arXiv subjects

E. Sefusatti

Publications and source records attributed to E. Sefusatti.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Euclid preparation. First investigation of the impact of cross-contamination on spectroscopic redshift measurements with pixel-level simulations

We present a study on simulated data focused on understanding the performance of the spectroscopic redshift measurements with the Near-Infrared Spectrometer and Photometer (NISP) instrument on Euclid. Simulations include scenarios with different levels of cross-contamination arising from overlapping spectra of nearby sources, which represents one of the main drawbacks of slitless spectroscopy. We present a new analysis based on pixel-level simulations of the NISP images, with the data processed using the Euclid spectroscopic pipeline. We first consider an idealised case with non-overlapping spectra to assess the accuracy and reliability of the redshift measurement as a function of the flux of the H-alpha emission line and galaxy size. We then introduce more realistic contamination scenarios, distinguishing between two contributions: contamination from H-alpha emitters, which are the Euclid targets for cosmological analyses, and contamination from all other galaxies. In the second case, we analyse the impact of cross-contamination with an increasing number of contaminants, from the brighter to the fainter galaxies. Given that our results show no clear evidence that sources fainter than magnitude 20 degrade redshift measurements, we conservatively restrict our analysis to galaxies with magnitudes up to 24. In particular, we provide a preliminary estimate that contamination from galaxies within the same redshift range as the target sample contributes to about 4% of the total degradation due to cross-contamination from all galaxies.

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arXiv2026

Euclid preparation: Testing multi-field inflation with galaxy power spectrum and bispectrum

Primordial non-Gaussianity (PNG) is a powerful probe of the origin of cosmic structure. Stage-IV surveys like \Euclid will measure galaxy $2$- and $3$-point clustering at high signal-to-noise, whose exploitation requires robust joint analysis. We prepare for Euclid's spectroscopic sample by validating a redshift-space power-spectrum and bispectrum pipeline (one-loop $P_\ell$, tree-level $B_\ell$) on Euclid-like mocks from Abacus-PNG $N$-body simulations with Gaussian and local-PNG initial conditions, using a halo occupation distribution (HOD) tuned to Euclid Flagship 2. We stress-test analysis choices -- PNG-bias parametrisation, priors, and scale cuts -- and perform null tests without PNG. In a `prior-agnostic setup', detection of the dominant PNG term $\propto f_{\rm NL} \, b_\phi$ in single redshift bins is difficult; nevertheless, the bispectrum provides constraints on other PNG combinations that partially lift degeneracies. We propose a physically motivated prior on $b_\phi$ that yields unbiased $f_{\rm NL}$ while accounting for theory uncertainty, and determine scale cuts that give unbiased $\Lambda$CDM and $f_{\rm NL}$. With $V_{\rm eff}=16\,h^{-3}\,{\rm Gpc}^3$ across four snapshots ($0.8\le z\le1.7$), our likelihood analyses recover $<1\sigma$ bias in $f_{\rm NL}$ and $\Lambda$CDM. At fixed cuts, $B_\ell$ alone reduces $\sigma({f_{\rm NL}})$ by $\sim29$--$46\%$ relative to $P_\ell$, and joint power spectrum-bispectrum analysis tightens a further $\sim8$--$13\%$; the cumulative gain from $z=0.8$ to $1.7$ is $\sim2.3$ for the joint case. The bispectrum quadrupole is key. Our strongest results are at $z=1.7$: $1.9\sigma$ for $f_{\rm NL} \, b_\phi$ (prior-agnostic) and $2.35\sigma$ for $f_{\rm NL}$ (prior-based). Joint analyses thus offer strong prospects for testing multi-field inflation, pending end-to-end validation in the full Euclid geometry with observational systematics.

