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Eva Balsa-Canto

Publications and source records attributed to Eva Balsa-Canto.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Identifiability-aware neural ordinary differential equations for parsimonious and reliable dynamic modelling

Neural ordinary differential equations (NODE) and hybrid NODE models provide flexible continuous-time representations of complex dynamic systems, but their expressive capacity can exceed the information content of the available data. Consequently, these models may reproduce observed trajectories while retaining weakly identifiable parameters, poorly constrained neural components, and unreliable extrapolation. Here we introduce identifiability-aware neural ordinary differential equations (iNODE), a framework that incorporates practical identifiability into neural differential equation design. iNODE models embed neural components as explicit analytic functions within the governing equations, enabling direct sensitivity analysis, Fisher-information-based confidence intervals, and identifiability-aware architecture selection. Candidate architectures are generated under data-support constraints, jointly calibrated, and ranked according to predictive accuracy, parsimony, and parameter identifiability. We evaluate the complete iNODE workflow against conventional NODE and hybrid NODE workflows representative of current practice using four controlled ground-truth benchmarks spanning fully data-driven and hybrid formulations, latent time-varying parameters, partial observability, and sparse or noisy measurements. Using the same training data and evaluation scenarios, the iNODE workflow selected more compact architectures, reduced parameter uncertainty, and improved extrapolation and recovery from latent-dynamics. These results establish practical identifiability as a model-design principle for parsimonious and reliable neural differential equations.

math.DS

BioPreDyn-bench: benchmark problems for kinetic modelling in systems biology

Dynamic modelling is one of the cornerstones of systems biology. Many research efforts are currently being invested in the development and exploitation of large-scale kinetic models. The associated problems of parameter estimation (model calibration) and optimal experimental design are particularly challenging. The community has already developed many methods and software packages which aim to facilitate these tasks. However, there is a lack of suitable benchmark problems which allow a fair and systematic evaluation and comparison of these contributions. Here we present BioPreDyn-bench, a set of challenging parameter estimation problems which aspire to serve as reference test cases in this area. This set comprises six problems including medium and large-scale kinetic models of the bacterium E. coli, baker's yeast S. cerevisiae, the vinegar fly D. melanogaster, Chinese Hamster Ovary cells, and a generic signal transduction network. The level of description includes metabolism, transcription, signal transduction, and development. For each problem we provide (i) a basic description and formulation, (ii) implementations ready-to-run in several formats, (iii) computational results obtained with specific solvers, (iv) a basic analysis and interpretation. This suite of benchmark problems can be readily used to evaluate and compare parameter estimation methods. Further, it can also be used to build test problems for sensitivity and identifiability analysis, model reduction and optimal experimental design methods. The suite, including codes and documentation, can be freely downloaded from http://www.iim.csic.es/%7egingproc/biopredynbench/.

q-bio.QM

Sloppy models can be identifiable

Dynamic models of biochemical networks typically consist of sets of non-linear ordinary differential equations involving states (concentrations or amounts of the components of the network) and parameters describing the reaction kinetics. Unfortunately, in most cases the parameters are completely unknown or only rough estimates of their values are available. Therefore, their values must be estimated from time-series experimental data. In recent years, it has been suggested that dynamic systems biology models are universally sloppy so their parameters cannot be uniquely estimated. In this work, we re-examine this concept, establishing links with the notions of identifiability and experimental design. Further, considering a set of examples, we address the following fundamental questions: i) is sloppiness inherent to model structure?; ii) is sloppiness influenced by experimental data or noise?; iii) does sloppiness mean that parameters cannot be identified?, and iv) can sloppiness be modified by experimental design? Our results indicate that sloppiness is not equivalent to lack of structural or practical identifiability (although they can be related), so sloppy models can be identifiable. Therefore, drawing conclusions about the possibility of estimating unique parameter values by sloppiness analysis can be misleading. Checking structural and practical identifiability analyses is a better approach to asses the uniqueness and confidence in parameter estimation.

q-bio.MN