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Fabian Muny

Publications and source records attributed to Fabian Muny.

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Fairness-Aware and Interpretable Policy Learning

Fairness and interpretability play an important role in the adoption of decision-making algorithms across many application domains. These requirements are intended to avoid undesirable group differences and to alleviate concerns related to transparency. This paper proposes a framework that integrates fairness and interpretability into algorithmic decision making by combining data transformation with policy trees, a class of interpretable policy functions. The approach is based on pre-processing the data to remove dependencies between sensitive attributes and decision-relevant features, followed by a tree-based optimization to obtain the policy. Since data pre-processing compromises interpretability, an additional transformation maps the parameters of the resulting tree back to the original feature space. This procedure enhances fairness by yielding policy allocations that are pairwise independent of sensitive attributes, without sacrificing interpretability. Using administrative data from Switzerland to analyze the allocation of unemployed individuals to active labor market programs (ALMP), the framework is shown to perform well in a realistic policy setting. Effects of integrating fairness and interpretability constraints are measured through the change in expected employment outcomes. The results indicate that, for this particular application, fairness can be substantially improved at relatively low cost.

econ.EM

Evaluating Program Sequences with Double Machine Learning: An Application to Labor Market Policies

Many programs evaluated in observational studies incorporate a sequential structure, where individuals may be assigned to various programs over time. While this complexity is often simplified by analyzing programs at single points in time, this paper reviews, explains, and applies methods for program evaluation within a sequential framework. It outlines the assumptions required for identification under dynamic confounding and demonstrates how extending sequential estimands to dynamic policies enables the construction of more realistic counterfactuals. Furthermore, the paper explores recently developed methods for estimating effects across multiple treatments and time periods, utilizing Double Machine Learning (DML), a flexible estimator that avoids parametric assumptions while preserving desirable statistical properties. Using Swiss administrative data, the methods are demonstrated through an empirical application assessing the participation of unemployed individuals in active labor market policies, where assignment decisions by caseworkers can be reconsidered between two periods. The analysis identifies a temporary wage subsidy as the most effective intervention, on average, even after adjusting for its extended duration compared to other programs. Overall, DML-based analysis of dynamic policies proves to be a useful approach within the program evaluation toolkit.

econ.EM

From Average Effects to Targeted Assignment: A Causal Machine Learning Analysis of Swiss Active Labor Market Policies

Active labor market policies are widely used by the Swiss government, enrolling over half of all unemployed individuals. This paper evaluates the effectiveness of Swiss programs in improving employment and earnings outcomes using causal machine learning and rich administrative data on unemployed individuals in 2014 and 2015, including detailed labor market histories and other covariates. The findings for Swiss citizens and immigrants with permanent residency indicate a small positive average effect of a Temporary Wage Subsidy program on employment and earnings in the third year after program start. In contrast, Basic Courses, such as job application training, exhibit negative effects on both outcomes over the same period. No significant impacts are found for Employment Programs conducted outside the regular labor market or for Training Courses such as language or computer classes. The programs are most effective for individuals with a non-EU migration background, while Temporary Wage Subsidies also benefit those with lower educational attainment. Finally, shallow policy trees provide practical guidance for improving the targeting of program assignments.

econ.GN