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arXiv2026

\textit{Euclid} preparation. Baryon acoustic oscillations extraction techniques: comparison and optimisation

We present the first end-to-end validation of the Euclid baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) analysis pipeline, encompassing density-field reconstruction, two-point correlation function measurement, and cosmological-parameter inference. Using eight Euclid-like mock catalogues from each of four Flagship I snapshots, designed to reproduce the expected statistical properties of the first Euclid data release (DR1), we assess the two standard BAO reconstruction methods based on the Zel'dovich approximation, RecSym and RecIso, across $0.9 \leq z \leq 1.8$. The pipeline introduces several methodological advances: an emulator-based model evaluator (Bora.jl) combined with a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampler (NUTS), achieving more than a 500-fold speed-up relative to standard Markov chain Monte Carlo, and a semi-analytical covariance estimator (BeXiCov+WinCov) that enables robust error estimates from only eight mock realisations while remaining stable under fiducial-cosmology variations. These components ensure computational efficiency while reducing the risk of underestimating parameter uncertainties. Both reconstruction schemes yield unbiased BAO measurements across all redshifts and analysis choices, including smoothing scale and fiducial cosmology. In each snapshot, reconstruction enhances the figure of merit for $\{\Omega_m, H_0 r_s\}$ by $\sim3$, equivalent to tripling the effective survey volume. Combining the four redshift bins, the improvement remains substantial, with BAO-only constraints reaching $\sim10\%$ precision on $\Omega_m$ and $\sim3\%$ on $H_0 r_s$. Results from RecSym and RecIso are consistent within uncertainties, though we recommend RecSym during testing due to its lower sensitivity to covariance variations. These findings establish the accuracy, robustness, and scalability of the Euclid BAO pipeline for DR1, providing a solid foundation for future cosmological analyses.

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arXiv2026

Euclid preparation. Three-dimensional galaxy clustering in configuration space: Three-point correlation function estimation

Higher-order correlation functions are firmly established as a fundamental tool for the statistical analysis of clustering in modern galaxy surveys. It was demonstrated that they greatly enrich the information content extracted by two-point statistics, allowing us to break the degeneracies between model parameters and constrain departures from Gaussianity. This paper presents the statistical estimators adopted to evaluate the galaxy three-point correlation function and its numerical implementation within the data analysis pipeline of the Euclid Science Ground Segment. Two different algorithms are adopted to count triplets: a direct and exact counting method capable of providing a robust three-point correlation function measurement for any triangular configuration, and a more efficient method based on spherical harmonic decomposition, designed to address the computational challenges of measuring the three-point statistics for data sets as large as those of the final Euclid survey. The spherical harmonic decomposition estimates the Legendre coefficients of the three-point correlation function up to a finite expansion order. Despite being an approximation, the three-point function measured with this approach satisfies the scientific requirements of the mission. We also introduce, implement, and validate the random split technique, which reduces the computational cost of counting triplets in the reference random sample by a factor of 10, without significantly compromising numerical accuracy. We evaluated the robustness, precision, and accuracy of the numerical estimates through an extensive campaign of validation tests, the results of which are presented. Finally, we quantify the computational requirements and their scaling with the expected size of Euclid data set, showing that a complete three-point analysis of the final Euclid survey is within computational reach.

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arXiv2026

Euclid preparation. Galaxy power spectrum and bispectrum modelling

Higher-order correlation functions of the large-scale galaxy distribution offer access to information beyond that contained in standard 2-point statistics such as the power spectrum. In this work we assess this potential for the $\textit{Euclid}$ mission using synthetic catalogues of H$\alpha$ galaxies based on the 54 $\, h^{-3} \, {\rm Gpc}^3$ Flagship I simulation, designed to reproduce the $\textit{Euclid}$ spectroscopic sample. We comprehensively validate the one-loop galaxy power spectrum and tree-level bispectrum predictions from perturbation theory in both real and redshift space. Assuming scale cuts consistent with our previous power spectrum study on the same catalogues, this modelling yields unbiased cosmological constraints for the bispectrum up to $k_{\rm max} = 0.15\,\, h \, {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ in real space and $0.08 \, (0.1)\,\, h \, {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ at the lowest (highest) redshift, corresponding to $z=0.9$ ($z=1.8$), for the monopole and quadrupole in redshift space using statistical uncertainties corresponding to the full simulation volume. With these scale cuts, adding bispectrum information to the power spectrum improves constraints on the amplitude of scalar perturbations and the matter density by up to 30 %, increasing the overall figure of merit for key cosmological parameters by a factor of about 2.5. Similar conclusions hold when statistical uncertainties are rescaled to a $\textit{Euclid}$-like volume, highlighting the importance of the bispectrum for fully exploiting the forthcoming $\textit{Euclid}$ data. Our analysis also provides the first detailed characterisation of the nonlinear bias model of H$\alpha$ emitters, showing that bias relations calibrated on low-resolution \textit{N}-body simulations do not adequately describe the clustering of H$\alpha$ galaxies at low redshift, whereas excursion-set and co-evolution relations for tidal biases remain accurate.

