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Eliot Quataert

Publications and source records attributed to Eliot Quataert.

At least 217 records · Page 12Linked to original sources

Two-Temperature GRRMHD Simulations of M87

We present axisymmetric two-temperature general relativistic radiation magnetohydrodynamic (GRRMHD) simulations of the inner region of the accretion flow onto the supermassive black hole M87. We address uncertainties from previous modeling efforts through inclusion of models for (1) self-consistent dissipative and Coulomb electron heating (2) radiation transport (3) frequency-dependent synchrotron emission, self-absorption, and Compton scattering. We adopt a distance $D=16.7$ Mpc, an observer angle $θ= 20^{\circ}$, and consider black hole masses $M/M_{\odot} = (3.3\times10^{9}, 6.2\times10^{9})$ and spins $a_{\star} = (0.5, 0.9375)$ in a four-simulation suite. For each $(M, a_{\star})$, we identify the accretion rate that recovers the 230 GHz flux from VLBI measurements. We report on disk thermodynamics at these accretion rates ($\dot{M}/\dot{M}_{\mathrm{Edd}} \sim 10^{-5}$). The disk remains geometrically thick; cooling does not lead to a thin disk component. While electron heating is dominated by Coulomb rather than dissipation for $r \gtrsim 10 GM/c^2$, the accretion disk remains two-temperature. Radiative cooling of electrons is not negligible, especially for $r \lesssim 10 GM/c^2$. The Compton $y$ parameter is of order unity. We then compare derived and observed or inferred spectra, mm images, and jet powers. Simulations with $M/M_{\odot} = 3.3\times10^{9}$ are in conflict with observations. These simulations produce mm images that are too small, while the low-spin simulation also overproduces X-rays. For $M/M_{\odot} = 6.2\times10^{9}$, both simulations agree with constraints on radio/IR/X-ray fluxes and mm image sizes. Simulation jet power is a factor $10^2-10^3$ below inferred values, a possible consequence of the modest net magnetic flux in our models.

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Gravitational interactions of stars with supermassive black hole binaries - II. Hypervelocity stars

Supermassive black holes (SMBHs) in galactic nuclei can eject hypervelocity stars (HVSs). Using restricted three-body integrations, we study the properties of stars ejected by circular, binary SMBHs as a function of their mass ratios $q = M_2 / M_1$ and separations $a$, focusing on the stellar velocity and angular distributions. We find that the ejection probability is an increasing function of $q$ and $a$, and that the mean ejected velocity scales with $q$ and $a$ similar to previous work but with modified scaling constants. Binary SMBHs tend to eject their fastest stars toward the binary orbital plane. We calculate the ejection rates as the binary SMBHs inspiral, and find that they eject stars with velocities $v_\infty > 1000$ km/s at rates of $\sim 4 \times 10^{-2} - 2 \times 10^{-1}$ yr$^{-1}$ for $q = 1$ ($\sim 10^{-4} - 10^{-3}$ yr$^{-1}$ for $q = 0.01$) over their lifetimes, and can emit a burst of HVSs with $v_\infty > 3000$ km/s as they coalesce. We integrate the stellar distributions over the binary SMBH inspiral and compare them to those produced by the "Hills mechanism" (in which a single SMBH ejects a star after tidally separating a binary star system), and find that $N \sim 100$ HVS velocity samples with $v_\infty \gtrsim 200$ km/s are needed to confidently distinguish between a binary and single SMBH origin.

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Three Dimensional Radiation Hydrodynamic Simulations of Massive Star Envelopes

(Abridged) Stars more massive than $20-30M_{\odot}$ are so luminous that the radiation force on the cooler, more opaque outer layers can balance or exceed the force of gravity. These near or super-Eddington outer envelopes represent a long standing challenge for calculating the evolution of massive stars in one dimension, a situation that limits our understanding of the stellar progenitors of some of the most exciting and energetic explosions in the universe. In particular, the proximity to the Eddington limit has been the suspected cause for the variability, large mass loss rate and giant eruptions of an enigmatic class of massive stars: the luminous blue variables (LBVs). When in quiescence, LBVs are usually found on the hot ($T_{eff} \approx 2 - 4 \times 10^4$ K) S Dor instability strip. While in outburst, most LBVs stay on the cold S Dor instability strip with a $T_{eff} \approx 9000$ K. Here we show that physically realistic three dimensional global radiation hydrodynamic simulations of radiation dominated massive stars with the largest supercomputers in the world naturally reproduce many observed properties of LBVs, specifically their location in the Hertzsprung-Russell (HR) diagram and their episodic mass loss with rates of $10^{-7}-10^{-5} M_{\odot}/yr$. The helium opacity peak is found to play an important role to determine these properties, which is not realized in the traditional one dimensional models of massive stars. The simulations also predict that convection causes irregular envelope oscillations and 10-30% brightness variations on a typical timescale of a few days. The variability is more prominent in our models that are on the cool part of the S Dor instability. These calculations pave the way to a quantitative understanding of the structure, stability and the dominant mode of mass loss of massive stars.

