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Evgenii Kanin

Publications and source records attributed to Evgenii Kanin.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Steadily moving semi-infinite fracture in plane poroelasticity

We present a boundary integral formulation for steadily propagating semi-infinite plane strain tensile and shear fractures in poroelastic media. By combining fundamental solutions of plane strain poroelasticity for an instantaneous fluid source and instantaneous edge dislocations (normal and slip modes) with temporal and spatial superposition principles, we derive boundary integral equations for steadily moving fractures under the adopted hydraulic boundary conditions. These equations relate the tractions (normal and shear stresses) and the pore fluid pressure on the fracture surfaces to the fracture opening, slip, and the fluid displacement function. Assuming prescribed traction and pore fluid pressure profiles, we develop a numerical methodology to solve the governing equations for fracture opening, slip, and the fluid displacement function. The formulation is systematically verified on several relevant problems, including a tensile fracture with exponential normal loading, a stress-free tensile fracture with an imposed exponential pore fluid pressure, and a shear fracture under uniform shear loading over a finite region, demonstrating excellent agreement with analytical and semi-analytical solutions. The resulting boundary integral framework provides an accurate and efficient tool for analyzing semi-infinite steadily propagating cracks in permeable poroelastic media. By supplementing the formulation with appropriate closure relations and additional physics, such as lubrication flow in hydraulic fractures or frictional strength evolution in shear fractures, it can be used to investigate a broad range of coupled fracture-fluid problems. The approach may also be adapted to other classes of elasto-diffusive problems by modifying the underlying physical parameters.

physics.geo-ph↗

CO2 storage in deep saline aquifers: evaluation of geomechanical risks using integrated modeling workflow

CO2 injection into a saline aquifer crossed by a tectonic fault is studied with coupled fluid mechanics - geomechanics modeling. The simulation approach is based on coupling of the MUFITS reservoir simulator and the FLAC3D mechanical simulator via an in-house API (i.e., an algorithm for data transfer between simulators). MUFITS simulates the non-isothermal multiphase flow of CO2 and brine in rock formation accounting for phase transitions and thermal effects. The modeling workflow is sequential, so that hydrodynamical simulations are carried out at a certain time interval, after which pressure, temperature, and density distributions are passed to FLAC3D, which calculates the equilibrium mechanical state. Computed deformations and stresses are utilized to update the porosity and permeability fields for the subsequent hydrodynamic modeling. In particular, we focus on the tectonic fault and its behavior during CO2 injection. We distinguish the damage zone and core inside the fault and derive the closure relations for their permeability alteration analytically. The coupled approach developed here is applied to simulate CO2 injection into synthetic and realistic reservoir models. For the former one, we study the effect of formation depth and presence of the tectonic stresses at the initial mechanical state, while for the latter, we consider different injection modes (bottomhole pressure). In each numerical experiment, we describe the evolution of the fault permeability due to the slip along its plane and the development of plastic deformations leading to the loss of reservoir integrity and CO2 leakage. Sensitivity analysis of the coupled model to realistic values of input parameters to assess the fault stability is carried out.

physics.geo-ph↗

Development of Deep Transformer-Based Models for Long-Term Prediction of Transient Production of Oil Wells

We propose a novel approach to data-driven modeling of a transient production of oil wells. We apply the transformer-based neural networks trained on the multivariate time series composed of various parameters of oil wells measured during their exploitation. By tuning the machine learning models for a single well (ignoring the effect of neighboring wells) on the open-source field datasets, we demonstrate that transformer outperforms recurrent neural networks with LSTM/GRU cells in the forecasting of the bottomhole pressure dynamics. We apply the transfer learning procedure to the transformer-based surrogate model, which includes the initial training on the dataset from a certain well and additional tuning of the model's weights on the dataset from a target well. Transfer learning approach helps to improve the prediction capability of the model. Next, we generalize the single-well model based on the transformer architecture for multiple wells to simulate complex transient oilfield-level patterns. In other words, we create the global model which deals with the dataset, comprised of the production history from multiple wells, and allows for capturing the well interference resulting in more accurate prediction of the bottomhole pressure or flow rate evolutions for each well under consideration. The developed instruments for a single-well and oilfield-scale modelling can be used to optimize the production process by selecting the operating regime and submersible equipment to increase the hydrocarbon recovery. In addition, the models can be helpful to perform well-testing avoiding costly shut-in operations.

cs.LG↗

A Predictive Model for Steady-State Multiphase Pipe Flow: Machine Learning on Lab Data

Engineering simulators used for steady-state multiphase pipe flows are commonly utilized to predict pressure drop. Such simulators are typically based on either empirical correlations or first-principles mechanistic models. The simulators allow evaluating the pressure drop in multiphase pipe flow with acceptable accuracy. However, the only shortcoming of these correlations and mechanistic models is their applicability. In order to extend the applicability and the accuracy of the existing accessible methods, a method of pressure drop calculation in the pipeline is proposed. The method is based on well segmentation and calculation of the pressure gradient in each segment using three surrogate models based on Machine Learning algorithms trained on a representative lab data set from the open literature. The first model predicts the value of a liquid holdup in the segment, the second one determines the flow pattern, and the third one is used to estimate the pressure gradient. To build these models, several ML algorithms are trained such as Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Decision Trees, Support Vector Machine, and Artificial Neural Network, and their predictive abilities are cross-compared. The proposed method for pressure gradient calculation yields $R^2 = 0.95$ by using the Gradient Boosting algorithm as compared with $R^2 = 0.92$ in case of Mukherjee and Brill correlation and $R^2 = 0.91$ when a combination of Ansari and Xiao mechanistic models is utilized. The method for pressure drop prediction is also validated on three real field cases. Validation indicates that the proposed model yields the following coefficients of determination: $R^2 = 0.806, 0.815$ and 0.99 as compared with the highest values obtained by commonly used techniques: $R^2 = 0.82$ (Beggs and Brill correlation), $R^2 = 0.823$ (Mukherjee and Brill correlation) and $R^2 = 0.98$ (Beggs and Brill correlation).

physics.data-an↗