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Geraint Pratten

Publications and source records attributed to Geraint Pratten.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Mode-by-mode Relative Binning: Fast Likelihood Estimation for Gravitational Waveforms with Spin-Orbit Precession and Multiple Harmonics

Faster likelihood evaluation enhances the efficiency of gravitational wave signal analysis. We present Mode-by-mode Relative Binning (MRB), a new method designed for obtaining fast and accurate likelihoods for advanced waveform models that include spin-orbit precession effects and multiple radiation harmonics from compact binary coalescence. Leveraging the "twisting-up" procedure of constructing precessing waveform modes from non-precessing ones, the new method mitigates degrade of relative binning accuracy due to interference from superimposed modes. Additionally, we supplement algorithms for optimizing the choice of frequency bins specific to any given strain signal under analysis. Using the new method, we are able to evaluate the likelihood with up to an order of magnitude reduction in the number of waveform model calls per frequency compared to the previously used relative binning scheme, and achieve better likelihood accuracy than is sufficient for obtaining source parameter posterior distributions that are indistinguishable from the exact ones.

astro-ph.IM↗

The Next Generation Global Gravitational Wave Observatory: The Science Book

The next generation of ground-based gravitational-wave detectors will observe coalescences of black holes and neutron stars throughout the cosmos, thousands of them with exceptional fidelity. The Science Book is the result of a 3-year effort to study the science capabilities of networks of next generation detectors. Such networks would make it possible to address unsolved problems in numerous areas of physics and astronomy, from Cosmology to Beyond the Standard Model of particle physics, and how they could provide insights into workings of strongly gravitating systems, astrophysics of compact objects and the nature of dense matter. It is inevitable that observatories of such depth and finesse will make new discoveries inaccessible to other windows of observation. In addition to laying out the rich science potential of the next generation of detectors, this report provides specific science targets in five different areas in physics and astronomy and the sensitivity requirements to accomplish those science goals. This report is the second in a six part series of reports by the GWIC 3G Subcommittee: i) Expanding the Reach of Gravitational Wave Observatories to the Edge of the Universe, ii) The Next Generation Global Gravitational Wave Observatory: The Science Book (this report), iii) 3G R&D: R&D for the Next Generation of Ground-based Gravitational Wave Detectors, iv) Gravitational Wave Data Analysis: Computing Challenges in the 3G Era, v) Future Ground-based Gravitational-wave Observatories: Synergies with Other Scientific Communities, and vi) An Exploration of Possible Governance Models for the Future Global Gravitational-Wave Observatory Network.

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Rapid model comparison of equations of state from gravitational wave observation of binary neutron star coalescences

The discovery of the coalescence of binary neutron star GW170817 was a watershed moment in the field of gravitational wave astronomy. Among the rich variety of information that we were able to uncover from this discovery was the first non-electromagnetic measurement of the neutron star radius, and the cold nuclear equation of state. It also led to a large equation of state model-selection study from gravitational-wave data. In those studies Bayesian nested sampling runs were conducted for each candidate equation of state model to compute their evidence in the gravitational-wave data. Such studies, though invaluable, are computationally expensive and require repeated, redundant, computation for any new models. We present a novel technique to conduct model-selection of equation of state in an extremely rapid fashion (~minutes) on any arbitrary model. We test this technique against the results of a nested-sampling model-selection technique published earlier by the LIGO/Virgo collaboration, and show that the results are in good agreement with a median fractional error in Bayes factor of about 10%, where we assume that the true Bayes factor is calculated in the aforementioned nested sampling runs. We found that the highest fractional error occurs for equation of state models that have very little support in the posterior distribution, thus resulting in large statistical uncertainty. We then used this method to combine multiple binary neutron star mergers to compute a joint-Bayes factor between equation of state models. This is achieved by stacking the evidence of the individual events and computing the Bayes factor from these stacked evidences for each pairs of equation of state.

