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Geoffrey W. Marcy

Publications and source records attributed to Geoffrey W. Marcy.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

The Impact of Computing Data Centres Orbiting Earth

Artificial intelligence is projected to increase U.S. data centre power demand beyond 100 gigawatt by 2035 and global demand toward 1 terrawatt. In response, companies and governments have proposed placing computing infrastructure in sun-synchronous low-Earth orbit, where continuous sunlight could supply electrical power. Generating 5 GW would require solar arrays 4 x 4 kilometers in size. Although technically feasible, such structures at roughly 500 km altitude would dramatically alter both the night and daytime sky. A 4 x 4 km array in low earth orbit would span about 0.4 degrees, comparable to the Moon, and reflected sunlight would make it shine at magnitude g = -5 to -7 mag, 100 times brighter than the brightest stars. Dozens of these structures would appear as a north-to-south chain of industrial objects across the sky, visible for about 1 1/2 hours after sunset and 1 1/2 hours before sunrise. They would block stars, planets, and deep-sky objects for minutes at a time, while increasing the likelihood of collisions that could trigger runaway debris production. These orbiting computing facilities therefore pose serious astronomical, technical, and cultural concerns.

astro-ph.IM

Oscillation frequencies and mode lifetimes in alpha Centauri A

We analyse our recently-published velocity measurements of alpha Cen A (Butler et al. 2004). After adjusting the weights on a night-by-night basis in order to optimize the window function to minimize sidelobes, we extract 42 oscillation frequencies with l=0 to 3 and measure the large and small frequency separations. We give fitted relations to these frequencies that can be compared with theoretical models and conclude that the observed scatter about these fits is due to the finite lifetimes of the oscillation modes. We estimate the mode lifetimes to be 1-2 d, substantially shorter than in the Sun.

astro-ph

On the Image Profiles of Transients in the Palomar Sky Survey

The VASCO project has discovered groups of short-lived transients on historical photographic plates that lack conventional explanation. Hambly & Blair (2024) examined nine such transients reported by Villarroel (2021) and found that they exhibit narrower, rounder profiles, attributing this to emulsion flaws. However, well-established optical principles and atmospheric physics imply that unresolved flashes lasting less than a second naturally appear sharper and more circular than stellar images, particularly on long-exposure plates where stars are significantly blurred by seeing and tracking errors. Such profiles are an expected consequence of sub-second optical flashes, making their findings consistent with the transient interpretation.

astro-ph.SR

Evidence of Dark Energy Prior to its Discovery

This is a review and statistical analysis of the evidence supporting the existence of a cosmological constant in the early 1990s, before its discovery made with distant supernovae in 1998. The earlier evidence was derived from newly precise measurements of the Universe, including its mass density, the Hubble constant, the age of the oldest stars, the filamentary large-scale structure, and the anisotropy of the cosmic microwave background. These measurements created tension for models assuming the cosmological constant was zero. This tension was alleviated by several insightful papers published before 1996, which proposed a cosmological constant that increased the expansion rate. Statistical analysis here shows that the probability of the cosmological constant being zero was demonstrably less than a few percent. Some models identified a best-fit value close to the modern estimate of Omega_Lambda ~ 0.7.

hep-ph

Trumpler's Radial Velocities of Stars in Galactic Star Clusters

We assess the accuracy of radial velocities of 671 stars located near Galactic clusters, measured by Robert Trumpler between 1924 and 1947 using the Lick Observatory 36 inch refractor equipped with prism spectrometers. We find that Trumpler's velocities share the same zero-point and scale as modern IAU radial velocity standards. Their accuracy ranges from 2 to 7 km/s. We also provide star identifications, B-band photometry, and notes for many stars. We provide a link to an online PDF that contains all 3,782 of Trumpler's individual stellar radial velocities and associated Julian dates. Trumpler's velocities provide a century-long baseline for detecting long-period stellar companions, gravitational perturbations from passing massive objects, and accelerations due to cluster and Galactic dynamics.

astro-ph.SR

A Search for Transient, Monochromatic Light in a 6-deg Swath along the Galactic Plane

We searched the Milky Way Plane along a 6-deg swath for pulses of monochromatic light as faint as 15th mag (V band) using a wide-field telescope equipped with a prism. Pulses with duration less than 1 second that occur more often than once every 10 minutes would be detected, and pulses arriving less frequently would be detected with proportionally lower probability. No unexplainable monochromatic emission, pulsed or continuous, was detected. The detection threshold corresponds to a 70 GW laser having a diffraction-limited 10-meter aperture located 1 kiloparsec away (depending on wavelength). Previous searches for laser emission from more than 5000 stars found none. Previous all-sky surveys at optical and radio wavelengths have revealed thousands of unexpected objects in the universe that exhibited extraordinary spectral emission, but none were technological. Hypotheses of our Milky Way Galaxy teeming with advanced life must be demoted.

