arXiv subjects

Federico Marulli

Publications and source records attributed to Federico Marulli.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Cluster gravitational redshifts: uncertainties and survey requirements

We investigate the impact of observational and theoretical uncertainties in cluster gravitational redshifts as a probe of modified gravity using an end-to-end forecasting pipeline. We use a generative model to build a halo catalogue with $M_{500}\ge 3\times 10^{13}\,M_\odot$, populate haloes with member galaxies via a five-parameter halo occupation distribution (HOD), assign projected positions from radial density profiles, apply survey-like selections, and infer a linear rescaling of the gravitational potential, $\alpha_\mathrm{MG}$, to parameterise modifications to general relativity (GR). We vary redshift uncertainties, radial and mass-redshift completeness, member abundance, minimum mass and maximum redshift, as well as mis-specify the clusters density and velocity profiles, centres, and mass function. We find that the intracluster velocity dispersion sets an effective floor: improving redshift precision beyond $\sigma_z\sim 10^{-4}(1+z)$ brings no improvement in the precision of $\alpha_\mathrm{MG}$. Realistic redshift and mass cuts primarily remove low-mass haloes and have minimal impact on the $\alpha_\mathrm{MG}$ precision. In this setting, we find that shallow, narrower spectroscopic surveys are preferable to deep, wide photometric ones for precise modified gravity constraints. We further find that mis-centring can mimic significant departures from GR. Baryonic deviations from a Navarro-Frenk-White profile and velocity anisotropies do not introduce appreciable biases. In the high-S/N regime of upcoming surveys, accurate determination of cluster centres will be essential to avoid interpreting systematic effects as new physics. The Spectroscopic Stage-5 Experiment and the Widefield Spectroscopic Telescope provide a clear route toward establishing gravitational redshifts as a competitive probe of modified gravity.

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arXiv2026

The Back-in-time Void Finder: dynamical identification of cosmic voids through optimal transport reconstruction

Cosmic voids have increasingly emerged as a powerful cosmological probe. However, their large spatial extent and intrinsically underdense environments make their identification highly sensitive to shot noise, redshift-space distortions (RSD), and observational systematics, particularly for topological and density-based void definitions. We introduce the Back-In-Time Void Finder (BitVF), a novel dynamical and physically motivated algorithm that identifies cosmic voids as regions of negative divergence of the Lagrangian displacement field reconstructed from the present-day tracer distribution. The reconstruction relies on an optimized discrete optimal transport algorithm that recovers the backward-in-time dynamics of tracers, naturally accounting for tracer bias without relying on cosmological assumptions. We validate BitVF against the widely used topological void finder REVOLVER using high-resolution N-body simulations, showing that it produces void catalogs with smoother and more physically motivated density profiles, as well as abundances that are more stable under tracer subsampling and shot noise. We further apply it to realistic DESI-like mock light-cone galaxy catalogs, demonstrating that it intrinsically mitigates redshift-space systematic effects, preserving real-space void size functions more faithfully than topological methods. Modeling RSD, the reconstruction can be combined with a fiducial cosmology and an assumed tracer bias within a bias-corrected Kaiser framework, yielding reconstructed-space void catalogs consistent with real-space statistics across redshift. Its performance is characterized as a function of the main internal parameters, showing an optimal balance between accuracy, computational efficiency, and applicability to stage IV galaxy surveys. BitVF will be publicly released within the CosmoBolognaLib.

