arXiv subjects

Eric Thrane

Publications and source records attributed to Eric Thrane.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

arXiv2021

Did Goryachev et al. detect megahertz gravitational waves?

Goryachev et al. [1] recently announced the detection of "two strongly significant events" in their Bulk Acoustic Wave High Frequency Gravitational Wave Antenna. They claim many possibilities for the cause of these events, including high-frequency megahertz gravitational waves. We demonstrate these events are not due to gravitational waves for two reasons. 1) The inferred stochastic gravitational-wave background from these events implies the gravitational-wave energy density of the Universe is $Ω_{\rm gw}\approx 10^8$, approximately $10^8$ times the closure density of the Universe. 2) The low-frequency gravitational-wave memory signal that accompanies any high-frequency gravitational-wave source visible by the current generation of high-frequency detectors would have been visible by LIGO/Virgo as a transient burst with signal-to-noise ratio $\gtrsim10^6$. The non-detection of such loud memory bursts throughout the operation of LIGO/Virgo rules out the gravitational-wave explanation for the high-frequency events detected by Goryachev et al. We discuss broader implications of this work for the ongoing experimental search for ultra high-frequency (MHz-GHz) gravitational waves.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

The Next Generation Global Gravitational Wave Observatory: The Science Book

The next generation of ground-based gravitational-wave detectors will observe coalescences of black holes and neutron stars throughout the cosmos, thousands of them with exceptional fidelity. The Science Book is the result of a 3-year effort to study the science capabilities of networks of next generation detectors. Such networks would make it possible to address unsolved problems in numerous areas of physics and astronomy, from Cosmology to Beyond the Standard Model of particle physics, and how they could provide insights into workings of strongly gravitating systems, astrophysics of compact objects and the nature of dense matter. It is inevitable that observatories of such depth and finesse will make new discoveries inaccessible to other windows of observation. In addition to laying out the rich science potential of the next generation of detectors, this report provides specific science targets in five different areas in physics and astronomy and the sensitivity requirements to accomplish those science goals. This report is the second in a six part series of reports by the GWIC 3G Subcommittee: i) Expanding the Reach of Gravitational Wave Observatories to the Edge of the Universe, ii) The Next Generation Global Gravitational Wave Observatory: The Science Book (this report), iii) 3G R&D: R&D for the Next Generation of Ground-based Gravitational Wave Detectors, iv) Gravitational Wave Data Analysis: Computing Challenges in the 3G Era, v) Future Ground-based Gravitational-wave Observatories: Synergies with Other Scientific Communities, and vi) An Exploration of Possible Governance Models for the Future Global Gravitational-Wave Observatory Network.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Implications of Eccentric Observations on Binary Black Hole Formation Channels

Orbital eccentricity is one of the most robust discriminators for distinguishing between dynamical and isolated formation scenarios of binary black hole mergers using gravitational-wave observatories such as LIGO and Virgo. Using state-of-the-art cluster models, we show how selection effects impact the detectable distribution of eccentric mergers from clusters. We show that the observation (or lack thereof) of eccentric binary black hole mergers can significantly constrain the fraction of detectable systems that originate from dynamical environments, such as dense star clusters. After roughly 150 observations, observing no eccentric binary signals would indicate that clusters cannot make up the majority of the merging binary black hole population in the local universe (95% credibility). However, if dense star clusters dominate the rate of eccentric mergers and a single system is confirmed to be measurably eccentric in the first and second gravitational-wave transient catalogs, clusters must account for at least 14% of detectable binary black hole mergers. The constraints on the fraction of detectable systems from dense star clusters become significantly tighter as the number of eccentric observations grows and will be constrained to within 0.5 dex once 10 eccentric binary black holes are observed.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

Constraints on Weak Supernova Kicks from Observed Pulsar Velocities

Observations of binary pulsars and pulsars in globular clusters suggest that at least some pulsars must receive weak natal kicks at birth. If all pulsars received strong natal kicks above \unit[50]{\kms}, those born in globular clusters would predominantly escape, while wide binaries would be disrupted. On the other hand, observations of transverse velocities of isolated radio pulsars indicate that only $5\pm2\%$ have velocities below \unit[50]{\kms}. We explore this apparent tension with rapid binary population synthesis modelling. We propose a model in which supernovae with characteristically low natal kicks (e.g., electron-capture supernovae) only occur if the progenitor star has been stripped via binary interaction with a companion. We show that this model naturally reproduces the observed pulsar speed distribution and without reducing the predicted merging double neutron star yield. We estimate that the zero-age main sequence mass range for non-interacting progenitors of electron-capture supernovae should be no wider than ${\approx}0.2 M_\odot$.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

