arXiv subjects

Fahima Haque Talukder Jely

Publications and source records attributed to Fahima Haque Talukder Jely.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

HaorFloodAlert: A 72-Hour Machine Learning Early Warning System for Flash Floods in Bangladesh's Haor Wetlands

Every spring, flash floods strike the haor wetlands of northeast Bangladesh just before the boro rice harvest, and one flood can erase a family's entire crop in days. Warning people in time is hard here for a structural reason: the Sunamganj Haor is a flat, bowl-shaped basin that fills at once from local rain, domestic rivers, and the Barak River in India, while fewer than twelve working gauges cover its 8,000 km2. Existing models add a quieter problem of their own, because they train on raw temperature, which simply follows the season, so they learn the calendar instead of the flood, and none of them delivers a warning to a farmer. HaorFloodAlert answers both problems with free data alone: Sentinel-1 radar that sees through storm clouds, rainfall records and forecasts, soil moisture, and a modeled upstream Barak signal worth about 36 hours of lead time. A monthly climatological anomaly then removes the seasonal bias, cutting the temperature-label correlation from r=0.570 to r=-0.031. Tested by leave-one-out cross-validation on 77 events with real Sentinel-1 images (2014-2024), the Random Forest and XGBoost ensemble reaches 90.9% accuracy, 89.2% F1-score, and AUC 0.939, and these labels hold up against 12.3 years of official gauge records. The same system then ran live for ten days in May-June 2026 and raised a high-risk alert about three days before the river neared its danger level. Warnings go out in Bengali by SMS, e-mail, and WhatsApp, and every number here can be regenerated from our public, seeded pipeline.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Explainable AI for Screening Abuse-Related Trauma in Bangladeshi Children: A Training-Free Multimodal Framework Evaluated on Noise-Aware Synthetic Data

Bangladesh has an estimated 1.17 mental-health professionals per 100,000 population and only six child psychiatrists nationwide. No Bengali-language, culturally adapted tool exists for early screening of abuse-related psychological trauma in children. We present ShishuRaksha AI, a decision-support (not diagnostic) framework that fuses four screening modalities: validated questionnaires (SDQ, CPSS), Bengali narrative text, House-Tree-Person (HTP) drawing features, and facial affect. The fusion is training-free and clinically weighted, uses cross-modal attention, and includes a single-modality override rule. Every risk score is explained through clinically weighted, perturbation-based additive attribution and rendered as a bilingual (Bangla/English) report with referral routing to national child-protection services (OCC, DSS, NMHH) under the Children Act 2013. No clinical dataset of abused children can be collected ethically at this stage, so we introduce a noise-aware synthetic benchmark (500 cases, 116 positive [23.2%], four deliberate noise layers, literature-grounded HTP priors) and evaluate tree-ensemble surrogates of the fusion design (facial channel excluded) under 5-fold stratified cross-validation. The fused model reaches an AUC of 0.874 [0.834-0.908], against 0.756 [0.705-0.803] for an SDQ-only baseline, with ablation, operating-point, subgroup, and calibration analyses. We state all limitations openly, including synthetic-only data, no held-out set, text-feature circularity, and an urban-rural subgroup gap. This work is a feasibility study and a design contribution toward ethically deployable child-protection screening in low-resource settings.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

AgriMind: An Ensemble Deep Learning Framework for Multi-Class Plant Disease Classification

Plant disease detection is still largely manual in Bangladesh, where extension workers eyeball leaf samples across millions of smallholdings. We built AgriMind to automate this: an ensemble of ResNet50, EfficientNet-B0, and DenseNet121 trained on 20,638 PlantVillage images across 15 pepper, potato, and tomato disease classes. Transfer learning with frozen ImageNet backbones and 10 epochs of head-only training keeps the pipeline lightweight. Individual models hit 96--97% on the held-out test set, but averaging their softmax outputs pushes the ensemble to 99.23% -- a two-thirds cut in error rate. We tried biasing the average toward the best validation model; it backfired. Dropping any single model also hurt. Pepper and potato classify perfectly; tomato, with ten visually similar classes, still reaches 99.01%. On an NVIDIA T4 GPU the full ensemble runs at 53 FPS. Whether that translates to real-time mobile use depends on TensorFlow Lite optimization -- work we have not yet completed.

cs.CV↗