arXiv subjects

Güzin Bayraksan

Publications and source records attributed to Güzin Bayraksan.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Robust Strategic Classification under Decision-Dependent Cost Uncertainty

Humans facing algorithmic decision systems have been found to ``game'' them by altering their input data (at a cost to them) in order to favorably change the algorithmic outcomes they receive (at a cost to the algorithm). The growing literature on strategic classification seeks to develop robust machine learning algorithms that account for, and reduce, unwanted strategic behavior. A limitation of these existing works is that they assume the cost of strategic behavior to be fixed and independent of the classifier's decision. In practice, however, manipulation costs evolve and depend on past algorithmic decisions: today's decisions influence tomorrow's costs. This paper proposes and analyzes a two-stage robust optimization framework with a decision-dependent uncertainty set to capture such dependencies. We highlight that awareness of policy-dependent costs not only reduces uncertainty, but also better curtails gaming of the algorithmic system over time.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Data-Driven Sample Average Approximation with Covariate Information

We study optimization for data-driven decision-making when we have observations of the uncertain parameters within the optimization model together with concurrent observations of covariates. Given a new covariate observation, the goal is to choose a decision that minimizes the expected cost conditioned on this observation. We investigate three data-driven frameworks that integrate a machine learning prediction model within a stochastic programming sample average approximation (SAA) for approximating the solution to this problem. Two of the SAA frameworks are new and use out-of-sample residuals of leave-one-out prediction models for scenario generation. The frameworks we investigate are flexible and accommodate parametric, nonparametric, and semiparametric regression techniques. We derive conditions on the data generation process, the prediction model, and the stochastic program under which solutions of these data-driven SAAs are consistent and asymptotically optimal, and also derive convergence rates and finite sample guarantees. Computational experiments validate our theoretical results, demonstrate the potential advantages of our data-driven formulations over existing approaches (even when the prediction model is misspecified), and illustrate the benefits of our new data-driven formulations in the limited data regime.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

Residuals-based distributionally robust optimization with covariate information

We consider data-driven approaches that integrate a machine learning prediction model within distributionally robust optimization (DRO) given limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates. Our framework is flexible in the sense that it can accommodate a variety of regression setups and DRO ambiguity sets. We investigate asymptotic and finite sample properties of solutions obtained using Wasserstein, sample robust optimization, and phi-divergence-based ambiguity sets within our DRO formulations, and explore cross-validation approaches for sizing these ambiguity sets. Through numerical experiments, we validate our theoretical results, study the effectiveness of our approaches for sizing ambiguity sets, and illustrate the benefits of our DRO formulations in the limited data regime even when the prediction model is misspecified.

math.OC↗

arXiv2021

Heteroscedasticity-aware residuals-based contextual stochastic optimization

We explore generalizations of some integrated learning and optimization frameworks for data-driven contextual stochastic optimization that can adapt to heteroscedasticity. We identify conditions on the stochastic program, data generation process, and the prediction setup under which these generalizations possess asymptotic and finite sample guarantees for a class of stochastic programs, including two-stage stochastic mixed-integer programs with continuous recourse. We verify that our assumptions hold for popular parametric and nonparametric regression methods.

math.OC↗

arXiv2020

Variance Reduction for Sequential Sampling in Stochastic Programming

This paper investigates the variance reduction techniques Antithetic Variates (AV) and Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) when used for sequential sampling in stochastic programming and presents a comparative computational study. It shows conditions under which the sequential sampling with AV and LHS satisfy finite stopping guarantees and are asymptotically valid, discussing LHS in detail. It computationally compares their use in both the sequential and non-sequential settings through a collection of two-stage stochastic linear programs with different characteristics. The numerical results show that while both AV and LHS can be preferable to random sampling in either setting, LHS typically dominates in the non-sequential setting while performing well sequentially and AV gains some advantages in the sequential setting. These results imply that, given the ease of implementation of these variance reduction techniques, armed with the same theoretical properties and improved empirical performance relative to random sampling, AV and LHS sequential procedures present attractive alternatives in practice for a class of stochastic programs.

math.OC↗