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Computationally efficient models for the dominant and sub-dominant harmonic modes of precessing binary black holes

We present IMRPhenomXPHM, a phenomenological frequency-domain model for the gravitational-wave signal emitted by quasi-circular precessing binary black holes, which incorporates multipoles beyond the dominant quadrupole in the precessing frame. The model is a precessing extension of IMRPhenomXHM (García-Quirós 2020), based on approximate maps between aligned-spin waveform modes in the co-precessing frame and precessing waveform modes in the inertial frame, which is commonly referred to as "twisting up" the non-precessing waveforms. IMRPhenomXPHM includes IMRPhenomXP as a special case, the restriction to the dominant quadrupole contribution in the co-precessing frame. We implement two alternative mappings, one based on a single-spin PN approximation, as used in IMRPhenomPv2 (Hannam 2013), and one based on the double-spin MSA approach (Chatziioannou 2017). We include a detailed discussion of conventions used in the description of precessing binaries and of all choices made in constructing the model. The computational cost of \phXPHM is further reduced by extending the interpolation technique of (C. García-Quirós 2020) to the Euler angles. The accuracy, speed, robustness and modularity of the IMRPhenomX family will make these models productive tools for gravitational wave astronomy in the current era of greatly increased number and diversity of detected events.

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New effective precession spin for modeling multimodal gravitational waveforms in the strong-field regime

Accurately modelling the complete gravitational-wave signal from precessing binary black holes through the late inspiral, merger and ringdown remains a challenging problem. The lack of analytic solutions for the precession dynamics of generic double-spin systems, and the high dimensionality of the problem, obfuscate the incorporation of strong-field spin-precession information into semi-analytic waveform models used in gravitational-wave data analysis. Previously, an effective precession spin, $χ_p$, was introduced to reduce the number of spin degrees of freedom. Here, we show that $χ_p$ alone does not accurately reproduce higher-order multipolar modes, in particular the ones that carry strong imprints due to precession such as the $(2,1)$-mode. To improve the higher-mode content, and in particular to facilitate an accurate incorporation of precession effects in the strong-field regime into waveform models, we introduce a new dimensional reduction through an effective precession spin vector, $\vecχ_\perp$, which takes into account precessing spin information from both black holes. We show that this adapted effective precession spin (i) mimics the precession dynamics of the fully precessing configuration remarkably well, (ii) captures the signature features of precession in higher-order modes, and (iii) reproduces the final state of the remnant black hole with high accuracy for the overwhelming majority of configurations. We demonstrate the efficacy of this two-dimensional precession spin in the strong-field regime, paving the path for meaningful calibration of the precessing sector of semi-analytic waveform models with a faithful representation of higher-order modes through merger and the remnant black hole spin.

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A generalized precession parameter $χ_\mathrm{p}$ to interpret gravitational-wave data

Originally designed for waveform approximants, the effective precession parameter $χ_\mathrm{p}$ is the most commonly used quantity to characterize spin-precession effects in gravitational-wave observations of black-hole binary coalescences. We point out that the current definition of $χ_\mathrm{p}$ retains some, but not all, variations taking place on the precession timescale. We rectify this inconsistency and propose more general definitions that either fully consider or fully average those oscillations. Our generalized parameter $χ_\mathrm{p}\in[0,2]$ presents an exclusive region $χ_\mathrm{p}>1$ that can only be populated by binaries with two precessing spins. We apply our prescriptions to current LIGO/Virgo events and find that posterior distributions of $χ_\mathrm{p}$ tend to show longer tails at larger values. This appears to be a generic feature, implying that (i) current $χ_\mathrm{p}$ measurement errors might be underestimated, but also that (ii) evidence for spin precession in current data might be stronger than previously inferred. Among the gravitational-wave events released to date, that which shows the most striking behavior is GW190521.

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Constraining the lensing of binary neutron stars from their stochastic background

Gravitational wave (GW) transients from binary neutron star (BNS) coalescences can, in principle, be subject to gravitational lensing thereby increasing the amplitude and signal-to-noise ratio. We estimate the rate of lensed BNS events resolvable by LIGO and Virgo and find that it is constrained by the current non-detection of a stochastic GW background. Following closely the formalism we developed (10.1103/PhysRevLett.125.141102) in the context of binary black hole lensing, we show that at current sensitivities the fraction of BNS coalescences with lensing magnifications $μ> 1.02$ is less than $\sim 7\times 10^{-8}$ and therefore such events should not be expected in the near future. We also make predictions for projected future sensitivities.

