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Federico Frascoli

Publications and source records attributed to Federico Frascoli.

18 recordsLinked to original sources

Spatial dynamic modelling to understand how dendritic cell clustering affects T cell activation

The coordination of the immune system and its components is essential for the body to maintain a healthy status. Recent clinical studies show that breast cancer patients with high Dendritic cell clustering in tumour draining lymph nodes have improved survival outcomes, compared to those with a lower degree of clustering. These results suggest that a specific form of Dendritic cell clustering promotes T cell activation. However, the mechanistic effects of this spatial organisation is unclear. We develop a spatially dynamic model of T cells interacting with Dendritic cells within the lymph node. We present a novel probabilistic agent-based model (ABM) of T cells, and use it to derive the deterministic, phenotypically structured partial differential equation (PS-PDE) of T cell activation and motion. Using the PS-PDE, we derive analytic approximations of the expected T cell stimulation distribution, based on the topology and level of clustering of a given Dendritic cell population. Our analytic approximation enables us to identify T cell characteristics that benefit most from Dendritic cell clustering, to result in an enhanced stimulation distribution. We also perform a sensitivity analysis with our models to identify T cell characteristics that result in desirable T cell activation characteristics, such as rapid T cell activation, and robust heterogeneous T cell activation. Our key findings show that T cells with an intermediate level of stimulation uptake benefit most from higher levels of Dendritic cell clustering, activating with a comparable or greater abundance, and greater heterogeneity, when compared to T cells of a similar characteristic but with a lower level of Dendritic cell clustering.

q-bio.CB

KAN vs LSTM Performance in Time Series Forecasting

This study presents a controlled comparison of baseline Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN), implemented via PyKAN, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for the forecasting of stochastic, non-stationary financial time series. The two architectures are assessed in terms of predictive accuracy, computational efficiency, and interpretability, with accuracy measured by the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) in normalised feature space. Under a direct multi-output forecasting protocol, LSTM attains clearly superior accuracy across all tested prediction horizons, consistent with its well-established effectiveness for sequential data modelling. Baseline KAN, although offering theoretical interpretability through the Kolmogorov-Arnold representation theorem, exhibits substantially higher error rates and limited practical applicability for time series forecasting in its standard form. Several specialised temporal variants -- including Temporal KAN and Time-Frequency KAN -- have since been proposed to address these sequential modelling limitations, but they lie outside the scope of the present study. KAN is observed to converge faster during training under the configurations tested, although direct runtime comparisons are constrained by methodological factors. These findings support the adoption of LSTM for accuracy-critical financial forecasting and establish an empirical baseline for standard KAN on stochastic sequential data, motivating further investigation of temporally-aware KAN architectures. The study benchmarks baseline KAN against baseline LSTM only; the results do not extend to specialised KAN variants designed for sequential data, nor to the broader family of temporal models.

cs.LG

The role of viral dynamics and infectivity in models of oncolytic virotherapy for tumours with different motility

The use of ad-hoc engineered viruses in the fight against tumours is one of the greatest ideas in cancer therapeutics within the last three decades. Together with other strategies such as immunotherapies, nanoparticles and adjunct therapies, the use of viral vectors in clinical trials and in the clinics has been and is still widely studied and pursued. The ability of those vectors to infiltrate and infect tumours represents one of the key attributes that regulates the success of such a strategy. Although some remarkable successes have been obtained, it is still not entirely clear how to achieve reliable protocols that can be routinely employed with confidence on a significant range of tumours. In this work, we thus concentrate on the study of different mathematical descriptions of virotherapy with the aim of better understanding the role of viral infectivity and viral dynamics in positive therapeutic outcomes. In particular, we compare probabilistic, individual approaches with continuous, spatially inhomogeneous models and investigate the importance of different tumour motility and different mathematical representations of viral infectivity. These formulations also allow us to arrive at better analytical characterisation of how waves of viral infections arise and propagate in tumours, providing interesting insights into therapy dynamics. Similarly to previous studies, oscillatory behaviours, stochasticity and cancers' diffusivities are all central to the eradication or the escape of tumours under virotherapy. Here, though, our results also show that the ability of viruses to infect tumours seems, in certain cases, more important to a final positive outcome than tumours' motility or even reproducibility. This could hopefully represent a first step into better insights into viral dynamics that may help clinicians to achieve consistently better outcomes.

