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Ephraim Hanks

Publications and source records attributed to Ephraim Hanks.

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A Lattice and Random Intermediate Point Sampling Design for Animal Movement

Animal movement studies have become ubiquitous in animal ecology for estimation of space use and analysis of movement behavior. In these studies, animal movement data are primarily collected at regular time intervals. We propose an irregular sampling design which could lead to greater efficiency and information gain in animal movement studies. Our novel sampling design, called lattice and random intermediate point (LARI), combines samples at regular and random time intervals. We compare the LARI sampling design to regular sampling designs in an example with common black carpenter ant location data, an example with guppy location data, and a simulation study of movement with a point of attraction. We modify a general stochastic differential equation model to allow for irregular time intervals and use this framework to compare sampling designs. When parameters are estimated reasonably well, regular sampling results in greater precision and accuracy in prediction of missing data. However, in each of the data and simulation examples explored in this paper, LARI sampling results in more accurate and precise parameter estimation, and thus better prediction of missing data as well. This result suggests that researchers might gain greater insight into underlying animal movement processes by choosing LARI sampling over regular sampling.

stat.AP

A Bayesian Penalized Hidden Markov Model for Ant Interactions

Interactions between social animals provide insights into the exchange and flow of nutrients, disease, and social contacts. We consider a chamber level analysis of trophallaxis interactions between carpenter ants (\textit{Camponotus pennsylvanicus}) over 4 hours of second-by-second observations. The data show clear switches between fast and slow modes of trophallaxis. However, fitting a standard hidden Markov model (HMM) results in an estimated hidden state process that is overfit to this high resolution data, as the state process fluctuates an order of magnitude more quickly than is biologically reasonable. We propose a novel approach for penalized estimation of HMMs through a Bayesian ridge prior on the state transition rates while also incorporating biologically motivated covariates. This penalty induces smoothing, limiting the rate of state switching that combines with appropriate covariates within the colony to ensure more biologically feasible results. We develop a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm to perform Bayesian inference based on discretized observations of the contact network.

stat.AP