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Ery Arias-Castro

Publications and source records attributed to Ery Arias-Castro.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Detection of Sparse Mixtures: Higher Criticism and Scan Statistic

We consider the problem of detecting a sparse mixture as studied by Ingster (1997) and Donoho and Jin (2004). We consider a wide array of base distributions. In particular, we study the situation when the base distribution has polynomial tails, a situation that has not received much attention in the literature. Perhaps surprisingly, we find that in the context of such a power-law distribution, the higher criticism does not achieve the detection boundary. However, the scan statistic does.

math.ST↗

RANSAC Algorithms for Subspace Recovery and Subspace Clustering

We consider the RANSAC algorithm in the context of subspace recovery and subspace clustering. We derive some theory and perform some numerical experiments. We also draw some correspondences with the methods of Hardt and Moitra (2013) and Chen and Lerman (2009b).

math.ST↗

Sequential Multiple Testing

We study an online multiple testing problem where the hypotheses arrive sequentially in a stream. The test statistics are independent and assumed to have the same distribution under their respective null hypotheses. We investigate two procedures LORD and LOND, proposed by (Javanmard and Montanari, 2015), which are proved to control the FDR in an online manner. In some (static) model, we show that LORD is optimal in some asymptotic sense, in particular as powerful as the (static) Benjamini-Hochberg procedure to first asymptotic order. We also quantify the performance of LOND. Some numerical experiments complement our theory.

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Detecting a Path of Correlations in a Network

We consider the problem of detecting an anomaly in the form of a path of correlations hidden in white noise. We provide a minimax lower bound and a test that, under mild assumptions, is able to achieve the lower bound up to a multiplicative constant.

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Distribution-Free Detection of Structured Anomalies: Permutation and Rank-Based Scans

The scan statistic is by far the most popular method for anomaly detection, being popular in syndromic surveillance, signal and image processing, and target detection based on sensor networks, among other applications. The use of the scan statistics in such settings yields a hypothesis testing procedure, where the null hypothesis corresponds to the absence of anomalous behavior. If the null distribution is known, then calibration of a scan-based test is relatively easy, as it can be done by Monte Carlo simulation. When the null distribution is unknown, it is less straightforward. We investigate two procedures. The first one is a calibration by permutation and the other is a rank-based scan test, which is distribution-free and less sensitive to outliers. Furthermore, the rank scan test requires only a one-time calibration for a given data size making it computationally much more appealing. In both cases, we quantify the performance loss with respect to an oracle scan test that knows the null distribution. We show that using one of these calibration procedures results in only a very small loss of power in the context of a natural exponential family. This includes the classical normal location model, popular in signal processing, and the Poisson model, popular in syndromic surveillance. We perform numerical experiments on simulated data further supporting our theory and also on a real dataset from genomics.

stat.ME↗

Noisy Hypotheses in the Age of Discovery Science

We draw attention to one specific issue raised by Ioannidis (2005), that of very many hypotheses being tested in a given field of investigation. To better isolate the problem that arises in this (massive) multiple testing scenario, we consider a utopian setting where the hypotheses are tested with no additional bias. We show that, as the number of hypotheses being tested becomes much larger than the discoveries to be made, it becomes impossible to reliably identify true discoveries. This phenomenon, well-known to statisticians working in the field of multiple testing, puts in jeopardy any naive pursuit in (pure) discovery science.

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Detection and Feature Selection in Sparse Mixture Models

We consider Gaussian mixture models in high dimensions and concentrate on the twin tasks of detection and feature selection. Under sparsity assumptions on the difference in means, we derive information bounds and establish the performance of various procedures, including the top sparse eigenvalue of the sample covariance matrix and other projection tests based on moments, such as the skewness and kurtosis tests of Malkovich and Afifi (1973), and other variants which we were better able to control under the null.

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Concentration of Measure for Radial Distributions and Consequences for Statistical Modeling

Motivated by problems in high-dimensional statistics such as mixture modeling for classification and clustering, we consider the behavior of radial densities as the dimension increases. We establish a form of concentration of measure, and even a convergence in distribution, under additional assumptions. This extends the well-known behavior of the normal distribution (its concentration around the sphere of radius square-root of the dimension) to other radial densities. We draw some possible consequences for statistical modeling in high-dimensions, including a possible universality property of Gaussian mixtures.

