arXiv subjects

Evangelos Theodorou

Publications and source records attributed to Evangelos Theodorou.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Variational Inference via Entropic Transport Descent

Particle-based variational inference (ParVI) methods approximate an intractable target distribution by evolving an ensemble of interacting samples. Existing approaches rely predominantly on kernel-based repulsion (e.g., SVGD), which suffers from variance collapse in high dimensions and mode collapse on multimodal targets -- pathologies caused by the absence of global transport structure. We introduce entropic transport descent (ETD), a ParVI family that frames each particle update as an entropy-regularized optimal transport problem. Derived from the JKO proximal scheme by lifting to the space of couplings and relaxing via the KL chain rule, each ETD iteration reduces to a Sinkhorn computation. The resulting transport plan provides global coordination, guiding each particle to nearby high-density proposals and naturally preserving multimodal structure. ETD can operate entirely score-free, requiring only pointwise evaluations of the unnormalized target density. Experiments on variance-collapse diagnostics, Bayesian logistic regression, neural networks, and molecular Boltzmann distributions show that ETD matches or outperforms SVGD, AGF-SVGD, and SGLD, with the largest gains in high-dimensional and multimodal settings.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Generalized Schrödinger Bridge on Graphs

Transportation on graphs is a fundamental challenge across many domains, where decisions must respect topological and operational constraints. Despite the need for actionable policies, existing graph-transport methods lack this expressivity. They rely on restrictive assumptions, fail to generalize across sparse topologies, and scale poorly with graph size and time horizon. To address these issues, we introduce Generalized Schrödinger Bridge on Graphs (GSBoG), a novel scalable data-driven framework for learning executable controlled continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) policies on arbitrary graphs under state cost augmented dynamics. Notably, GSBoG learns trajectory-level policies, avoiding dense global solvers and thereby enhancing scalability. This is achieved via a likelihood optimization approach, satisfying the endpoint marginals, while simultaneously optimizing intermediate behavior under state-dependent running costs. Extensive experimentation on challenging real-world graph topologies shows that GSBoG reliably learns accurate, topology-respecting policies while optimizing application-specific intermediate state costs, highlighting its broad applicability and paving new avenues for cost-aware dynamical transport on general graphs.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Meta-Learning Online Dynamics Model Adaptation in Off-Road Autonomous Driving

High-speed off-road autonomous driving presents unique challenges due to complex, evolving terrain characteristics and the difficulty of accurately modeling terrain-vehicle interactions. While dynamics models used in model-based control can be learned from real-world data, they often struggle to generalize to unseen terrain, making real-time adaptation essential. We propose a novel framework that combines a Kalman filter-based online adaptation scheme with meta-learned parameters to address these challenges. Offline meta-learning optimizes the basis functions along which adaptation occurs, as well as the adaptation parameters, while online adaptation dynamically adjusts the onboard dynamics model in real time for model-based control. We validate our approach through extensive experiments, including real-world testing on a full-scale autonomous off-road vehicle, demonstrating that our method outperforms baseline approaches in prediction accuracy, performance, and safety metrics, particularly in safety-critical scenarios. Our results underscore the effectiveness of meta-learned dynamics model adaptation, advancing the development of reliable autonomous systems capable of navigating diverse and unseen environments. Video is available at: https://youtu.be/cCKHHrDRQEA

cs.RO↗

arXiv2023

Safe Importance Sampling in Model Predictive Path Integral Control

We introduce the notion of importance sampling under embedded barrier state control, titled Safety Controlled Model Predictive Path Integral Control (SC-MPPI). For robotic systems operating in an environment with multiple constraints, hard constraints are often encoded utilizing penalty functions when performing optimization. Alternative schemes utilizing optimization-based techniques, such as Control Barrier Functions, can be used as a safety filter to ensure the system does not violate the given hard constraints. In contrast, this work leverages the principle of a safety filter but applies it during forward sampling for Model Predictive Path Integral Control. The resulting set of forward samples can remain safe within the domain of the safety controller, increasing sample efficiency and allowing for improved exploration of the state space. We derive this controller through information theoretic principles analogous to Information Theoretic MPPI. We empirically demonstrate both superior sample efficiency, exploration, and system performance of SC-MPPI when compared to Model-Predictive Path Integral Control (MPPI) and Differential Dynamic Programming (DDP) optimizing the barrier state.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2022