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arXiv2026

Euclid preparation. Galaxy power spectrum modelling in redshift space

Accurate modelling of redshift-space distortions (RSD) is essential for maximizing the cosmological information extracted from large galaxy redshift surveys. In preparation for the forthcoming analysis of the Euclid spectroscopic data, we investigate three approaches to modelling RSD effects on the power spectrum multipoles of mock H$\alpha$ emission line galaxies. We focus on two one-loop perturbation theory models -- the effective field theory (EFT) and velocity difference generator (${\rm VDG_ \infty}$) -- which differ in their treatment of the real-to-redshift space mapping on small scales, and a third approach, the BACCO emulator, which adopts a hybrid strategy combining perturbation theory with high-resolution N-body simulations. We assess the ability of these models to recover key cosmological parameters, including the expansion rate $h$, the cold dark matter density parameter $\omega_{\rm c}$, and the scalar amplitude $A_{\rm s}$, across four redshift bins spanning $0.9 \leq z \leq 1.8$. In each bin, we find that ${\rm VDG_ \infty}$ and BACCO outperform the EFT model across all scales up to $k_{max} \lesssim 0.35 h\,Mpc^{-1} $. While BACCO saturates in constraining power at intermediate scales and higher redshift, the ${\rm VDG_ \infty}$ model continues to improve parameter constraints beyond $k_{max} \gtrsim 0.30 h\,Mpc^{-1}$. The EFT model, although robust on large scales, exhibits significant parameter biases for $k_{max} \gtrsim 0.25 h\,Mpc^{-1}$, limiting its applicability to Euclid-like H$\alpha$ samples. Among the full perturbation theory-based models, the enhanced treatment of small-scale RSD effects in ${\rm VDG_ \infty}$ improves cosmological parameter constraints by up to a factor of two.

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arXiv2026

Euclid preparation. Galaxy 2-point correlation function modelling in redshift space

The Euclid satellite will measure spectroscopic redshifts for tens of millions of emission-line galaxies. In the context of Stage-IV surveys, the 3-dimensional clustering of galaxies plays a key role in providing cosmological constraints. In this paper, we conduct a model comparison for the multipole moments of the galaxy 2-point correlation function (2PCF) in redshift space. We test state-of-the-art models, in particular the effective field theory of large-scale structure (EFT), one based on the velocity difference generating function (VDG$_{\infty}$), and different variants of Lagrangian perturbation theory (LPT) models, such as convolutional LPT (CLPT) and its effective-field-theory extension (CLEFT). We analyse the first three even multipoles of the 2PCF in the Flagship 1 simulation, which consists of four snapshots at $z\in\{0.9,1.2,1.5,1.8\}$. We study both template-fitting and full-shape approaches and find that with the template-fitting approach, only the VDG$_{\infty}$ model is able to reach a minimum fitting scale of $s_{\rm min}=20\,h^{-1}\,{\rm Mpc}$ at $z=0.9$ without biasing the recovered parameters. Indeed, the EFT model becomes inaccurate already at $s_{\rm min}=30\,h^{-1}\,{\rm Mpc}$. Conversely, in the full-shape analysis, the CLEFT and VDG$_{\infty}$ models perform similarly well, but only the CLEFT model can reach $s_{\rm min}=20\,h^{-1}\,{\rm Mpc}$ while the VDG$_{\infty}$ model is unbiased down to $s_{\rm min}=25\,h^{-1}\,{\rm Mpc}$ at the lowest redshift. Overall, in order to achieve the accuracy required by Euclid, non-perturbative modelling such as in the VDG$_{\infty}$ or CLEFT models should be considered. At $z=1.8$, the CLPT model is sufficient to describe the data with high figure of merit. This comparison selects baseline models that perform best in ideal conditions and sets the stage for an optimal analysis of Euclid data in configuration space.