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A Simple Approach to Sparse Clustering

Consider the problem of sparse clustering, where it is assumed that only a subset of the features are useful for clustering purposes. In the framework of the COSA method of Friedman and Meulman, subsequently improved in the form of the Sparse K-means method of Witten and Tibshirani, a natural and simpler hill-climbing approach is introduced. The new method is shown to be competitive with these two methods and others.

stat.ML↗

Some theory for ordinal embedding

Motivated by recent work on ordinal embedding (Kleindessner and von Luxburg, 2014), we derive large sample consistency results and rates of convergence for the problem of embedding points based on triple or quadruple distance comparisons. We also consider a variant of this problem where only local comparisons are provided. Finally, inspired by (Jamieson and Nowak, 2011), we bound the number of such comparisons needed to achieve consistency.

math.ST↗

Minimax Estimation of the Volume of a Set with Smooth Boundary

We consider the problem of estimating the volume of a compact domain in a Euclidean space based on a uniform sample from the domain. We assume the domain has a boundary with positive reach. We propose a data splitting approach to correct the bias of the plug-in estimator based on the sample alpha-convex hull. We show that this simple estimator achieves a minimax lower bound that we derive. Some numerical experiments corroborate our theoretical findings.

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Distribution-free Multiple Testing

We study a stylized multiple testing problem where the test statistics are independent and assumed to have the same distribution under their respective null hypotheses. We first show that, in the normal means model where the test statistics are normal Z-scores, the well-known method of (Benjamini and Hochberg, 1995) is optimal in some asymptotic sense. We then show that this is also the case of a recent distribution-free method proposed by Foygel-Barber and Candès (2015). The method is distribution-free in the sense that it is agnostic to the null distribution - it only requires that the null distribution be symmetric. We extend these optimality results to other location models with a base distribution having fast-decaying tails.

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Distribution-free Detection of a Submatrix

We consider the problem of detecting the presence of a submatrix with larger-than-usual values in a large data matrix. This problem was considered in (Butucea and Ingster, 2013) under a one-parameter exponential family, and one of the test they analyzed is the scan test. Taking a nonparametric stance, we show that a calibration by permutation leads to the same (first-order) asymptotic performance. This is true for the two types of permutations we consider. We also study the corresponding rank-based variants and precisely quantify the loss in asymptotic power.

math.ST↗

A Nonparametric Framework for Quantifying Generative Inference on Neuromorphic Systems

Restricted Boltzmann Machines and Deep Belief Networks have been successfully used in probabilistic generative model applications such as image occlusion removal, pattern completion and motion synthesis. Generative inference in such algorithms can be performed very efficiently on hardware using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo procedure called Gibbs sampling, where stochastic samples are drawn from noisy integrate and fire neurons implemented on neuromorphic substrates. Currently, no satisfactory metrics exist for evaluating the generative performance of such algorithms implemented on high-dimensional data for neuromorphic platforms. This paper demonstrates the application of nonparametric goodness-of-fit testing to both quantify the generative performance as well as provide decision-directed criteria for choosing the parameters of the neuromorphic Gibbs sampler and optimizing usage of hardware resources used during sampling.

cs.NE↗

Detecting Markov Random Fields Hidden in White Noise

Motivated by change point problems in time series and the detection of textured objects in images, we consider the problem of detecting a piece of a Gaussian Markov random field hidden in white Gaussian noise. We derive minimax lower bounds and propose near-optimal tests.

math.ST↗

On the Consistency of the Crossmatch Test

Rosenbaum (2005) proposed the crossmatch test for two-sample goodness-of-fit testing in arbitrary dimensions. We prove that the test is consistent against all fixed alternatives. In the process, we develop a general consistency result based on (Henze & Penrose, 1999) that applies more generally.

math.ST↗

On Estimating the Perimeter Using the Alpha-Shape

We consider the problem of estimating the perimeter of a smooth domain in the plane based on a sample from the uniform distribution over the domain. We study the performance of the estimator defined as the perimeter of the alpha-shape of the sample. Some numerical experiments corroborate our theoretical findings.

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The Sparse Poisson Means Model

We consider the problem of detecting a sparse Poisson mixture. Our results parallel those for the detection of a sparse normal mixture, pioneered by Ingster (1997) and Donoho and Jin (2004), when the Poisson means are larger than logarithmic in the sample size. In particular, a form of higher criticism achieves the detection boundary in the whole sparse regime. When the Poisson means are smaller than logarithmic in the sample size, a different regime arises in which simple multiple testing with Bonferroni correction is enough in the sparse regime. We present some numerical experiments that confirm our theoretical findings.

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