arXiv subjects

Eric Moulines

Publications and source records attributed to Eric Moulines.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Beyond Marginal Validity: Finite-Sample Guarantees for Localized Conformal Prediction

Conformal prediction endows arbitrary black-box predictors with finite-sample, distribution-free marginal coverage, yet marginal validity can hide severe covariate-specific miscalibration, while exact distribution-free conditional coverage is finite-sample unattainable. Randomly localized conformal prediction (RLCP) mitigates this gap by calibrating near the test point while preserving marginal coverage. Existing theory, however, lacks finite-sample guarantees for the realized localized set that jointly control conditional validity and oracle efficiency. We provide such guarantees. For any fixed score, under H\"older regularity of the conditional score CDF and standard density and kernel assumptions, we prove high-probability bounds, uniform over a realized localization neighbourhood, for the conditional-coverage gap and the length error relative to the oracle. The bounds decompose into an $O(h^\beta)$ localization bias and a calibration term decreasing with calibration size, clarifying the bandwidth bias-variance tradeoff and when RLCP tracks the oracle. We also analyze data-split learned scores: when the score targets a pivotal score, as in conformalized quantile regression, uniform local guarantees decompose into fixed-score calibration and uniform score-estimation errors, showing that improved learning sharpens localized guarantees.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

Twisted Schr\"odinger Bridge Matching

Over the past few years, diffusion-based Schr\"odinger bridge models have been proposed to approximate optimal transport dynamics between two prescribed boundary distributions, with successful applications to generative modeling. More precisely, these methods aim to estimate a path measure whose initial and terminal marginals match the two boundary distributions, while minimizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence with respect to a reference Markov process. In this work, we consider the generalized Schr\"odinger bridge problem, in which the reference process is a twisted Brownian motion, that is, a Feynman-Kac transform of a Brownian motion induced by a time-dependent differentiable potential. Building on the Iterative Markovian Fitting (IMF) paradigm, and in particular on its special case Diffusion Schr\"odinger Bridge Matching (DSBM), which corresponds to the zero potential case, we introduce Twisted Schr\"odinger Bridge Matching (TSBM), a diffusion-based method designed to handle both continuous- and discrete-time potentials. Unlike previous approaches, TSBM provides a rigorous extension of the IMF scheme to the generalized Schr\"odinger bridge problem. This derivation leads to a new bridge-matching loss that depends explicitly on the gradient of the potential and recovers the DSBM objective when the potential vanishes, yielding improved performance. We further introduce trajectory-based variance-reduction techniques that substantially stabilize optimization and may be useful beyond the present setting. Finally, we empirically demonstrate the benefits of TSBM for trajectory inference across increasingly high-dimensional settings, including crowd navigation and single-cell data. Code available at https://github.com/maxencenoble/twisted-sb-matching.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

Refined Analysis of Entropy-Regularized Actor-Critic

In this paper, we study the role of the critic in actor--critic for entropy-regularized, finite, discounted environments. We establish that, when the critic is exact, using the latter as a baseline is a variance-reduction method in a strong sense. In this case, actor--critic with stochastic gradients matches the sample complexity of deterministic policy gradient, reaching an $\epsilon$-optimal regularized value with $\tilde{O}(\log(1/\epsilon))$ samples. In practice, the critic is learned alongside the actor: the variance of the actor update is then influenced by the critic's variance and bias. Specifically, when the critic has a sufficiently small error, the variance reduction and rapid convergence are preserved. This suggests to learn the critic first, keeping it up to date after each actor update, underscoring the crucial role of accurate critic estimation in actor--critic methods.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Uniform Diffusion Models Revisited: Leave-One-Out Denoiser and Absorbing State Reformulation

Discrete diffusion models are often trained through clean-data prediction, but the prediction can be used in different ways to define the reverse dynamics. In Masked Diffusion Models (MDM) these choices largely coincide, whereas in Uniform Diffusion Models (UDM) they do not. We show that the standard plug-in bridge parameterization for UDM is not optimized by the denoising posterior, but by a leave-one-out posterior that predicts each clean token without using its own noisy observation. This identifies a mismatch between the plug-in ELBO and the usual cross-entropy denoising objective. We characterize the leave-one-out target and derive exact conversions between the denoiser, the leave-one-out posterior, and the score. These conversions allow us to disentangle parameterization and training objective. Our results also lead to inference improvements without any additional training through an informed predictor-corrector sampler and improved temperature sampling based on the leave-one-out predictor. We further introduce an absorbing-state reformulation of uniform diffusion that preserves the UDM joint law while decomposing it into masked-diffusion-like sampling operations, with simpler denoising posteriors, carry-over unmasking, and a natural remasking mechanism. On language modeling, leave-one-out parameterizations consistently improve UDM generation, while the absorbing construction matches or surpasses masked diffusion. These results suggest that the empirical gap between masked and uniform diffusion is driven less by the choice of marginals themselves than by parameterization and sampling design. The code and models can be found at https://github.com/samsongourevitch/rev_udm.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Gaussian Approximation and Multiplier Bootstrap for Federated Linear Stochastic Approximation