astro-ph.HE↗

Constraining the lensing of binary black holes from their stochastic background

Gravitational waves (GWs) are subject to gravitational lensing in the same way as electromagnetic radiation. However, to date, no unequivocal observation of a lensed GW transient has been reported. Independently, GW observatories continue to search for the stochastic GW signal which is produced by many transient events at high redshift. We exploit a surprising connection between the lensing of individual transients and limits to the background radiation produced by the unresolved population of binary back hole mergers: we show that it constrains the fraction of individually resolvable lensed binary black holes to less than $\sim 4\times 10^{-5}$ at present sensitivity. We clarify the interpretation of existing, low redshift GW observations (obtained assuming no lensing) in terms of their apparent lensed redshifts and masses and explore constraints from GW observatories at future sensitivity. Based on our results, recent claims of observations of lensed events are statistically disfavoured.

astro-ph.CO↗

Gravitational-wave selection effects using neural-network classifiers

We present a novel machine-learning approach to estimate selection effects in gravitational-wave observations. Using techniques similar to those commonly employed in image classification and pattern recognition, we train a series of neural-network classifiers to predict the LIGO/Virgo detectability of gravitational-wave signals from compact-binary mergers. We include the effect of spin precession, higher-order modes, and multiple detectors and show that their omission, as it is common in large population studies, tends to overestimate the inferred merger rate in selected regions of the parameter space. Although here we train our classifiers using a simple signal-to-noise ratio threshold, our approach is ready to be used in conjunction with full pipeline injections, thus paving the way toward including actual distributions of astrophysical and noise triggers into gravitational-wave population analyses.

astro-ph.HE↗

IMRPhenomXHM: A multi-mode frequency-domain model for the gravitational wave signal from non-precessing black-hole binaries

We present the IMRPhenomXHM frequency domain phenomenological waveform model for the inspiral, merger and ringdown of quasi-circular non-precessing black hole binaries. The model extends the IMRPhenomXAS waveform model, which describes the dominant quadrupole modes $\ell = |m| = 2$, to the harmonics $(\ell, |m|)=(2,1), (3,3), (3,2), (4,4)$, and includes mode mixing effects for the $(3,2)$ spherical harmonic. IMRPhenomXHM is calibrated against hybrid waveforms, which match an inspiral phase described by the effective-one-body model and post-Newtonian amplitudes for the subdominant harmonics to numerical relativity waveforms and numerical solutions to the perturbative Teukolsky equation for large mass ratios up to 1000. A computationally efficient implementation of the model is available as part of the LSC Algorithm Library Suite.

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Towards the routine use of subdominant harmonics in gravitational-wave inference: re-analysis of GW190412 with generation X waveform models

We re-analyse the gravitational-wave event GW190412 with state-of-the-art phenomenological waveform models. This event, which has been associated with a black hole merger, is interesting due to the significant contribution from subdominant harmonics. We use both frequency-domain and time-domain waveform models. The PhenomX waveform models constitute the fourth generation of frequency-domain phenomenological waveforms for black hole binary coalescence; they have more recently been complemented by the time-domain PhenomT models, which open up new strategies to model precession and eccentricity, and to perform tests of general relativity with the phenomenological waveforms approach. Both PhenomX and PhenomT have been constructed with similar techniques and accuracy goals, and due to their computational efficiency this "generation X" model family allows the routine use of subdominant spherical harmonics in Bayesian inference. We show the good agreement between these and other state-of-the-art waveform models for GW190412, and discuss the improvements over the previous generation of phenomenological waveform models. We also discuss practical aspects of Bayesian inference such as run convergence, variations of sampling parameters, and computational cost.

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Measuring precession in asymmetric compact binaries

Gravitational-wave observations of merging compact binaries hold the key to precision measurements of the objects' masses and spins. General-relativistic precession, caused by spins misaligned with the orbital angular momentum, is considered a crucial tracer for determining the binary's formation history and environment, and it also improves mass estimates -- its measurement is therefore of particular interest with wide-ranging implications. Precession leaves a characteristic signature in the emitted gravitational-wave signal that is even more pronounced in binaries with highly unequal masses. The recent observations of GW190412 and GW190814 have confirmed the existence of such asymmetric compact binaries. Here, we perform a systematic study to assess the confidence in measuring precession in gravitational-wave observations of high mass ratio binaries and, our ability to measure the mass of the lighter companion in neutron star -- black hole type systems. Using Bayesian model selection, we show that precession can be decisively identified for low-mass binaries with mass ratios as low as $1:3$ and mildly precessing spins with magnitudes $\lesssim 0.4$, even in the presence of systematic waveform errors.