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Fast Winds Drive Slow Shells: A Model for the Circumgalactic Medium as Galactic Wind-Driven Bubbles

Successful models of the low redshift circumgalactic medium (CGM) must account for (1) a large amount of gas, (2) relatively slow gas velocities, (3) a high degree of metal enrichment, (4) the similar absorption properties around both star-forming and passive galaxies, and (5) the observationally inferred temperature and densities of the CGM gas. We show that galactic wind-driven bubbles can account for these observed properties. We develop a model describing the motion of bubbles driven by a hot, fast galactic wind characteristic of supernova energy injection. The bubble size grows slowly to hundreds of kiloparsecs over $5-10$ Gyr. For high star formation rates or high wind mass loading $\dot M_w/\dot M_\star$, the free-flowing hot wind, the shocked hot wind in the interior of the bubble, and the swept-up halo gas within the bubble shell can all radiatively cool and contribute to low-ionization state metal line absorption. We verify that if the free-flowing wind cools, the shocked wind does as well. We find effective mass loading factors of $(M_w+M_\mathrm{swept})/M_\star\sim5-12$ as the bubbles sweep into the CGM. We predict cool gas masses, velocities, column densities, metal content, and absorption line velocities and linewidths of the bubble for a range of parameter choices. This picture can reproduce many of the COS-Halos and Keeney et al. (2017) observations of low-ionization state metal absorption lines around both star-forming and passive galaxies.

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Stellar binaries incident on supermassive black hole binaries: implications for double tidal disruption events, calcium-rich transients, and hypervelocity stars

We analyze the outcome of the interaction between a stellar binary and a supermassive black hole binary (SMBHB) by performing a large number of gravitational scattering experiments. Most of the encounters result in either the ejection of an intact binary or the ejection of two individual stars following the tidal breakup of the binary. However, tidal disruption events (TDEs) and mergers constitute a few percent of the outcomes, and double, temporally distinct TDEs (i.e., separated by at least one orbit of the supermassive black hole binary) occur at the percent level. We also demonstrate that the properties of the ejected binaries are significantly altered through the interaction with the SMBHB, and their large eccentricities increase the merger rate and could lead to gravitational-wave inspirals far from the nucleus of the host galaxy. We discuss our results in the context of observed tidal disruption events, hypervelocity stars, and remote supernovae, such as calcium-rich transients.

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Clustered Supernovae Drive Powerful Galactic Winds After Super-Bubble Breakout

We use three-dimensional hydrodynamic simulations of vertically stratified patches of galactic discs to study how the spatio-temporal clustering of supernovae (SNe) enhances the power of galactic winds. SNe that are randomly distributed throughout a galactic disc drive inefficient galactic winds because most supernova remnants lose their energy radiatively before breaking out of the disc. Accounting for the fact that most star formation is clustered alleviates this problem. Super-bubbles driven by the combined effects of clustered SNe propagate rapidly enough to break out of galactic discs well before the clusters' SNe stop going off. The radiative losses post-breakout are reduced dramatically and a large fraction ($\gtrsim 0.2$) of the energy released by SNe vents into the halo powering a strong galactic wind. These energetic winds are capable of providing strong preventative feedback and eject substantial mass from the galaxy with outflow rates on the order of the star formation rate. The momentum flux in the wind is only of order that injected by the SNe, because the hot gas vents before doing significant work on the surroundings. We show that our conclusions hold for a range of galaxy properties, both in the local Universe (e.g., M82) and at high redshift (e.g., $z \sim 2$ star forming galaxies). We further show that if the efficiency of forming star clusters increases with increasing gas surface density, as suggested by theoretical arguments, the condition for star cluster-driven super-bubbles to break out of galactic discs corresponds to a threshold star formation rate surface density for the onset of galactic winds $\sim 0.03$ M$_\odot$ yr$^{-1}$ kpc$^{-2}$, of order that observed.