Signs of eccentricity in two gravitational-wave signals may indicate a sub-population of dynamically assembled binary black holes

The orbital eccentricity of a merging binary black hole leaves an imprint on the associated gravitational-wave signal that can reveal whether the binary formed in isolation or in a dynamical environment, such as the core of a dense star cluster. We present measurements of the eccentricity of 26 binary black hole mergers in the second LIGO--Virgo gravitational-wave transient catalog, updating the total number of binary black holes analysed for orbital eccentricity to 36. Using the \texttt{SEOBNRE} waveform, we find the data for GW190620A is poorly explained by the zero-eccentricity hypothesis (frequentist $p$-value $\lesssim 0.1\%$). Using a log-uniform prior on eccentricity, the eccentricity at $\unit[10]{Hz}$ for GW190620A is constrained to $e_{10}\geq0.05$ ($0.1$) at $74\%$ ($65\%$) credibility. With this log-uniform prior, we obtain a $90\%$ credible lower eccentricity limit of $0.001$, while assuming a uniform prior leads the data to prefer $e_{10} \geq 0.11$ at $90\%$ credibility. This is the second measurement of a binary black hole system with statistical support for non-zero eccentricity; the intermediate-mass black hole merger GW190521 was the first. Interpretation of these two events is currently complicated by waveform systematics; we are unable to simultaneously model the effects of relativistic precession and eccentricity. However, if these two events are, in fact, eccentric mergers, then there are potentially many more dynamically assembled mergers in the LIGO--Virgo catalog without measurable eccentricity; $\gtrsim 27\%$ of the observed LIGO--Virgo binaries may have been assembled dynamically in dense stellar environments ($95\%$ credibility).

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

Optimized localization for gravitational-waves from merging binaries

The Advanced LIGO and Virgo gravitational wave observatories have opened a new window with which to study the inspiral and mergers of binary compact objects. These observations are most powerful when coordinated with multi-messenger observations. This was underlined by the first observation of a binary neutron star merger GW170817, coincident with a short Gamma-ray burst, GRB170817A, and the identification of the host galaxy NGC~4993 from the optical counterpart AT~2017gfo. Finding the fast-fading optical counterpart critically depends on the rapid production of a sky-map based on LIGO/Virgo data. Currently, a rapid initial sky map is produced followed by a more accurate, high-latency, $\gtrsim{12}{\rm{hr}}$ sky map. We study optimization choices of the Bayesian prior and signal model which can be used alongside other approaches such as reduced order quadrature. We find these yield up to a $60\%$ reduction in the time required to produce the high-latency localisation for binary neutron star mergers.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Inference with finite time series: Observing the gravitational Universe through windows

Time series analysis is ubiquitous in many fields of science including gravitational-wave astronomy, where strain time series are analyzed to infer the nature of gravitational-wave sources, e.g., black holes and neutron stars. It is common in gravitational-wave transient studies to apply a tapered window function to reduce the effects of spectral artifacts from the sharp edges of data segments. We show that the conventional analysis of tapered data fails to take into account covariance between frequency bins, which arises for all finite time series -- no matter the choice of window function. We discuss the origin of this covariance and show that as the number of gravitational-wave detections grows, and as we gain access to more high signal-to-noise ratio events, this covariance will become a non-negligible source of systematic error. We derive a framework that models the correlation induced by the window function and demonstrate this solution using both data from the first LIGO--Virgo transient catalog and simulated Gaussian noise.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2021

Probing Extremal Gravitational-Wave Events with Coarse-Grained Likelihoods

As catalogs of gravitational-wave transients grow, new records are set for the most extreme systems observed to date. The most massive observed black holes probe the physics of pair instability supernovae while providing clues about the environments in which binary black hole systems are assembled. The least massive black holes, meanwhile, allow us to investigate the purported neutron star-black hole mass gap, and binaries with unusually asymmetric mass ratios or large spins inform our understanding of binary and stellar evolution. Existing outlier tests generally implement leave-one-out analyses, but these do not account for the fact that the event being left out was by definition an extreme member of the population. This results in a bias in the evaluation of outliers. We correct for this bias by introducing a coarse-graining framework to investigate whether these extremal events are true outliers or whether they are consistent with the rest of the observed population. Our method enables us to study extremal events while testing for population model misspecification. We show that this ameliorates biases present in the leave-one-out analyses commonly used within the gravitational-wave community. Applying our method to results from the second LIGO--Virgo transient catalog, we find qualitative agreement with the conclusions of Abbott et al, ApJL 913 L7 (2021). GW190814 is an outlier because of its small secondary mass. We find that neither GW190412 nor GW190521 are outliers.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