In this paper, we establish Berry-Esseen-type bounds for federated linear stochastic approximation (LSA). Our results provide the first federated Gaussian approximations for LSA that explicitly capture communication-computation trade-offs and heterogeneity-aware error terms, quantifying the effects of local step size, number of local updates, and heterogeneity on convergence rates. We present results for both (i) constant step size regime and (ii) decreasing step size with an increasing number of local iterations, recovering the recent rates of Bonnerjee et al. [2025] as a special case. As a primary application of our results, we develop an online multiplier bootstrap procedure for inference on the last iterate, which avoids explicit estimation of the asymptotic covariance matrix, and obtain non-asymptotic validity guarantees for this procedure.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

On Gaussian approximation for entropy-regularized Q-learning with function approximation

In this paper, we derive rates of convergence in the high-dimensional central limit theorem for Polyak--Ruppert averaged iterates generated by entropy-regularized asynchronous Q-learning with linear function approximation and a polynomial stepsize $k^{-\omega}$, $\omega \in (1/2,1)$. Assuming that the sequence of observed triples $(s_k,a_k,s_{k+1})_{k \geq 0}$ forms a uniformly geometrically ergodic Markov chain, and under suitable regularity conditions for the projected soft Bellman equation, we establish a Gaussian approximation bound in the convex distance with rate of order $n^{-1/4}$, up to polylogarithmic factors in $n$, where $n$ is the number of samples used by the algorithm. To obtain this result, we combine a linearization of the soft Bellman recursion with a Gaussian approximation for the leading martingale term. Finally, we derive high-order moment bounds for the algorithm's last iterate, which might be of independent interest.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

Policy Gradient Methods for Non-Markovian Reinforcement Learning

We study policy gradient methods for reinforcement learning in non-Markovian decision processes (NMDPs), where observations and rewards depend on the entire interaction history. To handle this dependence, the agent maintains an internal state that is recursively updated to provide a compact summary of past observations and actions. In contrast to approaches that treat the agent state dynamics as fixed or learn it via predictive objectives, we propose a reward-centric formulation that jointly optimizes the agent state dynamics and the control policy to maximize the expected cumulative reward. To this end, we consider a class of Agent State-Markov (ASM) policies, comprising an agent state dynamics and a control policy that maps the agent state to actions. We establish a novel policy gradient theorem for ASM policies, extending the classical policy gradient results from the Markovian setting to episodic and infinite-horizon discounted NMDPs. Building on this gradient expression, we propose the Agent State-Markov Policy Gradient (ASMPG) algorithm, which leverages the recursive structure of the agent state dynamics for efficient optimization. We establish finite-time and almost sure convergence guarantees, and empirically demonstrate that, on a range of non-Markovian tasks, ASMPG outperforms baselines that learn state representations via predictive objectives.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Bayesian Rain Field Reconstruction using Commercial Microwave Links and Diffusion Model Priors

Commercial Microwave Links (CMLs) offer dense spatial coverage for rainfall sensing but produce path-integrated measurements that make accurate ground-level reconstruction challenging. Existing methods typically oversimplify CMLs as point sensors and neglect line integration relating rainfall to signal attenuation, resulting in degraded performance under heterogeneous precipitation. In this work, we view rain field reconstruction as a Bayesian inverse problem with Diffusion Models (DMs) as high-fidelity spatial priors. We show that diffusion models better preserve key rainfall statistics compared to censored Gaussian processes. Framing rainfall estimation as a Bayesian inverse problem with a DM prior enables training-free posterior sampling using a broad family of methods, including Plug-and-Play, Sequential Monte Carlo, and Replica Exchange methods. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate consistent improvements over established CML-based reconstruction baselines.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

High-Probability Bounds for SGD under the Polyak-Lojasiewicz Condition with Markovian Noise