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arXiv2025

Beyond Stage IV: Quasar and Galaxy Clustering and the Fundamental Physics of the 2040s

Stage IV galaxy surveys (DESI, 4MOST, MOONS, Euclid) are establishing precision constraints on cosmological parameters through baryon acoustic oscillations and redshift-space distortions, yet fundamental questions on neutrino masses, inflationary physics, and the nature of gravity remain beyond their reach. We present a science case for next-generation wide-field spectroscopic surveys targeting $1 < z < 6$ with simultaneous observations of thousands of galaxies, quasars, and emission-line galaxies. Such surveys would deliver transformative advances: (i) cosmological constraints on absolute neutrino masses ($\Sigma m_\nu \lesssim 0.015\,\mathrm{eV}$), three times more stringent than Stage IV, enabling resolution of the neutrino mass hierarchy; (ii) detection of primordial non-Gaussianity at the level of $f_{\mathrm{NL}} \sim 1$, probing multi-field inflation; (iii) measurements of structure growth $f\sigma_8(z)$ spanning cosmic time to constrain dark energy and test gravitational modifications. Achieving these goals requires revolutionary advances in spectroscopic multiplexing ($\mathcal{O}(1000)$ simultaneous spectra), sub-$2\times10^{-4}(1+z)$ redshift precision at scale, and field-level inference techniques exploiting higher-order clustering statistics. We demonstrate that the proposed Wide-field Spectroscopic Telescope concept provides a technically feasible and scientifically compelling path to unlock the physics of neutrinos, inflation, and gravity that will remain inaccessible to Stage IV surveys.

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arXiv2025

Euclid preparation. XCII. Controlling angular systematics in the Euclid spectroscopic galaxy sample

We present the strategy used to identify and mitigate potential sources of angular systematics in the \textit{Euclid} spectroscopic galaxy survey, and we quantify their impact on galaxy clustering measurements and cosmological parameter estimation. We first surveyed the \textit{Euclid} processing pipeline to identify all evident, potential sources of systematics, and classified them into two broad classes: angular systematics, which modulate the galaxy number density across the sky, and catastrophic redshift errors, which lead to interlopers in the galaxy sample. We then used simulated spectroscopic surveys to test our ability to mitigate angular systematics by constructing a random catalogue that represents the `visibility mask' of the survey; this is a dense set of intrinsically unclustered objects, subject to the same selection effects as the data catalogue. The construction of this random catalogue relies on a detection model, which gives the probability of reliably measuring the galaxy redshift as a function of the signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) of its emission lines. We demonstrate that, in the ideal case of a perfect knowledge of the visibility mask, the galaxy power spectrum in the presence of systematics is recovered, to within sub-per cent accuracy, by convolving a theory power spectrum with a window function obtained from the random catalogue itself. In the case of only approximate knowledge of the visibility mask, we test the stability of power spectrum measurements and cosmological parameter posteriors by using perturbed versions of the random catalogue. We find that significant effects are limited to very large scales, and parameter estimation remains robust; the most impacting effects are connected to the calibration of the detection model.

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arXiv2025

Euclid preparation: LXXXVII. Non-Gaussianity of 2-point statistics likelihood: Precise analysis of the matter power spectrum distribution

We investigate the non-Gaussian features in the distribution of the matter power spectrum multipoles. Using the COVMOS method, we generate 100\,000 mock realisations of dark matter density fields in both real and redshift space across multiple redshifts and cosmological models. We derive an analytical framework linking the non-Gaussianity of the power spectrum distribution to higher-order statistics of the density field, including the trispectrum and pentaspectrum. We explore the effect of redshift-space distortions, the geometry of the survey, the Fourier binning, the integral constraint, and the shot noise on the skewness of the distribution of the power spectrum measurements. Our results demonstrate that the likelihood of the estimated matter power spectrum deviates significantly from a Gaussian assumption on nonlinear scales, particularly at low redshift. This departure is primarily driven by the pentaspectrum contribution, which dominates over the trispectrum at intermediate scales. We also examine the impact of the finiteness of the survey geometry in the context of the Euclid mission and find that both the shape of the survey and the integral constraint amplify the skewness.

