arXiv subjects

George Efstathiou

Publications and source records attributed to George Efstathiou.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2018

Model independent $H(z)$ reconstruction using the cosmic inverse distance ladder

Recent distance ladder determinations of the Hubble constant $H_0$ disagree at about the $3.5σ$ level with the value determined from Planck measurements of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) assuming a $Λ$CDM cosmology. This discrepancy has prompted speculation that new physics might be required beyond that assumed in the $Λ$CDM model. In this paper, we apply the inverse distance ladder to fit a parametric form of $H(z)$ to baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) and Type Ia supernova data together with priors on the sound horizon at the end of the radiation drag epoch, $r_d$. We apply priors on $r_d$, based on inferences from either Planck or the Wilkinson Microwave Anistropy Probe (WMAP), and demonstrate that these values are consistent with CMB-independent determinations of $r_d$ derived from measurements of the primordial deuterium abundance, BAO and supernova data assuming the $Λ$CDM cosmology. The $H(z)$ constraints that we derive are independent of detailed physics within the dark sector at low redshifts, relying only on the validity of the Friedmann-Robertson-Walker (FRW) metric of General Relativity. For each assumed prior on $r_d$, we find consistency with the inferred value of $H_0$ and the Planck $Λ$CDM value and corresponding tension with the distance ladder estimate.

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arXiv2018

Cosmology with the pairwise kinematic SZ effect: Calibration and validation using hydrodynamical simulations

We study the potential of the kinematic SZ effect as a probe for cosmology, focusing on the pairwise method. The main challenge is disentangling the cosmologically interesting mean pairwise velocity from the cluster optical depth and the associated uncertainties on the baryonic physics in clusters. Furthermore, the pairwise kSZ signal might be affected by internal cluster motions or correlations between velocity and optical depth. We investigate these effects using the Magneticum cosmological hydrodynamical simulations, one of the largest simulations of this kind performed to date. We produce tSZ and kSZ maps with an area of $\simeq 1600~\mathrm{deg}^2$, and the corresponding cluster catalogues with $M_{500c} \gtrsim 3 \times 10^{13}~h^{-1}M_\odot$ and $z \lesssim 2$. From these data sets we calibrate a scaling relation between the average Compton-$y$ parameter and optical depth. We show that this relation can be used to recover an accurate estimate of the mean pairwise velocity from the kSZ effect, and that this effect can be used as an important probe of cosmology. We discuss the impact of theoretical and observational systematic effects, and find that further work on feedback models is required to interpret future high-precision measurements of the kSZ effect.

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arXiv2017

Statistical Inconsistencies in the KiDS-450 Dataset

The Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS) has been used in several recent papers to infer constraints on the amplitude of the matter power spectrum and matter density at low redshift. Some of these analyses have claimed tension with the Planck $Λ\mathrm{CDM}$ cosmology at the $\sim 2-3σ$ level, perhaps indicative of new physics. However, Planck is consistent with other low redshift probes of the matter power spectrum such as redshift space distortions and the combined galaxy-mass and galaxy-galaxy power spectra. Here we perform consistency tests of the KiDS data, finding internal tensions for various cuts of the data at $\sim 2.2 - 3.5σ$ significance. Until these internal tensions are understood, we argue that it is premature to claim evidence for new physics from KiDS. We review the consistency between KiDS and other weak lensing measurements of $S_8$, highlighting the importance of intrinsic alignments for precision cosmology.

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arXiv2017

Constraints on AGN feedback from its Sunyaev-Zel'dovich imprint on the cosmic background radiation

We derive constraints on feedback by active galactic nuclei (AGN) by setting limits on their thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (SZ) imprint on the cosmic microwave background (CMB). The amplitude of any SZ signature is small and degenerate with the poorly known sub-mm spectral energy distribution of the AGN host galaxy and other unresolved dusty sources along the line of sight. Here we break this degeneracy by combining microwave and sub-mm data from Planck with all-sky far-infrared maps from the AKARI satellite. We first test our measurement pipeline using the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) redMaPPer catalogue of galaxy clusters, finding a highly significant detection ($>$$20σ$) of the SZ effect together with correlated dust emission. We then constrain the SZ signal associated with spectroscopically confirmed quasi-stellar objects (QSOs) from SDSS data release 7 (DR7) and the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) DR12. We obtain a low-significance ($1.6σ$) hint of an SZ signal, pointing towards a mean thermal energy of $\simeq 5 \times 10^{60}$ erg, lower than reported in some previous studies. A comparison of our results with high-resolution hydrodynamical simulations including AGN feedback suggests QSO host masses of $M_{200c} \sim 4 \times 10^{12}~h^{-1}M_\odot$, but with a large uncertainty. Our analysis provides no conclusive evidence for an SZ signal specifically associated with AGN feedback.

