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Frank E. Harrell Jr.

Publications and source records attributed to Frank E. Harrell Jr..

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Addressing errors in multiple variables using generalized raking and cumulative probability models

Routinely collected data, such as electronic health record (EHR) data, are frequently used for biomedical research, but these data are prone to errors, which can bias study findings. Validating data in subsamples of records can reduce bias, and the efficiency of estimates can be improved by incorporating in analyses both the error-prone data available on the entire cohort and the validated data available on the subsample. One approach to incorporate both data sources is with generalized raking, which calibrates validation sampling weights using error-prone data from the entire cohort. Motivated by an EHR study of maternal weight gain during pregnancy with a validation subsample, we develop and illustrate generalized raking techniques for cumulative probability models (CPMs). CPMs are robust, rank-based and semiparametric models for continuous, ordinal, or mixed type outcome data. We develop efficient generalized raking estimators for CPMs, evaluate their performance relative to competing methods, and demonstrate the utility and strengths of generalized raking with CPMs in a study that examines factors associated with weight gain during pregnancy.

stat.ME↗

Bayesian Cumulative Probability Models for Continuous and Mixed Outcomes

Ordinal cumulative probability models (CPMs) -- also known as cumulative link models -- such as the proportional odds regression model are typically used for discrete ordered outcomes, but can accommodate both continuous and mixed discrete/continuous outcomes since these are also ordered. Recent papers describe ordinal CPMs in this setting using non-parametric maximum likelihood estimation. We formulate a Bayesian CPM for continuous or mixed outcome data. Bayesian CPMs inherit many of the benefits of frequentist CPMs and have advantages with regard to interpretation, flexibility, and exact inference (within simulation error) for parameters and functions of parameters. We explore characteristics of the Bayesian CPM through simulations and a case study using HIV biomarker data. In addition, we provide the package 'bayesCPM' which implements Bayesian CPM models using the R interface to the Stan probabilistic programing language. The Bayesian CPM for continuous outcomes can be implemented with only minor modifications to the prior specification and, despite some limitations, has generally good statistical performance with moderate or large sample sizes.

stat.ME↗