arXiv subjects

George Thorne

Publications and source records attributed to George Thorne.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2022

Spatial anomaly detection with optimal transport

This manuscript outlines an automated anomaly detection framework for jet engines. It is tailored for identifying spatial anomalies in steady-state temperature measurements at various axial stations in an engine. The framework rests upon ideas from optimal transport theory for Gaussian measures which yields analytical solutions for both Wasserstein distances and barycenters. The anomaly detection framework proposed builds upon our prior efforts that view the spatial distribution of temperature as a Gaussian random field. We demonstrate the utility of our approach by training on a dataset from one engine family, and applying them across a fleet of engines -- successfully detecting anomalies while avoiding both false positives and false negatives. Although the primary application considered in this paper are the temperature measurements in engines, applications to other internal flows and related thermodynamic quantities are made lucid.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2021

Bayesian Mass Averaging in Rigs and Engines

This paper introduces the Bayesian mass average and details its computation. Owing to the complexity of flow in an engine and the limited instrumentation and the precision of the sensor apparatus used, it is difficult to rigorously calculate mass averages. Building upon related work, this paper views any thermodynamic quantity's spatial variation at an axial plane in an engine (or a rig) as a Gaussian random field. In cases where the mass flow rate is constant in the circumferential direction but can be expressed via a polynomial or spline radially, this paper presents an analytical calculation of the Bayesian mass average. In cases where the mass flow rate itself can be expressed as a Gaussian random field, a sampling procedure is presented to calculate the Bayesian mass average. Examples of the calculation of the Bayesian mass average for temperature are presented, including with a real engine case study where velocity profiles are inferred from stagnation pressure measurements.

physics.flu-dyn↗

arXiv2021

Bayesian Assessments of Aeroengine Performance with Transfer Learning

Aeroengine performance is determined by temperature and pressure profiles along various axial stations within an engine. Given limited sensor measurements both along and between axial stations, we require a statistically principled approach to inferring these profiles. In this paper we detail a Bayesian methodology for interpolating the spatial temperature or pressure profile at axial stations within an aeroengine. The profile at any given axial station is represented as a spatial Gaussian random field on an annulus, with circumferential variations modelled using a Fourier basis and radial variations modelled with a squared exponential kernel. This Gaussian random field is extended to ingest data from multiple axial measurement planes, with the aim of transferring information across the planes. To facilitate this type of transfer learning, a novel planar covariance kernel is proposed, with hyperparameters that characterise the correlation between any two measurement planes. In the scenario where precise frequencies comprising the temperature field are unknown, we utilise a sparsity-promoting prior on the frequencies to encourage sparse representations. This easily extends to cases with multiple engine planes whilst accommodating frequency variations between the planes. The main quantity of interest, the spatial area average is readily obtained in closed form. We term this the Bayesian area average and demonstrate how this metric offers far more precise averages than a sector area average -- a widely used area averaging approach. Furthermore, the Bayesian area average naturally decomposes the posterior uncertainty into terms characterising insufficient sampling and sensor measurement error respectively. This too provides a significant improvement over prior standard deviation based uncertainty breakdowns.

cs.CE↗

arXiv2019

Spatial Flow-Field Approximation Using Few Thermodynamic Measurements Part II: Uncertainty Assessments

In this second part of our two-part paper, we provide a detailed, frequentist framework for propagating uncertainties within our multivariate linear least squares model. This permits us to quantify the impact of uncertainties in thermodynamic measurements---arising from calibrations and the data acquisition system---and the correlations therein, along with uncertainties in probe positions. We show how the former has a much larger effect (relatively) than uncertainties in probe placement. We use this non-deterministic framework to demonstrate why the well-worn metric for assessing spatial sampling uncertainty falls short of providing an accurate characterization of the effect of a few spatial measurements. In other words, it does not accurately describe the uncertainty associated with sampling a non-uniform pattern with a few circumferentially scattered rakes. To this end, we argue that our data-centric framework can offer a more rigorous characterization of this uncertainty. Our paper proposes two new uncertainty metrics: one for characterizing spatial sampling uncertainty and another for capturing the impact of measurement imprecision in individual probes. These metrics are rigorously derived in our paper and their ease in computation permits them to be widely adopted by the turbomachinery community for carrying out uncertainty assessments.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2019

Spatial Flow-Field Approximation Using Few Thermodynamic Measurements Part I: Formulation and Area Averaging

Our investigation raises an important question that is of relevance to the wider turbomachinery community: how do we estimate the spatial average of a flow quantity given finite (and sparse) measurements? This paper seeks to advance efforts to answer this question rigorously. In this paper, we develop a regularized multivariate linear regression framework for studying engine temperature measurements. As part of this investigation, we study the temperature measurements obtained from the same axial plane across five different engines yielding a total of 82 data-sets. The five different engines have similar architectures and therefore similar temperature spatial harmonics are expected. Our problem is to estimate the spatial field in engine temperature given a few measurements obtained from thermocouples positioned on a set of rakes. Our motivation for doing so is to understand key engine temperature modes that cannot be captured in a rig or in computational simulations, as the cause of these modes may not be replicated in these simpler environments. To this end, we develop a multivariate linear least squares model with Tikhonov regularization to estimate the 2D temperature spatial field. Our model uses a Fourier expansion in the circumferential direction and a quadratic polynomial expansion in the radial direction. One important component of our modeling framework is the selection of model parameters, i.e. the harmonics in the circumferential direction. A training-testing paradigm is proposed and applied to quantify the harmonics.

stat.AP↗