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Predicting the binary black hole population of the Milky Way with cosmological simulations

Binary black holes are the primary endpoint of massive stellar evolution. Their properties provide a unique opportunity to constrain binary evolution, which is still poorly understood. In this paper, we predict the inventory of binary black holes and their merger products in/around the Milky Way, and detail their main properties. We present the first combination of a high-resolution cosmological simulation of a Milky Way-mass galaxy with a binary population synthesis model. The hydrodynamic simulation, taken from the FIRE project, provides a cosmologically realistic star formation history for the galaxy and its stellar halo and satellites. We apply a metallicity-dependent evolutionary model to the star particles to produce individual binary black holes. We find that a million binary black holes have merged in the model Milky Way, and 3 million binaries are still present, with an average mass of 28 Msun per binary. Because the black hole progenitors are biased towards low metallicity stars, half reside in the stellar halo and satellites and 40 per cent of the binaries were formed outside the main galaxy. This trend increases with the masses of the black holes. The numbers and mass distribution of the merged systems is compatible with the LIGO/Virgo detections. Observations of these black holes will be challenging, both with electromagnetic methods and LISA. We find that a cosmologically realistic star formation history, with self-consistent metal enrichment and Galactic accretion history, are key ingredients for determining binary black hole rates that can be compared with observations to constrain massive binary evolution.

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Weak shock propagation with accretion. I. Self-similar solutions and application to failed supernovae

We present solutions for the self-similar propagation of a shock wave in a hydrostatic, adiabatic medium with a point mass gravitational field. In contrast to the well-known, Sedov-Taylor blastwave, these solutions apply to the case when the shock Mach number is of order a few, and the energy of the shocked fluid is not conserved but self-consistently modified by the binding energy of the ambient medium that is swept up by the passage of the shock. Furthermore, we show that there is one solution (for a given ambient density profile) that smoothly passes through a sonic point in the post-shock flow and results in accretion onto the central object; in analogy with the Bondi problem, we propose that these solutions are the ones that are most relevant in astrophysical environments. We apply these accreting models to failed supernovae, in which neutron star formation does not unbind the envelope, but a weak shock is still generated in the outer layers of the star from neutrino-induced mass loss. We find excellent agreement between the predictions of our self-similar, shock propagation model and numerical simulations of the collapse of a yellow supergiant; the self-similar solutions reproduce the overall scaling of the shock speed, the time and space-dependent evolution of the velocity, density, and pressure behind the shock, and the accretion rate onto the black hole. Our results have important implications for the fallback and ejection of material in failed supernovae.

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Where are the most ancient stars in the Milky Way?

The oldest stars in the Milky Way (MW) bear imprints of the Galaxy's early assembly history. We use FIRE cosmological zoom-in simulations of three MW-mass disk galaxies to study the spatial distribution, chemistry, and kinematics of the oldest surviving stars ($z_{\rm form} \gtrsim 5$) in MW-like galaxies. We predict the oldest stars to be less centrally concentrated at $z=0$ than stars formed at later times as a result of two processes. First, the majority of the oldest stars are not formed $\textit{in situ}$ but are accreted during hierarchical assembly. These $\textit{ex situ}$ stars are deposited on dispersion-supported, halo-like orbits but dominate over old stars formed $\textit{in situ}$ in the solar neighborhood, and in some simulations, even in the galactic center. Secondly, old stars formed $\textit{in situ}$ are driven outwards by bursty star formation and energetic feedback processes that create a time-varying gravitational potential at $z\gtrsim 2$, similar to the process that creates dark matter cores and expands stellar orbits in bursty dwarf galaxies. The total fraction of stars that are ancient is more than an order of magnitude higher for sight lines $\textit{away}$ from the bulge and inner halo than for inward-looking sight lines. Although the task of identifying specific stars as ancient remains challenging, we anticipate that million-star spectral surveys and photometric surveys targeting metal-poor stars already include hundreds of stars formed before $z=5$. We predict most of these targets to have higher metallicity ($-3 < \rm [Fe/H] < -2$) than the most extreme metal-poor stars.