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arXiv2025

Euclid preparation. Simulating thousands of Euclid spectroscopic skies

We present two extensive sets of 3500+1000 simulations of dark matter haloes on the past light cone, and two corresponding sets of simulated (`mock') galaxy catalogues that represent the Euclid spectroscopic sample. The simulations were produced with the latest version of the PINOCCHIO code, and provide the largest, public set of simulated skies. Mock galaxy catalogues were obtained by populating haloes with galaxies using an halo occupation distribution (HOD) model extracted from the Flagship galaxy catalogue provided by Euclid Collaboration. The Geppetto set of 3500 simulated skies was obtained by tiling a 1.2 Gpc/h box to cover a light-cone whose sky footprint is a circle of 30 deg radius, for an area of 2763 deg$^2$ and a minimum halo mass of $1.5\times10^{11}$ Msun/h. The relatively small box size makes this set unfit for measuring very large scales. The EuclidLargeBox set consists of 1000 simulations of 3.38 Gpc/h, with the same mass resolution and a footprint that covers half of the sky, excluding the Milky Way zone of avoidance. From this we produced a set of 1000 EuclidLargeMocks on the 30 deg radius footprint, whose comoving volume is fully contained in the simulation box. We validated the two sets of catalogues by analysing number densities, power spectra, and 2-point correlation functions, showing that the Flagship spectroscopic catalogue is consistent with being one of the realisations of the simulated sets, although we noticed small deviations limited to the quadrupole at k>0.2 h/Mpc. We show cosmological parameter inference from these catalogues and demonstrate that using one realisation of EuclidLargeMocks in place of the Flagship mock produces the same posteriors, to within the expected shift given by sample variance. These simulated skies will be used for the galaxy clustering analysis of Euclid's Data Release 1 (DR1).

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arXiv2025

Euclid preparation. Full-shape modelling of 2-point and 3-point correlation functions in real space

We investigate the accuracy and range of validity of the perturbative model for the 2-point (2PCF) and 3-point (3PCF) correlation functions in real space in view of the forthcoming analysis of the Euclid mission spectroscopic sample. We take advantage of clustering measurements from four snapshots of the Flagship I N-body simulations at z = {0.9, 1.2, 1.5, 1.8}, which mimic the expected galaxy population in the ideal case of absence of observational effects such as purity and completeness. For the 3PCF we consider all available triangle configurations given a minimal separation. First, we assess the model performance by fixing the cosmological parameters and evaluating the goodness-of-fit provided by the perturbative bias expansion in the joint analysis of the two statistics, finding overall agreement with the data down to separations of 20 Mpc/h. Subsequently, we build on the state-of-the-art and extend the analysis to include the dependence on three cosmological parameters: the amplitude of scalar perturbations As, the matter density {\omega}cdm and the Hubble parameter h. To achieve this goal, we develop an emulator capable of generating fast and robust modelling predictions for the two summary statistics, allowing efficient sampling of the joint likelihood function. We therefore present the first joint full-shape analysis of the real-space 2PCF and 3PCF, testing the consistency and constraining power of the perturbative model across both probes, and assessing its performance in a combined likelihood framework. We explore possible systematic uncertainties induced by the perturbative model at small scales finding an optimal scale cut of rmin = 30 Mpc/h for the 3PCF, when imposing an additional limitation on nearly isosceles triangular configurations included in the data vector. This work is part of a Euclid Preparation series validating theoretical models for galaxy clustering.

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arXiv2025

Euclid preparation. The impact of redshift interlopers on the two-point correlation function analysis

The Euclid survey aims to measure the spectroscopic redshift of emission-line galaxies by identifying the H$\,{\alpha}$ line in their slitless spectra. This method is sensitive to the signal-to-noise ratio of the line, as noise fluctuations or other strong emission lines can be misidentified as H$\,{\alpha}$, depending on redshift. These effects lead to catastrophic redshift errors and the inclusion of interlopers in the sample. We forecast the impact of such redshift errors on galaxy clustering measurements. In particular, we study the effect of interloper contamination on the two-point correlation function (2PCF), the growth rate of structures, and the Alcock-Paczynski (AP) parameters. We analyze 1000 synthetic spectroscopic catalogues, the EuclidLargeMocks, designed to match the area and selection function of the Data Release 1 (DR1) sample. We estimate the 2PCF of the contaminated catalogues, isolating contributions from correctly identified galaxies and from interlopers. We explore different models with increasing complexity to describe the measured 2PCF at fixed cosmology. Finally, we perform a cosmological inference and evaluate the systematic error on the inferred $f\sigma_8$, $\alpha_{\parallel}$ and $\alpha_{\perp}$ values associated with different models. Our results demonstrate that a minimal modelling approach, which only accounts for an attenuation of the clustering signal regardless of the type of contaminants, is sufficient to recover the correct values of $f\sigma_8$, $\alpha_{\parallel}$, and $\alpha_{\perp}$ at DR1. The accuracy and precision of the estimated AP parameters are largely insensitive to the presence of interlopers. The adoption of a minimal model induces a 1%-3% systematic error on the growth rate of structure estimation, depending on the redshift. However, this error remains smaller than the statistical error expected for the Euclid DR1 analysis.

