arXiv subjects

Erik Frisk

Publications and source records attributed to Erik Frisk.

34 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2024

The LiU-ICE Benchmark -- An Industrial Fault Diagnosis Case Study

This paper presents the LiU-ICE fault diagnosis benchmark. The purpose of the benchmark is to support fault diagnosis research by providing data and a model of an industrially relevant system. Data has been collected from an internal combustion engine test bench operated in both nominal and faulty modes. A state-of-the-art model of the air path through an internal combustion engine with unknown parameters is provided. This benchmark has previously been used in a competition at the 12th IFAC Symposium on Fault Detection, Supervision and Safety for Technical Processes (Safe Process) 2024, Ferrara, Italy.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2024

Stability-Informed Initialization of Neural Ordinary Differential Equations

This paper addresses the training of Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (neural ODEs), and in particular explores the interplay between numerical integration techniques, stability regions, step size, and initialization techniques. It is shown how the choice of integration technique implicitly regularizes the learned model, and how the solver's corresponding stability region affects training and prediction performance. From this analysis, a stability-informed parameter initialization technique is introduced. The effectiveness of the initialization method is displayed across several learning benchmarks and industrial applications.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Neural Network-Based Piecewise Survival Models

In this paper, a family of neural network-based survival models is presented. The models are specified based on piecewise definitions of the hazard function and the density function on a partitioning of the time; both constant and linear piecewise definitions are presented, resulting in a family of four models. The models can be seen as an extension of the commonly used discrete-time and piecewise exponential models and thereby add flexibility to this set of standard models. Using a simulated dataset the models are shown to perform well compared to the highly expressive, state-of-the-art energy-based model, while only requiring a fraction of the computation time.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2024

Usage-Specific Survival Modeling Based on Operational Data and Neural Networks

Accurate predictions of when a component will fail are crucial when planning maintenance, and by modeling the distribution of these failure times, survival models have shown to be particularly useful in this context. The presented methodology is based on conventional neural network-based survival models that are trained using data that is continuously gathered and stored at specific times, called snapshots. An important property of this type of training data is that it can contain more than one snapshot from a specific individual which results in that standard maximum likelihood training can not be directly applied since the data is not independent. However, the papers show that if the data is in a specific format where all snapshot times are the same for all individuals, called homogeneously sampled, maximum likelihood training can be applied and produce desirable results. In many cases, the data is not homogeneously sampled and in this case, it is proposed to resample the data to make it homogeneously sampled. How densely the dataset is sampled turns out to be an important parameter; it should be chosen large enough to produce good results, but this also increases the size of the dataset which makes training slow. To reduce the number of samples needed during training, the paper also proposes a technique to, instead of resampling the dataset once before the training starts, randomly resample the dataset at the start of each epoch during the training. The proposed methodology is evaluated on both a simulated dataset and an experimental dataset of starter battery failures. The results show that if the data is homogeneously sampled the methodology works as intended and produces accurate survival models. The results also show that randomly resampling the dataset on each epoch is an effective way to reduce the size of the training data.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Observer-Based Environment Robust Control Barrier Functions for Safety-critical Control with Dynamic Obstacles

This paper proposes a safety-critical controller for dynamic and uncertain environments, leveraging a robust environment control barrier function (ECBF) to enhance the robustness against the measurement and prediction uncertainties associated with moving obstacles. The approach reduces conservatism, compared with a worst-case uncertainty approach, by incorporating a state observer for obstacles into the ECBF design. The controller, which guarantees safety, is achieved through solving a quadratic programming problem. The proposed method's effectiveness is demonstrated via a dynamic obstacle-avoidance problem for an autonomous vehicle, including comparisons with established baseline approaches.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2024

Diffusion-Based Environment-Aware Trajectory Prediction

The ability to predict the future trajectories of traffic participants is crucial for the safe and efficient operation of autonomous vehicles. In this paper, a diffusion-based generative model for multi-agent trajectory prediction is proposed. The model is capable of capturing the complex interactions between traffic participants and the environment, accurately learning the multimodal nature of the data. The effectiveness of the approach is assessed on large-scale datasets of real-world traffic scenarios, showing that our model outperforms several well-established methods in terms of prediction accuracy. By the incorporation of differential motion constraints on the model output, we illustrate that our model is capable of generating a diverse set of realistic future trajectories. Through the use of an interaction-aware guidance signal, we further demonstrate that the model can be adapted to predict the behavior of less cooperative agents, emphasizing its practical applicability under uncertain traffic conditions.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2023

