arXiv subjects

Fabian Mies

Publications and source records attributed to Fabian Mies.

21 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2019

Exact Semiparametric Inference and Model Selection for Load-Sharing Systems

As a specific proportional hazard rates model, sequential order statistics can be used to describe the lifetimes of load-sharing systems. Inference for these systems needs to account for small sample sizes, which are prevalent in reliability applications. By exploiting the probabilistic structure of sequential order statistics, we derive exact finite sample inference procedures to test for the load-sharing parameters and for the nonparametrically specified baseline distribution, treating the respective other part as a nuisance quantity. This improves upon previous approaches for the model, which either assume a fully parametric specification or rely on asymptotic results. Simulations show that the tests derived are able to detect deviations from the null hypothesis at small sample sizes. Critical values for a prominent case are tabulated.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2019

Rate-optimal estimation of the Blumenthal-Getoor index of a Lévy process

The Blumenthal-Getoor (BG) index characterizes the jump measure of an infinitely active Lévy process. It determines sample path properties and affects the behavior of various econometric procedures. If the process contains a diffusion term, existing estimators of the BG index based on high-frequency observations only achieve rates of convergence which are suboptimal by a polynomial factor. In this paper, a novel estimator for the BG index and the successive BG indices is presented, attaining the optimal rate of convergence. If an additional proportionality factor needs to be inferred, the proposed estimator is rate-optimal up to logarithmic factors. Furthermore, our method yields a new efficient volatility estimator which accounts for jumps of infinite variation. All parameters are estimated jointly by the generalized method of moments. A simulation study compares the finite sample behavior of the proposed estimators with competing methods from the financial econometrics literature.

math.ST↗

arXiv2017

Computational Methods for Path-based Robust Flows

Real world networks are often subject to severe uncertainties which need to be addressed by any reliable prescriptive model. In the context of the maximum flow problem subject to arc failure, robust models have gained particular attention. For a path-based model, the resulting optimization problem is assumed to be difficult in the literature, yet the complexity status is widely unknown. We present a computational approach to solve the robust flow problem to optimality by simultaneous primal and dual separation, the practical efficacy of which is shown by a computational study. Furthermore, we introduce a novel model of robust flows which provides a compromise between stochastic and robust optimization by assigning probabilities to groups of scenarios. The new model can be solved by the same computational techniques as the robust model. A bound on the generalization error is proven for the case that the probabilities are determined empirically. The suggested model as well as the computational approach extend to linear optimization problems more general than robust flows.

cs.DM↗