arXiv subjects

Eduardo García-Portugués

Publications and source records attributed to Eduardo García-Portugués.

46 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2020

Exploring wind direction and SO2 concentration by circular-linear density estimation

The study of environmental problems usually requires the description of variables with different nature and the assessment of relations between them. In this work, an algorithm for flexible estimation of the joint density for a circular-linear variable is proposed. The method is applied for exploring the relation between wind direction and SO2 concentration in a monitoring station close to a power plant located in Galicia (NW-Spain), in order to compare the effectiveness of precautionary measures for pollutants reduction in two different years.

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arXiv2020

A test for directional-linear independence, with applications to wildfire orientation and size

The relation between wildfire orientation and size is analyzed by means of a nonparametric test for directional-linear independence. The test statistic is designed for assessing the independence between two random variables of different nature, specifically directional (fire orientation, circular or spherical, as particular cases) and linear (fire size measured as burnt area, scalar), based on a directional-linear nonparametric kernel density estimator. In order to apply the proposed methodology in practice, a resampling procedure based on permutations and bootstrap is provided. The finite sample performance of the test is assessed by a simulation study, comparing its behavior with other classical tests for the circular-linear case. Finally, the test is applied to analyze wildfire data from Portugal.

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arXiv2020

Kernel density estimation for directional-linear data

A nonparametric kernel density estimator for directional-linear data is introduced. The proposal is based on a product kernel accounting for the different nature of both (directional and linear) components of the random vector. Expressions for bias, variance and Mean Integrated Squared Error (MISE) are derived, jointly with an asymptotic normality result for the proposed estimator. For some particular distributions, an explicit formula for the MISE is obtained and compared with its asymptotic version, both for directional and directional-linear kernel density estimators. In this same setting a closed expression for the bootstrap MISE is also derived.

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arXiv2020

A goodness-of-fit test for the functional linear model with scalar response

In this work, a goodness-of-fit test for the null hypothesis of a functional linear model with scalar response is proposed. The test is based on a generalization to the functional framework of a previous one, designed for the goodness-of-fit of regression models with multivariate covariates using random projections. The test statistic is easy to compute using geometrical and matrix arguments, and simple to calibrate in its distribution by a wild bootstrap on the residuals. The finite sample properties of the test are illustrated by a simulation study for several types of basis and under different alternatives. Finally, the test is applied to two datasets for checking the assumption of the functional linear model and a graphical tool is introduced. Supplementary materials are available online.

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arXiv2020

Testing parametric models in linear-directional regression

This paper presents a goodness-of-fit test for parametric regression models with scalar response and directional predictor, that is, a vector on a sphere of arbitrary dimension. The testing procedure is based on the weighted squared distance between a smooth and a parametric regression estimator, where the smooth regression estimator is obtained by a projected local approach. Asymptotic behavior of the test statistic under the null hypothesis and local alternatives is provided, jointly with a consistent bootstrap algorithm for application in practice. A simulation study illustrates the performance of the test in finite samples. The procedure is applied to test a linear model in text mining.

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arXiv2020

Exact risk improvement of bandwidth selectors for kernel density estimation with directional data

New bandwidth selectors for kernel density estimation with directional data are presented in this work. These selectors are based on asymptotic and exact error expressions for the kernel density estimator combined with mixtures of von Mises distributions. The performance of the proposed selectors is investigated in a simulation study and compared with other existing rules for a large variety of directional scenarios, sample sizes and dimensions. The selector based on the exact error expression turns out to have the best behaviour of the studied selectors for almost all the situations. This selector is illustrated with real data for the circular and spherical cases.

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arXiv2020

Central limit theorems for directional and linear random variables with applications

A central limit theorem for the integrated squared error of the directional-linear kernel density estimator is established. The result enables the construction and analysis of two testing procedures based on squared loss: a nonparametric independence test for directional and linear random variables and a goodness-of-fit test for parametric families of directional-linear densities. Limit distributions for both test statistics, and a consistent bootstrap strategy for the goodness-of-fit test, are developed for the directional-linear case and adapted to the directional-directional setting. Finite sample performance for the goodness-of-fit test is illustrated in a simulation study. This test is also applied to datasets from biology and environmental sciences.

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arXiv2020

Goodness-of-fit tests for functional linear models based on integrated projections

Functional linear models are one of the most fundamental tools to assess the relation between two random variables of a functional or scalar nature. This contribution proposes a goodness-of-fit test for the functional linear model with functional response that neatly adapts to functional/scalar responses/predictors. In particular, the new goodness-of-fit test extends a previous proposal for scalar response. The test statistic is based on a convenient regularized estimator, is easy to compute, and is calibrated through an efficient bootstrap resampling. A graphical diagnostic tool, useful to visualize the deviations from the model, is introduced and illustrated with a novel data application. The R package goffda implements the proposed methods and allows for the reproducibility of the data application.

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arXiv2020

Discounted optimal stopping of a Brownian bridge, with application to American options under pinning

Mathematically, the execution of an American-style financial derivative is commonly reduced to solving an optimal stopping problem. Breaking the general assumption that the knowledge of the holder is restricted to the price history of the underlying asset, we allow for the disclosure of future information about the terminal price of the asset by modeling it as a Brownian bridge. This model may be used under special market conditions, in particular we focus on what in the literature is known as the "pinning effect", that is, when the price of the asset approaches the strike price of a highly-traded option close to its expiration date. Our main mathematical contribution is in characterizing the solution to the optimal stopping problem when the gain function includes the discount factor. We show how to numerically compute the solution and we analyze the effect of the volatility estimation on the strategy by computing the confidence curves around the optimal stopping boundary. Finally, we compare our method with the optimal exercise time based on a geometric Brownian motion by using real data exhibiting pinning.

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arXiv2018

An overview of uniformity tests on the hypersphere

When modeling directional data, that is, unit-norm multivariate vectors, a first natural question is to ask whether the directions are uniformly distributed or, on the contrary, whether there exist modes of variation significantly different from uniformity. We review in this article a reasonably exhaustive collection of uniformity tests for assessing uniformity in the hypersphere. Specifically, we review the classical circular-specific tests, the large class of Sobolev tests with its many notable particular cases, some recent alternative tests, and novel results in the high-dimensional low-sample size case. A reasonably comprehensive bibliography on the topic is provided.

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