Structural Diagnosability Analysis of Switched and Modular Battery Packs

Safety, reliability, and durability are targets of all engineering systems, including Li-ion batteries in electric vehicles. This paper focuses on sensor setup exploration for a battery-integrated modular multilevel converter (BI-MMC) that can be part of a solution to sustainable electrification of vehicles. BI-MMC contains switches to convert DC to AC to drive an electric machine. The various configurations of switches result in different operation modes, which in turn, pose great challenges for diagnostics. The study explores diverse sensor arrangements and system configurations for detecting and isolating faults in modular battery packs. Configurations involving a minimum of two modules integrated into the pack are essential to successfully isolate all faults. The findings indicate that the default sensor setup is insufficient for achieving complete fault isolability. Additionally, the investigation also demonstrates that current sensors in the submodules do not contribute significantly to fault isolability. Further, the results on switch positions show that the system configuration has a significant impact on fault isolability. A combination of appropriate sensor data and system configuration is important in achieving optimal diagnosability, which is a paramount objective in ensuring system safety.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2023

Fault Diagnosability Analysis of Multi-Mode Systems

Multi-mode systems can operate in different modes, leading to large numbers of different dynamics. Consequently, applying traditional structural diagnostics to such systems is often untractable. To address this challenge, we present a multi-mode diagnostics algorithm that relies on a multi-mode extension of the Dulmage-Mendelsohn decomposition. We introduce two methodologies for modeling faults, either as signals or as Boolean variables, and apply them to a modular switched battery system in order to demonstrate their effectiveness and discuss their respective advantages.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2023

MTP-GO: Graph-Based Probabilistic Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction with Neural ODEs

Enabling resilient autonomous motion planning requires robust predictions of surrounding road users' future behavior. In response to this need and the associated challenges, we introduce our model titled MTP-GO. The model encodes the scene using temporal graph neural networks to produce the inputs to an underlying motion model. The motion model is implemented using neural ordinary differential equations where the state-transition functions are learned with the rest of the model. Multimodal probabilistic predictions are obtained by combining the concept of mixture density networks and Kalman filtering. The results illustrate the predictive capabilities of the proposed model across various data sets, outperforming several state-of-the-art methods on a number of metrics.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2023

Uncertainties in Robust Planning and Control of Autonomous Tractor-Trailer Vehicles

To study the effects of uncertainty in autonomous motion planning and control, an 8-DOF model of a tractor-semitrailer is implemented and analyzed. The implications of uncertainties in the model are then quantified and presented using sensitivity analysis and closed-loop simulations. The analysis reveals that the significance of various model parameters varies depending on the specific scenario under investigation. By using sampling-based closed-loop predictions, uncertainty bounds on state variable trajectories are determined. Our findings suggest the potential for the inclusion of our method within a robust predictive controller or as a driver-assistance system for rollover or lane departure warnings.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2023

Interaction-Aware Motion Planning for Autonomous Vehicles with Multi-Modal Obstacle Uncertainty Predictions

This paper proposes an interaction and safety-aware motion-planning method for an autonomous vehicle in uncertain multi-vehicle traffic environments. The method integrates the ability of the interaction-aware interacting multiple model Kalman filter (IAIMM-KF) to predict interactive multi-modal maneuvers of surrounding vehicles, and the advantage of model predictive control (MPC) in planning an optimal trajectory in uncertain dynamic environments. The multi-modal prediction uncertainties, containing both the maneuver and trajectory uncertainties of surrounding vehicles, are considered in computing the reference targets and designing the collision-avoidance constraints of MPC for resilient motion planning of the ego vehicle. The MPC achieves safety awareness by incorporating a tunable parameter to adjust the predicted obstacle occupancy in the design of the safety constraints, allowing the approach to achieve a trade-off between performance and robustness. Based on the prediction of the surrounding vehicles, an optimal reference trajectory of the ego vehicle is computed by MPC to follow the time-varying reference targets and avoid collisions with obstacles. The efficiency of the method is illustrated in challenging highway-driving simulation scenarios and a driving scenario from a recorded traffic dataset.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2023

Evaluation of Differentially Constrained Motion Models for Graph-Based Trajectory Prediction