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arXiv2017

The effect of Limber and flat-sky approximations on galaxy weak lensing

We review the effect of the commonly-used Limber and flat-sky approximations on the calculation of shear power spectra and correlation functions for galaxy weak lensing. These approximations are accurate at small scales, but it has been claimed recently that their impact on low multipoles could lead to an increase in the amplitude of the mass fluctuations inferred from surveys such as CFHTLenS, reducing the tension between galaxy weak lensing and the amplitude determined by Planck from observations of the cosmic microwave background. Here, we explore the impact of these approximations on cosmological parameters derived from weak lensing surveys, using the CFHTLenS data as a test case. We conclude that the use of small-angle approximations for cosmological parameter estimation is negligible for current data, and does not contribute to the tension between current weak lensing surveys and Planck.

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arXiv2016

Measurement of CIB power spectra over large sky areas from Planck HFI maps

We present new measurements of the power spectra of the cosmic infrared background (CIB) anisotropies using the Planck 2015 full-mission HFI data at 353, 545, and 857 GHz over 20000 square degrees. We use techniques similar to those applied for the cosmological analysis of Planck, subtracting dust emission at the power spectrum level. Our analysis gives stable solutions for the CIB power spectra with increasing sky coverage up to about 50% of the sky. These spectra agree well with Hi cleaned spectra from Planck measured on much smaller areas of sky with low Galactic dust emission. At 545 and 857 GHz our CIB spectra agree well with those measured from Herschel data. We find that the CIB spectra at l > 500 are well fitted by a power-law model for the clustered CIB, with a shallow index γ^cib = 0.53\pm0.02. This is consistent with the CIB results at 217 GHz from the cosmological parameter analysis of Planck. We show that a linear combination of the 545 and 857 GHz Planck maps is dominated by CIB fluctuations at multipoles l > 300.

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arXiv2014

Testing a direction-dependent primordial power spectrum with observations of the Cosmic Microwave Background

Statistical isotropy is often assumed in cosmology and should be tested rigorously against observational data. We construct simple quadratic estimators to reconstruct asymmetry in the primordial power spectrum from CMB temperature and polarization data and verify their accuracy using simulations with quadrupole power asymmetry. We show that the Planck mission, with its millions of signal-dominated modes of the temperature anisotropy, should be able to constrain the amplitude of any spherical multipole of a scale-invariant quadrupole asymmetry at the $0.01$ level ($2σ$). Almost independent constraints can be obtained from polarization at the $0.03$ level after four full-sky surveys, providing an important consistency test. If the amplitude of the asymmetry is large enough, constraining its scale-dependence should become possible. In scale-free quadrupole models with $1\%$ asymmetry, consistent with the current limits from WMAP temperature data (after correction for beam asymmetries), Planck should constrain the spectral index $q$ of power-law departures from asymmetry to $Δq = 0.3$. Finally, we show how to constrain models with axisymmetry in the same framework. For scale-free quadrupole models, Planck should constrain the direction of the asymmetry to a $1σ$ accuracy of about $2$ degrees using one year of temperature data.

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arXiv2014

H0 Revisited

I reanalyse the Riess et al. (2011, hereafter R11) Cepheid data using the revised geometric maser distance to NGC 4258 of Humphreys et al. (2013). I explore different outlier rejection criteria designed to give a reduced chi-squared of unity and compare the results with the R11 rejection algorithm, which produces a reduced chi-squared that is substantially less than unity and, in some cases, to underestimates of the errors on parameters. I show that there are sub-luminous low metallicity Cepheids in the R11 sample that skew the global fits of the period-luminosity relation. This has a small but non-negligible impact on the global fits using NGC 4258 as a distance scale anchor, but adds a poorly constrained source of systematic error when using the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC) as an anchor. I also show that the small Milky Way (MW) Cepheid sample with accurate parallax measurements leads to a distance to NGC 4258 that is in tension with the maser distance. I conclude that H0 based on the NGC 4258 maser distance is H0 = 70.6 +/- 3.3 km/s/Mpc compatible within 1 sigma with the recent determination from Planck for the base six-parameter LCDM cosmology. If the H-band period-luminosity relation is assumed to be independent of metallicity and the three distance anchors are combined, I find H0 = 72.5 +/- 2.5 km/s/Mpc, which differs by 1.9 sigma from the Planck value. The differences between the Planck results and these estimates of H0 are not large enough to provide compelling evidence for new physics at this stage.

