arXiv subjects

Fausto Gozzi

Publications and source records attributed to Fausto Gozzi.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Optimal Planning in Habit Formation Models with Multiple Goods

In this paper, on the line e.g. of [COW00]) we investigate a model with habit formation and two types of substitute goods. Such family of models, even in the case of 1 good, are difficult to study since their utility function is not concave in the interesting cases (see e.g. [BG20]), hence the first order conditions are not sufficient. We introduce and explain the model and provide some first results using the dynamic programming approach. Such results will form a solid ground over which a deep study of the features of the solutions can be performed.

math.OC↗

arXiv2023

Path-dependent Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation: Uniqueness of Crandall-Lions viscosity solutions

We formulate a path-dependent stochastic optimal control problem under general conditions, for which weprove rigorously the dynamic programming principle and that the value function is the unique Crandall-Lions viscosity solution of the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation. Compared to the literature, the proof of our core result, that is the comparison theorem, is based on the fact that the valuefunction is bigger than any viscosity subsolution and smaller than any viscosity supersolution. It alsorelies on the approximation of the value function in terms of functions defined on finite-dimensionalspaces as well as on regularity results for parabolic partial differential equations.

math.PR↗

arXiv2023

An optimal control problem with state constraints in a spatio-temporal economic growth model on networks

We introduce a spatial economic growth model where space is described as a network of interconnected geographic locations and we study a corresponding finite-dimensional optimal control problem on a graph with state constraints. Economic growth models on networks are motivated by the nature of spatial economic data, which naturally possess a graph-like structure: this fact makes these models well-suited for numerical implementation and calibration. The network setting is different from the one adopted in the related literature, where space is modeled as a subset of a Euclidean space, which gives rise to infinite dimensional optimal control problems. After introducing the model and the related control problem, we prove existence and uniqueness of an optimal control and a regularity result for the value function, which sets up the basis for a deeper study of the optimal strategies. Then, we focus on specific cases where it is possible to find, under suitable assumptions, an explicit solution of the control problem. Finally, we discuss the cases of networks of two and three geographic locations.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

Optimal control of path-dependent McKean-Vlasov SDEs in infinite dimension

We study the optimal control of path-dependent McKean-Vlasov equations valued in Hilbert spaces motivated by non Markovian mean-field models driven by stochastic PDEs. We first establish the well-posedness of the state equation, and then we prove the dynamic programming principle (DPP) in such a general framework. The crucial law invariance property of the value function V is rigorously obtained, which means that V can be viewed as a function on the Wasserstein space of probability measures on the set of continuous functions valued in Hilbert space. We then define a notion of pathwise measure derivative, which extends the Wasserstein derivative due to Lions [41], and prove a related functional It{ô} formula in the spirit of Dupire [24] and Wu and Zhang [51]. The Master Bellman equation is derived from the DPP by means of a suitable notion of viscosity solution. We provide different formulations and simplifications of such a Bellman equation notably in the special case when there is no dependence on the law of the control.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

A simple planning problem for COVID-19 lockdown: a dynamic programming approach

A large number of recent studies consider a compartmental SIR model to study optimal control policies aimed at containing the diffusion of COVID-19 while minimizing the economic costs of preventive measures. Such problems are non-convex and standard results need not to hold. We use a Dynamic Programming approach and prove some continuity properties of the value function of the associated optimization problem. We study the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation and show that the value function solves it in the viscosity sense. Finally, we discuss some optimality conditions. Our paper represents a first contribution towards a complete analysis of non-convex dynamic optimization problems, within a Dynamic Programming approach.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

Stochastic Control Problems with Unbounded Control Operators: solutions through generalized derivatives

This paper deals with a family of stochastic control problems in Hilbert spaces which arises in typical applications (such as boundary control and control of delay equations with delay in the control) and for which is difficult to apply the dynamic programming approach due to the unboudedness of the control operator and to the lack of regularity of the underlying transition semigroup. We introduce a specific concept of partial derivative, designed for this situation, and we develop a method to prove that the associated HJB equation has a solution with enough regularity to find optimal controls in feedback form.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

HJB equations and stochastic control on half-spaces of Hilbert spaces

In this paper we study a first extension of the theory of mild solutions for HJB equations in Hilbert spaces to the case when the domain is not the whole space. More precisely, we consider a half-space as domain, and a semilinear Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation. Our main goal is to establish the existence and the uniqueness of solutions to such HJB equations, that are continuously differentiable in the space variable. We also provide an application of our results to an exit time optimal control problem and we show that the corresponding value function is the unique solution to a semilinear HJB equation, possessing sufficient regularity to express the optimal control in feedback form. Finally, we give an illustrative example.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