Bayesian inference for gravitational waves from binary neutron star mergers in third-generation observatories

Third-generation (3G) gravitational-wave detectors will observe thousands of coalescing neutron star binaries with unprecedented fidelity. Extracting the highest precision science from these signals is expected to be challenging owing to both high signal-to-noise ratios and long-duration signals. We demonstrate that current Bayesian inference paradigms can be extended to the analysis of binary neutron star signals without breaking the computational bank. We construct reduced order models for $\sim 90\,\mathrm{minute}$ long gravitational-wave signals, covering the observing band ($5-2048\,\mathrm{Hz}$), speeding up inference by a factor of $\sim 1.3\times 10^4$ compared to the calculation times without reduced order models. The reduced order models incorporate key physics including the effects of tidal deformability, amplitude modulation due to the Earth's rotation, and spin-induced orbital precession. We show how reduced order modeling can accelerate inference on data containing multiple, overlapping gravitational-wave signals, and determine the speedup as a function of the number of overlapping signals. Thus, we conclude that Bayesian inference is computationally tractable for the long-lived, overlapping, high signal-to-noise-ratio events present in 3G observatories.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

The imprint of superradiance on hierarchical black hole mergers

Ultralight bosons are a proposed solution to outstanding problems in cosmology and particle physics: they provide a dark-matter candidate while potentially explaining the strong charge-parity problem. If they exist, ultralight bosons can interact with black holes through the superradiant instability. In this work we explore the consequences of this instability on the evolution of hierarchical black holes within dense stellar clusters. By reducing the spin of individual black holes, superradiance reduce the recoil velocity of merging binary black holes, which, in turn, increases the retention fraction of hierarchical merger remnants. We show that the existence of ultralight bosons with mass $ 2\times10^{-14}\lesssim μ/\textrm{eV} \lesssim2\times10^{-13}$ would lead to an increased rate of hierarchical black hole mergers in nuclear star clusters. An ultralight boson in this energy range would result in up to $\approx60\%$ more present-day nuclear star clusters supporting hierarchical growth. The presence of an ultralight boson can also double the rate of intermediate mass black hole mergers to $\approx0.08$\,Gpc$^{-3}$\,yr$^{-1}$ in the local Universe. These results imply that a select range of ultralight boson mass can have far-reaching consequences for the population of black holes in dense stellar environments. Future studies into black hole cluster populations and the spin distribution of hierarchically formed black holes will test this scenario.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Evidence for hierarchical black hole mergers in the second LIGO--Virgo gravitational-wave catalog

We study the population properties of merging binary black holes in the second LIGO--Virgo Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog assuming they were all formed dynamically in gravitationally bound clusters. Using a phenomenological population model, we infer the mass and spin distribution of first-generation black holes, while self-consistently accounting for hierarchical mergers. Considering a range of cluster masses, we see compelling evidence for hierarchical mergers in clusters with escape velocities $\gtrsim 100~\mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$. For our most probable cluster mass, we find that the catalog contains at least one second-generation merger with $99\%$ credibility. We find that the hierarchical model is preferred over an alternative model with no hierarchical mergers (Bayes factor $\mathcal{B} > 1400$) and that GW190521 is favored to contain two second-generation black holes with odds $\mathcal{O}>700$, and GW190519, GW190602, GW190620, and GW190706 are mixed-generation binaries with $\mathcal{O} > 10$. However, our results depend strongly on the cluster escape velocity, with more modest evidence for hierarchical mergers when the escape velocity is $\lesssim 100~\mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$. Assuming that all binary black holes are formed dynamically in globular clusters with escape velocities on the order of tens of $\mathrm{km\,s^{-1}}$, GW190519 and GW190521 are favored to include a second-generation black hole with odds $\mathcal{O}>1$. In this case, we find that $99\%$ of black holes from the inferred total population have masses that are less than $49\,M_{\odot}$, and that this constraint is robust to our choice of prior on the maximum black hole mass.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