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arXiv2012

Future Science Prospects for AMI

The Arcminute Microkelvin Imager (AMI) is a telescope specifically designed for high sensitivity measurements of low-surface-brightness features at cm-wavelength and has unique, important capabilities. It consists of two interferometer arrays operating over 13.5-18 GHz that image structures on scales of 0.5-10 arcmin with very low systematics. The Small Array (AMI-SA; ten 3.7-m antennas) couples very well to Sunyaev-Zel'dovich features from galaxy clusters and to many Galactic features. The Large Array (AMI-LA; eight 13-m antennas) has a collecting area ten times that of the AMI-SA and longer baselines, crucially allowing the removal of the effects of confusing radio point sources from regions of low surface-brightness, extended emission. Moreover AMI provides fast, deep object surveying and allows monitoring of large numbers of objects. In this White Paper we review the new science - both Galactic and extragalactic - already achieved with AMI and outline the prospects for much more.

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arXiv2011

An Extended Excursion Set Approach to Structure Formation in Chameleon Models

In attempts to explain dark energy, a number of models have been proposed in which the formation of large-scale structure depends on the local environment. These models are highly non-linear and difficult to analyse analytically. N-body simulations have therefore been used to study their non-linear evolution. Here we extend excursion set theory to incorporate environmental effects on structure formation. We apply the method to a chameleon model and calculate observables such as the non-linear mass function at various redshifts. The method can be generalized to study other obervables and other models of environmentally dependent interactions. The analytic methods described here should prove useful in delineating which models deserve more detailed study with N-body simulations.

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arXiv2011

A Simple Empirically Motivated Template for the Unresolved Thermal Sunyaev-Zeldovich Effect

We develop a model for the power spectrum of unresolved clusters of galaxies arising from the thermal Sunyaev-Zeldovich (tSZ) effect. The model is based on a'universal' gas pressure profile constrained by X-ray observations and includes a parameter to describe departures from self-similar evolution. The model is consistent with recent Planck observations of the tSZ effect for X-ray clusters with redshifts z<1 and reproduces the low amplitude for the tSZ inferred from recent ground based observations. By adjusting two free parameters, we are able to reproduce the tSZ power spectra from recent numerical simulations to an accuracy that is well within theoretical uncertainties. Our model provides a simple, empirically motivated tSZ template that may be useful for the analysis of new experiments such as Planck.

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arXiv2011

CMB temperature lensing power reconstruction

We study reconstruction of the lensing potential power spectrum from CMB temperature data, with an eye to the Planck experiment. We work with the optimal quadratic estimator of Okamoto and Hu, which we characterize thoroughly in application to reconstruction of the lensing power spectrum. We find that at multipoles L<250 our current understanding of this estimator is biased at the 15% level by beyond-gradient terms in the Taylor expansion of lensing effects. We present the full lensed trispectrum to fourth order in the lensing potential to explain this effect. We show that the low-L bias, as well as a previously known bias at high-L, is relevant to the determination of cosmology and must be corrected for in order to avoid significant parameter errors. We also investigate the covariance of the reconstructed power, finding broad correlations of ~0.1%. Finally, we discuss several small improvements which may be made to the optimal estimator to mitigate these problems.

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arXiv2010

The Herschel-SPIRE Legacy Survey (HSLS): the scientific goals of a shallow and wide submillimeter imaging survey with SPIRE

A large sub-mm survey with Herschel will enable many exciting science opportunities, especially in an era of wide-field optical and radio surveys and high resolution cosmic microwave background experiments. The Herschel-SPIRE Legacy Survey (HSLS), will lead to imaging data over 4000 sq. degrees at 250, 350, and 500 micron. Major Goals of HSLS are: (a) produce a catalog of 2.5 to 3 million galaxies down to 26, 27 and 33 mJy (50% completeness; 5 sigma confusion noise) at 250, 350 and 500 micron, respectively, in the southern hemisphere (3000 sq. degrees) and in an equatorial strip (1000 sq. degrees), areas which have extensive multi-wavelength coverage and are easily accessible from ALMA. Two thirds of the of the sources are expected to be at z > 1, one third at z > 2 and about a 1000 at z > 5. (b) Remove point source confusion in secondary anisotropy studies with Planck and ground-based CMB data. (c) Find at least 1200 strongly lensed bright sub-mm sources leading to a 2% test of general relativity. (d) Identify 200 proto-cluster regions at z of 2 and perform an unbiased study of the environmental dependence of star formation. (e) Perform an unbiased survey for star formation and dust at high Galactic latitude and make a census of debris disks and dust around AGB stars and white dwarfs.