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arXiv2026

Probing Cosmic Expansion and Early Universe with Einstein Telescope

Over the next two decades, gravitational-wave (GW) observations are expected to evolve from a discovery-driven endeavour into a precision tool for astrophysics, cosmology, and fundamental physics. Current second-generation ground-based detectors have established the existence of compact-binary mergers and enabled GW multi-messenger astronomy, but they remain limited in sensitivity, redshift reach, frequency coverage, and duty cycle. These limitations prevent them from addressing many fundamental open questions in cosmology. By the 2040s, wide-field electromagnetic surveys will have mapped the luminous Universe with unprecedented depth and accuracy. Nevertheless, key problems including the nature of dark matter, the physical origin of cosmic acceleration, the properties of gravity on cosmological scales, and the physical conditions of the earliest moments after the Big Bang will remain only partially constrained by electromagnetic observations alone. Progress on these fronts requires access to physical processes and epochs that do not emit light. Gravitational waves provide a unique and complementary observational channel: they propagate over cosmological distances largely unaffected by intervening matter, probe extreme astrophysical environments, and respond directly to the geometry of spacetime. In this context, next-generation GW observatories such as the Einstein Telescope (ET) will be transformative for European astronomy. Operating at sensitivities and frequencies beyond existing detectors, ET will observe binary black holes and neutron stars out to previously inaccessible redshifts, enable continuous high signal-to-noise monitoring of compact sources, and detect gravitational-wave backgrounds of astrophysical and cosmological origin. Together with space-based detectors, ET will play a central role in advancing our understanding of cosmic evolution and fundamental physics.

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arXiv2026

Probing General Relativity on Cosmological Scales in the 2040s

General relativity is exquisitely tested in strong-field regimes, yet its validity on cosmological scales remains largely unexplored. Upcoming wide and deep large-scale structure surveys will access the ultra-large, linear scales where relativistic effects - Doppler terms, gravitational redshift, lensing magnification, and potential evolution - leave significant imprints in the clustering of galaxies. These signatures represent unique probes of spacetime that are inaccessible to standard Newtonian analyses but increasingly important as survey volumes grow. We outline the scientific potential of next-generation facilities, such as those envisioned within ESO's Expanding Horizons programme, to deliver the first robust measurements of relativistic effects in large-scale structure through multi-tracer power spectra and the single-tracer bispectrum of high-redshift Lyman-break galaxies. Detecting these contributions would open a new window on gravity, enabling precision tests of general relativity and its alternatives on cosmological scales in the 2040s.

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arXiv2026

Kinematic lensing with high-resolution spectroscopic surveys. A unique opportunity for transformative cosmology at high redshifts in the 2040s

We present a science case to perform high-redshift cosmic shear surveys for cosmology with next-generation spectroscopic instruments, such as the proposed MegaMapper and Wide-field Spectroscopic Telescope. We argue that by using the novel technique called 'kinematic lensing' (KL) it will be possible to obtain shear catalogues at redshifts between 2 and 5. We show that the signal-to-noise ratio of KL at such high redshifts is on average twice as much that expected from current weak lensing (WL) surveys such as Euclid or LSST, and several times that of the previous generation of WL surveys like DES and KiDS, even with very conservative assumptions about the fraction of spectroscopically-detected sources for which KL shear estimates will be available. This will allow cosmologists to perform joint galaxy clustering-cosmic shear analyses over unprecedented cosmic volumes and to probe the growth of structures deep in the matter-dominated era and across the onset of dark-energy domination, offering a unique opportunity to unveil the mystery of cosmic acceleration.

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arXiv2025

The AIDA-TNG project. Abundance, radial distribution, and clustering properties of halos in alternative dark matter models

Warm and self-interactive dark matter cosmologies have been proposed as nonbaryonic solutions to the tensions between the $\Lambda$ cold dark matter model and observations at the kiloparsec scale. In this paper, we used the dark matter-only runs of the \textsc{aida-tng} project, a set of cosmological simulations of different sizes and resolutions, to analyze the macroscopic impact of alternative dark matter models on the abundance, radial distribution, and clustering properties of halos. We adopted the halo occupation distribution formalism to characterize the evolution of its parameters $M_1$ and $\alpha$ with the mass and redshift selection of our sample. By dividing the halo population into centrals and satellites, we were able to study their spatial density profile. We found that a Navarro-Frenk-White model is not accurate enough to describe the radial distribution of subhalos and that a generalized Navarro-Frenk-White model is required instead. Warm dark matter models, in particular, present a cuspier distribution of satellites, whereas self-interacting dark matter exhibits a shallower density profile. Moreover, we found that the small-scale clustering of dark matter halos provides a powerful tool for distinguishing among alternative dark matter scenarios, in preparation for a more detailed study that fully incorporates baryonic effects and for a comparison with observational data from galaxy clustering.

