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Erin George

Publications and source records attributed to Erin George.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

Observational Multiplicity

Many prediction tasks can admit multiple models that can perform almost equally well. This phenomenon can can undermine interpretability and safety when competing models assign conflicting predictions to individuals. In this work, we study how arbitrariness can arise in probabilistic classification tasks as a result of an effect that we call \emph{observational multiplicity}. We discuss how this effect arises in a broad class of practical applications where we learn a classifier to predict probabilities $p_i \in [0,1]$ but are given a dataset of observations $y_i \in \{0,1\}$. We propose to evaluate the arbitrariness of individual probability predictions through the lens of \emph{regret}. We introduce a measure of regret for probabilistic classification tasks, which measures how the predictions of a model could change as a result of different training labels change. We present a general-purpose method to estimate the regret in a probabilistic classification task. We use our measure to show that regret is higher for certain groups in the dataset and discuss potential applications of regret. We demonstrate how estimating regret promote safety in real-world applications by abstention and data collection.

cs.LG

Towards a Fairer Non-negative Matrix Factorization

There has been a recent critical need to study fairness and bias in machine learning (ML) algorithms. Since there is clearly no one-size-fits-all solution to fairness, ML methods should be developed alongside bias mitigation strategies that are practical and approachable to the practitioner. Motivated by recent work on ``fair" PCA, here we consider the more challenging method of non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) as both a showcasing example and a method that is important in its own right for both topic modeling tasks and feature extraction for other ML tasks. We demonstrate that a modification of the objective function, by using a min-max formulation, may \textit{sometimes} be able to offer an improvement in fairness for groups in the population. We derive two methods for the objective minimization, a multiplicative update rule as well as an alternating minimization scheme, and discuss implementation practicalities. We include a suite of synthetic and real experiments that show how the method may improve fairness while also highlighting the important fact that this may sometime increase error for some individuals and fairness is not a rigid definition and method choice should strongly depend on the application at hand.

cs.LG

Benign overfitting in leaky ReLU networks with moderate input dimension

The problem of benign overfitting asks whether it is possible for a model to perfectly fit noisy training data and still generalize well. We study benign overfitting in two-layer leaky ReLU networks trained with the hinge loss on a binary classification task. We consider input data that can be decomposed into the sum of a common signal and a random noise component, that lie on subspaces orthogonal to one another. We characterize conditions on the signal to noise ratio (SNR) of the model parameters giving rise to benign versus non-benign (or harmful) overfitting: in particular, if the SNR is high then benign overfitting occurs, conversely if the SNR is low then harmful overfitting occurs. We attribute both benign and non-benign overfitting to an approximate margin maximization property and show that leaky ReLU networks trained on hinge loss with gradient descent (GD) satisfy this property. In contrast to prior work we do not require the training data to be nearly orthogonal. Notably, for input dimension $d$ and training sample size $n$, while results in prior work require $d = \Omega(n^2 \log n)$, here we require only $d = \Omega\left(n\right)$.

cs.LG

Training shallow ReLU networks on noisy data using hinge loss: when do we overfit and is it benign?

We study benign overfitting in two-layer ReLU networks trained using gradient descent and hinge loss on noisy data for binary classification. In particular, we consider linearly separable data for which a relatively small proportion of labels are corrupted or flipped. We identify conditions on the margin of the clean data that give rise to three distinct training outcomes: benign overfitting, in which zero loss is achieved and with high probability test data is classified correctly; overfitting, in which zero loss is achieved but test data is misclassified with probability lower bounded by a constant; and non-overfitting, in which clean points, but not corrupt points, achieve zero loss and again with high probability test data is classified correctly. Our analysis provides a fine-grained description of the dynamics of neurons throughout training and reveals two distinct phases: in the first phase clean points achieve close to zero loss, in the second phase clean points oscillate on the boundary of zero loss while corrupt points either converge towards zero loss or are eventually zeroed by the network. We prove these results using a combinatorial approach that involves bounding the number of clean versus corrupt updates across these phases of training.

cs.LG

Detecting and Mitigating Indirect Stereotypes in Word Embeddings

Societal biases in the usage of words, including harmful stereotypes, are frequently learned by common word embedding methods. These biases manifest not only between a word and an explicit marker of its stereotype, but also between words that share related stereotypes. This latter phenomenon, sometimes called "indirect bias,'' has resisted prior attempts at debiasing. In this paper, we propose a novel method called Biased Indirect Relationship Modification (BIRM) to mitigate indirect bias in distributional word embeddings by modifying biased relationships between words before embeddings are learned. This is done by considering how the co-occurrence probability of a given pair of words changes in the presence of words marking an attribute of bias, and using this to average out the effect of a bias attribute. To evaluate this method, we perform a series of common tests and demonstrate that measures of bias in the word embeddings are reduced in exchange for minor reduction in the semantic quality of the embeddings. In addition, we conduct novel tests for measuring indirect stereotypes by extending the Word Embedding Association Test (WEAT) with new test sets for indirect binary gender stereotypes. With these tests, we demonstrate the presence of more subtle stereotypes not addressed by previous work. The proposed method is able to reduce the presence of some of these new stereotypes, serving as a crucial next step towards non-stereotyped word embeddings.

cs.CL

Multi-Randomized Kaczmarz for Latent Class Regression

Linear regression is effective at identifying interpretable trends in a data set, but averages out potentially different effects on subgroups within data. We propose an iterative algorithm based on the randomized Kaczmarz (RK) method to automatically identify subgroups in data and perform linear regression on these groups simultaneously. We prove almost sure convergence for this method, as well as linear convergence in expectation under certain conditions. The result is an interpretable collection of different weight vectors for the regressor variables that capture the different trends within data. Furthermore, we experimentally validate our convergence results by demonstrating the method can successfully identify two trends within simulated data.

math.NA