arXiv subjects

Erika Palmerio

Publications and source records attributed to Erika Palmerio.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

On the 3D Magnetic Structure of Coronal Mass Ejections Through the Solar Corona

The magnetic fields that make up the internal structure of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are thought to be organised in a flux rope configuration, consisting of twisted magnetic fields that wind about a central axis. Remote-sensing observations of CMEs show a wide range of morphologies, dynamics, and evolution, including rotation, non-uniform expansion, deflection, and interaction with the ambient solar wind. In-situ measurements, however, typically consist of a single 1D spacecraft trajectory through a large 3D structure (or few at best), restricting our ability to determine how CME magnetic structure varies in space and time. In this work, we analyse the magnetic configuration of two idealised CMEs during their early evolution in the range 1-30 $R_{\odot}$ using the Magnetohydrodynamic Algorithm Outside a Sphere code. The initial flux ropes differ only in their orientation with respect to the global dipole and erupt from a bipolar active region below the streamer belt in a simplified coronal environment. We deploy a fleet of synthetic spacecraft throughout the CMEs' paths at different combinations of latitudes, longitudes, and heliocentric distances. We identify and examine flux rope signatures in the synthetic in-situ profiles to characterise radial variations as well as latitudinal/longitudinal ones. We find that, even in a simplified CME erupting under solar minimum-like conditions, the sampling location significantly affects the global structure that would be deduced from common flux rope reconstruction and analysis techniques used for in-situ measurements. Additionally, we consider possible in-situ signatures that may serve as indicators of the source region's topology.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2026

Stellar Forcing of (exo)Planetary Environments

The environments of exoplanets are fundamentally shaped by the magnetic activity of their host stars through radiative, plasma, and particle-driven processes. This article presents a comprehensive overview of the four principal forms of stellar forcing that regulate atmospheric structure, chemistry, escape, and long-term planetary evolution: high-energy radiation, magnetized stellar winds, coronal mass ejections, and energetic particles. Using the Sun as a physically resolved benchmark, the discussion extends to increasingly active cool stars to establish a broader picture of star--planet interactions across the main sequence. The article first examines stellar X-ray and extreme ultraviolet emission from chromospheres and coronae, together with variability introduced by flares and magnetic reconnection. Particular attention is given to spectroscopic diagnostics, activity scalings with stellar rotation and age, flare energetics, and the observational links between impulsive and gradual phases of magnetic energy release. The treatment then shifts to magnetized stellar winds, describing the mechanisms that drive them and the role of multidimensional magnetohydrodynamic modeling in determining wind structure, angular momentum loss, and planetary interaction regimes. Solar and stellar coronal mass ejections are explored through their diagnostics, flare associations, propagation, and possible suppression by strong stellar magnetic fields. Finally, galactic and stellar energetic particles are discussed together with methods for estimating particle environments and their consequences for atmospheric chemistry and climate. The article concludes by outlining future observational and numerical developments needed to connect these coupled stellar forcing processes within a unified exoplanetary framework.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2026

UK White Paper on Space-based total solar eclipse observations: structure and dynamics of the solar atmosphere

Our Sun is uniquely placed to enable a detailed study of astrophysical plasmas and how they are governed by the magnetic fields that thread through them. On the one hand, magnetic fields confine plasma and determine plasma heating, flows, and energisation. On the other hand, magnetic fields and their evolution give rise to the most violent eruptions in the Solar System. Understanding the details of how energy is built up and released, and the impact of these physical processes on the plasma, remain key open questions that directly map to UKRI's science strategy through the STFC Solar System Advisory Panel's roadmap for Solar System research goals: What are the causes, consequences and predictability of solar magnetic variability and the solar cycle? What are the structures, dynamics and energetics of the Sun? What are the underlying processes that drive Sun-planet connections? And what are the fundamental processes at work in the Solar System? As laid out in this White Paper, the Moon-Enabled Sun Occultation Mission (MESOM) directly addresses these questions and in doing so delivers several Pillars of the National Space Strategy.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2026

Polarimetric Tomography Applied to Synthetic Multi-Spacecraft White-Light Images: Observing Coronal Mass Ejections in 3D