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arXiv2025

Beyond general relativity: probing gravity with gravitational redshifts

Despite the success of general relativity (GR), the unexplained nature of dark energy on cosmological scales leaves open the question of whether GR provides a complete description of gravity. This quest is further motivated by growing tensions among cosmological observations when interpreted within $\Lambda$CDM. Gravitational redshifts of cluster member galaxies probe cluster potentials on megaparsec scales directly, complementing conventional large-scale structure tests. Here, we investigate how redshift precision and survey design propagate into constraints on modified gravity using an end-to-end pipeline run on mock catalogues, focusing on mis-centring and spectroscopic completeness. We find that competitive measurements require wide-field spectroscopic cluster surveys explicitly designed to maximise the number of spectroscopically confirmed members per cluster, to enable high-purity stacking, and to control systematic effects.

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arXiv2025

The Three Hundred Project hydrodynamical simulations: Hydrodynamical weak-lensing cluster mass biases and richnesses using different hydro models

The mass of galaxy clusters estimated from weak-lensing observations is affected by projection effects, leading to a systematic underestimation compared to the true cluster mass, varying with both mass and redshift. The magnitude depends on the criteria used to select clusters and the spatial scale over which their mass is measured. We leverage hydrodynamical simulations of galaxy clusters carried out with GadgetX and GIZMO-SIMBA as part of the Three Hundred project. We used them to quantify weak-lensing mass biases with respect also to the results from dark matter-only simulations. We also investigate how the biases propagate into the richness-mass relation. We aim to shed light on the effect of the presence of baryons on the weak-lensing mass bias and also whether this bias depends on the galaxy formation recipe; we seek to model the richness-mass relation that can be used as guidelines for observational experiments for cluster cosmology. We produced weak-lensing simulations of random projections to model the expected excess surface mass density profile of clusters up to redshift $z=1$. We then estimated the observed richness by counting the number of galaxies in a cylinder and correcting by projected contaminants. We derived the weak-lensing mass-richness relation and found consistency across hydrodynamical simulations. The intercept parameter of the relation is independent of redshift but varies with the minimum of the stellar mass to define the richness. At the same time, the slope is relatively constant up to $z=0.55$. The scatter in observed richness at a fixed weak-lensing mass increases linearly with redshift at a fixed stellar mass cut. As expected, we observed that the scatter in richness at a given true mass is smaller than at a given weak-lensing mass. Our results for the weak-lensing mass-richness relation align well with SDSS redMaPPer cluster analyses. [Abridged]

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arXiv2024

A revisited Correction to the Halo Mass Function for local-type Primordial non-Gaussianity

We investigate the effect of primordial non-Gaussianities on halo number counts using N-body simulations with different values of $f_{\rm NL}^{\rm loc}$. We show how current theoretical models fail to adequately describe the non-Gaussian mass function of halos identified with different overdensity thresholds, $\Delta_{\rm b}$. We explain how these discrepancies are related to a variation in the density profile of dark matter halos, finding that the internal steepness (i.e. the compactness) of halos depends on the value of $f_{\rm NL}^{\rm loc}$. We then parametrize these deviations in halo number counts with a factor $\kappa(\Delta_{\rm b})$ that modifies the linear density threshold for collapse according to the halo identification threshold used, defined with respect to the Universe background density. We rely on a second-degree polynomial to describe $\kappa$ and employ a Bayesian analysis to determine the coefficients of this polynomial. In addition, we verify the independence of the latter on the sign and absolute value of $f_{\rm NL}^{\rm loc}$. Finally, we show how this re-parametrization prevents the extraction of biased constraints on $f_{\rm NL}^{\rm loc}$, correcting for large systematic errors especially in the case of halos identified with high density thresholds. This improvement is crucial in the perspective of deriving cosmological constraints with the non-Gaussian mass function from real data, as different mass definitions can be employed depending on the properties of the survey.

