arXiv subjects

Ergun Ege

Publications and source records attributed to Ergun Ege.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Investigating the System Configuration of Kepler-451 through Orbital Period Variations: Dynamical and Magnetic Interpretations

We present an analysis of eclipse timing variations in Kepler-451 using data spanning 2004-2024 from both ground- and space-based observations. Using two datasets, DS-A and DS-B, we constructed updated O-C diagrams. By modeling both datasets with various LTT configurations, we tested for the presence of circumbinary companions. For DS-A, the two-companion model (LTT34) provides the best fit with RMS = 3.23 s and chi^2_nu = 1.23, while inclusion a fifth body (LTT345) does not improve the fit (RMS = 3.24 s, chi^2_nu = 1.28). For DS-B, the three-companion model (LTT345) yields the best fit (RMS = 2.31 s, chi^2_nu = 1.01), although the semi-amplitude of the inner companion (1.34 s) is smaller than the systematic error (1.81 s), suggesting that it may originate from observational or calibration systematics. Applegate-mechanism tests indicate that most signals exceed the available energy budget, while the outer LTT terms in both datasets remain consistent with the Standard model and may have a magnetic origin. Removing these magnetic terms yields dynamically stable configurations for at least 10^7 yr. These findings support the presence of a second-generation circumbinary planet at 3.4 AU around Kepler-451, while the origin of the remaining LTT signals remains uncertain.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2026

Long-term Orbital Period Variations of the Eclipsing Dwarf Nova HT Cas

We present a comprehensive analysis of the long-term orbital period variations in the short-period eclipsing dwarf nova HT Cas. By combining our new high-precision mid-eclipse times obtained between 2015 and 2026 with archival data, we constructed an updated $O-C$ diagram spanning a $\sim$48-years. Statistical analysis confirms outbursts do not cause systematic phase shifts, validating the use of all activity states. Through MCMC modeling, we show that the $O-C$ variations require a two-companion configuration. A free-eccentricity LTT model captures the variations but yields unconstrained posteriors and a highly eccentric outer orbit ($e_3 \sim 0.94$) that instantly collapses in N-body dynamical simulations. Imposing a circular constraint ($e=0$) resolves these mathematical degeneracies, yielding well-constrained posterior distributions. This dynamically stable model identifies two hypothetical circumbinary companions with minimum masses of $\sim 9.8 M_{Jup}$ and $\sim 5.0 M_{Jup}$, and periods of $\sim 32.6$ and $\sim 15.1$ years. Besides, this configuration inherently produces a negative quadratic term ($Q = -1.23 \times 10^{-14}$ days), aligning with secular period decrease predicted by standard CV evolution theory below the period gap. Refined energy-budget tests reveal that classical Applegate mechanisms require significantly more energy than the secondary star provides, indicating they cannot independently drive the modulations. While advanced magnetic frameworks may offer theoretical alternatives, our findings demonstrate that a dynamically stable two-companion architecture provides a highly robust and physically viable explanation, consistent with second-generation planet formation within a post-common-envelope disk.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

Analysis of the intra-night variability of BL Lacertae during its August 2020 flare

We present an analysis of the $BVRI$ photometry of the blazar BL Lacertae on diverse timescales from mid-July to mid-September 2020. We have used 11 different optical telescopes around the world and have collected data over 84 observational nights. The observations cover the onset of a new activity phase of BL Lacertae started in August 2020 (termed as the August 2020 flare by us), and the analysis is focused on the intra-night variability. On short-term timescales, (i) flux varied with ~2.2\,mag in $R$ band, (ii) the spectral index was found to be weakly dependent on the flux (i.e., the variations could be considered mildly chromatic) and (iii) no periodicity was detected. On intra-night timescales, BL Lacertae was found to show bluer-when-brighter chromatism predominantly. We also found two cases of significant inter-band time lags of the order of a few minutes. The duty cycle of the blazar during the August 2020 flare was estimated to be quite high (~90\% or higher). We decomposed the intra-night light curves into individual flares and determined their characteristics. On the basis of our analysis and assuming the turbulent jet model, we determined some characteristics of the emitting regions: Doppler factor, magnetic field strength, electron Lorentz factor, and radius. The radii determined were discussed in the framework of the Kolmogorov theory of turbulence. We also estimated the weighted mean structure function slope on intra-night timescales, related it to the slope of the power spectral density, and discussed it with regard to the origin of intra-night variability.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2020

Multi-band behaviour of the TeV blazar PG 1553+113 in optical range on diverse timescales

Context. The TeV BL Lac object PG 1553+113 is one of the primary candidates for a binary supermassive black hole system. Aims. We study the flux and spectral variability of PG 1553+113 on intra-night to long-term timescales using (i) BVRI data collected over 76 nights from January 2016 to August 2019 involving nine optical telescopes and (ii) historical VR data (including ours) obtained for the period from 2005 to 2019. Methods. We analysed the light curves using various statistical tests, fitting and cross-correlation techniques, and methods for the search for periodicity. We examined the colour-magnitude diagrams before and after the corresponding light curves were corrected for the long-term variations. Results. Our intra-night monitoring, supplemented with literature data, results in a low duty cycle of ~(10-18)%. In April 2019, we recorded a flare, which marks the brightest state of PG 1553+113 for the period from 2005 to 2019: R = 13.2 mag. This flare is found to show a clockwise spectral hysteresis loop on its VR colour-magnitude diagram and a time lag in the sense that the V-band variations lead the R-band ones. We obtain estimates of the radius, the magnetic field strength, and the electron energy that characterize the emission region related to the flare. We find a median period of (2.21 +/- 0.04) years using the historical light curves. In addition, we detect a secondary period of about 210 days using the historical light curves corrected for the long-term variations. We briefly discuss the possible origin of this period.

astro-ph.HE↗