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Edwin H. Wintermute

Publications and source records attributed to Edwin H. Wintermute.

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BioSecBench-Refusal: A paired metric for performance and alignment in agentic biosecurity risk assessment

As AI agents are incorporated into life science workflows, the capabilities that speed discovery might also enable misuse. We present BioSecBench-Refusal, a benchmark for risk identification and refusal behavior for biological research tasks. The benchmark pairs 61 Routine tasks, legitimate analyses adapted from the published literature, with 46 Red-Team tasks, fictional scenarios that resemble real research but conceal a biosecurity hazard. Across 16 model-harness configurations, refusal rates ranged from 7 percent to 74 percent on Routine tasks and 1 percent to 62 percent on Red-Team tasks, with many configurations refusing legitimate Routine work at comparable or higher rates than concealed hazards. Refusals were most often triggered by provider API filters applied prior to agentic reasoning. However, models given room to reason showed the potential to identify more real threats. We release BioSecBench-Refusal as a tool for model developers to calibrate capability and caution for agentic biotech research and development.

cs.CR

A survival model for course-course interactions in a Massive Open Online Course platform

Massive Open Online Course (MOOC) platforms incorporate large course catalogs from which individual students may register multiple courses. We performed a network-based analysis of student achievement, considering how course-course interactions may positively or negatively affect student success. Our dataset included 378,000 users and 1,000,000 unique registration events in France Universite Numerique (FUN), a national MOOC platform. We adapt reliability theory to model certificate completion rates with a Weibull survival function, following the intuition that students "survive" in a course for a certain time before stochastically dropping out. Course-course interactions are found to be well described by a single parameter for user engagement that can be estimated from a user's registration profile. User engagement, in turn, correlates with certificate rates in all courses regardless of specific content. The reliability approach is shown to capture several certificate rate patterns that are overlooked by conventional regression models. User engagement emerges as a natural metric for tracking student progress across demographics and over time.

cs.CY