A discrete tomography method has been developed that is able to reconstruct three-dimensional coronal mass ejection (CME) density structure. We test the method by producing synthetic coronagraph imagery for three events using the CORona--HELiosphere (CORHEL) model. We combine images from different numbers of observing spacecraft and we perform the method separately using polarimetric and non-polarimetric reconstructions, as a means to test their relative effectiveness. We show that increasing the number of observing spacecraft consistently reduces the mean relative absolute error (MRAE) between the simulated and reconstructed density. Furthermore, the MRAE is generally lower when using polarimetric reconstructions compared to non-polarimetric reconstructions. Methods applied to localise the CME front work well for all spacecraft configurations, and are improved when using polarimetric, over non-polarimetric, reconstructions. The presence of a CME front can be identified with an accuracy of $(72\pm9)\%$, $(70\pm8)\%$ and $(52\pm12)\%$ for CME1, CME2 and CME3 via polarimetric reconstructions using only three spacecraft at L1, L4 and L5. The radial position of the CME front can be constrained to a high level of precision when using polarimetric reconstructions using the same three spacecraft; $0.003\pm0.004$\,au, $0.004\pm0.005$\,au and $0.005\pm0.004$\,au for CME1, CME2 and CME3, respectively. We expect that at least four spacecraft are required in order to derive accurate information about 3D CME structure. We find no strong evidence of improvement when including out-of-ecliptic observers, but that their inclusion increases the volume of space within which the inversion can be performed.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2025

Energetic Particles from Quasi-Separatrix Layers and Current Sheets at the Sun

Quasi-separatrix layers (QSLs) at the Sun are created from regions where channels of open magnetic flux have footpoints near regions of large-scale closed magnetic flux. These regions are particularly prone to magnetic reconnection at the Sun. In recent simulations of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) with the Magnetohydrodynamic Algorithm outside a Sphere (MAS) model coupled to the Energetic Particle Radiation Environment Module (EPREM) model, common sources of energetic particles were discovered over broad longitudinal distributions in the background solar wind, far from the sites of particle acceleration driven by compressions and shocks in front of CMEs. Further investigation revealed these to be accelerated energetic particles from the QSLs and current sheets. The energy released from magnetic reconnection near the QSL drives reconnection exhausts and field-aligned flows, which in turn accelerate energetic particles. The reconnection process also releases material previously contained within closed magnetic field structures, which are often rich in heavy ions and $^3$He ions, as corroborated by recent PSP observations. Therefore, the seed populations produced by QSLs are expected to be rich in $^3$He and heavy ions. Thus, we present the first global model of energetic particles accelerated from QSLs and above current sheets from the Sun. Our results provide a plausible source for seed populations near the Sun, which likely have $^3$He and heavy ion enhancements. These results aid in the development of predictive solar energetic particle models.

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arXiv2025

Monitoring the Solar Wind Before It Reaches L1

Space weather predictions of the solar wind impacting Earth are usually first based on remote-sensing observations of the solar disc and corona, and eventually validated and/or refined with in-situ measurements taken at the Sun$-$Earth Lagrange L1 point, where real-time monitoring probes are located. However, this pipeline provides, on average, only a few tens of minutes of lead time, which decreases to $\sim$30 minutes or less for large solar wind speeds of $\sim$800 km/s and above. The G5 geomagnetic storm of 2024 May provided an opportunity to test predictions generated employing real-time data from the STEREO-A spacecraft, placed 13° west of Earth and 0.04 au closer to the Sun than L1 at the time of the event, as shown recently by Weiler et al. (2025). In this Commentary, we contextualise these results to reflect upon the advantages of measuring the solar wind in situ upstream of L1, leading to improvements in both fundamental research of interplanetary physics and space weather predictions of the near-Earth environment.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2024

A coronal mass ejection encountered by four spacecraft within 1 au from the Sun: Ensemble modelling of propagation and magnetic structure

Understanding and predicting the structure and evolution of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the heliosphere remains one of the most sought-after goals in heliophysics and space weather research. A powerful tool for improving current knowledge and capabilities consists of multi-spacecraft observations of the same event, which take place when two or more spacecraft fortuitously find themselves in the path of a single CME. Multi-probe events can not only supply useful data to evaluate the large-scale of CMEs from 1D in-situ trajectories, but also provide additional constraints and validation opportunities for CME propagation models. In this work, we analyse and simulate the coronal and heliospheric evolution of a slow, streamer-blowout CME that erupted on 23 September 2021 and was encountered in situ by four spacecraft approximately equally distributed in heliocentric distance between 0.4 and 1 au. We employ the Open Solar Physics Rapid Ensemble Information (OSPREI) modelling suite in ensemble mode to predict the CME arrival and structure in a hindcast fashion and to compute the "best-fit" solutions at the different spacecraft individually and together. We find that the spread in the predicted quantities increases with heliocentric distance, suggesting that there may be a maximum (angular and radial) separation between an inner and an outer probe beyond which estimates of the in-situ magnetic field orientation (parameterised by flux rope model geometry) increasingly diverge. We discuss the importance of these exceptional observations and the results of our investigation in the context of advancing our understanding of CME structure and evolution as well as improving space weather forecasts.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2024

