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Ernst Ahlberg

Publications and source records attributed to Ernst Ahlberg.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

In-Context Learning for Wound Classification with Small Multimodal Language Models

Wound image classification is often treated as a task-specific supervised learning problem, requiring substantial amounts of manually labelled data and retraining when the label space or deployment setting changes. This study evaluated whether small multimodal language models (SMLMs) can provide a training-free alternative for wound classification through retrieval-based in-context learning (ICL). Experiments used two public wound-image datasets: the Kaggle wound dataset (1469 images, 10 classes) and the Medetec dataset (560 images, 9 classes). Eleven SMLMs from the Qwen 3.5, Ministral 3, and Gemma 4 families were evaluated under zero-shot prompting and few-shot prompting with random support examples, embedding-based k-nearest-neighbour (kNN) retrieval, and kNN retrieval followed by maximal marginal relevance reranking (MMR). Retrieval-only weighted-kNN controls, support-set reduction experiments, and support-context size sweeps were used to assess the effects of retrieval, model scale, and prompt length. Query-conditioned ICL consistently outperformed zero-shot and random few-shot prompting. On the Kaggle dataset, the best result was achieved by Qwen 3.5 27B with kNN+MMR, reaching 0.872 accuracy and 0.871 F1 score. On Medetec, Qwen 3.5 27B with kNN+MMR reached 0.678 accuracy and 0.670 F1. Larger models exceeded matched weighted-kNN controls, indicating use of retrieved examples beyond nearest-neighbour voting. Retrieval-based ICL degraded modestly under support-set reduction, and most gains saturated with 8-10 support images. Retrieval-based ICL allows SMLMs to perform adaptable wound image classification without task-specific retraining. Compact retrieved contexts may support practical and privacy-conscious deployment, although performance remains dependent on model scale, retrieval strategy, and dataset difficulty.

cs.CV

Classification with Reject Option: Distribution-free Error Guarantees via Conformal Prediction

Machine learning (ML) models always make a prediction, even when they are likely to be wrong. This causes problems in practical applications, as we do not know if we should trust a prediction. ML with reject option addresses this issue by abstaining from making a prediction if it is likely to be incorrect. In this work, we formalise the approach to ML with reject option in binary classification, deriving theoretical guarantees on the resulting error rate. This is achieved through conformal prediction (CP), which produce prediction sets with distribution-free validity guarantees. In binary classification, CP can output prediction sets containing exactly one, two or no labels. By accepting only the singleton predictions, we turn CP into a binary classifier with reject option. Here, CP is formally put in the framework of predicting with reject option. We state and prove the resulting error rate, and give finite sample estimates. Numerical examples provide illustrations of derived error rate through several different conformal prediction settings, ranging from full conformal prediction to offline batch inductive conformal prediction. The former has a direct link to sharp validity guarantees, whereas the latter is more fuzzy in terms of validity guarantees but can be used in practice. Error-reject curves illustrate the trade-off between error rate and reject rate, and can serve to aid a user to set an acceptable error rate or reject rate in practice.

stat.ML

Retrain or not retrain: Conformal test martingales for change-point detection

We argue for supplementing the process of training a prediction algorithm by setting up a scheme for detecting the moment when the distribution of the data changes and the algorithm needs to be retrained. Our proposed schemes are based on exchangeability martingales, i.e., processes that are martingales under any exchangeable distribution for the data. Our method, based on conformal prediction, is general and can be applied on top of any modern prediction algorithm. Its validity is guaranteed, and in this paper we make first steps in exploring its efficiency.

cs.LG