. We find that the seed-forming halos have a prior history of star formation and metal enrichment, but contain pockets of dense, metal poor gas. When seeding is further restricted to halos with low gas spins, the number of seeds formed is suppressed by factors of $\sim6$ compared to the baseline model, regardless of the seed mass. Seed formation is much more strongly impacted if the dense, metal poor gas is required to have a critical LW flux ($J_{\mathrm{crit}}$). Even for $J_{\mathrm{crit}}$ values as low as $50J_{21}$, no $8\times10^{5}M_{\odot}/h$ seeds are formed. While lower mass ($1.25\times10^{4},1\times10^{5} M_{\odot}/h$) seeds do form, they are strongly suppressed~(by factors of $\sim10-100$) compared to the baseline model at gas mass resolutions of $\sim10^4~M_{\odot}/h$ (with even stronger suppression at higher resolutions). As a result, BH merger rates are also similarly suppressed. Since early BH growth is dominated by mergers in our models, no seeds are able to grow to the supermassive regime~($\gtrsim10^6 M_{\odot}/h$) by $z=7$. Our results hint that producing the bulk of the $z\gtrsim6$ supermassive BH population may require alternate seeding scenarios that do not depend on the LW flux, early BH growth dominated by rapid or super-Eddington accretion, or a combination of these possibilities.

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arXiv2021

Bringing faint active galactic nuclei (AGNs) to light: a view from large-scale cosmological simulations

The sensitivity of X-ray facilities and our ability to detect fainter active galactic nuclei (AGNs) will increase with the upcoming Athena mission and the AXIS and Lynx concept missions, thus improving our understanding of supermassive black holes (BHs) in a luminosity regime that can be dominated by X-ray binaries. We analyze the population of faint AGN (L_x (2-10 keV) < 10^42 erg/s) in the Illustris, TNG100, EAGLE, and SIMBA cosmological simulations, and find that the properties of their host galaxies vary from one simulation to another. In Illustris and EAGLE, faint AGN are powered by low-mass BHs located in low-mass star-forming galaxies. In TNG100 and SIMBA, they are mostly associated with more massive BHs in quenched massive galaxies. We model the X-ray binary populations (XRB) of the simulated galaxies, and find that AGN often dominate the galaxy AGN+XRB hard X-ray luminosity at z>2, while XRBs dominate in some simulations at z<2. Whether the AGN or XRB emission dominates in star-forming and quenched galaxies depends on the simulations. These differences in simulations can be used to discriminate between galaxy formation models with future high-resolution X-ray observations. We compare the luminosity of simulated faint AGN host galaxies to observations of stacked galaxies from Chandra. Our comparison indicates that the simulations post-processed with our X-ray modeling tend to overestimate the AGN+XRB X-ray luminosity; luminosity that can be strongly affected by AGN obscuration. Some simulations reveal clear AGN trends as a function of stellar mass (e.g., galaxy luminosity drop in massive galaxies), which are not apparent in the observations.

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arXiv2021

Cosmic metal density evolution in neutral gas: insights from observations and cosmological simulations

We contrast the latest observations of the cosmic metal density in neutral gas ($ρ_{\rm met,neu}$) with three cosmological galaxy evolution simulations: L-GALAXIES 2020, TNG100, and EAGLE. We find that the fraction of total metals that are in neutral gas is $<40$ per cent at $3\lesssim{} z \lesssim{} 5$ in these simulations, whereas observations of damped Lyman-$α$ (DLA) systems suggest $\gtrsim{}85$ per cent. In all three simulations, hot, low-density gas is also a major contributor to the cosmic metal budget, even at high redshift. By considering the evolution in cosmic SFR density ($ρ_{\rm SFR}$), neutral gas density ($ρ_{\rm HI}$), and mean gas-phase metallicity ($[\langle{}{\rm M/H}\rangle{}]_{\rm neu}$), we determine two possible ways in which the $ρ_{\rm met,neu}$ observed in DLAs at high redshift can be matched by simulations: (a) the $ρ_{\rm SFR}$ at $z\gtrsim{}3$ is greater than inferred from current FUV observations, or (b) current high-redshift DLA metallicity samples have a higher mean host mass than the overall galaxy population. If the first is correct, TNG100 would match the ensemble data best, however there would be an outstanding tension between the currently observed $ρ_{\rm SFR}$ and $ρ_{\rm met,neu}$. If the second is correct, L-GALAXIES 2020 would match the ensemble data best, but would require an increase in neutral gas mass inside subhaloes above $z\sim{}2.5$. If neither is correct, EAGLE would match the ensemble data best, although at the expense of over-estimating $[\langle{}{\rm M/H}\rangle{}]_{\rm neu}$. Modulo details related to numerical resolution and HI mass modelling in simulations, these incompatibilities highlight current tensions between key observed cosmic properties at high redshift.

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arXiv2021

Supermassive black holes in cosmological simulations II: the AGN population and predictions for upcoming X-ray missions

In large-scale hydrodynamical cosmological simulations, the fate of massive galaxies is mainly dictated by the modeling of feedback from active galactic nuclei (AGN). The amount of energy released by AGN feedback is proportional to the mass that has been accreted onto the BHs, but the exact sub-grid modeling of AGN feedback differs in all simulations. Whilst modern simulations reliably produce populations of quiescent massive galaxies at z<2, it is also crucial to assess the similarities and differences of the responsible AGN populations. Here, we compare the AGN population of the Illustris, TNG100, TNG300, Horizon-AGN, EAGLE, and SIMBA simulations. The AGN luminosity function (LF) varies significantly between simulations. Although in agreement with current observational constraints at z=0, at higher redshift the agreement of the LFs deteriorates with most simulations producing too many AGN of L_{x, 2-10 keV}~10^43-10^44 erg/s. AGN feedback in some simulations prevents the existence of any bright AGN with L_{x, 2-10 keV}>=10^45 erg/s (although this is sensitive to AGN variability), and leads to smaller fractions of AGN in massive galaxies than in the observations at z<=2. We find that all the simulations fail at producing a number density of AGN in good agreement with observational constraints for both luminous (L_{x, 2-10 keV}~10^43-10^45 erg/s) and fainter (L_{x, 2-10 keV}~10^42-10^43 erg/s) AGN, and at both low and high redshift. These differences can aid us in improving future BH and galaxy subgrid modeling in simulations. Upcoming X-ray missions (e.g., Athena, AXIS, and LynX) will bring faint AGN to light and new powerful constraints. After accounting for AGN obscuration, we find that the predicted number density of detectable AGN in future surveys spans at least one order of magnitude across the simulations, at any redshift.

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