q-bio.PE

Biochemical Network Motifs Under Periodic Forcing: A Selective Catalogue of Transfer Functions and Frequency Response Properties

Understanding the function of network motifs in an attempt to gain insight into how their combinations create larger reaction networks that drive cellular functions, has been a longstanding pursuit of systems biology. One specific objective within this pursuit is understanding how individual motifs respond to pulsatile and oscillatory signals. This is especially relevant because biochemical networks are often activated by signals that, in nature, occur in the form of pulses and oscillations. A powerful analytical tool for studying such dynamics is the transfer function: a compact frequency-domain description of input-output dynamics. In this work, we derive transfer functions for a set of commonly studied network motifs and characterise their responses to pulsatile and oscillatory inputs. The novelty of this review does not lie in the introduction of new mathematical theorems or biological discoveries, but in bridging well-established frequency domain formalisms from control theory with the analysis of biochemical networks under periodic forcing. In doing so, our contributions are threefold: 1. A systematic derivation and compilation of transfer functions for common network motifs: consolidating results scattered across the literature and establishing a consistent formalism for motif-level transfer functions. 2. Contextualisation of these transfer functions within biological models: extending abstract transfer functions to concrete biological settings so that the results are readily applicable without extensive mathematical labour. 3. Resolution of ambiguity between biological and control-theoretic treatments of feedback: clarifying how feedback loops should be understood within the transfer function formalism and reconciling differences between biology literature and control-oriented literature. This is done by formalising the notion of an intrinsic transfer function.

q-bio.MN

A phenotype-structured mathematical model for the influence of hypoxia on oncolytic virotherapy

The effectiveness of oncolytic virotherapy is significantly affected by several elements of the tumour microenvironment, which reduce the ability of the virus to infect cancer cells. In this work, we focus on the influence of hypoxia on this therapy and develop a novel continuous mathematical model that considers both the spatial and epigenetic heterogeneity of the tumour. We investigate how oxygen gradients within tumours affect the spatial distribution and replication of both the tumour and oncolytic viruses, focusing on regions of severe hypoxia versus normoxic areas. Additionally, we analyse the evolutionary dynamics of tumour cells under hypoxic conditions and their influence on susceptibility to viral infection. Our findings show that the reduced metabolic activity of hypoxic cells may significantly impact the virotherapy effectiveness; the knowledge of the tumour's oxygenation could, therefore, suggest the most suitable type of virus to optimise the outcome. The combination of numerical simulations and theoretical results for the model equilibrium values allows us to elucidate the complex interplay between viruses, tumour evolution and oxygen dynamics, ultimately contributing to developing more effective and personalised cancer treatments.

q-bio.TO

Particle transport in open polygonal billiards: a scattering map

Polygonal billiards exhibit a rich and complex dynamical behavior. In recent years polygonal billiards have attracted great attention due to their application in the understanding of anomalous transport, but also at the fundamental level, due to its connections with diverse fields in mathematics. We explore this complexity and its consequences on the properties of particle transport in infinitely long channels made of the repetitions of an elementary open polygonal cell. Borrowing ideas from the Zemlyakov-Katok construction, we construct an interval exchange transformation classified by the singular directions of the discontinuities of the billiard flow over the translation surface associated to the elementary cell. From this, we derive an exact expression of a scattering map of the cell connecting the outgoing flow of trajectories with the unconstrained incoming flow. The scattering map is defined over a partition of the coordinate space, characterized by different families of trajectories. Furthermore, we obtain an analytical expression for the average speed of propagation of ballistic modes, describing with high accuracy the speed of propagation of ballistic fronts appearing in the tails of the distribution of the particle displacement. The symbolic hierarchy of the trajectories forming these ballistic fronts is also discussed.

nlin.CD

A hybrid discrete-continuum modelling approach for the interactions of the immune system with oncolytic viral infections

