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Ehimare Okoyomon

Publications and source records attributed to Ehimare Okoyomon.

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On the Rademacher Complexity of Graph Neural Networks: Unifying Expressivity and Geometry

Understanding the interplay between generalization, expressivity, and the geometry of the input space is a central challenge in graph learning. The expressivity of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) is typically characterized through their correspondence with graph invariants, such as those from the Weisfeiler-Leman (WL) hierarchy. While more expressive GNNs can distinguish a richer set of graphs, they are also associated with weaker generalization guarantees. Previous works have addressed this trade-off using the VC dimension, a purely combinatorial measure, independent of the training data. In this work, we adopt a data-dependent measure of generalization, the empirical Rademacher complexity, and derive tight generalization bounds that jointly consider the expressive power of GNNs and the geometry of the underlying input space. Specifically, any graph invariant that upper-bounds a GNN's expressive power partitions the input space into equivalence classes, and we show that the empirical Rademacher complexity is controlled by the distribution of training samples across these classes. Moving beyond discrete partitions, we incorporate the geometry of the input space and derive covering-number bounds under Lipschitz continuity, showing that the complexity cost can be mitigated when the hypothesis class remains smooth over the data geometry. In addition, we prove that the empirical Rademacher complexity is Lipschitz continuous with respect to the Wasserstein distance between empirical measures supported on different datasets. This yields robustness and generalization guarantees under sampling variability. Importantly, our framework is not restricted to message-passing GNNs or WL, but extends to arbitrary GNN architectures and their associated invariants, providing a step toward a unified theory of GNN generalization.

cs.LG

BOOST-RPF: Boosted Sequential Trees for Radial Power Flow

Accurate power flow analysis is critical for modern distribution systems, yet classical solvers face scalability issues, and current machine learning models often struggle with generalization. We introduce BOOST-RPF, a novel method that reformulates voltage prediction from a global graph regression task into a sequential path-based learning problem. By decomposing radial networks into root-to-leaf paths, we leverage gradient-boosted decision trees (XGBoost) to model local voltage-drop regularities. We evaluate three architectural variants: Absolute Voltage, Parent Residual, and Physics-Informed Residual. This approach aligns the model architecture with the recursive physics of power flow, ensuring size-agnostic application and superior out-of-distribution robustness. Benchmarked against the Kerber Dorfnetz grid and the ENGAGE suite, BOOST-RPF achieves state-of-the-art results with its Parent Residual variant which consistently outperforms both analytical and neural baselines in standard accuracy and generalization tasks. While global Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLPs) and Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) often suffer from performance degradation under topological shifts, BOOST-RPF maintains high precision across unseen feeders. Furthermore, the framework displays linear $O(N)$ computational scaling and significantly increased sample efficiency through per-edge supervision, offering a scalable and generalizable alternative for real-time distribution system operator (DSO) applications.

cs.LG

Physics-Informed Inductive Biases for Voltage Prediction in Distribution Grids

Voltage prediction in distribution grids is a critical yet difficult task for maintaining power system stability. Machine learning approaches, particularly Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), offer significant speedups but suffer from poor generalization when trained on limited or incomplete data. In this work, we systematically investigate the role of inductive biases in improving a model's ability to reliably learn power flow. Specifically, we evaluate three physics-informed strategies: (i) power-flow-constrained loss functions, (ii) complex-valued neural networks, and (iii) residual-based task reformulation. Using the ENGAGE dataset, which spans multiple low- and medium-voltage grid configurations, we conduct controlled experiments to isolate the effect of each inductive bias and assess both standard predictive performance and out-of-distribution generalization. Our study provides practical insights into which model assumptions most effectively guide learning for reliable and efficient voltage prediction in modern distribution networks.

cs.LG

Exploring Variational Graph Autoencoders for Distribution Grid Data Generation

To address the lack of public power system data for machine learning research in energy networks, we investigate the use of variational graph autoencoders (VGAEs) for synthetic distribution grid generation. Using two open-source datasets, ENGAGE and DINGO, we evaluate four decoder variants and compare generated networks against the original grids using structural and spectral metrics. Results indicate that simple decoders fail to capture realistic topologies, while GCN-based approaches achieve strong fidelity on ENGAGE but struggle on the more complex DINGO dataset, producing artifacts such as disconnected components and repeated motifs. These findings highlight both the promise and limitations of VGAEs for grid synthesis, underscoring the need for more expressive generative models and robust evaluation. We release our models and analysis as open source to support benchmarking and accelerate progress in ML-driven power system research.

cs.LG