Given their flexibility and encouraging performance, deep-learning models are becoming standard for motion prediction in autonomous driving. However, with great flexibility comes a lack of interpretability and possible violations of physical constraints. Accompanying these data-driven methods with differentially-constrained motion models to provide physically feasible trajectories is a promising future direction. The foundation for this work is a previously introduced graph-neural-network-based model, MTP-GO. The neural network learns to compute the inputs to an underlying motion model to provide physically feasible trajectories. This research investigates the performance of various motion models in combination with numerical solvers for the prediction task. The study shows that simpler models, such as low-order integrator models, are preferred over more complex, e.g., kinematic models, to achieve accurate predictions. Further, the numerical solver can have a substantial impact on performance, advising against commonly used first-order methods like Euler forward. Instead, a second-order method like Heun's can greatly improve predictions.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2023

Energy-Based Survival Models for Predictive Maintenance

Predictive maintenance is an effective tool for reducing maintenance costs. Its effectiveness relies heavily on the ability to predict the future state of health of the system, and for this survival models have shown to be very useful. Due to the complex behavior of system degradation, data-driven methods are often preferred, and neural network-based methods have been shown to perform particularly very well. Many neural network-based methods have been proposed and successfully applied to many problems. However, most models rely on assumptions that often are quite restrictive and there is an interest to find more expressive models. Energy-based models are promising candidates for this due to their successful use in other applications, which include natural language processing and computer vision. The focus of this work is therefore to investigate how energy-based models can be used for survival modeling and predictive maintenance. A key step in using energy-based models for survival modeling is the introduction of right-censored data, which, based on a maximum likelihood approach, is shown to be a straightforward process. Another important part of the model is the evaluation of the integral used to normalize the modeled probability density function, and it is shown how this can be done efficiently. The energy-based survival model is evaluated using both simulated data and experimental data in the form of starter battery failures from a fleet of vehicles, and its performance is found to be highly competitive compared to existing models.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2022

Resilient Branching MPC for Multi-Vehicle Traffic Scenarios Using Adversarial Disturbance Sequences

An approach to resilient planning and control of autonomous vehicles in multi-vehicle traffic scenarios is proposed. The proposed method is based on model predictive control (MPC), where alternative predictions of the surrounding traffic are determined automatically such that they are intentionally adversarial to the ego vehicle. This provides robustness against the inherent uncertainty in traffic predictions. To reduce conservatism, an assumption that other agents are of no ill intent is formalized. Simulation results from highway driving scenarios show that the proposed method in real-time negotiates traffic situations out of scope for a nominal MPC approach and performs favorably to state-of-the-art reinforcement-learning approaches without requiring prior training. The results also show that the proposed method performs effectively, with the ability to prune disturbance sequences with a lower risk for the ego vehicle.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2022

Time Series Fault Classification for Wave Propagation Systems with Sparse Fault Data

In this work Time Series Classification techniques are investigated, and especially their applicability in applications where there are significant differences between the individuals where data is collected, and the individuals where the classification is evaluated. Classification methods are applied to a fault classification case, where a key assumption is that data from a fault free reference case for each specific individual is available. For the investigated application, wave propagation cause almost chaotic changes of a measured pressure signal, and physical modeling is difficult. Direct application of One-Nearest-Neighbor Dynamic Time Warping, a common technique for this kind of problem, and other machine learning techniques are shown to fail for this case and new methods to improve the situation are presented. By using relative features describing the difference from the reference case rather than the absolute time series, improvements are made compared to state-of-the-art time series classification algorithms.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2021

Vehicle Behavior Prediction and Generalization Using Imbalanced Learning Techniques

The use of learning-based methods for vehicle behavior prediction is a promising research topic. However, many publicly available data sets suffer from class distribution skews which limits learning performance if not addressed. This paper proposes an interaction-aware prediction model consisting of an LSTM autoencoder and SVM classifier. Additionally, an imbalanced learning technique, the multiclass balancing ensemble is proposed. Evaluations show that the method enhances model performance, resulting in improved classification accuracy. Good generalization properties of learned models are important and therefore a generalization study is done where models are evaluated on unseen traffic data with dissimilar traffic behavior stemming from different road configurations. This is realized by using two distinct highway traffic recordings, the publicly available NGSIM US-101 and I80 data sets. Moreover, methods for encoding structural and static features into the learning process for improved generalization are evaluated. The resulting methods show substantial improvements in classification as well as generalization performance.

cs.RO↗