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A multipolar effective one body waveform model for spin-aligned black hole binaries

We introduce \TEOBiResumSM{}, an improved version of the effective-one-body (EOB) waveform model \TEOBResumS{} for spin-aligned, coalescing black hole binaries, that includes subdominant gravitational waveform modes completed through merger and ringdown. Beyond the dominant $(\ell,|m|)=(2,2)$ one, the more robust multipoles all over the parameter space are: $(2,1)$, $(3,3)$, $(3,2)$, $(4,4)$ and $(5,5)$. The multipolar ringdown EOB waveform stems from suitably fitting many numerical relativity (NR) waveform data from the Simulating eXtreme Spacetimes (SXS) collaboration together with test-mass waveform data. Mode-mixing effects are not incorporated. The orbital (nonspinning) part of the multipolar waveform amplitudes includes test-mass results up to (relative) 6PN order and, for most modes,is Padé resummed. The $m$=odd waveform multipoles (up to $\ell=5$) incorporate most of the currently available spin-dependent analytical information. Improving on previous work, we confirm that certain $m=\text{odd}$ modes, e.g. the $(2,1)$, and even the $(3,1)$, may develop a zero (or a minimum) in the amplitude for nearly equal-mass binaries and for several combinations of the individual spins. A remarkable EOB/NR agreement around such zero is found for these modes. The new waveform, and radiation reaction, prompts a new NR-calibration of the spinning sector of the model, done with only $32$ datasets.The maximum $(2,2)$ EOB/NR unfaithfulness $\bar{F}$ with Advanced LIGO noise against the SXS catalog ($\sim 595$ datasets) is always below $0.5\%$ for binaries with total mass $M$ as $10M_\odot\leq M \leq 200M_\odot$, except for a single outlier with $\max{(\bar{F})}\sim 0.85\%$. When $(2,1)$, $(3,3)$ and $(4,4)$ modes are included, one finds an excellent EOB/NR agreement up to $M\sim 120M_\odot$, above which the performance degrades slightly and moves above $3\%$

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Assessing gravitational-wave binary black hole candidates with Bayesian odds

Gravitational waves from the coalescence of binary black holes can be distinguished from noise transients in a detector network through Bayesian model selection by exploiting the coherence of the signal across the network. We present a Bayesian framework for calculating the posterior probability that a signal is of astrophysical origin, agnostic to the specific search strategy, pipeline or search domain with which a candidate is identified. We apply this framework under \textit{identical} assumptions to all events reported in the LIGO-Virgo GWTC-1 catalog, GW190412 and numerous event candidates reported by independent search pipelines by other authors. With the exception of GW170818, we find that all GWTC-1 candidates, and GW190412, have odds overwhelmingly in favour of the astrophysical hypothesis, including GW170729, which was assigned significantly different astrophysical probabilities by the different search pipelines used in GWTC-1. GW170818 is de-facto a single detector trigger, and is therefore of no surprise that it is disfavoured as being produced by an astrophysical source in our framework. We find \textit{three} additional event candidates, GW170121, GW170425 and GW170727, that have significant support for the astrophysical hypothesis, with a probability that the signal is of astrophysical origin of 0.53, 0.74 and 0.64 respectively. We carry out a hierarchical population study which includes these three events in addition to those reported in GWTC-1, finding that the main astrophysical results are unaffected.

