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Federico Mogavero

Publications and source records attributed to Federico Mogavero.

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Expansion of the planetary Hamiltonian for small eccentricities and inclinations: a vector formalism

We revisit the classical expansion of the planetary Hamiltonian for small eccentricities and mutual inclinations of the orbits, presenting a derivation based entirely on vector formalism. We demonstrate that the secular part of the disturbing function, as well as any other Fourier harmonic, can be expressed in terms of scalar products of vectors lying in the system's invariant plane. Furthermore, we show how to express any such term using the angular momentum and eccentricity vectors of the orbits.

math-ph

Laplace-Legendre expansion of the planar planetary Hamiltonian

We explore a hybrid expansion of the disturbing function in planetary dynamics that combines elements of the classical Laplace and Legendre developments. This formulation retains the structure of the Laplace expansion, but expresses the inverse of the mutual distance as a series whose terms keep an exact dependence on both the eccentricity and the semi-major axis ratio. We use it to construct the first-order secular Hamiltonian of the planar 3-body problem, relevant for modeling the long-term evolution of planetary systems. We assess the convergence of the new expansion numerically and compare it with that of the Laplace and Legendre series across a range of orbital configurations. The results show that the new expansion provides consistent performance across diverse dynamical regimes, bridging the domains of applicability of the two classical approaches.

astro-ph.EP

Numerical approach to second-order canonical perturbation theory in the planetary 3-body problem: Application to exoplanets

Extrasolar planetary systems commonly exhibit planets on eccentric orbits, with many systems located near or within mean-motion resonances, showcasing a wide diversity of orbital architectures. Such complex systems challenge traditional secular theories, which are limited to first-order approximations in planetary masses or rely on expansions in orbital elements--eccentricities, inclinations, and semi-major axis ratios--that are subject to convergence issues, especially in highly eccentric, inclined, or tightly-packed systems. To overcome these limitations, we develop a numerical approach to second-order perturbation theory based on the Lie transform formalism. Our method avoids the need for expansions in orbital elements, ensuring broader applicability and more robust convergence. We first outline the Hamiltonian framework for the 3-body planetary problem, and apply a canonical transformation to eliminate fast angle dependencies, deriving the secular Hamiltonian up to second order in the mass ratio. We then use the fast Fourier transform algorithm to numerically simulate, in an accurate way, the long-term evolution of planetary systems near or away from mean-motion resonances. Finally, we validate our methods against well-known planetary configurations, such as the Sun-Jupiter-Saturn system, as well as to exoplanetary systems like WASP-148, TIC 279401253 and GJ 876, demonstrating the applicability of our models across a wide range of planetary configurations.

astro-ph.EP

Timescales of Chaos in the Inner Solar System: Lyapunov Spectrum and Quasi-integrals of Motion

Numerical integrations of the Solar System reveal a remarkable stability of the orbits of the inner planets over billions of years, in spite of their chaotic variations characterized by a Lyapunov time of only 5 million years and the lack of integrals of motion able to constrain their dynamics. To open a window on such long-term behavior, we compute the entire Lyapunov spectrum of a forced secular model of the inner planets. We uncover a hierarchy of characteristic exponents that spans two orders of magnitude, manifesting a slow-fast dynamics with a broad separation of timescales. A systematic analysis of the Fourier harmonics of the Hamiltonian, based on computer algebra, reveals three symmetries that characterize the strongest resonances responsible for the orbital chaos. These symmetries are broken only by weak resonances, leading to the existence of quasi-integrals of motion that are shown to relate to the smallest Lyapunov exponents. A principal component analysis of the orbital solutions independently confirms that the quasi-integrals are among the slowest degrees of freedom of the dynamics. Strong evidence emerges that they effectively constrain the chaotic diffusion of the orbits, playing a crucial role in the statistical stability over the Solar System lifetime.

astro-ph.EP

Chaotic diffusion of the fundamental frequencies in the Solar System

The long-term variations in the orbit of the Earth govern the insolation on its surface and hence its climate. The use of the astronomical signal, whose imprint has been recovered in the geological records, has revolutionized the determination of the geological timescales. However, the orbital variations beyond 60 Myr cannot be reliably predicted because of the chaotic dynamics of the planetary orbits in the Solar System. Taking this dynamical uncertainty into account is necessary for a complete astronomical calibration of geological records. Our work addresses this problem with a statistical analysis of 120 000 orbital solutions of the secular model of the Solar System ranging from 500 Myr to 5 Gyr. We obtain the marginal probability density functions of the fundamental secular frequencies using kernel density estimation. The uncertainty of the density estimation is also obtained here in the form of confidence intervals determined by the moving block bootstrap method. The results of the secular model are shown to be in good agreement with those of the direct integrations of a comprehensive model of the Solar System. Application of our work is illustrated on two geological data sets: the Newark-Hartford records and the Libsack core.

astro-ph.EP

Long-term instability of the inner Solar System: numerical experiments

Apart from being chaotic, the inner planets in the Solar System constitute an open system, as they are forced by the regular long-term motion of the outer ones. No integrals of motion can bound a priori the stochastic wanderings in their high-dimensional phase space. Still, the probability of a dynamical instability is remarkably low over the next 5 billion years, a timescale thousand times longer than the Lyapunov time. The dynamical half-life of Mercury has indeed been estimated recently at 40 billion years. By means of the computer algebra system TRIP, we consider a set of dynamical models resulting from truncation of the forced secular dynamics recently proposed for the inner planets at different degrees in eccentricities and inclinations. Through ensembles of $10^3$ to $10^5$ numerical integrations spanning 5 to 100 Gyr, we find that the Hamiltonian truncated at degree 4 practically does not allow any instability over 5 Gyr. The destabilisation is mainly due to terms of degree 6. This surprising result suggests an analogy to the Fermi-Pasta-Ulam-Tsingou problem, in which tangency to Toda Hamiltonian explains the very long timescale of thermalisation, which Fermi unsuccessfully looked for.

