Emanuele Mele | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

Diffusion-Based Super-Resolution of Adriatic Sea Oceanographic Fields

High-resolution oceanographic fields are critical for resolving mesoscale and sub-mesoscale coastal dynamics, yet their generation remains constrained by both computational cost and observational sparsity. We present OcDiffSR, a conditional denoising diffusion probabilistic model (DDPM) for oceanographic super-resolution that reconstructs high-resolution sea-surface fields from coarse-resolution reanalysis inputs. The model is trained on ten years (2011-2020) of paired low-resolution (GLORYS12V1, 1/12) and high-resolution (Mediterranean Sea Physics Reanalysis, Med MFC, 1/24) data, and evaluated on an independent test year (2009) over the Adriatic Sea. OcDiffSR employs a conditional U-Net augmented with multi-scale low-resolution encoders, cross-attention bottleneck layers, and sinusoidal seasonal embeddings via Feature-wise Linear Modulation (FiLM), enabling joint super-resolution of sea-surface temperature (SST), salinity (SSS), and horizontal velocity components with visually coherent circulation patterns. Benchmarked against bilinear interpolation and the state-of-the-art residual diffusion model CorrDiff, OcDiffSR achieves substantially lower reconstruction errors for scalar fields (RMSESST=0.477 C, RMSESSS=0.346 psu), near-unity Pearson correlation (PCC >= 0.999), and high structural similarity (SSIM >= 0.964). For dynamical vector fields, OcDiffSR outperforms both baselines in absolute error and spatial coherence, though moderate correlation (PCC = 0.64) reflects the intrinsic stochasticity of oceanic velocity fields. Daily and monthly evaluations confirm temporal robustness across all seasons. These results establish OcDiffSR as a reliable framework for high-fidelity oceanographic downscaling and reanalysis enhancement, producing fields that are visually consistent with known ocean dynamics.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2026

Fast and Accurate Anomaly Detection in Time Series

Anomaly detection is a critical and evolving field in Machine Learning, with applications targeting different domains such as cybersecurity, finance, healthcare, manufacturing and IoT (Internet of Things) systems. Traditionally, anomaly detection algorithms have been designed using both supervised and unsupervised learning paradigms. The fundamental challenge in real-world anomaly detection scenarios is related to the inherent class imbalance (anomalies are typically rare) and, for supervised methods, to the scarcity of labelled anomalous data. Indeed, labelling is both expensive and time-consuming. Conversely unsupervised methods do not require labelling, but may suffer from high false positive rates when deployed in safety-critical applications. In this work we introduce a novel unsupervised algorithm for anomaly detection in time series based on the Haar discrete wavelet and a suitably designed $t$-test. We establish the theoretical foundation of the proposed $t$-test and, through extensive experimentation across 343 datasets, demonstrate that our algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art unsupervised and self-supervised benchmarks.

cs.LG↗