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Jet Dynamics in Compact Object Mergers: GW170817 Likely had a Successful Jet

We use relativistic hydrodynamic numerical calculations to study the interaction between a jet and a homologous outflow produced dynamically during binary neutron star mergers. We quantify how the thermal energy supplied by the jet to the ejecta and the ability of a jet to escape the homologous ejecta depend on the parameters of the jet engine and the ejecta. For collimated jets initiated at early times compared to the engine duration, we show that successful breakout of the forward cocoon shock necessitates a jet that successfully escapes the ejecta. This is because the ejecta is expanding and absorbing thermal energy, so that the forward shock from a failed jet stalls before it reaches the edge of the ejecta. This conclusion can be circumvented only for very energetic wide angle jets, with parameters that are uncomfortable given short-duration GRB observations. For successful jets, we find two regimes of jet breakout from the ejecta, early breakout on timescales shorter than the engine duration, and late breakout well after the engine shuts off. A late breakout can explain the observed delay between gravitational waves and gamma rays in GW 170817. We show that for the entire parameter space of jet parameters surveyed here (covering energies $\sim 10^{48}-10^{51}$ ergs and opening angles $θ_j \sim 0.07-0.4$) the thermal energy deposited into the ejecta by the jet propagation is less than that produced by r-process heating on second timescales by a factor of $\gtrsim 10$. Shock heating is thus energetically subdominant in setting the luminosity of thermally powered transients coincident with neutron star mergers (kilonovae). For typical short GRB jet parameters, our conclusion is stronger: there is little thermal energy in the cocoon, much less than what is needed to explain the early blue component of the kilonova in GW 170817.

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Modelling chemical abundance distributions for dwarf galaxies in the Local Group: the impact of turbulent metal diffusion

We investigate stellar metallicity distribution functions (MDFs), including Fe and $α$-element abundances, in dwarf galaxies from the Feedback in Realistic Environments (FIRE) project. We examine both isolated dwarf galaxies and those that are satellites of a Milky Way-mass galaxy. In particular, we study the effects of including a sub-grid turbulent model for the diffusion of metals in gas. Simulations that include diffusion have narrower MDFs and abundance ratio distributions, because diffusion drives individual gas and star particles toward the average metallicity. This effect provides significantly better agreement with observed abundance distributions of dwarf galaxies in the Local Group, including the small intrinsic scatter in [$α$/Fe] vs. [Fe/H] (less than 0.1 dex). This small intrinsic scatter arises in our simulations because the interstellar medium (ISM) in dwarf galaxies is well-mixed at nearly all cosmic times, such that stars that form at a given time have similar abundances to within 0.1 dex. Thus, most of the scatter in abundances at z = 0 arises from redshift evolution and not from instantaneous scatter in the ISM. We find similar MDF widths and intrinsic scatter for satellite and isolated dwarf galaxies, which suggests that environmental effects play a minor role compared with internal chemical evolution in our simulations. Overall, with the inclusion of metal diffusion, our simulations reproduce abundance distribution widths of observed low-mass galaxies, enabling detailed studies of chemical evolution in galaxy formation.

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Hydrodynamic Simulations of the Inner Accretion Flow of Sagittarius A* Fueled By Stellar Winds

We present Athena++ grid-based, hydrodynamic simulations of accretion onto Sagittarius A* via the stellar winds of the $\sim 30$ Wolf-Rayet stars within the central parsec of the galactic center. These simulations span $\sim$ 4 orders of magnitude in radius, reaching all the way down to 300 gravitational radii of the black hole, $\sim 32$ times further in than in previous work. We reproduce reasonably well the diffuse thermal X-ray emission observed by Chandra in the central parsec. The resulting accretion flow at small radii is a superposition of two components: 1) a moderately unbound, sub-Keplerian, thick, pressure-supported disc that is at most (but not all) times aligned with the clockwise stellar disc, and 2) a bound, low-angular momentum inflow that proceeds primarily along the southern pole of the disc. We interpret this structure as a natural consequence of a few of the innermost stellar winds dominating accretion, which produces a flow with a broad distribution of angular momentum. Including the star S2 in the simulation has a negligible effect on the flow structure. Extrapolating our results from simulations with different inner radii, we find an accretion rate of $\sim$ a few $\times 10^{-8} M_\odot$/yr at the horizon scale, consistent with constraints based on modeling the observed emission of Sgr A*. The flow structure found here can be used as more realistic initial conditions for horizon scale simulations of Sgr A*.