We present the first uniform-in-time high-probability bound for SGD under the PL condition, where the gradient noise contains both Markovian and martingale difference components. This significantly broadens the scope of finite-time guarantees, as the PL condition arises in many machine learning and deep learning models while Markovian noise naturally arises in decentralized optimization and online system identification problems. We further allow the magnitude of noise to grow with the function value, enabling the analysis of many practical sampling strategies. In addition to the high-probability guarantee, we establish a matching $1/k$ decay rate for the expected suboptimality. Our proof technique relies on the Poisson equation to handle the Markovian noise and a probabilistic induction argument to address the lack of almost-sure bounds on the objective. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of our framework by analyzing three practical optimization problems: token-based decentralized linear regression, supervised learning with subsampling for privacy amplification, and online system identification.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Sparse Scheduled Diffusion Guidance for Inverse Problems

Pretrained diffusion models are effective priors for Bayesian inverse problems, but posterior sampling with these priors is often costly because data-consistency guidance is applied throughout the full reverse trajectory. Existing methods have shown that vector-Jacobian products through the denoiser can sometimes be avoided, yet they typically still rely on dense guidance through the full trajectory or expensive inner solves. We introduce Sparse Scheduled Diffusion Guidance for Inverse Problems (Spin), a solver that avoids starting posterior sampling from pure noise. Spin first samples from a posterior time-marginal at an intermediate timestep $t_*$, and then uses that state as a warm start for a guided reverse diffusion process. At guidance time, instead of enforcing the measurement constraint at every denoising step, Spin applies lightweight corrections only at scheduled timesteps where the denoiser can still clean up artifacts. The resulting procedure decouples prior refinement from data consistency: the prior supplies denoising, while lightweight pixel-space optimization enforces the measurement constraint without backpropagation through the denoiser or decoder. Across linear and nonlinear inverse problems on FFHQ and ImageNet, Spin achieves competitive reconstruction quality with a substantially better runtime--memory profile, running 2x faster on pixel-space models and up to 50x faster on latent diffusion models, with lower memory costs.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

IDLM: Inverse-distilled Diffusion Language Models

Diffusion Language Models (DLMs) have recently achieved strong results in text generation. However, their multi-step sampling leads to slow inference, limiting practical use. To address this, we extend Inverse Distillation, a technique originally developed to accelerate continuous diffusion models, to the discrete setting. Nonetheless, this extension introduces both theoretical and practical challenges. From a theoretical perspective, the inverse distillation objective lacks uniqueness guarantees, which may lead to suboptimal solutions. From a practical standpoint, backpropagation in the discrete space is non-trivial and often unstable. To overcome these challenges, we first provide a theoretical result demonstrating that our inverse formulation admits a unique solution, thereby ensuring valid optimization. We then introduce gradient-stable relaxations to support effective training. As a result, experiments on multiple DLMs show that our method, Inverse-distilled Diffusion Language Models (IDLM), reduces the number of inference steps by 4x-64x, while preserving the teacher model's generation quality. We provide the code, model checkpoints, and video tutorials on the project page: https://david-cripto.github.io/idlm-project-page

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Regret and Sample Complexity of Online Q-Learning via Concentration of Stochastic Approximation with Time-Inhomogeneous Markov Chains

We present the first regret bound for classical online Q-learning in infinite-horizon discounted Markov decision processes (MDPs), without relying on optimism or bonus terms. We first analyze Boltzmann Q-learning with decaying temperature and show that its regret depends critically on the suboptimality gap of the MDP: for sufficiently large gaps, the regret is sublinear, while for small gaps it deteriorates and can approach linear growth. To address this limitation, we study a Smoothed $\epsilon_n$-Greedy exploration scheme that combines $\epsilon_n$-greedy and Boltzmann exploration, for which we prove a gap-robust regret bound of near-$\tilde{O}(N^{9/10})$. We also obtain sample complexity guarantees, with both regret and sample complexity bounds holding with high probability. To analyze these algorithms, we develop a high-probability concentration bound for contractive Markovian stochastic approximation with iterate- and time-dependent transition dynamics. This bound may be of independent interest as the contraction factor in our framework is allowed to converge to one asymptotically.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

When Test-Time Guidance Is Enough: Fast Image and Video Editing with Diffusion Guidance

Text-driven image and video editing can be naturally cast as inpainting problems, where masked regions are reconstructed to remain consistent with both the observed content and the editing prompt. Recent advances in test-time guidance for diffusion and flow models provide a principled framework for this task; however, existing methods rely on costly vector--Jacobian product (VJP) computations to approximate the intractable guidance term, limiting their practical applicability. Building upon the recent work of Moufad et al. (2025), we provide theoretical insights into their VJP-free approximation and substantially extend their empirical evaluation to large-scale image and video editing benchmarks. Our results demonstrate that test-time guidance alone can achieve performance comparable to, and in some cases surpass, training-based methods.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Fast and Robust Likelihood-Guided Diffusion Posterior Sampling with Amortized Variational Inference