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arXiv2024

On the tomographic cluster clustering as a cosmological probe

The spatial distribution of galaxy clusters is a valuable probe for inferring fundamental cosmological parameters. We measured the clustering properties of dark matter haloes from the \textsc{Pinocchio} simulations, in the redshift range $0.2 < z < 1.0$ and with virial masses $M_\mathrm{vir} > 10^{14} M_\odot \, h^{-1}$, which reproduce the expected mass selection of galaxy cluster samples. The past-light cones we analysed have an angular size of 60 degrees, which approximately corresponds to a quarter of the sky. We adopted a linear power spectrum model, accounting for nonlinear corrections at the baryon acoustic oscillations scale, to perform a comparative study between 3D and 2D tomographic clustering. For this purpose, we modelled the multipoles of the 3D two-point correlation function, $\xi(r)$, the angular correlation function, $w(\theta)$, and the angular power spectrum, $C_\ell$. We considered observational effects such as redshift-space distortions, produced by the peculiar velocities of tracers, and redshift errors. We found that photometric redshift errors have a more severe consequence on the 3D than on the 2D clustering, as they affect only the radial separation between haloes and not the angular one, with a relevant impact on the 3D multipoles. Using a Bayesian analysis, we explored the posterior distributions of the considered probes with different tomographic strategies, in the $\Omega_m-\sigma_8$ plane, focusing on the summary parameter $S_8\equiv \sigma_8\sqrt{\Omega_m/0.3}$. Our results show that in the presence of large photometric errors the 2D clustering can provide competitive cosmological constraints with respect to the full 3D clustering statistics, and can be successfully applied to analyse the galaxy cluster catalogues from the ongoing and forthcoming Stage-III and Stage-IV photometric redshift surveys.

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arXiv2024

AMICO galaxy clusters in KiDS-DR3: measuring the splashback radius from weak gravitational lensing

Context. Weak gravitational lensing offers a powerful method to investigate the projected matter density distribution within galaxy clusters, granting crucial insights into the broader landscape of dark matter on cluster scales. Aims. In this study, we make use of the large photometric galaxy cluster data set derived from the publicly available Third Data Release of the Kilo-Degree Survey, along with the associated shear signal. Our primary objective is to model the peculiar sharp transition in the cluster profile slope, that is what is commonly referred to as the splashback radius. The data set under scrutiny includes 6962 galaxy clusters, selected by AMICO - an optimised detection algorithm of galaxy clusters - on the KiDS-DR3 data, in the redshift range of 0.1 < z < 0.6, all observed at a signal-to-noise ratio greater than 3.5. Methods. Employing a comprehensive Bayesian analysis, we model the stacked excess surface mass density distribution of the clusters. We adopt a model from recent results on numerical simulations that capture the dynamics of both orbiting and infalling materials, separated by the region where the density profile slope undergoes a pronounced deepening. Results. We find that the adopted profile successfully characterizes the cluster masses, consistent with previous works, and models the deepening of the slope of the density profiles measured with weak-lensing data up to the outskirts. Moreover, we measure the splashback radius of galaxy clusters and show that its value is close to the radius within which the enclosed overdensity is 200 times the mean matter density of the Universe, while theoretical models predict a larger value consistent with a low accretion rate. This points to a potential bias of optically selected clusters preferentially characterized by a high density at small scales compared to a pure mass-selected cluster sample.