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arXiv2009

Large-Angle Correlations in the Cosmic Microwave Background

It has been argued recently by Copi etal (2009) that the lack of large angular correlations of the CMB temperature field provides strong evidence against the standard, statistically isotropic, inflationary LambdaCDM cosmology. We compare various estimators of the temperature correlation function showing how they depend on assumptions of statistical isotropy and how they perform on the WMAP 5 year ILC maps with and without a sky cut. We show that the low multipole harmonics that determine the large-scale features of the temperature correlation function can be reconstructed accurately, independent of any assumptions concerning statistical isotropy, from the data that lie outside the sky cuts. The temperature correlation functions computed from our reconstructions are in good agreement with those computed from the whole sky. A Bayesian analysis of the large-scale correlations is presented which shows that the data cannot exclude the standard LambdaCDM model. We discuss the differences between our conclusions and those of Copi et al.

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arXiv2009

B-mode Detection with an Extended Planck Mission

The Planck satellite has a nominal mission lifetime of 14 months allowing two complete surveys of the sky. Here we investigate the potential of an extended Planck mission of four sky surveys to constrain primordial B-mode anisotropies in the presence of dominant Galactic polarized foreground emission. An extended Planck mission is capable of powerful constraints on primordial B-modes at low multipoles, which cannot be probed by ground based or sub-orbital experiments. A tensor-scalar ratio of r=0.05 can be detected at a high significance level by an extended Planck mission and it should be possible to set a 95% upper limit on r of 0.03 if the tensor-scalar ratio is vanishingly small. Furthermore, extending the Planck mission to four sky surveys offers better control of polarized Galactic dust emission, since the 217 GHz frequency band can be used as an effective dust template in addition to the 353 GHz channel.

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arXiv2009

Impact of Galactic polarized emission on B-mode detection at low multipoles

We use a model of polarized Galactic emission developed by the the Planck collaboration to assess the impact of foregrounds on B-mode detection at low multipoles. Our main interest is to applications of noisy polarization data and in particular to assessing the feasibility of B-mode detection by Planck. This limits the complexity of foreground subtraction techniques that can be applied to the data. We analyze internal linear combination techniques and show that the offset caused by the dominant E-mode polarization pattern leads to a fundamental limit of r approximately 0.1 for the tensor-scalar ratio even in the absence of instrumental noise. We devise a simple, robust, template fitting technique using multi-frequency polarization maps. We show that template fitting using Planck data alone offers a feasible way of recovering primordial B-modes from dominant foreground contamination, even in the presence of noise on the data and templates. We implement and test a pixel-based scheme for computing the likelihood function of cosmological parameters at low multipoles that incorporates foreground subtraction of noisy data.

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arXiv2009

Can we ever distinguish between quintessence and a cosmological constant?

Many ambitious experiments have been proposed to constrain dark energy and detect its evolution. At present, observational constraints are consistent with a cosmological constant and there is no firm evidence for any evolution in the dark energy equation of state w. In this paper, we pose the following question: suppose that future dark energy surveys constrain w at low redshift to be consistent with -1 to a percent level accuracy, what are the implications for models of dynamical dark energy? We investigate this problem in a model-independent way by following quintessence field trajectories in `energy' phase-space. Attractor dynamics in this phase-space leads to two classes of acceptable models: 1) models with flat potentials, i.e. an effective cosmological constant, and 2) models with potentials that suddenly flatten with a characteristic kink. The prospect of further constraining the second class of models from distance measurements and fluctuation growth rates at low redshift (z<3) seems poor. However, in some models of this second class, the dark energy makes a significant contribution to the total energy density at high redshift. Such models can be further constrained from observation of the cosmic microwave background anisotropies and from primordial nucleosynthesis. It is possible, therefore, to construct models in which the dark energy at high redshift causes observable effects, even if future dark energy surveys constrain w at low redshift to be consistent with -1 to high precision.

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arXiv2008

Dynamics of the Inflationary Flow Equations

We present a dynamical analysis of the inflationary flow equations. Our technique uses the Hubble `jerk' parameter as a discriminant of stability of fixed points. The results of the analysis are used to explain qualitatively the distribution of various observable parameters (e.g. the tensor-scalar ratio, r, and scalar spectral index, n_s) seen in numerical solutions of the flow equations using stochastic initial conditions. Finally, we give a physical interpretation of the flow in phase-space in terms of slow-roll motion of the inflaton.

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