astro-ph.EP

The origin of chaos in the Solar System through computer algebra

The discovery of the chaotic motion of the planets in the Solar System dates back more than 30 years. Still, no analytical theory has satisfactorily addressed the origin of chaos so far. Implementing canonical perturbation theory in the computer algebra system TRIP, we systematically retrieve the secular resonances at work along the orbital solution of a forced long-term dynamics of the inner planets. We compare the time statistic of their half-widths to the ensemble distribution of the maximum Lyapunov exponent and establish dynamical sources of chaos in an unbiased way. New resonances are predicted by the theory and checked against direct integrations of the Solar System. The image of an entangled dynamics of the inner planets emerges.

astro-ph.EP

Long-term dynamics of the solar system inner planets

Although the discovery of the chaotic motion of the inner planets in the solar system dates back to more than thirty years ago, the secular chaos of their orbits still dares more analytical analyses. Apart from the high-dimensional structure of the motion, this is probably related to the lack of an adequately simple dynamical model. Here, we consider a new secular dynamics for the inner planets, with the aim of retaining a fundamental set of interactions responsible for their chaotic behaviour, while being consistent with the predictions of the most precise orbital solutions currently available. We exploit the regularity in the secular motion of the outer planets, to predetermine a quasi-periodic solution for their orbits. This reduces the secular phase space to the degrees of freedom dominated by the inner planets. On top of that, the smallness of the inner planet masses and the absence of strong mean-motion resonances permits to restrict ourselves to first-order secular averaging. The resulting dynamics can be integrated numerically in a very efficient way through Gauss's method, while computer algebra allows for analytical inspection of planet interactions, once the Hamiltonian is truncated at a given total degree in eccentricities and inclinations. The new model matches very satisfactorily reference orbital solutions of the solar system over timescales shorter than or comparable to the Lyapunov time. It correctly reproduces the maximum Lyapunov exponent of the inner system and the statistics of the high eccentricities of Mercury over the next five billion years. The destabilizing role of the $g_1-g_5$ secular resonance also arises. A numerical experiment, consisting of a thousand orbital solutions over one hundred billion years, reveals the essential properties of the stochastic process driving the destabilization of the inner solar system and clarifies its current metastable state.

astro-ph.EP

Addressing the statistical mechanics of planet orbits in the solar system

The chaotic nature of planet dynamics in the solar system suggests the relevance of a statistical approach to planetary orbits. In such a statistical description, the time-dependent position and velocity of the planets are replaced by the probability density function (PDF) of their orbital elements. It is quite natural to set up this kind of approach in the framework of statistical mechanics. In the present paper I focus on the collisionless excitation of eccentricities and inclinations by gravitational interactions in a planetary system, the prototype of such a dynamics being the future planet trajectories in the solar system. I thus address the statistical mechanics of the planetary orbits in the solar system and try to reproduce the PDFs numerically constructed by Laskar (2008). I show that the microcanonical ensemble of the Laplace-Lagrange theory accurately reproduce the statistics of the giant planet orbits. To model the inner planets I then investigate the ansatz of equiprobability in the phase space constrained by the secular integrals of motion. The eccentricity and inclination PDFs of Earth and Venus are reproduced with no free parameters. Within the limitations of a stationary model, the predictions also show a reasonable agreement with Mars PDFs and that of Mercury inclination. The eccentricity of Mercury demands in contrast a deeper analysis. I finally revisit Laskar's random walk approach to the time dependence of the inner planet PDFs. Such a statistical theory could be combined with direct numerical simulations of planet trajectories in the context of planet formation, which is likely to be a chaotic process.

astro-ph.EP

Models of magnetic-field evolution and effective viscosity in weakly collisional extragalactic plasmas

In weakly collisional extragalactic plasmas such as the intracluster medium, viscous stress and the rate of change of the magnetic-field strength are proportional to the local pressure anisotropy, so subject to constraints imposed by the pressure-anisotropy-driven mirror and firehose instabilities and controlled by the local instantaneous plasma beta. The dynamics of such plasmas is dramatically different from a conventional MHD fluid. The plasma is expected to stay locally in a marginal state with respect to the instabilities, but how it does this is an open question. Two models of magnetic-field evolution are investigated. In the first, marginality is achieved via suppression of the rate of change of the field. In the second, the instabilities give rise to anomalous collisionality, reducing pressure anisotropy to marginal - at the same time decreasing viscosity and so increasing the turbulent rate of strain. Implications of these models are studied in a simplified 0D setting. In the first model, the field grows explosively but on a time scale that scales with initial beta, while in the second, dynamical field strength can be reached in one large-scale turbulence turn-over time regardless of the initial seed. Both models produce very intermittent fields. Both also suffer from strong constraints on their applicability: for typical cluster-core conditions, scale separation between the fluid motions and the microscale fluctuations breaks down at beta~10^5-10^4. At larger beta (weaker fields), a fully collisionless plasma dynamo theory is needed in order to justify the growth of the field from a tiny primordial seed. However, the models discussed here are appropriate for studying the structure of the currently observed field as well as large-scale dynamics and thermodynamics of the magnetized ICM or similarly dilute astrophysical plasmas.

astro-ph.CO