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arXiv2024

The perspective of voids on rising cosmology tensions

We investigate the main tensions within the current standard model of cosmology from the perspective of the main statistics of cosmic voids, using the final BOSS DR12 data set. For this purpose, we present the first estimate of the $S_8\equiv σ_8\sqrt{Ω_{\rm m}/0.3}$ and $H_0$ parameters obtained from void number counts and shape distortions. To analyze void counts we relied on an extension of the popular volume-conserving model for the void size function, tailored to the application on data, including geometric and dynamic distortions. We calibrated the two nuisance parameters of this model with the official BOSS collaboration mock catalogs and propagated their uncertainty through the statistical analysis of the BOSS void number counts. The constraints from void shapes come from the study of the geometric distortions of the stacked void-galaxy cross-correlation function. In this work we focus our analysis on the $Ω_{\rm m}$-$σ_8$ and $Ω_{\rm m}$-$H_0$ parameter planes and derive the marginalized constraints $S_8 = 0.813^{+0.093}_{-0.068}$ and $H_0 = 67.3^{+10.0}_{-9.1} \ \mathrm{km} \ \mathrm{s}^{-1} \ \mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$, which are fully compatible with constraints from the literature. These results are expected to notably improve in precision when analyzed jointly with independent probes and will open a new viewing angle on the rising cosmological tensions in the near future.

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arXiv2023

AMICO galaxy clusters in KiDS-DR3: constraints on $Λ$CDM from extreme value statistics

We constrain the $Λ$CDM cosmological parameter $σ_{8}$ by applying the extreme value statistics for galaxy cluster mass on the AMICO KiDS-DR3 catalog. We sample the posterior distribution of the parameters by considering the likelihood of observing the largest cluster mass value in a sample of $N_{\textrm{obs}} = 3644$ clusters with intrinsic richness $λ^{*} > 20$ in the redshift range $z\in[0.10, 0.60]$. We obtain $σ_{8}=0.90_{-0.18}^{+0.20}$, consistent within $1σ$ with the measurements obtained by the Planck collaboration and with previous results from cluster cosmology exploiting AMICO KiDS-DR3. The constraints could improve by applying this method to forthcoming missions, such as $\textit{Euclid}$ and LSST, which are expected to deliver thousands of distant and massive clusters.

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arXiv2023

Cosmological constraints from the BOSS DR12 void size function

We present the first cosmological constraints derived from the analysis of the void size function. This work relies on the final BOSS DR12 data set, a large spectroscopic galaxy catalog, ideal for the identification of cosmic voids. We extract a sample of voids from the distribution of galaxies and we apply a cleaning procedure aimed at reaching high levels of purity and completeness. We model the void size function by means of an extension of the popular volume-conserving model, based on two additional nuisance parameters. Relying on mock catalogs specifically designed to reproduce the BOSS DR12 galaxy sample, we calibrate the extended size function model parameters and validate the methodology. We then apply a Bayesian analysis to constrain the $Λ$CDM model and one of its simplest extensions, featuring a constant dark energy equation of state parameter, $w$. Following a conservative approach, we put constraints on the total matter density parameter and the amplitude of density fluctuations, finding $Ω_{\rm m}=0.29 \pm 0.06$ and $σ_8=0.79^{+0.09}_{-0.08}$. Testing the alternative scenario, we derive $w=-1.1\pm 0.2$, in agreement with the $Λ$CDM model. These results are independent and complementary to those derived from standard cosmological probes, opening up new ways to identify the origin of potential tensions in the current cosmological paradigm.

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arXiv2023

Exploring the cosmological synergy between galaxy cluster and cosmic void number counts

