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Geping Chen

Publications and source records attributed to Geping Chen.

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TabCF: Distributional Control Function Estimation with Tabular Foundation Models

Instrumental variable (IV) and control function (CF) methods are powerful tools for causal effect estimation in the presence of unmeasured confounding, yet most existing approaches target only mean effects and/or demand substantial fitting and tuning effort. In this paper, we introduce a simple method, TabCF, for control function regression using tabular foundation models, which enables accurate, fast, identification-transparent, and tuning-light causal estimation of distributional quantities, such as interventional means and quantiles; we also propose a copula-based approximation for multivariate outcomes. TabCF performs favorably against representative methods across a broad range of small- to medium-sized synthetic and real data scenarios. The central message is two-fold: for practitioners, it highlights that TabCF is an effective tool for distributional causal inference; for researchers, it suggests that the proposed approach could be considered a strong baseline for future method development. Code is available at https://github.com/GepingChen/TabCF.

stat.ML

Multi-Label Residual Weighted Learning for Individualized Combination Treatment Rule

Individualized treatment rules (ITRs) have been widely applied in many fields such as precision medicine and personalized marketing. Beyond the extensive studies on ITR for binary or multiple treatments, there is considerable interest in applying combination treatments. This paper introduces a novel ITR estimation method for combination treatments incorporating interaction effects among treatments. Specifically, we propose the generalized $\psi$-loss as a non-convex surrogate in the residual weighted learning framework, offering desirable statistical and computational properties. Statistically, the minimizer of the proposed surrogate loss is Fisher-consistent with the optimal decision rules, incorporating interaction effects at any intensity level - a significant improvement over existing methods. Computationally, the proposed method applies the difference-of-convex algorithm for efficient computation. Through simulation studies and real-world data applications, we demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed method in recommending combination treatments.

stat.ME