A Stochastic Model of Economic Growth in Time-Space

We deal with an infinite horizon, infinite dimensional stochastic optimal control problem arising in the study of economic growth in time-space. Such problem has been the object of various papers in deterministic cases when the possible presence of stochastic disturbances is ignored. Here we propose and solve a stochastic generalization of such models where the stochastic term, in line with the standard stochastic economic growth models, is a multiplicative one, driven by a cylindrical Wiener process. The problem is studied using the Dynamic Programming approach. We find an explicit solution of the associated HJB equation and, using a verification type result, we prove that such solution is the value function and we find the optimal feedback strategies. Finally we use this result to study the asymptotic behavior of the optimal trajectories.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

Habits and demand changes after COVID-19

In this paper, we investigate how the COVID-19 pandemics and more precisely the lockdown of a sector of the economy may have changed our habits and, there-fore, altered the demand of some goods even after the re-opening. In a two-sector infinite horizon economy, we show that the demand of the goods produced by the sector closed during the lockdown could shrink or expand with respect to their pre-pandemic level depending on the length of the lockdown and the relative strength of the satiation effect and the substitutability effect. We also provide conditions under which this sector could remain inactive even after the lockdown as well as an insight on the policy which should be adopted to avoid this outcome.

econ.TH↗

arXiv2022

Robust portfolio choice with sticky wages

We present a robust version of the life-cycle optimal portfolio choice problem in the presence of labor income, as introduced in Biffis, Gozzi and Prosdocimi ("Optimal portfolio choice with path dependent labor income: the infinite horizon case", SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization, 58(4), 1906-1938.) and Dybvig and Liu ("Lifetime consumption and investment: retirement and constrained borrowing", Journal of Economic Theory, 145, pp. 885-907). In particular, in Biffis, Gozzi and Prosdocimi the influence of past wages on the future ones is modelled linearly in the evolution equation of labor income, through a given weight function. The optimisation relies on the resolution of an infinite dimensional HJB equation. We improve the state of art in three ways. First, we allow the weight to be a Radon measure. This accommodates for more realistic weighting of the sticky wages, like, e.g., on a discrete temporal grid according to some periodic income. Second, there is a general correlation structure between labor income and stocks market. This naturally affects the optimal hedging demand, which may increase or decrease according to the correlation sign. Third, we allow the weight to change with time, possibly lacking perfect identification. The uncertainty is specified by a given set of Radon measures $K$, in which the weight process takes values. This renders the inevitable uncertainty on how the past affects the future, and includes the standard case of error bounds on a specific estimate for the weight. Under uncertainty averse preferences, the decision maker takes a maxmin approach to the problem. Our analysis confirms the intuition: in the infinite dimensional setting, the optimal policy remains the best investment strategy under the worst case weight.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

Master Bellman equation in the Wasserstein space: Uniqueness of viscosity solutions

We study the Bellman equation in the Wasserstein space arising in the study of mean field control problems, namely stochastic optimal control problems for McKean-Vlasov diffusion processes.Using the standard notion of viscosity solution à la Crandall-Lions extended to our Wasserstein setting,we prove a comparison result under general conditions on the drift and reward coefficients, whichcoupled with the dynamic programming principle, implies that the value function is the unique viscosity solution of the Master Bellman equation.This is the first uniqueness result in such a second-order context. The classical arguments used in the standard cases of equations in finite-dimensional spaces or in infinite-dimensional separable Hilbert spaces do not extend to the present framework, due to the awkward nature of the underlying Wasserstein space. The adopted strategy is based on finite-dimensional approximations of the value function obtained in terms of the related cooperative $n$-player game, and on the construction of a smooth gauge-type function, built starting from a regularization of a sharp estimate of the Wasserstein metric; such a gauge-type function is used to generate maxima/minima through a suitable extension of the Borwein-Preiss generalization of Ekeland's variational principle on the Wasserstein space.

math.AP↗

arXiv2021

A dynamic theory of spatial externalities

We characterize the shape of spatial externalities in a continuous time and space differential game with transboundary pollution. We posit a realistic spatiotemporal law of motion for pollution (diffusion and advection), and tackle spatiotemporal non-cooperative (and cooperative) differential games. Precisely, we consider a circle partitioned into several states where a local authority decides autonomously about its investment, production and depollution strategies over time knowing that investment/production generates pollution, and pollution is transboundary. The time horizon is infinite. We allow for a rich set of geographic heterogeneities across states. We solve analytically the induced non-cooperative differential game and characterize its long-term spatial distributions. In particular, we prove that there exist a Perfect Markov Equilibrium, unique among the class of the affine feedbacks. We further provide with a full exploration of the free riding problem and the associated border effect.

econ.TH↗

arXiv2021

Optimal Dividend Payout under Stochastic Discounting

Adopting a probabilistic approach we determine the optimal dividend payout policy of a firm whose surplus process follows a controlled arithmetic Brownian motion and whose cash-flows are discounted at a stochastic dynamic rate. Dividends can be paid to shareholders at unrestricted rates so that the problem is cast as one of singular stochastic control. The stochastic interest rate is modelled by a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process and the firm's objective is to maximize the total expected flow of discounted dividends until a possible insolvency time. We find an optimal dividend payout policy which is such that the surplus process is kept below an endogenously determined stochastic threshold expressed as a decreasing continuous function $r \mapsto b(r)$ of the current interest rate value. We also prove that the value function of the singular control problem solves a variational inequality associated to a second-order, non-degenerate elliptic operator, with a gradient constraint.