Oncolytic virotherapy, utilizing genetically modified viruses to combat cancer and trigger anti-cancer immune responses, has garnered significant attention in recent years. In our previous work arXiv:2305.12386, we developed a stochastic agent-based model elucidating the spatial dynamics of infected and uninfected cells within solid tumours. Building upon this foundation, we present a novel stochastic agent-based model to describe the intricate interplay between the virus and the immune system; the agents' dynamics are coupled with a balance equation for the concentration of the chemoattractant that guides the movement of immune cells. We formally derive the continuum limit of the model and carry out a systematic quantitative comparison between this system of PDEs and the individual-based model in two spatial dimensions. Furthermore, we describe the traveling waves of the three populations, with the uninfected proliferative cells trying to escape from the infected cells while immune cells infiltrate the tumour. Simulations show a good agreement between agent-based approaches and numerical results for the continuum model. Some parameter ranges give rise to oscillations of cell number in both models, in line with the behaviour of the corresponding nonspatial model, which presents Hopf bifurcations. Nevertheless, in some situations the behaviours of the two models may differ significantly, suggesting that stochasticity plays a key role in the dynamics. Our results highlight that a too rapid immune response, before the infection is well-established, appears to decrease the efficacy of the therapy and thus some care is needed when oncolytic virotherapy is combined with immunotherapy. This further suggests the importance of clinically improving the modulation of the immune response according to the tumour's characteristics and to the immune capabilities of the patients.

q-bio.PE

Agent-based and continuum models for spatial dynamics of infection by oncolytic viruses

The use of oncolytic viruses as cancer treatment has received considerable attention in recent years, however the spatial dynamics of this viral infection is still poorly understood. We present here a stochastic agent-based model describing infected and uninfected cells for solid tumours, which interact with viruses in the absence of an immune response. Two kinds of movement, namely undirected random and pressure-driven movements, are considered: the continuum limit of the models is derived and a systematic comparison between the systems of partial differential equations and the individual-based model, in one and two dimensions, is carried out. In the case of undirected movement, a good agreement between agent-based simulations and the numerical and well-known analytical results for the continuum model is possible. For pressure-driven motion, instead, we observe a wide parameter range in which the infection of the agents remains confined to the center of the tumour, even though the continuum model shows traveling waves of infection; outcomes appear to be more sensitive to stochasticity and uninfected regions appear harder to invade, giving rise to irregular, unpredictable growth patterns. Our results show that the presence of spatial constraints in tumours' microenvironments limiting free expansion has a very significant impact on virotherapy. Outcomes for these tumours suggest a notable increase in variability. All these aspects can have important effects when designing individually tailored therapies where virotherapy is included.

q-bio.PE

The role of viral infectivity in oncolytic virotherapy outcomes: A mathematical study

A model capturing the dynamics between virus and tumour cells in the context of oncolytic virotherapy is presented and analysed. The ability of the virus to be internalised by uninfected cells is described by an infectivity parameter, which is inferred from available experimental data. The parameter is also able to describe the effects of changes in the tumour environment that affect viral uptake from tumour cells. Results show that when a virus is inoculated inside a growing tumour, strategies for enhancing infectivity do not lead to a complete eradication of the tumour. Within typical times of experiments and treatments, we observe the onset of oscillations, which always prevent a full destruction of the tumour mass. These findings are in good agreement with available laboratory results. Further analysis shows why a fully successful therapy cannot exist for the proposed model and that care must be taken when designing and engineering viral vectors with enhanced features. In particular, bifurcation analysis reveals that creating longer lasting virus particles or using strategies for reducing infected cell lifespan can cause unexpected and unwanted surges in the overall tumour load over time. Our findings suggest that virotherapy alone seems unlikely to be effective in clinical settings unless adjuvant strategies are included.

math.DS

Oncolytic virotherapy for tumours following a Gompertz growth law

We present a mathematical model describing oncolytic virotherapy treatment of a tumour that proliferates according to a Gompertz growth function. We present local stability analysis and bifurcation plots for relevant model parameters to investigate the typical dynamical regimes that the model allows. The model shows a singular equilibrium and a number of nonlinear behaviours that have interesting biological consequences, such as long-period oscillations and bistable states where two different outcomes can occur depending on the initial conditions. Complete tumour eradication appears to be possible only for parameter combinations where viral characteristics match well with the tumour growth rate. Interestingly, the model shows that therapies with a high initial injection or involving a highly infective virus do not universally result in successful strategies for eradication. Further, the use of additional, boosting injection schedules does not always lead to complete eradication. Our framework, instead, suggests that low viral loads can be in some cases more effective than high loads, and that a less resilient virus can help avoid high amplitude oscillations between tumours and virus. Finally, the model points to a number of interesting findings regarding the role of oscillations and bistable states between a tumour and an oncolytic virus. Strategies for the elimination of such fluctuations depend strongly on the initial viral load and the combination of parameters describing the features of the tumour and virus.

math.DS

Effects of mutations and immunogenicity on outcomes of anti-cancer therapies for secondary lesions

