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Ershun Du

Publications and source records attributed to Ershun Du.

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Spatial LLM Workload Shifting Needs Foresight: Model Commitment for AI Data Center Operation under Power Grid Constraints

AI data centers may face power supply shortages during certain periods, requiring operators to shift large language model (LLM) inference workloads spatially to maintain service rates. However, existing workload-shifting methods typically assume that any data center with sufficient computing resources can immediately serve shifted requests, which may lead to infeasible transfers and unserved demand. This letter proposes model commitment (MC), a mixed-integer linear programming framework that jointly schedules model deployment and cross-site request routing under power constraints and electricity-price signals. First, MC formulates the intertemporal coupling introduced by model replica loading. Second, it translates prefill and decode latency requirements into the amount of demand that each replica can serve. Case studies based on real-world data show that MC enables AI data center operators to achieve a 100% service rate under time-varying grid conditions and reduce total operating cost by 29.0%.

eess.SY

Efficient Scheduling of Discrete Industrial Processes Through Continuous Modeling

The resource-task network (RTN) model has been widely applied to represent the technical constraints of complex industrial processes (IPs) such as steel-making, providing the basis for industrial demand response. However, the legacy RTN model contains numerous binary variables and applies different formulations for non-flexible and flexible processes, restricting its computational efficiency and applicability. To systematically improve the computational performance of IP models, we propose continuous RTN model (cRTN), a novel modeling approach that uses continuous variables to represent production tasks and progresses, which are then integrated into unified as well as computationally favorable formulations for the technical constraints in discrete IPs, including resource balance, task execution, waiting time limits, and production targets. Compared to the legacy models, cRTN features fewer binary variables, shorter solving time, and better scalability while maintaining the same accuracy. Numerical tests based on a steel plant demonstrate that cRTN is in typical cases 10 times faster than legacy models and remains tractable with increasing batch sizes, which in legacy models leads to larger problem scales and infeasible solving time. cRTN also achieves a reduction in energy costs by resolving the issue of rounding errors reported in legacy models.

eess.SY

From Tokens to Energy Flexibility: Quantization-Enabled Demand Response for Data Centers with LLM Inference Workloads

The rapid growth of large language model (LLM) inference is creating significant data-center loads that face increasing energy-management challenges under tightening grid conditions and demand response (DR) requirements. Conventional data-center energy management mainly relies on temporal and spatial workload shifting and campus-level energy asset scheduling, but it usually treats LLM inference demand as an aggregate load. As a result, these approaches fail to exploit the internal characteristics of LLM serving and therefore overlook the flexibility offered by LLM-specific techniques such as model quantization. To unlock this flexibility, this paper proposes a quantization-enabled energy management framework for grid-responsive LLM inference data centers. First, a quantization-to-power model is established to map each model--quantization configuration to a compact set of dispatchable parameters. Second, a two-stage quantization-enabled DR model is developed to account for model instance switching, request routing, and precision selection. Third, a multi-campus co-optimization method is introduced for DR participation by integrating grid-side electricity and carbon signals with the quantization-enabled DR model. Case studies show that the proposed framework reduces total data-center operating cost by 34.3\% without curtailing served token volume, validating model quantization as an effective flexibility lever for grid-responsive LLM data-center energy management.

eess.SY

Renewables Power the Orbit? Achieving Sustainable Space Edge Computing via QoS-Aware Offloading

Low-Earth-Orbit (LEO) satellite constellations are becoming integral to 6G infrastructure, but increasing in-orbit computation accelerates battery degradation and raises sustainability concerns. Meanwhile, renewable-heavy regions worldwide experience persistent energy curtailment due to transmission bottlenecks, leaving substantial clean energy stranded near generation sites. We identify a satellite-grid co-design opportunity: adaptively offloading task-critical data from satellite to data centers co-located with renewable power plants. However, realizing this vision requires jointly considering intermittent and capacity-limited communication windows, as well as time-varying electricity budgets. In this paper, we propose SQSO, a Sustainable and QoS-aware Satellite Offloading framework that models per-interval task offloading as a constrained optimization over dynamic topology and electricity prices. Under this framework, we design $\text{AO}^2$, an adaptive offloading orchestration algorithm to solve the formulated optimization problem. Using Starlink-scale simulations and real-world electricity price traces, $\text{AO}^2$ reduces energy consumption by up to 76.03% and battery life consumption by up to 76.85% compared to state-of-the-art schemes, while also lowering task delay. This work highlights that sustainable scaling of LEO constellations requires co-design of space networking and renewable energy infrastructure, while our solution promotes renewable-aware task offloading and cross-domain collaboration for space-energy integration in the 6G era.