Gravitational Waves as a Probe of Globular Cluster Formation and Evolution

Globular clusters are considered to be likely breeding grounds for compact binary mergers. In this paper, we demonstrate how the gravitational-wave signals produced by compact object mergers can act as tracers of globular cluster formation and evolution. Globular cluster formation is a long-standing mystery in astrophysics, with multiple competing theories describing when and how globular clusters formed. The limited sensitivity of electromagnetic telescopes inhibits our ability to directly observe globular cluster formation. However, with future audio-band detectors sensitive out to redshifts of $z \approx 50$ for GW150914-like signals, gravitational-wave astronomy will enable us to probe the Universe when the first globular clusters formed. We simulate a population of binary black hole mergers from theoretically-motivated globular cluster formation models, and construct redshift measurements consistent with the predicted accuracy of third-generation detectors. We show that we can locate the peak time of a cluster formation epoch during reionisation to within 0.05Gyr after one year of observations. The peak of a formation epoch that coincides with the Universal star formation rate can be measured to within 0.4Gyr-10.5Gyr after one year of observations, depending on the relative weighting of the model components.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

The Memory Remains (Undetected): Updates from the Second LIGO/Virgo Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog

The LIGO and Virgo observatories have reported 39 new gravitational-wave detections during the first part of the third observation run, bringing the total to 50. Most of these new detections are consistent with binary black-hole coalescences, making them suitable targets to search for gravitational-wave memory, a non-linear effect of general relativity. We extend a method developed in previous publications to analyse these events to determine a Bayes factor comparing the memory hypothesis to the no-memory hypothesis. Specifically, we calculate Bayes factors using two waveform models with higher-order modes that allow us to analyse events with extreme mass ratios and precessing spins, both of which have not been possible before. Depending on the waveform model we find a combined $\ln \mathrm{BF}_{\mathrm{mem}} = 0.024$ or $\ln \mathrm{BF}_{\mathrm{mem}} = 0.049$ in favour of memory. This result is consistent with recent predictions that indicate $\mathcal{O}(2000)$ binary black-hole detections will be required to confidently establish the presence or absence of memory.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Heavy double neutron stars: birth, mid-life and death

Radio pulsar observations probe the lives of Galactic double neutron-star (DNS) systems while gravitational waves enable us to study extragalactic DNS in their final moments. By combining measurements from radio and gravitational-wave astronomy, we seek to gain a more complete understanding of DNS from formation to merger. We analyse the recent gravitational-wave binary neutron star mergers GW170817 and GW190425 in the context of other DNS known from radio astronomy. By employing a model for the birth and evolution of DNS, we measure the mass distribution of DNS at birth, at mid-life (in the radio), and at death (in gravitational waves). We consider the hypothesis that the high-mass gravitational-wave event GW190425 is part of a subpopulation formed through unstable case BB mass transfer, which quickly merge in $\sim 10-100~\mathrm{Myr}$. We find mild evidence to support this hypothesis and that GW190425 is not a clear outlier from the radio population as previously claimed. If there are fast-merging binaries, we estimate that they constitute $8-79\%$ of DNS at birth (90% credibility). We estimate the typical delay time between the birth and death of fast-merging binaries to be $\approx 5-401~\mathrm{Myr}$ (90% credibility). We discuss the implications for radio and gravitational-wave astronomy.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

Evidence for an intermediate-mass black hole from a gravitationally lensed gamma-ray burst