Cancer development is driven by mutations and selective forces, including the action of the immune system and interspecific competition. When administered to patients, anti-cancer therapies affect the development and dynamics of tumours, possibly with various degrees of resistance due to immunoediting and microenvironment. Tumours are able to express a variety of competing phenotypes with different attributes and thus respond differently to various anti-cancer therapies. In this paper, a mathematical framework incorporating a system of delay differential equations for the immune system activation cycle and an agent-based approach for tumour-immune interaction is presented. The focus is on those metastatic, secondary solid lesions that are still undetected and non-vascularised. By using available experimental data, we analyse the effects of combination therapies on these lesions and investigate the role of mutations on the rates of success of common treatments. Findings show that mutations, growth properties and immunoediting influence therapies' outcomes in nonlinear and complex ways, affecting cancer lesion morphologies, phenotypical compositions and overall proliferation patterns. Cascade effects on final outcomes for secondary lesions are also investigated, showing that actions on primary lesions could sometimes result in unexpected clearances of secondary tumours. This outcome is strongly dependent on the clonal composition of the primary and secondary masses and is shown to allow, in some cases, the control of the disease for years.

math.DS

Diffusion and escape from polygonal channels: extreme values and geometric effects

Polygonal billiards are an example of pseudo-chaotic dynamics, a combination of integrable evolution and sudden jumps due to conical singular points that arise from the corners of the polygons. Such pseudo-chaotic behaviour, often characterised by an algebraic separation of nearby trajectories, is believed to be linked to the wild dependence that particle transport has on the fine details of the billiard table. Here we address this relation through a detailed numerical study of the statistics of displacement in a family of polygonal channel billiards with parallel walls. We show that transport is characterised by strong anomalous diffusion, with a mean square displacement that scales in time faster than linear, and with a probability density of the displacement exhibiting exponential tails and ballistic fronts. In channels of finite length the distribution of first-passage times is characterised by fat tails, with a mean first-passage time that diverges when the aperture angle is rational. These findings have non trivial consequences for a variety of experiments.

cond-mat.stat-mech

Computation of the equilibrium three-particle entropy for dense atomic fluids by molecular dynamics simulation

We have computed the two and three-particle contribution to the entropy of a Weeks-Chandler-Andersen fluid via molecular dynamics simulations. The three-particle correlation function and entropy were computed with a new method which simplified calculation. Results are qualitatively similar to Lennard-Jones systems. We observed a numerical instability in the three-particle contribution. This phenomenon has been previously detected when the traditional method is used, thus it is likely to be intrinsic in the computation. While the effect of statistical fluctuations can be removed through an extrapolation procedure, the discretization error due to finite bin size is more difficult to characterize. With a correct choice of the bin size, a good estimate of the three-particle entropy contribution can be achieved at any state, even close to the freezing point. We observed that, despite the fact that the magnitude of the three-particle contribution increases significantly compared to the two-particle contribution as freezing is approached, the error induced from overestimation of the excess entropy by the two and three-body terms exceeds that induced by approximating the excess entropy with the two body term alone.

cond-mat.stat-mech

Wave turbulence and intermittency in directional sea states

The evolution of surface gravity waves is driven by nonlinear interactions that trigger an energy cascade similarly to the one observed in hydrodynamic turbulence. This process, known as wave turbulence, has been found to display anomalous scaling with deviation from classical turbulent predictions due to the emergence of coherent and intermittent structures on the water surface. In realistic oceanic sea states, waves are spread over a wide range of directions, with a consequent attenuation of the nonlinear properties. A laboratory experiment in a large wave facility is presented to discuss the effect of wave directionality on wave turbulence. Results show that the occurrence of coherent and intermitted structures become less likely with the broadening of the wave directional spreading. There is no evidence, however, that intermittency completely vanishes.

