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Erhan Bilal

Publications and source records attributed to Erhan Bilal.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

Divergent-Convergent Reasoning: Scaling Test-Time Compute through Structured Solution Synthesis

Test-time compute can substantially improve Large Language Model (LLM) reasoning performance, yet how and when additional compute helps remains poorly understood. We study Divergent-Convergent Reasoning (DCR), a simple two-phase primitive consisting of an exploration phase that generates multiple candidate solutions followed by a convergent reconciliation phase. We present three core results. First, we show that even a single reconciliation step can reliably amplify correct minority reports: across datasets, DCR often recovers the correct answer when correct exploration outputs are in the minority, a regime where majority voting fails. Second, we introduce recursive DCR, an autoregressive reconciliation system that iteratively analyzes disagreements and allocates additional test-time compute. Recursive DCR achieves higher accuracy than fixed-compute baselines-reaching 93.3% on AIME 2024 and 92.0% on AIME 2025-while using roughly 27% less compute on average, demonstrating that attentive resource allocation is superior to uniform scaling. Third, we analyze disagreement among exploration outputs via a simple, training-free dispersion metric. Dispersion reveals a structured relationship between disagreement and test-time gains: in regimes where DCR is effective, higher disagreement among exploration outputs is associated with larger accuracy improvements from reconciliation. Together, these results show that disagreement, often viewed as noise, can be systematically exploited to improve test-time reasoning and reveal emerging scaling laws for agentic LLM systems.

cs.AI

How Modality Shapes Perception and Reasoning: A Study of Error Propagation in ARC-AGI

ARC-AGI and ARC-AGI-2 measure generalization-through-composition on small color-quantized grids, and their prize competitions make progress on these harder held-out tasks a meaningful proxy for systematic generalization. Recent instruction-first systems translate grids into concise natural-language or DSL rules executed in generate-execute-select loops, yet we lack a principled account of how encodings shape model perception and how to separate instruction errors from execution errors. We hypothesize that modality imposes perceptual bottlenecks -- text flattens 2D structure into 1D tokens while images preserve layout but can introduce patch-size aliasing -- thereby shaping which grid features are reliably perceived. To test this, we isolate perception from reasoning across nine text and image modalities using a weighted set-disagreement metric and a two-stage reasoning pipeline, finding that structured text yields precise coordinates on sparse features, images capture 2D shapes yet are resolution-sensitive, and combining them improves execution (about 8 perception points; about 0.20 median similarity). Overall, aligning representations with transformer inductive biases and enabling cross-validation between text and image yields more accurate instructions and more reliable execution without changing the underlying model.

cs.AI

A Versatile Data Fabric for Advanced IoT-Based Remote Health Monitoring

This paper presents a data-centric and security-focused data fabric designed for digital health applications. With the increasing interest in digital health research, there has been a surge in the volume of Internet of Things (IoT) data derived from smartphones, wearables, and ambient sensors. Managing this vast amount of data, encompassing diverse data types and varying time scales, is crucial. Moreover, compliance with regulatory and contractual obligations is essential. The proposed data fabric comprises an architecture and a toolkit that facilitate the integration of heterogeneous data sources, across different environments, to provide a unified view of the data in dashboards. Furthermore, the data fabric supports the development of reusable and configurable data integration components, which can be shared as open-source or inner-source software. These components are used to generate data pipelines that can be deployed and scheduled to run either in the cloud or on-premises. Additionally, we present the implementation of our data fabric in a home-based telemonitoring research project involving older adults, conducted in collaboration with the University of California, San Diego (UCSD). The study showcases the streamlined integration of data collected from various IoT sensors and mobile applications to create a unified view of older adults' health for further analysis and research.

cs.CY

Towards Automated and Marker-less Parkinson Disease Assessment: Predicting UPDRS Scores using Sit-stand videos

This paper presents a novel deep learning enabled, video based analysis framework for assessing the Unified Parkinsons Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS) that can be used in the clinic or at home. We report results from comparing the performance of the framework to that of trained clinicians on a population of 32 Parkinsons disease (PD) patients. In-person clinical assessments by trained neurologists are used as the ground truth for training our framework and for comparing the performance. We find that the standard sit-to-stand activity can be used to evaluate the UPDRS sub-scores of bradykinesia (BRADY) and posture instability and gait disorders (PIGD). For BRADY we find F1-scores of 0.75 using our framework compared to 0.50 for the video based rater clinicians, while for PIGD we find 0.78 for the framework and 0.45 for the video based rater clinicians. We believe our proposed framework has potential to provide clinically acceptable end points of PD in greater granularity without imposing burdens on patients and clinicians, which empowers a variety of use cases such as passive tracking of PD progression in spaces such as nursing homes, in-home self-assessment, and enhanced tele-medicine.

cs.CV

Deep Gradient Boosting -- Layer-wise Input Normalization of Neural Networks

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has been the dominant optimization method for training deep neural networks due to its many desirable properties. One of the more remarkable and least understood quality of SGD is that it generalizes relatively well on unseen data even when the neural network has millions of parameters. We hypothesize that in certain cases it is desirable to relax its intrinsic generalization properties and introduce an extension of SGD called deep gradient boosting (DGB). The key idea of DGB is that back-propagated gradients inferred using the chain rule can be viewed as pseudo-residual targets of a gradient boosting problem. Thus at each layer of a neural network the weight update is calculated by solving the corresponding boosting problem using a linear base learner. The resulting weight update formula can also be viewed as a normalization procedure of the data that arrives at each layer during the forward pass. When implemented as a separate input normalization layer (INN) the new architecture shows improved performance on image recognition tasks when compared to the same architecture without normalization layers. As opposed to batch normalization (BN), INN has no learnable parameters however it matches its performance on CIFAR10 and ImageNet classification tasks.

cs.LG

Unsupervised Ensemble Regression

Consider a regression problem where there is no labeled data and the only observations are the predictions $f_i(x_j)$ of $m$ experts $f_{i}$ over many samples $x_j$. With no knowledge on the accuracy of the experts, is it still possible to accurately estimate the unknown responses $y_{j}$? Can one still detect the least or most accurate experts? In this work we propose a framework to study these questions, based on the assumption that the $m$ experts have uncorrelated deviations from the optimal predictor. Assuming the first two moments of the response are known, we develop methods to detect the best and worst regressors, and derive U-PCR, a novel principal components approach for unsupervised ensemble regression. We provide theoretical support for U-PCR and illustrate its improved accuracy over the ensemble mean and median on a variety of regression problems.

stat.ML