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A first survey of spinning eccentric black hole mergers: Numerical relativity simulations, hybrid waveforms, and parameter estimation

We analyze a new numerical relativity dataset of spinning but nonprecessing binary black holes on eccentric orbits, with eccentricities from approximately $0.1$ to $0.5$, with dimensionless spins up to $0.75$ included at mass ratios $q=m_1/m_2 = (1, 2)$, and further nonspinning binaries at mass ratios $q = (1.5, 3, 4)$. A comparison of the final mass and spin of these simulations with noneccentric data extends previous results in the literature on circularization of eccentric binaries to the spinning case. For the $(l,m)=(2,2)$ spin-weighted spherical harmonic mode we construct eccentric hybrid waveforms that connect the numerical relativity data to a post-Newtonian description for the inspiral, and we discuss the limitations in the current knowledge about post-Newtonian theory which complicate the generation of eccentric hybrid waveforms. We also perform a Bayesian parameter estimation study, quantifying the parameter biases introduced when using three different quasicircular waveform models to estimate the parameters of highly eccentric binary systems. We find that the used aligned-spin quasicircular model including higher order modes produces lower bias in certain parameters than the nonprecessing quasicircular model without higher order modes and the quasicircular precessing model.

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Simple procedures to reduce eccentricity of binary black hole simulations

We present simple procedures to construct quasi-circular initial data for numerical evolutions of binary black hole spacetimes. Our method consists of using Post-Newtonian theory in three ways: first to provide an initial guess for the initial momenta at 3.5PN order that implies low residual eccentricity, second to measure the resulting eccentricity, and third to calculate corrections to the momenta or initial separation which further reduce the eccentricity. Regarding the initial guess, we compare numerical evolutions in post-Newtonian theory to the post-circular and post-post-circular analytical approximations to quasi-circular data. We discuss a robust fitting procedure to measure eccentricity from numerical simulations using the orbital frequency, and derive from the quasi-Keplerian parametrization at 1PN oder the correction factors for the tangential and radial momentum components required to achieve reduce the measured eccentricity to zero. We first test our procedure integrating PN equations of motion at $3.5$PN where low eccentric initial data is easily obtained, and then apply our method to sets of binary black hole numerical relativity simulations with different mass ratios (q=1,2,...,8), spin configurations and separations. Our set of simulations contains non-spinning, spin-aligned and precessing simulations. We observe that the iterative procedure produces low eccentric simulations with eccentricities of the order (10^{-4}) with only one iteration. The simplicity of the procedure allows to obtain low eccentric NR simulations easily and saving computational resources. Moreover, the analytical PN formulas derived in this paper will be useful to generate eccentric hybrid waveforms.

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Validity of common modelling approximations for precessing binary black holes with higher-order modes

The current paradigm for constructing waveforms from precessing compact binaries is to first construct a waveform in a non-inertial, co-precessing binary source frame followed by a time-dependent rotation to map back to the physical, inertial frame. A key insight in the construction of these models is that the co-precessing waveform can be effectively mapped to some equivalent aligned spin waveform. Secondly, the time-dependent rotation implicitly introduces $m$-mode mixing, necessitating an accurate description of higher-order modes in the co-precessing frame. We assess the efficacy of this modelling strategy in the strong field regime using Numerical Relativity simulations. We find that this framework allows for the highly accurate construction of $(2,\pm 2)$ modes in our data set, while for higher order modes, especially the $(2,|1|), (3,|2|)$ and $(4,|3|)$ modes, we find rather large mismatches. We also investigate a variant of the approximate map between co-precessing and aligned spin waveforms, where we only identify the slowly varying part of the time domain co-precessing waveforms with the aligned-spin one, but find no significant improvement. Our results indicate that the simple paradigm to construct precessing waveforms does not provide an accurate description of higher order modes in the strong-field regime, and demonstrate the necessity for modelling mode asymmetries and mode-mixing to significantly improve the description of precessing higher order modes.

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Setting the cornerstone for the IMRPhenomX family of models for gravitational waves from compact binaries: The dominant harmonic for non-precessing quasi-circular black holes

In this paper we present IMRPhenomXAS, a thorough overhaul of the IMRPhenomD [1,2] waveform model, which describes the dominant $l=2, \:| m | = 2$ spherical harmonic mode of non-precessing coalescing black holes in terms of piecewise closed form expressions in the frequency domain. Improvements include in particular the accurate treatment of unequal spin effects, and the inclusion of extreme mass ratio waveforms. IMRPhenomD has previously been extended to approximately include spin precession [3] and subdominant spherical harmonics [4], and with its extensions it has become a standard tool in gravitational wave parameter estimation. Improved extensions of IMRPhenomXAS are discussed in companion papers [5,6].

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