A Study on the Nested Rings CME Structure Observed by the WISPR Imager Onboard Parker Solar Probe

Despite the significance of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in space weather, a comprehensive understanding of their interior morphology remains a scientific challenge, particularly with the advent of many state-of-the-art solar missions such as Parker Solar Probe (Parker) and Solar Orbiter (SO). In this study, we present an analysis of a complex CME as observed by the Wide-Field Imager for Solar PRobe (WISPR) heliospheric imager during Parker's seventh solar encounter. The CME morphology does not fully conform with the general three-part density structure, exhibiting a front and core not significantly bright, with a highly structured overall configuration. In particular, its morphology reveals non-concentric nested rings, which we argue are a signature of the embedded helical magnetic flux rope (MFR) of the CME. For that, we analyze the morphological and kinematical properties of the nested density structures and demonstrate that they outline the projection of the three-dimensional structure of the flux rope as it crosses the lines of sight of the WISPR imager, thereby revealing the magnetic field geometry. Comparison of observations from various viewpoints suggests that the CME substructures can be discerned owing to the ideal viewing perspective, close proximity, and spatial resolution of the observing instrument.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2024

Acceleration of electrons and ions by an "almost" astrophysical shock in the heliosphere

Collisionless shock waves, ubiquitous in the universe, are crucial for particle acceleration in various astrophysical systems. Currently, the heliosphere is the only natural environment available for their in situ study. In this work, we showcase the collective acceleration of electrons and ions by one of the fastest in situ shocks ever recorded, observed by the pioneering Parker Solar Probe at only 34.5 million kilometers from the Sun. Our analysis of this unprecedented, near-parallel shock shows electron acceleration up to 6 MeV amidst intense multi-scale electromagnetic wave emissions. We also present evidence of a variable shock structure capable of injecting and accelerating ions from the solar wind to high energies through a self-consistent process. The exceptional capability of the probe's instruments to measure electromagnetic fields in a shock traveling at 1% the speed of light has enabled us, for the first time, to confirm that the structure of a strong heliospheric shock aligns with theoretical models of strong shocks observed in astrophysical environments. This alignment offers viable avenues for understanding astrophysical shock processes and the acceleration of charged particles.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2024

Improved modelling of SEP event onset within the WSA-Enlil-SEPMOD framework

Multi-spacecraft observations of solar energetic particle (SEP) events not only enable a deeper understanding and development of particle acceleration and transport theories, but also provide important constraints for model validation efforts. However, because of computational limitations, a given physics-based SEP model is usually best-suited to capture a particular phase of an SEP event, rather than its whole development from onset through decay. For example, magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models of the heliosphere often incorporate solar transients only at the outer boundary of their so-called coronal domain -- usually set at a heliocentric distance of 20-30 $R_{\odot}$. This means that particle acceleration at CME-driven shocks is also computed from this boundary onwards, leading to simulated SEP event onsets that can be many hours later than observed, since shock waves can form much lower in the solar corona. In this work, we aim to improve the modelled onset of SEP events by inserting a "fixed source" of particle injection at the outer boundary of the coronal domain of the coupled WSA-Enlil 3D MHD model of the heliosphere. The SEP model that we employ for this effort is SEPMOD, a physics-based test-particle code based on a field line tracer and adiabatic invariant conservation. We apply our initial tests and results of SEPMOD's fixed-source option to the 2021 October 9 SEP event, which was detected at five well-separated locations in the inner heliosphere -- Parker Solar Probe, STEREO-A, Solar Orbiter, BepiColombo, and near-Earth spacecraft.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2024

On the Mesoscale Structure of CMEs at Mercury's Orbit: BepiColombo and Parker Solar Probe Observations

On 2022 February 15, an impressive filament eruption was observed off the solar eastern limb from three remote-sensing viewpoints, namely Earth, STEREO-A, and Solar Orbiter. In addition to representing the most-distant observed filament at extreme ultraviolet wavelengths -- captured by Solar Orbiter's field of view extending to above 6 $R_{\odot}$ -- this event was also associated with the release of a fast ($\sim$2200 km$\cdot$s$^{-1}$) coronal mass ejection (CME) that was directed towards BepiColombo and Parker Solar Probe. These two probes were separated by 2$^{\circ}$ in latitude, 4$^{\circ}$ in longitude, and 0.03 au in radial distance around the time of the CME-driven shock arrival in situ. The relative proximity of the two probes to each other and to the Sun ($\sim$0.35 au) allows us to study the mesoscale structure of CMEs at Mercury's orbit for the first time. We analyse similarities and differences in the main CME-related structures measured at the two locations, namely the interplanetary shock, the sheath region, and the magnetic ejecta. We find that, despite the separation between the two spacecraft being well within the typical uncertainties associated with determination of CME geometric parameters from remote-sensing observations, the two sets of in-situ measurements display some profound differences that make understanding of the overall 3D CME structure particularly challenging. Finally, we discuss our findings within the context of space weather at Mercury's distances and in terms of the need to investigate solar transients via spacecraft constellations with small separations, which has been gaining significant attention during recent years.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

