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Florian Bourgey

Publications and source records attributed to Florian Bourgey.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Implied Volatility Expansions for VIX Options in Forward Variance Models

We develop closed-form expansions for the implied volatility of VIX options within the class of forward variance models. Our approach builds on weak-approximation techniques for VIX option prices and yields explicit implied volatility expansions with computable correction terms. The resulting formulas enable fast and accurate calibration without requiring numerical root-finding using option prices. We illustrate the performance of the proposed expansions in both standard and rough Bergomi-type models, as well as in mixed specifications, and demonstrate their accuracy through numerical experiments.

q-fin.CP

Multilevel Monte Carlo simulation for VIX options in the rough Bergomi model

We consider the pricing of VIX options in the rough Bergomi model. In this setting, the VIX random variable is defined by the one-dimensional integral of the exponential of a Gaussian process with correlated increments, hence approximate samples of the VIX can be constructed via discretization of the integral and simulation of a correlated Gaussian vector. A Monte-Carlo estimator of VIX options based on a rectangle discretization scheme and exact Gaussian sampling via the Cholesky method has a computational complexity of order $\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-4})$ when the mean-squared error is set to $\varepsilon^2$. We demonstrate that this cost can be reduced to $\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-2} \log^2(\varepsilon))$ combining the scheme above with the multilevel method, and further reduced to the asymptotically optimal cost $\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-2})$ when using a trapezoidal discretization. We provide numerical experiments highlighting the efficiency of the multilevel approach in the pricing of VIX options in such a rough forward variance setting.

q-fin.CP

Local volatility under rough volatility

Several asymptotic results for the implied volatility generated by a rough volatility model have been obtained in recent years (notably in the small-maturity regime), providing a better understanding of the shapes of the volatility surface induced by rough volatility models, and supporting their calibration power to S&P500 option data. Rough volatility models also generate a local volatility surface, via the so-called Markovian projection of the stochastic volatility. We complement the existing results on the implied volatility by studying the asymptotic behavior of the local volatility surface generated by a class of rough stochastic volatility models, encompassing the rough Bergomi model. Notably, we observe that the celebrated "1/2 skew rule" linking the short-term at-the-money skew of the implied volatility to the short-term at-the-money skew of the local volatility, a consequence of the celebrated "harmonic mean formula" of [Berestycki, Busca, and Florent, QF 2002], is replaced by a new rule: the ratio of the at-the-money implied and local volatility skews tends to the constant 1/(H + 3/2) (as opposed to the constant 1/2), where H is the regularity index of the underlying instantaneous volatility process.

q-fin.MF

Weak approximations and VIX option price expansions in forward variance curve models

We provide explicit approximation formulas for VIX futures and options in forward variance models, with particular emphasis on the family of so-called Bergomi models: the one-factor Bergomi model [Bergomi, Smile dynamics II, Risk, 2005], the rough Bergomi model [Bayer, Friz, and Gatheral, Pricing under rough volatility, Quantitative Finance, 16(6):887-904, 2016], and an enhanced version of the rough model that can generate realistic positive skew for VIX smiles -- introduced simultaneously by De Marco [Bachelier World Congress, 2018] and Guyon [Bachelier World Congress, 2018] on the lines of [Bergomi, Smile dynamics III, Risk, 2008], that we refer to as 'mixed rough Bergomi model'. Following the methodology set up in [Gobet and Miri, Weak approximation of averaged diffusion processes. Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 124(1):475-504, 2014], we derive weak approximations for the law of the VIX, leading to option price approximations under the form of explicit combinations of Black-Scholes prices and greeks. As new contributions, we cope with the fractional integration kernel appearing in rough models and treat the case of non-smooth payoffs, so to encompass VIX futures, call and put options. We stress that our approach does not rely on small-time asymptotics nor small-parameter (such as small volatility-of-volatility) asymptotics, and can therefore be applied to any option maturity and a wide range of parameter configurations. Our results are illustrated by several numerical experiments and calibration tests to VIX market data.

q-fin.MF