Zero-shot diffusion posterior sampling offers a flexible framework for inverse problems by accommodating arbitrary degradation operators at test time, but incurs high computational cost due to repeated likelihood-guided updates. In contrast, previous amortized diffusion approaches enable fast inference by replacing likelihood-based sampling with implicit inference models, but at the expense of robustness to unseen degradations. We introduce an amortization strategy for diffusion posterior sampling that preserves explicit likelihood guidance by amortizing the inner optimization problems arising in variational diffusion posterior sampling. This accelerates inference for in-distribution degradations while maintaining robustness to previously unseen operators, thereby improving the trade-off between efficiency and flexibility in diffusion-based inverse problems.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

Beyond Softmax and Entropy: Convergence Rates of Policy Gradients with f-SoftArgmax Parameterization & Coupled Regularization

Policy gradient methods are known to be highly sensitive to the choice of policy parameterization. In particular, the widely used softmax parameterization can induce ill-conditioned optimization landscapes and lead to exponentially slow convergence. Although this can be mitigated by preconditioning, this solution is often computationally expensive. Instead, we propose replacing the softmax with an alternative family of policy parameterizations based on the generalized f-softargmax. We further advocate coupling this parameterization with a regularizer induced by the same f-divergence, which improves the optimization landscape and ensures that the resulting regularized objective satisfies a Polyak-Lojasiewicz inequality. Leveraging this structure, we establish the first explicit non-asymptotic last-iterate convergence guarantees for stochastic policy gradient methods for finite MDPs without any form of preconditioning. We also derive sample-complexity bounds for the unregularized problem and show that f-PG, with Tsallis divergences achieves polynomial sample complexity in contrast to the exponential complexity incurred by the standard softmax parameterization.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Categorical Reparameterization with Denoising Diffusion models

Learning models with categorical variables requires optimizing expectations over discrete distributions, a setting in which stochastic gradient-based optimization is challenging due to the non-differentiability of categorical sampling. A common workaround is to replace the discrete distribution with a continuous relaxation, yielding a smooth surrogate that admits reparameterized gradient estimates via the reparameterization trick. Building on this idea, we introduce ReDGE, a novel and efficient diffusion-based soft reparameterization method for categorical distributions. Our approach defines a flexible class of gradient estimators that includes the Straight-Through estimator as a special case. Experiments spanning latent variable models and inference-time reward guidance in discrete diffusion models demonstrate that ReDGE consistently matches or outperforms existing gradient-based methods. The code will be made available at https://github.com/samsongourevitch/redge.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Efficient Zero-Shot Inpainting with Decoupled Diffusion Guidance

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful priors for image editing tasks such as inpainting and local modification, where the objective is to generate realistic content that remains consistent with observed regions. In particular, zero-shot approaches that leverage a pretrained diffusion model, without any retraining, have been shown to achieve highly effective reconstructions. However, state-of-the-art zero-shot methods typically rely on a sequence of surrogate likelihood functions, whose scores are used as proxies for the ideal score. This procedure however requires vector-Jacobian products through the denoiser at every reverse step, introducing significant memory and runtime overhead. To address this issue, we propose a new likelihood surrogate that yields simple and efficient to sample Gaussian posterior transitions, sidestepping the backpropagation through the denoiser network. Our extensive experiments show that our method achieves strong observation consistency compared with fine-tuned baselines and produces coherent, high-quality reconstructions, all while significantly reducing inference cost. Code is available at https://github.com/YazidJanati/ding.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

Convergence Guarantees for Federated SARSA with Local Training and Heterogeneous Agents

We present a novel theoretical analysis of Federated SARSA (FedSARSA) with linear function approximation and local training. We establish convergence guarantees for FedSARSA in the presence of heterogeneity, both in local transitions and rewards, providing the first sample and communication complexity bounds in this setting. At the core of our analysis is a new, exact multi-step error expansion for single-agent SARSA, which is of independent interest. Our analysis precisely quantifies the impact of heterogeneity, demonstrating the convergence of FedSARSA with multiple local updates. Crucially, we show that FedSARSA achieves linear speed-up with respect to the number of agents, up to higher-order terms due to Markovian sampling. Numerical experiments support our theoretical findings.

cs.LG↗