cs.NI

Industrial overcapacity can enable seasonal flexibility in electricity use

In many countries, declining demand in energy-intensive industries (EIIs) such as cement, steel, and aluminum is leading to industrial overcapacity. Although industrial overcapacity is traditionally envisioned as problematic and resource-wasteful, it could unlock EIIs' flexibility in electricity use. Here, using China's aluminum smelting industry as a case study, we evaluate the system-level cost-benefit of retaining EII overcapacity for flexible electricity use in decarbonized energy systems. We find that overcapacity can enable aluminum smelters to adopt a seasonal operation paradigm, ceasing production during winter load peaks that are exacerbated by heating electrification and renewable seasonality. This seasonal operation paradigm could reduce the investment and operational costs of China's decarbonized electricity system by 23-32 billion CNY/year (11-15% of the aluminum smelting industry's product value), sufficient to offset the increased smelter maintenance and product storage costs associated with overcapacity. It may also create labor complementarities between the aluminum and thermal power sectors.

physics.soc-ph

Embedding Lithium-ion Battery Scrapping Criterion and Degradation Model in Optimal Operation of Peak-shaving Energy Storage

Lithium-ion battery systems have been used in practical power systems for peak-shaving, demand response, and frequency regulation. However, a lithium-ion battery is degrading while cycling and would be scrapped when the capacity reduces to a certain threshold (e.g. 80%). Such scrapping criterion may not explore the maximum benefit from the battery storage. In this paper, we propose a novel scrapping criterion for peak-shaving energy storage based on battery efficiency, time-of-use price, and arbitrage benefit. A new battery life model with scrapping parameters is then derived using this criterion. Embedded with the life model, an optimal operation method for peak-shaving energy storage system is presented. The results of case study show that the operation method could maximize the benefits of peak-shaving energy storage while delaying battery degradation. Compared with the traditional 80% capacity-based scrapping criterion, our efficiency-based scrapping criterion can significantly improve the lifetime benefit of the battery.

eess.SP

Sparse Oblique Decision Tree for Power System Security Rules Extraction and Embedding

Increasing the penetration of variable generation has a substantial effect on the operational reliability of power systems. The higher level of uncertainty that stems from this variability makes it more difficult to determine whether a given operating condition will be secure or insecure. Data-driven techniques provide a promising way to identify security rules that can be embedded in economic dispatch model to keep power system operating states secure. This paper proposes using a sparse weighted oblique decision tree to learn accurate, understandable, and embeddable security rules that are linear and can be extracted as sparse matrices using a recursive algorithm. These matrices can then be easily embedded as security constraints in power system economic dispatch calculations using the Big-M method. Tests on several large datasets with high renewable energy penetration demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. In particular, the sparse weighted oblique decision tree outperforms the state-of-art weighted oblique decision tree while keeping the security rules simple. When embedded in the economic dispatch, these rules significantly increase the percentage of secure states and reduce the average solution time.

eess.SY

Probabilistic duck curve in high PV penetration power system: Concept, modeling, and empirical analysis in China

The high penetration of photovoltaic (PV) is reshaping the electricity net-load curve and has a significant impact on power system operation and planning. The concept of duck curve is widely used to describe the timing imbalance between peak demand and PV generation. The traditional duck curve is deterministic and only shows a single extreme or typical scenario during a day. Thus, it cannot capture both the probability of that scenario and the uncertainty of PV generation and loads. These weaknesses limit the application of the duck curve on power system planning under high PV penetration. To address this issue, the novel concepts of probabilistic duck curve (PDC) and probabilistic ramp curve (PRC) are proposed to accurately model the uncertainty and variability of electricity net load and ramp under high PV penetration. An efficient method is presented for modeling PDC and PRC using kernel density estimation, copula function, and dependent discrete convolution. Several indices are designed to quantify the characteristics of the PDC and PRC. For the application, we demonstrate how the PDC and PRC will benefit flexible resource planning. Finally, an empirical study on the Qinghai provincial power system of China validates the effectiveness of the presented method. The results of PDC and PRC intuitively illustrate that the ramp demand and the valley of net load face considerable uncertainty under high PV penetration. The results of flexible resource planning indicate that retrofitting coal-fired units has remarkable performance on enhancing the power system flexibility in Qinghai. In average, reducing the minimal output of coal-fired units by 1 MW will increase PV accommodation by over 4 MWh each day.

eess.SY