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The Local Group on FIRE: Dwarf galaxy populations across a suite of hydrodynamic simulations

We present a new set of high-resolution hydrodynamic cosmological zoom-in simulations that apply the Feedback In Realistic Environments (FIRE) physics to both Local Group (LG)-like and isolated Milky Way (MW)-like volumes (ten host systems in total with baryonic particle mass $\simeq 3,500-7,000\,M_\odot$). We study the stellar mass functions, circular velocity or mass profiles, and velocity dispersions of the dwarf galaxy populations. The simulations reproduce the stellar mass function and central densities of MW satellite dwarfs for $M_\ast \geq10^{5.5}\,M_\odot$ and predict the existence of $\sim3$ unidentified galaxies with $M_\ast\sim10^5\,M_\odot$ within $300$ kpc of the MW. Overall, we find no evidence for the classical missing satellites or too-big-to-fail (TBTF) problems for satellite galaxies in our sample. Among the satellites, TBTF is resolved primarily by subhalo disruption and overall mass loss; central density profiles of subhalos are of secondary importance. For non-satellite galaxies, our LG-like simulations predict as many as $\sim10$ as-of-yet unseen galaxies at distances $0.3-1$ Mpc from both hosts, with $M_\ast\simeq10^{5-6}\,M_\odot$ (in halos with $V_\mathrm{max}\sim 20~\mathrm{km\,s}^{-1}$), albeit with large halo-to-halo variance. None of our simulations produces a compact, baryon-dominated, high-density dwarf elliptical-type galaxy (with $V_\mathrm{circ} \gtrsim 35~\mathrm{km\,s}^{-1}$ at $r<1\,$kpc), of which six may appear in the LG (but none in the MW). It may therefore remain a challenge to reproduce the full diversity of the dwarf population, including both the highest and lowest density systems.

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What FIREs Up Star Formation: the Emergence of the Kennicutt-Schmidt Law from Feedback

We present an analysis of the global and spatially-resolved Kennicutt-Schmidt (KS) star formation relation in the FIRE (Feedback In Realistic Environments) suite of cosmological simulations, including halos with $z = 0$ masses ranging from $10^{10}$ -- $10^{13}$ M$_{\odot}$. We show that the KS relation emerges and is robustly maintained due to the effects of feedback on local scales regulating star-forming gas, independent of the particular small-scale star formation prescriptions employed. We demonstrate that the time-averaged KS relation is relatively independent of redshift and spatial averaging scale, and that the star formation rate surface density is weakly dependent on metallicity and inversely dependent on orbital dynamical time. At constant star formation rate surface density, the `Cold \& Dense' gas surface density (gas with $T < 300$~K and $n > 10$~cm$^{-3}$, used as a proxy for the molecular gas surface density) of the simulated galaxies is $\sim$0.5~dex less than observed at $\sim$kpc scales. This discrepancy may arise from underestimates of the local column density at the particle-scale for the purposes of shielding in the simulations. Finally, we show that on scales larger than individual giant molecular clouds, the primary condition that determines whether star formation occurs is whether a patch of the galactic disk is thermally Toomre-unstable (not whether it is self-shielding): once a patch can no longer be thermally stabilized against fragmentation, it collapses, becomes self-shielding, cools, and forms stars, regardless of epoch or environment.

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Submillimeter flux as a probe of molecular ISM mass in high-$z$ galaxies

Recent long wavelength observations on the thermal dust continuum suggest that the Rayleigh-Jeans (RJ) tail can be used as a time-efficient quantitative probe of the dust and ISM mass in high-$z$ galaxies. We use high-resolution cosmological simulations from the Feedback in Realistic Environment (FIRE) project to analyze the dust emission of $M_*>10^{10}\;M_{\odot}$ galaxies at $z=2-4$. Our simulations (MassiveFIRE) explicitly include various forms of stellar feedback, and they produce the stellar masses and star formation rates of high-$z$ galaxies in agreement with observations. Using radiative transfer modelling, we show that sub-millimeter (sub-mm) luminosity and molecular ISM mass are tightly correlated and that the overall normalization is in quantitative agreement with observations. Notably, sub-mm luminosity traces molecular ISM mass even during starburst episodes as dust mass and mass-weighted temperature evolve only moderately between $z=4$ and $z=2$, including during starbursts. Our finding supports the empirical approach of using broadband sub-mm flux as a proxy for molecular gas content in high-$z$ galaxies. We thus expect single-band sub-mm observations with ALMA to dramatically increase the sample size of high-$z$ galaxies with reliable ISM masses in the near future.

