arXiv subjects

Edward Gunning

Publications and source records attributed to Edward Gunning.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Functional Moments Regression

The Gaussian Process (GP) assumption is often used in functional data analysis. We propose a method to assess departures from the GP assumption, both in terms of the shape of the distribution and its potential dependence on covariates, using a sequence of functional moment regressions. Our methods are inspired by and applied to objectively measured minute-level physical activity data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2011-2014 study. In this setting, we find that the GP assumption is not satisfied, quantify the associations between functional moments and covariates, and show that standard data transformations, such as the log transformation, do not resolve the discrepancy between assumptions and reality. We further show that when the effect sizes are moderate, inference on the functional fixed effects is largely unaffected by departures from the GP assumption. However, when effect sizes are small, both inference and prediction of subject-level data can be strongly affected. Extensive simulations support these findings. This pragmatic paper presents new methods for real data analysis, with implications for statistical methodology and for understanding human activity and health.

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arXiv2025

Concurrence: A dependence criterion for time series, applied to biological data

Measuring the statistical dependence between observed signals is a primary tool for scientific discovery. However, biological systems often exhibit complex non-linear interactions that currently cannot be captured without a priori knowledge or large datasets. We introduce a criterion for dependence, whereby two time series are deemed dependent if one can construct a classifier that distinguishes between temporally aligned vs. misaligned segments extracted from them. We show that this criterion, concurrence, is theoretically linked with dependence, and can become a standard approach for scientific analyses across disciplines, as it can expose relationships across a wide spectrum of signals (fMRI, physiological and behavioral data) without ad-hoc parameter tuning or large amounts of data.

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arXiv2025

Is Stephen Curry really a guard? A new perspective on player typologies using functional data analysis

We present a novel representation of NBA players' shooting patterns based on Functional Data Analysis (FDA). Each player's charts of made and missed shots are treated as smooth functional data defined over a two-dimensional domain corresponding to the offensive half-court. This continuous representation enables a parsimonious multivariate functional principal components analysis (MFPCA) decomposition, producing a set of common principal component functions that capture the primary modes of variability in shooting patterns, along with player-specific scores that quantify individual deviations from the average behavior. We first interpret the principal component functions to characterize the main sources of variation in shooting tendencies. We then apply $k$-medoids clustering to the principal component scores to construct a data-driven taxonomy of players. Comparing our empirical clusters to conventional NBA position labels reveals low agreement, suggesting that our shooting-pattern representation might capture aspects of playing style not fully reflected in official designations. The application of FDA to this area introduces a flexible, interpretable, and continuous framework for analyzing player tendencies, with potential applications in coaching, scouting, and historical player or match comparisons.

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arXiv2025

CLaRe: Compact near-lossless Latent Representations of High-Dimensional Object Data

Latent feature representation methods play an important role in the dimension reduction and statistical modeling of high-dimensional complex data objects. However, existing approaches to assess the quality of these methods often rely on aggregated statistics that reflect the central tendency of the distribution of information losses, such as average or total loss, which can mask variation across individual observations. We argue that controlling average performance is insufficient to guarantee that statistical analysis in the latent space reflects the data-generating process and instead advocate for controlling the worst-case generalization error, or a tail quantile of the generalization error distribution. Our framework, CLaRe (Compact near-lossless Latent Representations), introduces a systematic way to balance compactness of the representation with preservation of information when assessing and selecting among latent feature representation methods. To facilitate the application of the CLaRe framework, we have developed GLaRe (Graphical Analysis of Latent Representations), an open-source R package that implements the framework and provides graphical summaries of the full generalization error distribution. We demonstrate the utility of CLaRe through three case studies on high-dimensional datasets from diverse fields of application. We apply the CLaRe framework to select among principal components, wavelets and autoencoder representations for each dataset. The case studies reveal that the optimal latent feature representation varies depending on dataset characteristics, emphasizing the importance of a flexible evaluation framework.

