arXiv subjects

Ekaterina Dudkina

Publications and source records attributed to Ekaterina Dudkina.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2022

On the use of Markov chains for epidemic modeling on networks

We discuss various models for epidemics on networks that rely on Markov chains. Random walks on graphs are often used to predict epidemic spread and to investigate possible control actions to mitigate them. In this study, we demonstrate that they do not fully reflect the dynamics of epidemics, as they overestimate infection times. Accordingly, we explain how Markov chains may still be used to accurately model the virus spread, and to correctly predict infection times. We also provide an algorithm that efficiently estimates infection times via a sampling strategy. Finally, we present a novel indicator based on infection times, and we compare its node ranking properties with other centrality measures based on random walks.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2021

On node ranking in graphs

The ranking of nodes in a network according to their ``importance'' is a classic problem that has attracted the interest of different scientific communities in the last decades. The current COVID-19 pandemic has recently rejuvenated the interest in this problem, as it is related to the selection of which individuals should be tested in a population of asymptomatic individuals, or which individuals should be vaccinated first. Motivated by the COVID-19 spreading dynamics, in this paper we review the most popular methods for node ranking in undirected unweighted graphs, and compare their performance in a benchmark realistic network, that takes into account the community-based structure of society. Also, we generalize a classic benchmark network originally proposed by Newman for ranking nodes in unweighted graphs, to show how ranks change in the weighted case.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2020

Kemeny-based testing for COVID-19

Testing, tracking and tracing abilities have been identified as pivotal in helping countries to safely reopen activities after the first wave of the COVID-19 virus. Contact tracing apps give the unprecedented possibility to reconstruct graphs of daily contacts, so the question is who should be tested? As human contact networks are known to exhibit community structure, in this paper we show that the Kemeny constant of a graph can be used to identify and analyze bridges between communities in a graph. Our "Kemeny indicator" is the change in Kemeny constant when a node or edge is removed from the graph. We show that testing individuals who are associated with large values of the Kemeny indicator can help in efficiently intercepting new virus outbreaks, when they are still in their early stage. Extensive simulations provide promising results in early identification and in blocking possible "super-spreaders" links that transmit disease between different communities.

physics.soc-ph↗