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The Maximum Stellar Surface Density Due to the Failure of Stellar Feedback

A maximum stellar surface density $Σ_{max} \sim 3 \times 10^5\,{\rm M_\odot\,pc^{-2}}$ is observed across all classes of dense stellar systems (e.g. star clusters, galactic nuclei, etc.), spanning $\sim 8$ orders of magnitude in mass. It has been proposed that this characteristic scale is set by some dynamical feedback mechanism preventing collapse beyond a certain surface density. However, simple analytic models and detailed simulations of star formation moderated by feedback from massive stars argue that feedback becomes {\it less} efficient at higher surface densities (with the star formation efficiency increasing as $\sim Σ/Σ_{crit}$). We therefore propose an alternative model wherein stellar feedback becomes ineffective at moderating star formation above some $Σ_{crit}$, so the supply of star-forming gas is rapidly converted to stars before the system can contract to higher surface density. We show that such a model -- with $Σ_{crit}$ taken directly from the theory -- naturally predicts the observed $Σ_{max}$. $Σ_{max}\sim 100Σ_{crit}$ because the gas consumption time is longer than the global freefall time even when feedback is ineffective. Moreover the predicted $Σ_{max}$ is robust to spatial scale and metallicity, and is preserved even if multiple episodes of star formation/gas inflow occur. In this context, the observed $Σ_{max}$ directly tells us where feedback fails.

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Inefficient Angular Momentum Transport in Accretion Disk Boundary Layers: Angular Momentum Belt in the Boundary Layer

We present unstratified 3D MHD simulations of an accretion disk with a boundary layer (BL) that have a duration $\sim 1000$ orbital periods at the inner radius of the accretion disk. We find the surprising result that angular momentum piles up in the boundary layer, which results in a rapidly rotating belt of accreted material at the surface of the star. The angular momentum stored in this belt increases monotonically in time, which implies that angular momentum transport mechanisms in the BL are inefficient and do not couple the accretion disk to the star. This is in spite of the fact that magnetic fields are advected into the BL from the disk and supersonic shear instabilities in the BL excite acoustic waves. In our simulations, these waves only carry a small fraction ($\sim 10 \%$) of the angular momentum required for steady state accretion. Using analytical theory and 2D viscous simulations in the $R-ϕ$ plane, we derive an analytical criterion for belt formation to occur in the BL in terms of the ratio of the viscosity in the accretion disk to the viscosity in the BL. Our MHD simulations have a dimensionless viscosity ($α$) in the BL that is at least a factor of $\sim 100$ smaller than that in the disk. We discuss the implications of these results for BL dynamics and emission.

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When Feedback Fails: The Scaling and Saturation of Star Formation Efficiency

We present a suite of 3D multi-physics MHD simulations following star formation in isolated turbulent molecular gas disks ranging from 5 to 500 parsecs in radius. These simulations are designed to survey the range of surface densities between those typical of Milky Way GMCs ($\sim 10^2 M_\odot\,pc^{-2}}$) and extreme ULIRG environments ($\sim 10^2 M_\odot\,pc^{-2}}$) so as to map out the scaling of the cloud-scale star formation efficiency (SFE) between these two regimes. The simulations include prescriptions for supernova, stellar wind, and radiative feedback, which we find to be essential in determining both the instantaneous per-freefall ($ε_{ff}$) and integrated ($ε_{int}$) star formation efficiencies. In all simulations, the gas disks form stars until a critical stellar surface density has been reached and the remaining gas is blown out by stellar feedback. We find that surface density is a good predictor of $ε_{int}$, as suggested by analytic force balance arguments from previous works. SFE eventually saturates to $\sim 1$ at high surface density. We also find a proportional relationship between $ε_{ff}$ and $ε_{int}$, implying that star formation is feedback-moderated even over very short time-scales in isolated clouds. These results have implications for star formation in galactic disks, the nature and fate of nuclear starbursts, and the formation of bound star clusters. The scaling of $ε_{ff}$ with surface density is not consistent with the notion that $ε_{ff}$ is always $\sim 1\%$ on the scale of GMCs, but our predictions recover the $\sim 1\%$ value for GMC parameters similar to those found in sprial galaxies, including our own.

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