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Eleni Petrakou

Publications and source records attributed to Eleni Petrakou.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Predictions for solar flares activity in solar cycle 25

The prediction of the evolution of individual solar cycles is a developing field, faced with divergence of forecasts even for a few years in the future. Specifically for solar flares, long-term modeling is practically absent even in rough terms. In this article a forecast for the evolution of solar cycle 25 in terms of solar flares activity is presented. It is derived from an existing phenomenological model based on the coupling of an internal solar component and a planetary component. In addition to competent temporal resolution, the predictions are characterized by features which both differentiate the model from other space climate forecasts and make it falsifiable.

astro-ph.SR

Planetary statistics and forecasting for solar flares

Indications are presented for a significant connection between the relative motion of the planets and the appearance of energetic solar flares. Based on the records of the last four decades, the analysis highlights remarkable features and a lack of randomness in the data. The indications are supported further by the predictive power of a preliminary application to forecasting with machine learning methods.

astro-ph.SR

A deterministic model for forecasting long-term solar activity

A phenomenological model is presented for the quantitative description of individual solar cycles' features, such as onset, intensity, evolution, in terms of the number of M and X-class solar flares. The main elements of the model are the relative ecliptic motion of the planets Jupiter and Saturn, and its synergy with a quasi-periodic component of solar activity. Using as input the temporal distribution of flares during cycle 21, the general evolution of cycles 22-24 is reproduced in notable agreement with the observations, including the resurgence of activity in the last months of 2017, and further predictions are provided for cycle 25. This deterministic description could contribute to elucidating the responsible physical mechanisms and forecasting space weather.

astro-ph.SR

Haloscope searches for dark matter axions at the Center for Axion and Precision Physics Research

The Center for Axion and Precision Physics Research (CAPP) was founded in 2013, with the ambition of shedding light on the strong CP problem and the proposed existence of axions. Much of CAPP's effort focuses on the direct detection of dark matter candidate axions with a series of local haloscope experiments, which endeavour to expand dramatically the coverage on the "invisible axion" mass range. The first two of them plan experimental runs during this year, tapping into ultra-low cryogenics and toroidal cavity geometries. The overall programme builds on cutting-edge technology, including developments in superconducting films, SQUID amplifiers and novel magnets. This article presents the planned advancements and the status of the programme, while it can also be considered a pedagogical introduction to haloscope experiments.

physics.ins-det