math.OC↗

arXiv2021

State constrained control problems in Banach lattices and applications

This paper aims to study a family of deterministic optimal control problems in infinite dimensional spaces. The peculiar feature of such problems is the presence of a positivity state constraint, which often arises in economic applications. To deal with such constraints, we set up the problem in a Banach space with a Riesz space structure (i.e., a Banach lattice) not necessarily reflexive: a typical example is the space of continuous functions on a compact set. In this setting, which seems to be new in this context, we are able to find explicit solutions to the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation associated to a suitable auxiliary problem and to write the corresponding optimal feedback control. Thanks to a type of infinite dimensional Perron-Frobenius Theorem, we use these results to get information about the optimal paths of the original problem. This was not possible in the infinite dimensional setting used in earlier works on this subject, where the state space was an $\mathrm L^2$ space.

math.OC↗

arXiv2021

Minimum energy with infinite horizon: from stationary to non-stationary states

We study a non standard infinite horizon, infinite dimensional linear-quadratic control problem arising in the physics of non-stationary states (see e.g. \cite{BDGJL4,BertiniGabrielliLebowitz05}): finding the minimum energy to drive a given stationary state $\bar x=0$ (at time $t=-\infty$) into an arbitrary non-stationary state $x$ (at time $t=0$). This is the opposite to what is commonly studied in the literature on null controllability (where one drives a generic state $x$ into the equilibrium state $\bar x=0$). Consequently, the Algebraic Riccati Equation (ARE) associated to this problem is non-standard since the sign of the linear part is opposite to the usual one and since it is intrinsically unbounded. Hence the standard theory of AREs does not apply. The analogous finite horizon problem has been studied in the companion paper \cite{AcquistapaceGozzi17}. Here, similarly to such paper, we prove that the linear selfadjoint operator associated to the value function is a solution of the above mentioned ARE. Moreover, differently to \cite{AcquistapaceGozzi17}, we prove that such solution is the maximal one. The first main result (Theorem \ref{th:maximalARE}) is proved by approximating the problem with suitable auxiliary finite horizon problems (which are different from the one studied in \cite{AcquistapaceGozzi17}). Finally in the special case where the involved operators commute we characterize all solutions of the ARE (Theorem \ref{th:sol=proj}) and we apply this to the Landau-Ginzburg model.

math.OC↗

arXiv2020

Optimal portfolio choice with path dependent benchmarked labor income: a mean field model

We consider the life-cycle optimal portfolio choice problem faced by an agent receiving labor income and allocating her wealth to risky assets and a riskless bond subject to a borrowing constraint. In this paper, to reflect a realistic economic setting, we propose a model where the dynamics of the labor income has two main features. First, labor income adjust slowly to financial market shocks, a feature already considered in Biffis, E., Gozzi, F. and Prosdocimi, C. (2020) - "Optimal portfolio choice with path dependent labor income: the infinite horizon case". Second, the labor income $y_i$ of an agent $i$ is benchmarked against the labor incomes of a population $y^n:=(y_1,y_2,\ldots,y_n)$ of $n$ agents with comparable tasks and/or ranks. This last feature has not been considered yet in the literature and is faced taking the limit when $n\to +\infty$ so that the problem falls into the family of optimal control of infinite dimensional McKean-Vlasov Dynamics, which is a completely new and challenging research field. We study the problem in a simplified case where, adding a suitable new variable, we are able to find explicitly the solution of the associated HJB equation and find the optimal feedback controls.

math.OC↗

arXiv2020

Verification Results for Age-Structured Models of Economic-Epidemics Dynamics

In this paper we propose a macro-dynamic age-structured set-up for the analysis of epidemics/economic dynamics in continuous time. The resulting optimal control problem is reformulated in an infinite dimensional Hilbert space framework where we perform the basic steps of dynamic programming approach. Our main result is a verification theorem which allows to guess the feedback form of optimal strategies. This will be a departure point to discuss the behavior of the models of the family we introduce and their policy implications.

econ.TH↗

arXiv2020

Optimal portfolio choice with path dependent labor income: the infinite horizon case

We consider an infinite horizon portfolio problem with borrowing constraints, in which an agent receives labor income which adjusts to financial market shocks in a path dependent way. This path-dependency is the novelty of the model, and leads to an infinite dimensional stochastic optimal control problem. We solve the problem completely, and find explicitly the optimal controls in feedback form. This is possible because we are able to find an explicit solution to the associated infinite dimensional Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation, even if state constraints are present. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first infinite dimensional generalization of Merton's optimal portfolio problem for which explicit solutions can be found. The explicit solution allows us to study the properties of optimal strategies and discuss their financial implications.

math.OC↗