physics.flu-dyn

Infection-acquired versus vaccine-acquired immunity in an SIRWS model

Despite high vaccine coverage, pertussis has re-emerged as a public health concern in many countries. One hypothesis posed for re-emergence is the waning of immunity. In some disease systems, the process of waning immunity can be non-linear, involving a complex relationship between the duration of immunity and subsequent boosting of immunity through asymptomatic re-exposure. We present and analyse a model of infectious disease transmission to examine the interplay between infection and immunity. By allowing the duration of infection-acquired immunity to differ from that of vaccine-acquired immunity, we explore the impact of the difference in durations on long-term disease patterns and prevalence of infection. Our model demonstrates that vaccination may induce cyclic behaviour, and its ability to reduce the infection prevalence increases with both the duration of infection-acquired immunity and duration of vaccine-acquired immunity. We find that increasing vaccine coverage, while capable of leading to an increase in overall transmission, always results in a reduction in prevalence of primary infections, with epidemic cycles characterised by a longer interepidemic period and taller peaks. Our results show that the epidemiological patterns of an infectious disease may change considerably when the duration of vaccine-acquired immunity differs from that of infection-acquired immunity. Our study highlights that for any particular disease and associated vaccine, a detailed understanding of the duration of protection and how that duration is influenced by infection prevalence is important as we seek to optimise vaccination strategies.

q-bio.PE

Observation of turbulence in wave-induced oscillatory flows

The dynamic and thermal regimes of climate are regulated by an exchange of energy and momentum between the atmosphere and the ocean. The role exerted by surface waves on this interchange is particularly enigmatic. Waves induce turbulence in the upper ocean by breaking and through Langmuir circulations. However, waves can directly inject energy into subsurface layers. This relates to waves not being truly irrotational and therefore the induced orbital motion being turbulent. The existence, extent and properties of this turbulent oscillatory flow still remain uncertain. Here we present measurements of the velocity field of oscillatory flows, which are induced by mechanically generated random wave fields in a large scale experimental facility. Velocities were recorded at a depth sufficiently far from the water surface to rule out effects of wave breaking. We demonstrate that the spectral tail of the velocity field follows a power-law scaling close to $ω^{-5/3}$. The turbulent behaviour is investigated via rigorous statistical analysis of the structure functions to highlight the emergence of intermittency in oscillatory flows. The results show that wave motion is turbulent and can contribute to ocean mixing. By deepening of the mixed layer, wave induced motion affects cyclogenesis and sediment resuspension.

physics.ao-ph

Periodic solutions in an SIRWS model with immune boosting and cross-immunity

Incidence of whooping cough, an infection caused by Bordetella pertussis and Bordetella parapertussis, has been on the rise since the 1980s in many countries. Immunological interactions, such as immune boosting and cross-immunity between pathogens, have been hypothesised to be important drivers of epidemiological dynamics. We present a two-pathogen model of transmission which examines how immune boosting and cross-immunity can influence the timing and severity of epidemics. We use a combination of numerical simulations and bifurcation techniques to study the dynamical properties of the system, particularly the conditions under which stable periodic solutions are present. We derive analytic expressions for the steady state of the single-pathogen model, and give a condition for the presence of periodic solutions. A key result from our two-pathogen model is that, while studies have shown that immune boosting at relatively strong levels can independently generate periodic solutions, cross-immunity allows for the presence of periodic solutions even when the level of immune boosting is weak. Asymmetric cross-immunity can produce striking increases in the incidence and period. Our study underscores the importance of developing a better understanding of the immunological interactions between pathogens in order to improve model-based interpretations of epidemiological data.

q-bio.PE

Metabifurcation analysis of a mean field model of the cortex

Mean field models (MFMs) of cortical tissue incorporate salient features of neural masses to model activity at the population level. One of the common aspects of MFM descriptions is the presence of a high dimensional parameter space capturing neurobiological attributes relevant to brain dynamics. We study the physiological parameter space of a MFM of electrocortical activity and discover robust correlations between physiological attributes of the model cortex and its dynamical features. These correlations are revealed by the study of bifurcation plots, which show that the model responses to changes in inhibition belong to two families. After investigating and characterizing these, we discuss their essential differences in terms of four important aspects: power responses with respect to the modeled action of anesthetics, reaction to exogenous stimuli, distribution of model parameters and oscillatory repertoires when inhibition is enhanced. Furthermore, while the complexity of sustained periodic orbits differs significantly between families, we are able to show how metamorphoses between the families can be brought about by exogenous stimuli. We unveil links between measurable physiological attributes of the brain and dynamical patterns that are not accessible by linear methods. They emerge when the parameter space is partitioned according to bifurcation responses. This partitioning cannot be achieved by the investigation of only a small number of parameter sets, but is the result of an automated bifurcation analysis of a representative sample of 73,454 physiologically admissible sets. Our approach generalizes straightforwardly and is well suited to probing the dynamics of other models with large and complex parameter spaces.

math.DS