astro-ph.IM

A bright triple transient that vanished within 50 minutes

We report on three optically bright, ~15th mag, point-sources within 10 arcsec of each other that vanished within 1 hour, based on two consecutive exposures at Palomar Observatory on 1952 July 19 (POSS I Red and Blue). The three point-sources have continued to be absent in telescope exposures during 71 years with detection thresholds of ~21st mag. We obtained two deep exposures with the 10.4-m Gran Telescopio Canarias on 25 and 27 April 2023 in r and g-band, both reaching magnitude 25.5 (3-sigma). The three point-sources are still absent, implying they have dimmed by more than 10 magnitudes within an hour. When bright in 1952, the most isolated transient source has a profile nearly the same as comparison stars, implying the sources are sub-arcsec in angular size and they exhibit no elongation due to movement. This triple transient has observed properties similar to other cases where groups of transients ("multiple transients") have appeared and vanished in a small region within a plate exposure. The explanation for these three transients and the previously reported cases remains unclear. Models involving background objects that are optically luminous for less than one hour coupled with foreground gravitational lensing seem plausible. If so, a significant population of massive objects with structure serving as the lenses, to produce three images, are required to explain the hundreds of sub-hour transients.

astro-ph.SR

Astronomical Anomalies: Their Role in the Quest for Extraterrestrial Life

Astronomers occasionally detect an object having unexpected shape, unexplainable photometry, or unprecedented spectra that are inconsistent with our contemporary knowledge of the universe. Upon careful assessment, many of these anomalies are discarded as mere noise, contamination, or faulty analysis. But some anomalies survive scrutiny to yield new astronomical objects and physical processes. Examples of validated anomalies include quasars, pulsars, and periodic Doppler shifts of Sun-like stars caused by the gravitational pull of orbiting planets. Other anomalies persist as mysteries, including Fast Radio Bursts, dark energy, 'Oumuamua as an alien spaceship, and simultaneously vanishing stars. Advanced technological life may present astronomers with anomalies that require carefully designed observations from multiple vantage points simultaneously and with real-time spectroscopy.

physics.pop-ph

Search for Transient, Monochromatic Light from the Galactic Plane

The Galactic Plane was searched for transient, monochromatic light at optical and near-IR wavelengths to detect pulses shorter than 1 sec. An objective-prism Schmidt telescope and CMOS camera were used to observe 973 square degrees along the Galactic Plane within a strip 2.1 deg wide. The non-detections of laser pulses from the Galactic Plane add to the non-detections from more than 5000 stars. The absence of extraterrestrial beacons reveals more of a SETI desert at optical and radio wavelengths.

astro-ph.IM

A Search for Monochromatic Light Toward the Galactic Centre

A region 140 square degrees toward the Galactic Centre was searched for monochromatic optical light, both pulses shorter than 1 sec and continuous emission. A novel instrument was constructed that acquires optical spectra of every point within 6 square degrees every second, able to distinguish lasers from astrophysical sources. The system consists of a modified Schmidt telescope, a wedge prism over the 0.28-meter aperture, and a fast CMOS camera with 9500 x 6300 pixels. During 2021, a total of 34800 exposures were obtained and analyzed for monochromatic sources, both sub-second pulses and continuous in time. No monochromatic light was found. A benchmark laser with a 10-meter aperture and located 100 light years away would be detected if it had a power more than ~60 megawatt during 1 sec, and from 1000 light years away, 6000 MW is required. This non-detection of optical lasers adds to previous optical SETI non-detections from more than 5000 nearby stars of all masses, from the Solar gravitational lens focal points of Alpha Centauri, and from all-sky searches for broadband optical pulses. These non-detections, along with those of broadband pulses, constitute a growing SETI desert in the optical domain.

astro-ph.EP

Laser Communication with Proxima and Alpha Centauri using the Solar Gravitational Lens

A search was conducted for laser signals, both sub-second pulses and continuous emission, from the regions of the sky opposite Proxima and Alpha Centauri. These regions are located at the foci of the gravitational lensing caused by the Sun, ideal for amplifying transmissions between our Solar System and those two nearest stellar neighbors. During six months in 2020 and 2021, 88000 exposures for Proxima Cen and 47000 exposures for Alpha Cen were obtained. No evidence was detected of light pulses or continuous laser emission in the wavelength range of 380 to 950 nm. We would have detected a laser having a power of just 100 Watts.