Solving Feynman-Kac Forward Backward SDEs Using McKean-Markov Branched Sampling

We propose a new method for the numerical solution of the forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDE) appearing in the Feynman-Kac representation of the value function in stochastic optimal control problems. Using Girsanov's change of probability measures, it is demonstrated how a McKean-Markov branched sampling method can be utilized for the forward integration pass, as long as the controlled drift term is appropriately compensated in the backward integration pass. Subsequently, a numerical approximation of the value function is proposed by solving a series of function approximation problems backwards in time along the edges of a space-filling tree consisting of trajectory samples. Moreover, a local entropy-weighted least squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) method is developed to concentrate function approximation accuracy in regions most likely to be visited by optimally controlled trajectories. The proposed methodology is numerically demonstrated on linear and nonlinear stochastic optimal control problems with non-quadratic running costs, which reveal significant convergence improvements over previous FBSDE-based numerical solution methods.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

Trajectory Distribution Control for Model Predictive Path Integral Control using Covariance Steering

This paper presents a novel control approach for autonomous systems operating under uncertainty. We combine Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) control with Covariance Steering (CS) theory to obtain a robust controller for general nonlinear systems. The proposed Covariance-Controlled Model Predictive Path Integral (CC-MPPI) controller addresses the performance degradation observed in some MPPI implementations owing to unexpected disturbances and uncertainties. Namely, in cases where the environment changes too fast or the simulated dynamics during the MPPI rollouts do not capture the noise and uncertainty in the actual dynamics, the baseline MPPI implementation may lead to divergence. The proposed CC-MPPI controller avoids divergence by controlling the dispersion of the rollout trajectories at the end of the prediction horizon. Furthermore, the CC-MPPI has adjustable trajectory sampling distributions that can be changed according to the environment to achieve efficient sampling. Numerical examples using a ground vehicle navigating in challenging environments demonstrate the proposed approach.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2022

Constrained Covariance Steering Based Tube-MPPI

In this paper, we present a new trajectory optimization algorithm for stochastic linear systems which combines Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) control with Constrained Covariance Steering (CSS) to achieve high performance with safety guarantees (robustness). Although MPPI can be used to solve complex nonlinear trajectory optimization problems, it may not always handle constraints effectively and its performance may degrade in the presence of unmodeled disturbances. By contrast, CCS can handle probabilistic state and / or input constraints (e.g., chance constraints) and also steer the state covariance of the system to a desired positive definite matrix (control of uncertainty) which both imply that CCS can provide robustness against stochastic disturbances. CCS, however, suffers from scalability issues and cannot handle complex cost functions in general. We argue that the combination of the two methods yields a class of trajectory optimization algorithms that can achieve high performance (a feature of MPPI) while ensuring safety with high probability (a feature of CCS). The efficacy of our algorithm is demonstrated in an obstacle avoidance problem and a circular track path generation problem.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

Safety in Augmented Importance Sampling: Performance Bounds for Robust MPPI

This work explores the nature of augmented importance sampling in safety-constrained model predictive control problems. When operating in a constrained environment, sampling based model predictive control and motion planning typically utilizes penalty functions or expensive optimization based control barrier algorithms to maintain feasibility of forward sampling. In contrast the presented algorithm utilizes discrete embedded barrier states in augmented importance sampling to apply feedback with respect to a nominal state when sampling. We will demonstrate that this approach of safety of discrete embedded barrier states in augmented importance sampling is more sample efficient by metric of collision free trajectories, is computationally feasible to perform per sample, and results in better safety performance on a cluttered navigation task with extreme un-modeled disturbances. In addition, we will utilize the theoretical properties of augmented importance sampling and safety control to derive a new bound on the free energy of the system.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2022