If gamma-ray bursts are at cosmological distances, they must be gravitationally lensed occasionally. The detection of lensed images with millisecond-to-second time delays provides evidence for intermediate-mass black holes, a population that has been difficult to observe. Several studies have searched for these delays in gamma-ray burst light curves, which would indicate an intervening gravitational lens. Among the $\sim 10^4$ gamma-ray bursts observed, there have been a handful of claimed lensing detections, but none have been statistically robust. Here we present a Bayesian analysis identifying gravitational lensing in the light curve of GRB950830. The inferred lens mass depends on the unknown lens redshift $z_l$, and is given by $(1+z_l)M_l = 5.5^{+1.7}_{-0.9}\times 10^4 $ M$_\odot$ (90% credibility), which we interpret as evidence for an intermediate-mass black hole. The most probable configuration, with a lens redshift $z_l\sim 1$ and a gamma-ray burst redshift $z_s\sim 2$, yields a present day number density of $n_\text{imbh}\approx 2.3^{+4.9}_{-1.6}\times10^{3} \text{ Mpc}^{-3}$ (90% credibility) with a dimensionless energy density $Ω_\text{imbh} \approx 4.6^{+9.8}_{-3.3}\times10^{-4}$. The false alarm probability for this detection is $\sim0.6\%$ with trial factors. While it is possible that GRB950830 was lensed by a globular cluster, it is unlikely since we infer a cosmic density inconsistent with predictions for globular clusters $Ω_\text{gc} \approx 8 \times 10^{-6}$ at 99.8% credibility. If a significant intermediate-mass black hole population exists, it could provide the seeds for the growth of supermassive black holes in the early Universe.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2021

Black-hole spectroscopy, the no-hair theorem and GW150914: Kerr vs. Occam

The "no-hair" theorem states that astrophysical black holes are fully characterised by just two numbers: their mass and spin. The gravitational-wave emission from a perturbed black-hole consists of a superposition of damped sinusoids, known as \textit{quasi-normal modes}. Quasi-normal modes are specified by three integers $(\ell,m,n)$: the $(\ell, m)$ integers describe the angular properties and $(n)$ specifies the (over)tone. If the no-hair theorem holds, the frequencies and damping times of quasi-normal modes are determined uniquely by the mass and spin of the black hole, while phases and amplitudes depend on the particular perturbation. Current tests of the no-hair theorem, attempt to identify these modes in a semi-agnostic way, without imposing priors on the source of the perturbation. This is usually known as \textit{black-hole spectroscopy}. Applying this framework to GW150914, the measurement of the first overtone led to the confirmation of the theorem to $20\%$ level. We show, however, that such semi-agnostic tests cannot provide strong evidence in favour of the no-hair theorem, even for extremely loud signals, given the increasing number of overtones (and free parameters) needed to fit the data. This can be solved by imposing prior assumptions on the origin of the perturbed black hole that can further constrain the explored parameters: in particular, our knowledge that the ringdown is sourced by a binary black hole merger. Applying this strategy to GW150914 we find a natural log Bayes factor of $\sim 6.5$ in favour of the Kerr nature of its remnant, indicating that the hairy object hypothesis is disfavoured with $<1:600$ with respect to the Kerr black-hole one.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Temperature dependent appearance of exotic matter makes nascent neutron stars spin faster

Neutron stars offer the opportunity to study the behaviour of matter at densities and temperatures inaccessible to terrestrial experiments. Gravitational-wave observations of binary neutron star coalescences can constrain the neutron-star equation of state before and after merger. After the neutron star binary merges, hyperons can form in the remnant, changing the behaviour of the neutron-star equation of state. In this study, we use finite-entropy equations of state to show that a post-merger remnant can spin up due to cooling. The magnitude of the spin-up depends on the neutron-star equation of state. If hyperons are present, the post-merger spin-up changes the peak gravitational-wave frequency by $\sim 540$ Hz, when the entropy per baryon drops from $s=2$ $k_B$ to $s=0$ $k_B$. If hyperons are not present, the post-merger spin-up changes by $\sim 360$ Hz, providing a gravitational-wave signature for exotic matter. We expect the same qualitative behaviour whenever temperature dependent phase transitions are triggered.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2020

Standard-siren cosmology using gravitational waves from binary black holes

Gravitational-wave astronomy provides a unique new way to study the expansion history of the Universe. In this work, we investigate the impact future gravitational-wave observatories will have on cosmology. Third-generation observatories like the Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer will be sensitive to essentially all of the binary black hole coalescence events in the Universe. Recent work by \cite{farr2019future} points out that features in the stellar-mass black hole population break the mass-redshift degeneracy, facilitating precise determination of the Hubble parameter without electromagnetic counterparts or host galaxy catalogues. Using a hierarchical Bayesian inference model, we show that with one year of observations by the Einstein Telescope, the Hubble constant will be measured to $\lesssim 1\%$. We also show that this method can be used to perform Bayesian model selection between cosmological models. As an illustrative example, we find that a decisive statement can be made comparing the $Λ$CDM and RHCT cosmological models using two weeks of data from the Einstein Telescope.

astro-ph.CO↗