astro-ph.IM

The California Legacy Survey I. A Catalog of 178 Planets from Precision Radial Velocity Monitoring of 719 Nearby Stars over Three Decades

We present a high-precision radial velocity (RV) survey of 719 FGKM stars, which host 164 known exoplanets and 14 newly discovered or revised exoplanets and substellar companions. This catalog updated the orbital parameters of known exoplanets and long-period candidates, some of which have decades-longer observational baselines than they did upon initial detection. The newly discovered exoplanets range from warm sub-Neptunes and super-Earths to cold gas giants. We present the catalog sample selection criteria, as well as over 100,000 radial velocity measurements, which come from the Keck-HIRES, APF-Levy, and Lick-Hamilton spectrographs. We introduce the new RV search pipeline RVSearch that we used to generate our planet catalog, and we make it available to the public as an open-source Python package. This paper is the first study in a planned series that will measure exoplanet occurrence rates and compare exoplanet populations, including studies of giant planet occurrence beyond the water ice line, and eccentricity distributions to explore giant planet formation pathways. We have made public all radial velocities and associated data that we use in this catalog.

astro-ph.EP

Exploring nine simultaneously occurring transients on April 12th 1950

Nine point sources appeared within half an hour on a region within $\sim$ 10 arcmin of a red-sensitive photographic plate taken in April 1950 as part of the historic Palomar Sky Survey. All nine sources are absent on both previous and later photographic images, and absent in modern surveys with CCD detectors which go several magnitudes deeper. We present deep CCD images with the 10.4-meter Gran Telescopio Canarias (GTC), reaching brightness $r \sim 26$ mag, that reveal possible optical counterparts, although these counterparts could equally well be just chance projections. The incidence of transients in the investigated photographic plate is far higher than expected from known detection rates of optical counterparts to e.g.\ flaring dwarf stars, Fast Radio Bursts (FRBs), Gamma Ray Bursts (GRBs) or microlensing events. One possible explanation is that the plates have been subjected to an unknown type of contamination producing mainly point sources with of varying intensities along with some mechanism of concentration within a radius of $\sim$ 10 arcmin on the plate. If contamination as an explanation can be fully excluded, another possibility is fast (t $<0.5$ s) solar reflections from objects near geosynchronous orbits. An alternative route to confirm the latter scenario is by looking for images from the First Palomar Sky Survey where multiple transients follow a line.

astro-ph.IM

The California Legacy Survey II. Occurrence of Giant Planets Beyond the Ice line

We used high-precision radial velocity measurements of FGKM stars to determine the occurrence of giant planets as a function of orbital separation spanning 0.03-30 au. Giant planets are more prevalent at orbital distances of 1-10 au compared to orbits interior or exterior of this range. The increase in planet occurrence at $\sim$1 au by a factor of $\sim$4 is highly statistically significant. A fall-off in giant planet occurrence at larger orbital distances is favored over models with flat or increasing occurrence. We measure $14.1^{+2.0}_{-1.8}$ giant planets per 100 stars with semi-major axes of 2-8 au and $8.9^{+3.0}_{-2.4}$ giant planets per 100 stars in the range 8-32 au, a decrease in giant planet occurrence with increasing orbital separation that is significant at the $\sim$2$σ$ level. We find that the occurrence rate of sub-Jovian planets (0.1-1 Jupiter masses) is also enhanced for 1-10 au orbits. This suggests that lower mass planets may share the formation or migration mechanisms that drive the increased prevalence near the water-ice line for their Jovian counterparts. Our measurements of cold gas giant occurrence are consistent with the latest results from direct imaging surveys and gravitational lensing surveys despite different stellar samples. We corroborate previous findings that giant planet occurrence increases with stellar mass and metallicity.

astro-ph.EP

A Search for Optical Laser Emission from Proxima Centauri

A search for laser light from Proxima Centauri was performed, including 107 high-resolution, optical spectra obtained between 2004 and 2019. Among them, 57 spectra contain multiple, confined spectral combs, each consisting of 10 closely-spaced frequencies of light. The spectral combs, as entities, are themselves equally spaced with a frequency separation of 5800 GHz, rendering them unambiguously technological in origin. However, the combs do not originate at Proxima Centauri. Otherwise, the 107 spectra of Proxima Centauri show no evidence of technological signals, including 29 observations between March and July 2019 when the candidate technological radio signal, BLC1, was captured by Breakthrough Listen. This search would have revealed lasers pointed toward Earth having a power of 20 to 120 kilowatts and located within the 1.3au field of view centered on Proxima Centauri, assuming a benchmark laser launcher having a 10-meter aperture.

astro-ph.EP

Understanding the Impacts of Stellar Companions on Planet Formation and Evolution: A Survey of Stellar and Planetary Companions within 25 pc