Robustifying Reinforcement Learning Policies with $\mathcal{L}_1$ Adaptive Control

A reinforcement learning (RL) policy trained in a nominal environment could fail in a new/perturbed environment due to the existence of dynamic variations. Existing robust methods try to obtain a fixed policy for all envisioned dynamic variation scenarios through robust or adversarial training. These methods could lead to conservative performance due to emphasis on the worst case, and often involve tedious modifications to the training environment. We propose an approach to robustifying a pre-trained non-robust RL policy with $\mathcal{L}_1$ adaptive control. Leveraging the capability of an $\mathcal{L}_1$ control law in the fast estimation of and active compensation for dynamic variations, our approach can significantly improve the robustness of an RL policy trained in a standard (i.e., non-robust) way, either in a simulator or in the real world. Numerical experiments are provided to validate the efficacy of the proposed approach.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Contraction $\mathcal{L}_1$-Adaptive Control using Gaussian Processes

We present $\mathcal{CL}_1$-$\mathcal{GP}$, a control framework that enables safe simultaneous learning and control for systems subject to uncertainties. The two main constituents are contraction theory-based $\mathcal{L}_1$ ($\mathcal{CL}_1$) control and Bayesian learning in the form of Gaussian process (GP) regression. The $\mathcal{CL}_1$ controller ensures that control objectives are met while providing safety certificates. Furthermore, $\mathcal{CL}_1$-$\mathcal{GP}$ incorporates any available data into a GP model of uncertainties, which improves performance and enables the motion planner to achieve optimality safely. This way, the safe operation of the system is always guaranteed, even during the learning transients. We provide a few illustrative examples for the safe learning and control of planar quadrotor systems in a variety of environments.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2021

Exploring the representativeness of the M5 competition data

The main objective of the M5 competition, which focused on forecasting the hierarchical unit sales of Walmart, was to evaluate the accuracy and uncertainty of forecasting methods in the field in order to identify best practices and highlight their practical implications. However, whether the findings of the M5 competition can be generalized and exploited by retail firms to better support their decisions and operation depends on the extent to which the M5 data is sufficiently similar to unit sales data of retailers that operate in different regions, sell different types of products, and consider different marketing strategies. To answer this question, we analyze the characteristics of the M5 time series and compare them with those of two grocery retailers, namely Corporación Favorita and a major Greek supermarket chain, using feature spaces. Our results suggest that there are only small discrepancies between the examined data sets, supporting the representativeness of the M5 data.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2021

Social System Inference from Noisy Observations

This paper studies social system inference from a single trajectory of public evolving opinions, wherein observation noise leads to the statistical dependence of samples on time and coordinates. We first propose a cyber-social system that comprises individuals in a social network and a set of information sources in a cyber layer, whose opinion dynamics explicitly takes confirmation bias, novelty bias and process noise into account. Based on the proposed social model, we then study the sample complexity of least-square auto-regressive model estimation, which governs the number of observations that are sufficient for the identified model to achieve the prescribed levels of accuracy and confidence. Building on the identified social model, we then investigate social inference, with particular focus on the weighted network topology, the subconscious bias and the model parameters of confirmation bias and novelty bias. Finally, the theoretical results and the effectiveness of the proposed social model and inference algorithm are validated by the US Senate Member Ideology data.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2021