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arXiv2024

Euclid preparation. L. Calibration of the linear halo bias in $\Lambda(\nu)$CDM cosmologies

The Euclid mission, designed to map the geometry of the dark Universe, presents an unprecedented opportunity for advancing our understanding of the cosmos through its photometric galaxy cluster survey. This paper focuses on enhancing the precision of halo bias (HB) predictions, which is crucial for deriving cosmological constraints from the clustering of galaxy clusters. Our study is based on the peak-background split (PBS) model linked to the halo mass function (HMF); it extends with a parametric correction to precisely align with results from an extended set of $N$-body simulations carried out with the OpenGADGET3 code. Employing simulations with fixed and paired initial conditions, we meticulously analyze the matter-halo cross-spectrum and model its covariance using a large number of mock catalogs generated with Lagrangian Perturbation Theory simulations with the PINOCCHIO code. This ensures a comprehensive understanding of the uncertainties in our HB calibration. Our findings indicate that the calibrated HB model is remarkably resilient against changes in cosmological parameters including those involving massive neutrinos. The robustness and adaptability of our calibrated HB model provide an important contribution to the cosmological exploitation of the cluster surveys to be provided by the Euclid mission. This study highlights the necessity of continuously refining the calibration of cosmological tools like the HB to match the advancing quality of observational data. As we project the impact of our model on cosmological constraints, we find that, given the sensitivity of the Euclid survey, a miscalibration of the HB could introduce biases in cluster cosmology analyses. Our work fills this critical gap, ensuring the HB calibration matches the expected precision of the Euclid survey. The implementation of our model is publicly available in https://github.com/TiagoBsCastro/CCToolkit.

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arXiv2023

Euclid preparation. XLI. Galaxy power spectrum modelling in real space

We investigate the accuracy of the perturbative galaxy bias expansion in view of the forthcoming analysis of the Euclid spectroscopic galaxy samples. We compare the performance of an Eulerian galaxy bias expansion, using state-of-art prescriptions from the effective field theory of large-scale structure (EFTofLSS), against a hybrid approach based on Lagrangian perturbation theory and high-resolution simulations. These models are benchmarked against comoving snapshots of the Flagship I N-body simulation at $z=(0.9,1.2,1.5,1.8)$, which have been populated with H$\alpha$ galaxies leading to catalogues of millions of objects within a volume of about $58\,h^{-3}\,{\rm Gpc}^3$. Our analysis suggests that both models can be used to provide a robust inference of the parameters $(h, \omega_{\rm c})$ in the redshift range under consideration, with comparable constraining power. We additionally determine the range of validity of the EFTofLSS model in terms of scale cuts and model degrees of freedom. From these tests, it emerges that the standard third-order Eulerian bias expansion can accurately describe the full shape of the real-space galaxy power spectrum up to the maximum wavenumber $k_{\rm max}=0.45\,h\,{\rm Mpc}^{-1}$, even with a measurement precision well below the percent level. In particular, this is true for a configuration with six free nuisance parameters, including local and non-local bias parameters, a matter counterterm, and a correction to the shot-noise contribution. Fixing either tidal bias parameters to physically-motivated relations still leads to unbiased cosmological constraints. We finally repeat our analysis assuming a volume that matches the expected footprint of Euclid, but without considering observational effects, as purity and completeness, showing that we can get consistent cosmological constraints over this range of scales and redshifts.