We explore the impact of outer stellar companions on the occurrence rate of giant planets detected with radial velocities. We searched for stellar and planetary companions to a volume-limited sample of solar-type stars within 25 pc. Using adaptive optics imaging from the Lick 3m and Palomar 200" Telescopes, we characterized the multiplicity of our sample stars, down to the bottom of the main sequence. With these data, we confirm field star multiplicity statistics from previous surveys. We combined three decades of radial velocity data from the California Planet Search with new RV data from Keck/HIRES and APF/Levy to search for planets in the same systems. Using an updated catalog of both stellar and planetary companions and injection/recovery tests to determine our sensitivity, we measured the occurrence rate of planets among the single and multiple star systems. We found that planets with masses of 0.1-10 $M_{Jup}$ and semi-major axes of 0.1-10 AU have an occurrence rate of $0.18^{+0.04}_{-0.03}$ planets per single star, and $0.12\pm0.04$ planets per binary primary. Only one planet-hosting binary system in our sample had a binary separation $<100$ AU, and none had a separation $<50$ AU. We found planet occurrence rates of $0.20^{+0.07}_{-0.06}$ planets per star for binaries with separation $a_B > 100$ AU, and $0.04^{+0.04}_{-0.02}$ planets per star for binaries with separation $a_B<100$ AU. The similarity in the planet occurrence rate around single stars and wide primaries implies that wide binary systems should host more planets than single star systems, since they have more potential host stars. We estimated a system-wide planet occurrence rate of 0.3 planets per wide binary system for binaries with separations $a_B > 100$ AU. Finally, we found evidence that giant planets in binary systems have a different semi-major axis distribution than their counterparts in single star systems.

astro-ph.EP

Transits of Known Planets Orbiting a Naked-Eye Star

Some of the most scientifically valuable transiting planets are those that were already known from radial velocity (RV) surveys. This is primarily because their orbits are well characterized and they preferentially orbit bright stars that are the targets of RV surveys. The Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite ({\it TESS}) provides an opportunity to survey most of the known exoplanet systems in a systematic fashion to detect possible transits of their planets. HD~136352 (Nu$^2$~Lupi) is a naked-eye ($V = 5.78$) G-type main-sequence star that was discovered to host three planets with orbital periods of 11.6, 27.6, and 108.1 days via RV monitoring with the HARPS spectrograph. We present the detection and characterization of transits for the two inner planets of the HD~136352 system, revealing radii of $1.482^{+0.058}_{-0.056}$~$R_\oplus$ and $2.608^{+0.078}_{-0.077}$~$R_\oplus$ for planets b and c, respectively. We combine new HARPS observations with RV data from Keck/HIRES and the AAT, along with {\it TESS} photometry from Sector 12, to perform a complete analysis of the system parameters. The combined data analysis results in extracted bulk density values of $ρ_b = 7.8^{+1.2}_{-1.1}$~gcm$^{-3}$ and $ρ_c = 3.50^{+0.41}_{-0.36}$~gcm$^{-3}$ for planets b and c, respectively, thus placing them on either side of the radius valley. The combination of the multi-transiting planet system, the bright host star, and the diversity of planetary interiors and atmospheres means this will likely become a cornerstone system for atmospheric and orbital characterization of small worlds.

astro-ph.EP

Dynamical Packing in the Habitable Zone: The Case of Beta CVn

Uncovering the occurrence rate of terrestrial planets within the Habitable Zone (HZ) of their host stars has been a particular focus of exoplanetary science in recent years. The statistics of these occurrence rates have largely been derived from transiting planet discoveries, and have uncovered numerous HZ planets in compact systems around M dwarf host stars. Here we explore the width of the HZ as a function of spectral type, and the dynamical constraints on the number of stable orbits within the HZ for a given star. We show that, although the Hill radius for a given planetary mass increases with larger semi-major axis, the width of the HZ for earlier-type stars allows for more terrestrial planets in the HZ than late-type stars. In general, dynamical constraints allow $\sim$6 HZ Earth-mass planets for stellar masses $\gtrsim 0.7 M_\odot$, depending on the presence of farther out giant planets. As an example, we consider the case of Beta CVn, a nearby bright solar-type star. We present 20 years of radial velocities (RV) from the Keck/HIRES and APF instruments and conduct an injection-recovery analysis of planetary signatures in the data. Our analysis of these RV data rule out planets more massive than Saturn within 10~AU of the star. These system properties are used to calculate the potential dynamical packing of terrestrial planets in the HZ and show that such nearby stellar targets could be particularly lucrative for HZ planet detection by direct imaging exoplanet missions.

astro-ph.EP