Forward-Backward Rapidly-Exploring Random Trees for Stochastic Optimal Control

We propose a numerical method for the computation of the forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDE) appearing in the Feynman-Kac representation of the value function in stochastic optimal control problems. By the use of the Girsanov change of probability measures, it is demonstrated how a rapidly-exploring random tree (RRT) method can be utilized for the forward integration pass, as long as the controlled drift terms are appropriately compensated in the backward integration pass. Subsequently, a numerical approximation of the value function is proposed by solving a series of function approximation problems backwards in time along the edges of the constructed RRT. Moreover, a local entropy-weighted least squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) method is developed to concentrate function approximation accuracy in regions most likely to be visited by optimally controlled trajectories. The results of the proposed methodology are demonstrated on linear and nonlinear stochastic optimal control problems with non-quadratic running costs, which reveal significant convergence improvements over previous FBSDE-based numerical solution methods.

math.OC↗

arXiv2020

Autonomous Hybrid Ground/Aerial Mobility in Unknown Environments

Hybrid ground and aerial vehicles can possess distinct advantages over ground-only or flight-only designs in terms of energy savings and increased mobility. In this work we outline our unified framework for controls, planning, and autonomy of hybrid ground/air vehicles. Our contribution is three-fold: 1) We develop a control scheme for the control of passive two-wheeled hybrid ground/aerial vehicles. 2) We present a unified planner for both rolling and flying by leveraging differential flatness mappings. 3) We conduct experiments leveraging mapping and global planning for hybrid mobility in unknown environments, showing that hybrid mobility uses up to five times less energy than flying only.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2019

Nonlinear Covariance Control via Differential Dynamic Programming

We consider covariance control problems for nonlinear stochastic systems. Our objective is to find an optimal control strategy to steer the state from an initial distribution to a terminal one with specified mean and covariance. This problem is considerably more complicated than previous studies on covariance control for linear systems. We leverage a widely used technique - differential dynamic programming - in nonlinear optimal control to achieve our goal. In particular, we adopt the stochastic differential dynamic programming framework to handle the stochastic dynamics. Additionally, to enforce the terminal statistical constraints, we construct a Lagrangian and apply a primal-dual type algorithm. Several examples are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2019

Agile Autonomous Driving using End-to-End Deep Imitation Learning

We present an end-to-end imitation learning system for agile, off-road autonomous driving using only low-cost sensors. By imitating a model predictive controller equipped with advanced sensors, we train a deep neural network control policy to map raw, high-dimensional observations to continuous steering and throttle commands. Compared with recent approaches to similar tasks, our method requires neither state estimation nor on-the-fly planning to navigate the vehicle. Our approach relies on, and experimentally validates, recent imitation learning theory. Empirically, we show that policies trained with online imitation learning overcome well-known challenges related to covariate shift and generalize better than policies trained with batch imitation learning. Built on these insights, our autonomous driving system demonstrates successful high-speed off-road driving, matching the state-of-the-art performance.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2018

Differential Dynamic Programming on Lie Groups: Derivation, Convergence Analysis and Numerical Results

We develop a discrete-time optimal control framework for systems evolving on Lie groups. Our work generalizes the original Differential Dynamic Programming method, by employing a coordinate-free, Lie-theoretic approach for its derivation. A key element lies, specifically, in the use of quadratic expansion schemes for cost functions and dynamics defined on manifolds. The obtained algorithm iteratively optimizes local approximations of the control problem, until reaching a (sub)optimal solution. On the theoretical side, we also study the conditions under which convergence is attained. Details about the behavior and implementation of our method are provided through a simulated example on T SO(3).

math.OC↗

arXiv2018

Model-Based Stochastic Search for Large Scale Optimization of Multi-Agent UAV Swarms

Recent work from the reinforcement learning community has shown that Evolution Strategies are a fast and scalable alternative to other reinforcement learning methods. In this paper we show that Evolution Strategies are a special case of model-based stochastic search methods. This class of algorithms has nice asymptotic convergence properties and known convergence rates. We show how these methods can be used to solve both cooperative and competitive multi-agent problems in an efficient manner. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach on two complex multi-agent UAV swarm combat scenarios: where a team of fixed wing aircraft must attack a well-defended base, and where two teams of agents go head to head to defeat each other.

cs.MA↗