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arXiv2024

A Multivariate Multilevel Longitudinal Functional Model for Repeatedly Observed Human Movement Data

Biomechanics and human movement research often involves measuring multiple kinematic or kinetic variables regularly throughout a movement, yielding data that present as smooth, multivariate, time-varying curves and are naturally amenable to functional data analysis. It is now increasingly common to record the same movement repeatedly for each individual, resulting in curves that are serially correlated and can be viewed as longitudinal functional data. We present a new approach for modelling multivariate multilevel longitudinal functional data, with application to kinematic data from recreational runners collected during a treadmill run. For each stride, the runners' hip, knee and ankle angles are modelled jointly as smooth multivariate functions that depend on subject-specific covariates. Longitudinally varying multivariate functional random effects are used to capture the dependence among adjacent strides and changes in the multivariate functions over the course of the treadmill run. A basis modelling approach is adopted to fit the model -- we represent each observation using a multivariate functional principal components basis and model the basis coefficients using scalar longitudinal mixed effects models. The predicted random effects are used to understand and visualise changes in the multivariate functional data over the course of the treadmill run. In our application, our method quantifies the effects of scalar covariates on the multivariate functional data, revealing a statistically significant effect of running speed at the hip, knee and ankle joints. Analysis of the predicted random effects reveals that individuals' kinematics are generally stable but certain individuals who exhibit strong changes during the run can also be identified. A simulation study is presented to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed methodology under realistic data-generating scenarios.

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arXiv2024

Analysing kinematic data from recreational runners using functional data analysis

We present a multivariate functional mixed effects model for kinematic data from a large number of recreational runners. The runners' sagittal plane hip and knee angles are modelled jointly as a bivariate function with random effects functions used to account for the dependence among measurements from either side of the body. The model is fitted by first applying multivariate functional principal component analysis (mv-FPCA) and then modelling the mv-FPCA scores using scalar linear mixed effects models. Simulation and bootstrap approaches are introduced to construct simultaneous confidence bands for the fixed effects functions, and covariance functions are reconstructed to summarise the variability structure in the data and thoroughly investigate the suitability of the proposed model. In our scientific application, we observe a statistically significant effect of running speed on both the hip and knee angles. We also observe strong within-subject correlations, reflecting the highly idiosyncratic nature of running technique. Our approach is more generally applicable to modelling multiple streams of smooth kinematic or kinetic data measured repeatedly for multiple subjects in complex experimental designs.

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arXiv2024

An Understanding of Principal Differential Analysis

In functional data analysis, replicate observations of a smooth functional process and its derivatives offer a unique opportunity to flexibly estimate continuous-time ordinary differential equation models. Ramsay (1996) first proposed to estimate a linear ordinary differential equation from functional data in a technique called Principal Differential Analysis, by formulating a functional regression in which the highest-order derivative of a function is modelled as a time-varying linear combination of its lower-order derivatives. Principal Differential Analysis was introduced as a technique for data reduction and representation, using solutions of the estimated differential equation as a basis to represent the functional data. In this work, we re-formulate PDA as a generative statistical model in which functional observations arise as solutions of a deterministic ODE that is forced by a smooth random error process. This viewpoint defines a flexible class of functional models based on differential equations and leads to an improved understanding and characterisation of the sources of variability in Principal Differential Analysis. It does, however, result in parameter estimates that can be heavily biased under the standard estimation approach of PDA. Therefore, we introduce an iterative bias-reduction algorithm that can be applied to improve parameter estimates. We also examine the utility of our approach when the form of the deterministic part of the differential equation is unknown and possibly non-linear, where Principal Differential Analysis is treated as an approximate model based on time-varying linearisation. We demonstrate our approach on simulated data from linear and non-linear differential equations and on real data from human movement biomechanics. Supplementary R code for this manuscript is available at \url{https://github.com/edwardgunning/UnderstandingOfPDAManuscript}.

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arXiv2023

On the estimation of the number of components in multivariate functional principal component analysis

Happ and Greven (2018) developed a methodology for principal components analysis of multivariate functional data observed on different dimensional domains. Their approach relies on an estimation of univariate functional principal components for each univariate functional feature. In this paper, we present extensive simulations to investigate choosing the number of principal components to retain. We show empirically that the conventional approach of using a percentage of variance explained threshold for each univariate functional feature may be unreliable when aiming to explain an overall percentage of variance in the multivariate functional data, and thus we advise practitioners to exercise caution.

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arXiv2023

On the use of the Gram matrix for multivariate functional principal components analysis

Dimension reduction is crucial in functional data analysis (FDA). The key tool to reduce the dimension of the data is functional principal component analysis. Existing approaches for functional principal component analysis usually involve the diagonalization of the covariance operator. With the increasing size and complexity of functional datasets, estimating the covariance operator has become more challenging. Therefore, there is a growing need for efficient methodologies to estimate the eigencomponents. Using the duality of the space of observations and the space of functional features, we propose to use the inner-product between the curves to estimate the eigenelements of multivariate and multidimensional functional datasets. The relationship between the eigenelements of the covariance operator and those of the inner-product matrix is established. We explore the application of these methodologies in several FDA settings and provide general guidance on their usability.

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