Eddy Michel Ella Mintsa

arXiv2026

Minimax convergence rates of a binary classification procedure for time-homogeneous SDE paths

In the context of binary classification of trajectories generated by time-homogeneous stochastic differential equations, we consider a mixture of two diffusion processes characterized by a stochastic differential equation (SDE) whose drift coefficient depends on the class and whose diffusion coefficient is independent of the class. We assume that the drift and diffusion coefficients are unknown as well as the law of the discrete random variable that models the class. In this paper, we study the minimax convergence rates for the excess risk of the resulting plug-in classifier under different sets of assumptions on the diffusion model. As the plug-in classifier is based on nonparametric estimators of drift and diffusion coefficients, we established rates of convergence for projection estimators of drift coefficients on the real line. We propose a new methodology for the study of the lower bound on the excess risk. The theoretical study is completed with a numerical experiment over simulated data.

math.ST↗

arXiv2025

Minimax rates of convergence for the nonparametric estimation of the diffusion coefficient from time-homogeneous SDE paths

Consider a diffusion process X, solution of a time-homogeneous stochastic differential equation. We assume that the diffusion process X is observed at discrete times, at high frequency, which means that the time step tends toward zero. In addition, the drift and diffusion coefficients of the process X are assumed to be unknown. In this paper, we study the minimax rates of convergence of the nonparametric estimators of the square of the diffusion coefficient. Two observation schemes are considered depending on the estimation interval. The square of the diffusion coefficient is estimated on the real line from repeated observations of the process X, where the number of diffusion paths tends to infinity. For the case of a compact estimation interval, we study the nonparametric estimation of the square of the diffusion coefficient constructed from a single diffusion path on one side and from repeated observations on the other side, where the number of trajectories tends to infinity. In each of these cases, we establish minimax convergence rates of the risk of estimation of the diffusion coefficient over a space of Holder functions.

math.ST↗