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arXiv2023

Euclid preparation. XXIV. Calibration of the halo mass function in $Λ(ν)$CDM cosmologies

Euclid's photometric galaxy cluster survey has the potential to be a very competitive cosmological probe. The main cosmological probe with observations of clusters is their number count, within which the halo mass function (HMF) is a key theoretical quantity. We present a new calibration of the analytic HMF, at the level of accuracy and precision required for the uncertainty in this quantity to be subdominant with respect to other sources of uncertainty in recovering cosmological parameters from Euclid cluster counts. Our model is calibrated against a suite of N-body simulations using a Bayesian approach taking into account systematic errors arising from numerical effects in the simulation. First, we test the convergence of HMF predictions from different N-body codes, by using initial conditions generated with different orders of Lagrangian Perturbation theory, and adopting different simulation box sizes and mass resolution. Then, we quantify the effect of using different halo-finder algorithms, and how the resulting differences propagate to the cosmological constraints. In order to trace the violation of universality in the HMF, we also analyse simulations based on initial conditions characterised by scale-free power spectra with different spectral indexes, assuming both Einstein--de Sitter and standard $Λ$CDM expansion histories. Based on these results, we construct a fitting function for the HMF that we demonstrate to be sub-percent accurate in reproducing results from 9 different variants of the $Λ$CDM model including massive neutrinos cosmologies. The calibration systematic uncertainty is largely sub-dominant with respect to the expected precision of future mass-observation relations; with the only notable exception of the effect due to the halo finder, that could lead to biased cosmological inference.

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arXiv2022

Euclid preparation. XXVII. Covariance model validation for the 2-point correlation function of galaxy clusters

Aims. We validate a semi-analytical model for the covariance of real-space 2-point correlation function of galaxy clusters. Methods. Using 1000 PINOCCHIO light cones mimicking the expected Euclid sample of galaxy clusters, we calibrate a simple model to accurately describe the clustering covariance. Then, we use such a model to quantify the likelihood analysis response to variations of the covariance, and investigate the impact of a cosmology-dependent matrix at the level of statistics expected for the Euclid survey of galaxy clusters. Results. We find that a Gaussian model with Poissonian shot-noise does not correctly predict the covariance of the 2-point correlation function of galaxy clusters. By introducing few additional parameters fitted from simulations, the proposed model reproduces the numerical covariance with 10 per cent accuracy, with differences of about 5 per cent on the figure of merit of the cosmological parameters $Ω_{\rm m}$ and $σ_8$. Also, we find that the cosmology-dependence of the covariance adds valuable information that is not contained in the mean value, significantly improving the constraining power of cluster clustering. Finally, we find that the cosmological figure of merit can be further improved by taking mass binning into account. Our results have significant implications for the derivation of cosmological constraints from the 2-point clustering statistics of the Euclid survey of galaxy clusters.

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arXiv2022

The halo 3-point correlation function: a methodological analysis

We measure the 3PCF of 300 halo catalogs from the Minerva simulations covering a total volume of $~1000 h^{-3} \mathrm{Gpc}^3$. Each 3PCF measurement includes all possible triangular configurations with sides between 20 and $130h^{-1}\mathrm{Gpc}$. First, we test different estimates of the covariance matrix, a crucial aspect of the analysis. We compare the covariance computed numerically from the limited but accurate benchmark simulations set to the one obtained from $10000$ approximate halo catalogs generated with the Pinocchio code. We demonstrate that the two numerically-estimated covariance matrices largely match, confirming the validity of approximate methods based on Lagrangian Perturbation Theory for generating mocks suitable for covariance estimation. We also compare the numerical covariance with a theoretical prediction in the Gaussian approximation. We find a good match between the two for separations above 40 $h^{-1} \mathrm{Gpc}$. We test the 3PCF tree-level model in Perturbation Theory. The model is adopted in a likelihood analysis aimed at the determination of bias parameters. We find that, for our sample of halos at redshift $z=1$, the tree-level model performs well for separations $r \geq 40 \, h^{-1}\mathrm{Gpc}$. Results obtained with this scale cut are robust against different choices of covariance matrix. We compare to the analogous analysis of the halo bispectrum already presented in a previous publication, finding a remarkable agreement between the two statistics. We then test different assumptions to build the model defining a robust combination of hypotheses that lead to unbiased parameter estimates. Our results confirm the importance of 3PCF, supplying a solid recipe for its inclusion in likelihood analyses. Moreover, it opens the path for further improvements, especially in modelling, to extract information from non-linear regimes

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