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Feilong Fan

Publications and source records attributed to Feilong Fan.

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Decision-Focused Continual Learning for Seaport Power-Logistics Scheduling: Generalization across Varying Tasks

Power-logistics scheduling in modern seaports typically follows a predict-then-optimize pipeline. To enhance the decision quality of predictions, decision-focused learning has been proposed, which aligns the training of forecasting models with downstream decision outcomes. However, this end-to-end design inherently restricts the value of forecasting models to a specific task structure and therefore generalizes poorly to evolving tasks induced by varying vessel arrivals. We address this gap with a decision-focused continual learning framework that adapts online to a stream of scheduling tasks. Specifically, we introduce Fisher-information-based regularization to enhance cross-task generalization by preserving parameters critical to prior tasks. A differentiable convex surrogate is also developed to stabilize gradient backpropagation. The proposed approach enables learning a decision-aligned forecasting model across a varying task stream with sustainable long-term computational and memory requirements. Experiments calibrated to Jurong Port show improved decision performance and cross-task generalization over existing methods, together with reduced computational cost and a bounded memory footprint.

cs.LG

A Hybrid Strategy for Probabilistic Forecasting and Trading of Aggregated Wind-Solar Power: Design and Analysis in HEFTCom2024

Obtaining accurate probabilistic energy forecasts and making effective decisions amid diverse uncertainties are routine challenges in future energy systems. This paper presents the winning solution of team GEB, which ranked 3rd in trading, 4th in forecasting, and 1st among student teams in the IEEE Hybrid Energy Forecasting and Trading Competition 2024 (HEFTCom2024). The solution provides accurate probabilistic forecasts for a wind-solar hybrid system, and achieves substantial trading revenue in the day-ahead electricity market. Key components include: (1) a stacking-based approach combining sister forecasts from various Numerical Weather Predictions (NWPs) to provide wind power forecasts, (2) an online solar post-processing model to address the distribution shift in the online test set caused by increased solar capacity, (3) a probabilistic aggregation method for accurate quantile forecasts of hybrid generation, and (4) a stochastic trading strategy to maximize expected trading revenue considering uncertainties in electricity prices. This paper also explores the potential of end-to-end learning to further enhance the trading revenue by shifting the distribution of forecast errors. Detailed case studies are provided to validate the effectiveness of these proposed methods. Code for all mentioned methods is available for reproduction and further research in both industry and academia.

eess.SY

LLM-based Frameworks for Power Engineering from Routine to Novel Tasks

The digitalization of energy sectors has expanded the coding responsibilities for power engineers and researchers. This research article explores the potential of leveraging Large Language Models (LLMs) to alleviate this burden. Here, we propose LLM-based frameworks for different programming tasks in power systems. For well-defined and routine tasks like the classic unit commitment (UC) problem, we deploy an end-to-end framework to systematically assesses four leading LLMs-ChatGPT 3.5, ChatGPT 4.0, Claude and Google Bard in terms of success rate, consistency, and robustness. For complex tasks with limited prior knowledge, we propose a human-in-the-loop framework to enable engineers and LLMs to collaboratively solve the problem through interactive-learning of method recommendation, problem de-composition, subtask programming and synthesis. Through a comparative study between two frameworks, we find that human-in-the-loop features like web access, problem decomposition with field knowledge and human-assisted code synthesis are essential as LLMs currently still fall short in acquiring cutting-edge and domain-specific knowledge to complete a holistic problem-solving project.

cs.HC

Stability Constrained OPF in Microgrids: A Chance Constrained Optimization Framework with Non-Gaussian Uncertainty

To figure out the stability issues brought by renewable energy sources (RES) with non-Gaussian uncertainties in isolated microgrids, this paper proposes a chance constrained stability constrained optimal power flow (CC-SC-OPF) model. Firstly, we propose a bi-level optimization problem, of which the upper level aims to minimize the expected generation cost without violating the stability chance constraint; the lower level concerns about the stability index given by a semi-definite program (SDP). Secondly, we apply the Gaussian mixture model (GMM) to handle the non-Gaussian RES uncertainties and introduce analytical sensitivity analysis to reformulate chance constraints with respect to stability index and operational variables into linear deter-ministic versions. By incorporating linearized constraints, the bi-level model can be efficiently solved by Benders decomposition-based approach. Thirdly, we design a supplementary corrective countermeasure to compensate the possible control error caused by the linear approximation. Simulation results on the 33-bus microgrid reveal that compared to benchmarking approaches, the proposed model converges 30 times faster with more accurate solutions.

eess.SY