Modeling a Coronal Mass Ejection from an Extended Filament Channel. II. Interplanetary Propagation to 1 au

We present observations and modeling results of the propagation and impact at Earth of a high-latitude, extended filament channel eruption that commenced on 2015 July 9. The coronal mass ejection (CME) that resulted from the filament eruption was associated with a moderate disturbance at Earth. This event could be classified as a so-called "problem storm" because it lacked the usual solar signatures that are characteristic of large, energetic, Earth-directed CMEs that often result in significant geoeffective impacts. We use solar observations to constrain the initial parameters and therefore to model the propagation of the 2015 July 9 eruption from the solar corona up to Earth using 3D magnetohydrodynamic heliospheric simulations with three different configurations of the modeled CME. We find the best match between observed and modeled arrival at Earth for the simulation run that features a toroidal flux rope structure of the CME ejecta, but caution that different approaches may be more or less useful depending on the CME-observer geometry when evaluating the space weather impact of eruptions that are extreme in terms of their large size and high degree of asymmetry. We discuss our results in the context of both advancing our understanding of the physics of CME evolution and future improvements to space weather forecasting.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

Deflection of Coronal Mass Ejections in Unipolar Ambient Magnetic Fields

The trajectories of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are often seen to substantially deviate from a purely radial propagation direction. Such deviations occur predominantly in the corona and have been attributed to "channeling" or deflection of the eruptive flux by asymmetric ambient magnetic fields. Here, we investigate an additional mechanism that does not require any asymmetry of the pre-eruptive ambient field. Using magnetohydrodynamic numerical simulations, we show that the trajectory of CMEs through the solar corona can significantly deviate from a radial direction when propagation takes place in a unipolar radial field. We demonstrate that the deviation is most prominent below ~15 solar radii and can be attributed to an "effective IxB force" that arises from the intrusion of a magnetic flux rope with a net axial electric current into a unipolar background field. These results are important for predictions of CME trajectories in the context of space weather forecasts, as well as for reaching a deeper understanding of the fundamental physics underlying CME interactions with the ambient fields in the extended solar corona.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

New Observations Needed to Advance Our Understanding of Coronal Mass Ejections

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large eruptions from the Sun that propagate through the heliosphere after launch. Observational studies of these transient phenomena are usually based on 2D images of the Sun, corona, and heliosphere (remote-sensing data), as well as magnetic field, plasma, and particle samples along a 1D spacecraft trajectory (in-situ data). Given the large scales involved and the 3D nature of CMEs, such measurements are generally insufficient to build a comprehensive picture, especially in terms of local variations and overall geometry of the whole structure. This White Paper aims to address this issue by identifying the data sets and observational priorities that are needed to effectively advance our current understanding of the structure and evolution of CMEs, in both the remote-sensing and in-situ regimes. It also provides an outlook of possible missions and instruments that may yield significant improvements into the subject.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2023

Work-Life Balance Starts with Proper Deadlines and Exemplary Agencies

Diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) programs can only be implemented successfully if proper work-life balance is possible in Heliophysics (and in STEM field in general). One of the core issues stems from the culture of "work-above-life" associated with mission concepts, development, and implementation but also the expectations that seem to originate from numerous announcements from NASA (and other agencies). The benefits of work-life balance are well documented; however, the entire system surrounding research in Heliophysics hinders or discourages proper work-life balance. For example, there does not seem to be attention paid by NASA Headquarters (HQ) on the timing of their announcements regarding how it will be perceived by researchers, and how the timing may promote a culture where work trumps personal life. The same is true for remarks by NASA HQ program officers during panels or informal discussions, where seemingly innocuous comments may give a perception that work is expected after "normal" work hours. In addition, we are calling for work-life balance plans and implementation to be one of the criteria used for down-selection and confirmation of missions (Key Decision Points: KDP-B, KDP-C).

