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Francis Meloche

Publications and source records attributed to Francis Meloche.

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Propagation of weak layer failure in snow slab avalanche release: analytical solutions for a compliant interface with finite softening

Snow slab avalanches are among the most dangerous hazards in mountain regions. Recent numerical, field, and laboratory studies have renewed interest in shear-failure interpretations of avalanche release, particularly in relation to dynamic crack propagation and supershear fracture. Yet most analytical models either idealize the weak layer as perfectly brittle or neglect its pre-peak elasticity, although post-peak dissipation and compliance both control stress redistribution and critical length. Here, we derive an analytical solution for shear-failure propagation beneath an elastic snow slab with finite linear softening. Building on the weak-spot model of Gaume et al. (2013), failure is described by a fully softened residual core, a fracture process zone, and an intact elastic region. The solution recovers the classical brittle length as softening vanishes, distinguishes the residual crack length from the total affected length, and links weak-spot and fracture-energy descriptions through the softening law. Depth-averaged Material Point Method simulations confirm the analytical stress and displacement profiles and the predicted characteristic lengths. We then extend the same compliant-softening framework to collapse-driven anticrack propagation. A simplified Timoshenko anticrack analogue shows that slab bending and transverse shear deformation amplify normal stress at the weak-layer front and introduce a bending-controlled softening length with an approximately fourth-root dependence on softening displacement, supported by three-dimensional MPM simulations. Finally, a mixed-mode Timoshenko formulation couples weak-layer compression, slope-parallel shear, and slab rotation. A compact sharp-front model and a fully coupled finite-softening model reproduce the observed slope-angle dependence of critical cut length using realistic elastic and failure-envelope parameters.

physics.geo-ph

Modeling crack arrest in snow slab avalanches -- towards estimating avalanche release sizes

Dry-snow slab avalanches are considered to be the most difficult to predict, yet the deadliest avalanche types. The release of snow slab avalanches starts with a initial failure in a weak layer that may propagate across the slope until the slab fractures and slides. The evaluation of crack propagation area is a primary concern for avalanche forecasters. The purpose of this study is to test the hypothesis that the heterogeneity of snowpack properties is one of the primary factors that may potentially stop dynamic crack propagation. To test this assumption, we use a depth-averaged Material Point Method (DA-MPM) for efficient elasto-plastic modeling of snow slab avalanches. Our analysis includes scenarios involving i) pure-elastic slabs and ii) elasto-plastic slabs. In the first scenario, we report a significant decrease in slab tensile stress with increasing crack speed compared to quasi-static theory. In addition, we quantify the effect of weak layer heterogeneity and softening fracture energy on the crack stopping mechanism. In the second scenario, we analyse the interplay between weak layer heterogeneity and slab tensile fracture and quantify their combined effect on crack arrest. Results are interpreted through a scaling law relating the crack arrest distance to two dimensionless numbers related to weak layer strength variability and slab tensile fracture. Furthermore, the proposed model is applied to field campaigns in which spatial variations of weak layer shear strength were measured. Finally, DA-MPM simulations are performed on three-dimensional terrain with spatial variations revealing interesting release patterns. This research and the proposed methods can not only enhance our comprehension of the factors influencing avalanche release sizes,and possibly, the design of new mitigation measures for avalanche start zones.

physics.geo-ph