Galaxy clusters and cosmic voids, the most extreme objects of our Universe in terms of mass and size, trace two opposite sides of the large-scale matter density field. By studying their abundance as a function of their mass and radius, respectively, i.e. the halo mass function (HMF) and void size function (VSF), it is possible to achieve fundamental constraints on the cosmological model. While the HMF has already been extensively exploited providing robust constraints on the main cosmological model parameters (e.g. $Ω_{\rm m}$, $σ_8$ and $S_8$), the VSF is still emerging as a viable and effective cosmological probe. Given the expected complementarity of these statistics, in this work we aim at estimating the costraining power deriving from their combination. To this end, we exploit realistic mock samples of galaxy clusters and voids extracted from state-of-the-art large hydrodynamical simulations, in the redshift range $0.2 \leq z \leq 1$. We perform an accurate calibration of the free parameters of the HMF and VSF models, needed to take into account the differences between the types of mass tracers used in this work and those considered in previous literature analyses. Then, we obtain constraints on $Ω_{\rm m}$ and $σ_8$ by performing a Bayesian analysis. We find that cluster and void counts represent powerful independent and complementary probes to test the cosmological framework. In particular, the constraining power of the HMF on $Ω_{\rm m}$ and $σ_8$ improves drastically with the VSF contribution, increasing the $S_8$ constraint precision by a factor of about 60%.

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arXiv2023

New constraints on primordial features from the galaxy two-point correlation function

Features in the primordial power spectrum represent the imprinted signal in the density perturbations of the physics and evolution of the early Universe. A measurement of such signals will represents the need to go beyond the minimal assumption made for the initial conditions of the cosmological perturbations. For the first time, we study different templates with undamped oscillations or a bump from the two-point correlation function measured from BOSS DR12 galaxies constraining the amplitude of the features to be at most a few percent. Constraints are competitive to the ones obtained with {\em Planck} DR3.

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arXiv2023

Artificial Neural Networks for Galaxy Clustering. Learning from the two-point correlation function of BOSS galaxies

The increasingly large amount of cosmological data coming from ground-based and space-borne telescopes requires highly efficient and fast enough data analysis techniques to maximise the scientific exploitation. In this work, we explore the capabilities of supervised machine learning algorithms to learn the properties of the large-scale structure of the Universe, aiming at constraining the matter density parameter, Omega m. We implement a new Artificial Neural Network for a regression data analysis, and train it on a large set of galaxy two-point correlation functions in standard cosmologies with different values of Omega m. The training set is constructed from log-normal mock catalogues which reproduce the clustering of the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) galaxies. The presented statistical method requires no specific analytical model to construct the likelihood function, and runs with negligible computational cost, after training. We test this new Artificial Neural Network on real BOSS data, finding Omega m=0.309p/m0.008, which is remarkably consistent with standard analysis results.

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arXiv2023

Exploring the mass and redshift dependence of the cluster pressure profile with stacks on thermal SZ maps

We provide novel constraints on the parameters defining the universal pressure profile (UPP) within clusters of galaxies, and explore their dependence on the cluster mass and redshift, from measurements of Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Compton-$y$ profiles. We employ both the $\textit{Planck}$ 2015 MILCA and the ACT-DR4 $y$ maps over the common $\sim 2,100\,\text{deg}^2$ footprint. We combine existing cluster catalogs based on KiDS, SDSS and DESI observations, for a total of 23,820 clusters spanning the mass range $10^{14.0}\,\text{M}_{\odot}<M_{500}<10^{15.1}\,\text{M}_{\odot}$ and the redshift range $0.02<z<0.98$. We split the clusters into three independent bins in mass and redshift; for each combination we detect the stacked SZ cluster signal and extract the mean $y$ angular profile. The latter is predicted theoretically adopting a halo model framework, and MCMCs are employed to estimate the UPP parameters, the hydrostatic mass bias $b_{\rm h}$ and possible cluster miscentering effects. We constrain $[P_0,c_{500},α,β]$ to $[5.9,2.0,1.8,4.9]$ with $\textit{Planck}$ and to $[3.8,1.3,1.0,4.4]$ with ACT using the full cluster sample, in agreement with previous findings. We do not find any compelling evidence for a residual mass or redshift dependence, thus expanding the validity of the cluster pressure profile over much larger $M_{500}$ and $z$ ranges; this is the first time the model has been tested on such a large (complete and representative) cluster sample. Finally, we obtain loose constraints on the hydrostatic mass bias in the range 0.2-0.3, again in broad agreement with previous works.

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