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2023

The effect of the ambient solar wind medium on a CME-driven shock and the associated gradual solar energetic particle event

We present simulation results of a gradual solar energetic particle (SEP) event detected on 2021 October 9 by multiple spacecraft, including BepiColombo (Bepi) and near-Earth spacecraft such as the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE). A peculiarity of this event is that the presence of a high speed stream (HSS) affected the low-energy ion component ($\lesssim 5$ MeV) of the gradual SEP event at both Bepi and ACE, despite the HSS having only a modest solar wind speed increase. Using the EUHFORIA (European Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset) magnetohydrodynamic model, we replicate the solar wind during the event and the coronal mass ejection (CME) that generated it. We then combine these results with the energetic particle transport model PARADISE (PArticle Radiation Asset Directed at Interplanetary Space Exploration). We find that the structure of the CME-driven shock was affected by the non-uniform solar wind, especially near the HSS, resulting in a shock wavefront with strong variations in its properties such as its compression ratio and obliquity. By scaling the emission of energetic particles from the shock to the solar wind compression at the shock, an excellent match between the PARADISE simulation and in-situ measurements of $\lesssim 5$ MeV ions is obtained. Our modelling shows that the intricate intensity variations observed at both ACE and Bepi were influenced by the non-uniform emission of energetic particles from the deformed shock wave and demonstrates the influence of even modest background solar wind structures on the development of SEP events.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2023

Modeling CME encounters at Parker Solar Probe with OSPREI: Dependence on photospheric and coronal conditions

Context: Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are eruptions of plasma from the Sun that travel through interplanetary space and may encounter Earth. CMEs often enclose a magnetic flux rope (MFR), the orientation of which largely determines the CME's geoeffectiveness. Current operational CME models do not model MFRs, but a number of research ones do, including the Open Solar Physics Rapid Ensemble Information (OSPREI) model. Aims: We report the sensitivity of OSPREI to a range of user-selected photospheric and coronal conditions. Methods: We model four separate CMEs observed in situ by Parker Solar Probe (PSP). We vary the input photospheric conditions using four input magnetograms (HMI Synchronic, HMI Synoptic, GONG Synoptic Zero-Point Corrected, and GONG ADAPT). To vary the coronal field reconstruction, we employ the Potential-Field Source-Surface (PFSS) model and we vary its source-surface height in the range 1.5--3.0 R$_{\odot}$ with 0.1 R$_{\odot}$ increments. Results: We find that both the input magnetogram and PFSS source surface often affect the evolution of the CME as it propagates through the Sun's corona into interplanetary space, and therefore the accuracy of the MFR prediction compared to in-situ data at PSP. There is no obvious best combination of input magnetogram and PFSS source surface height. Conclusions: The OSPREI model is moderately sensitive to the input photospheric and coronal conditions. Based on where the source region of the CME is located on the Sun, there may be best practices when selecting an input magnetogram to use.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

Quantifying errors in 3D CME parameters derived from synthetic data using white-light reconstruction techniques

(Shortened version) Current efforts in space weather forecasting of CMEs have been focused on predicting their arrival time and magnetic structure. To make predictions, methods have been developed to derive the true CME speed, size and position, among others. Difficulties in determining input parameters for CME forecasting arise from the lack of direct measurements of the coronal magnetic fields and uncertainties in estimating the CME 3D geometric and kinematic parameters. White-light coronagraph images are usually employed by a variety of CME reconstruction techniques. We explore how subjectivity affects the 3D CME parameters that are obtained from the GCS reconstruction technique. We have designed two different synthetic scenarios where the ``true'' geometric parameters are known in order to quantify such uncertainties for the first time. We explore this as follows: 1) Using the ray-tracing option from the GCS model software, and 2) Using 3D MHD simulation data from the MAS code. Our experiment includes different viewing configurations using single and multiple viewpoints. CME reconstructions using a single viewpoint had the largest errors and error ranges for both synthetic GCS and simulated MHD white-light data. Increasing the number of viewpoints to two, the errors decreased by about 4$^\circ$ in latitude, 22$^\circ$ in longitude, 14$^\circ$ in tilt, and 10$^\circ$ in half-angle, pointing towards a need for at least two viewpoints. We found the following CME parameter error bars as a starting point for quantifying the minimum error in CME parameters from white-light reconstructions: $Δθ$ (latitude)=${6^\circ}$, $Δϕ$ (longitude)=${11^\circ}$, $Δγ$ (tilt)=${25^\circ}$, $Δα$ (half-angle)=${10^\circ}$, $Δh$ (height)=$0.6 R_{\odot}$, and $Δκ$ (ratio)=$0.1$.

astro-ph.SR↗